Saturday 11/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Georgia/Tennesee CFB Free Pick

The No. 1 ranked Georiga Bulldogs (10-0 SU, 4-6 ATS) have won a school-record 27 consecutive games since the end of the 2021 campaign. They're a sizable road favorite at No. 18 Tennessee this week, but I think they'll win and cover the number.

The Volunteers were doing alright, but how can they bounce back from a 36-7 to then-No. 14 Missouri on the road last weekend? The Vols would've needed all the confidence they could get, and now instead they got the air punched out of them.

The Vols are averaging 32.0 points per game (39th), but they've mostly been running up the score against weak opponents. When facing other top teams, they've not been nearly as prolific. In their two games as underdogs this season, they lost 29-16 to Florida and 34-20 to Alabama.

I don't think they have what it takes to run with the Dawgs.

2* FREE PICK ON GEORGIA-9.5

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Dan Kaiser

North Carolina has a chance to win at least 9 games for the second straight season. North Carolina has won each of its last three games as a road underdog. North Carolina has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a road underdog. Clemson is looking for at least 7 wins for a 13th straight season. Clemson has won 3 straight home games. Clemson has won 27 of its last 28 games against conference opponents at Memorial Stadium. The Clemson Tigers have looked good in some games (ND) and then they look terrible in others. They have had an underachieving season and don't feel comfortable laying the points against this NC offense. Clemson is just 4-6 ATS on the year. North Carolina has covered 5 of its last 6 games as an underdog. Clemson is 2-5 ATS against UNC in 7 meetings.

Play on North Carolina+7.5 -109 This is a free-play

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Dave Price

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Notre Dame -24.5

The Key: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have the benefit of getting a couple bye weeks here late in the season due to playing Navy in Ireland in Week 0. They had a bye after a 48-20 win over USC and came back to beat Pittsburgh 58-7 at home. They did lose at Clemson in their next game, but now have had a bye to regroup. I think we see a similar effort to that Pittsburgh game against a Wake Forest team that is pretty much on Pitt's level. After all, Wake Forest beat Pitt 21-17 at home which was their last victory. They are coming off a 26-6 home loss to NC State. The Demon Deacons are a tired team as they will be playing for a 7th consecutive week, which is a massive disadvantage for them having to face Notre Dame off a bye. The Fighting Irish are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against ACC opponents. Take Notre Dame.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee +10.5

Georgia is coming off a 52-17 win over Ole Miss as an 11.5-point favorite to cover the spread by 24.5 points. Tennessee is coming off a 36-7 loss at Missouri as 2-point favorites to fail covering the spread by 31 points. These extreme results for both teams has created some line value on Tennessee catching 10.5 points against Georgia this week. The Vols were clearly looking ahead to this game and not taking Missouri seriously. They will now treat this game as their national championship. Georgia already punched its ticket to the SEC Championship Game and won't be fully focused after how easy that win came against Ole Miss. We've seen South Carolina, Auburn and Missouri all stay within 10 points of Georgia this season and I think the Vols can do the same, especially playing at home here with home of the best home-field advantages in college football. The Vols are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home this season, improving to 10-2 ATS at home over the last two seasons. Georgia is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Give me Tennessee.

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On NC State vs Virginia Tech over 41 -108

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Georgia/Tennessee Under 59.5

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Joseph D'Amico

Free Play:NC State Wolfpack+2.5 -105

Game 337.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

My friends, the wrong team is favored here. NC State comes into this matchup rolling, as they have won and covered three consecutive outings. In those recent victories, their defense has been ferocious, allowing Clemson to score just 17, Miami to put up a mere six, and Wake Forest also to only account for six points. They will absolutely stifle the erratic V Tech offense. They make very few mistakes. Please remember, the Wolfpacks few losses this season, were to the Fighting Irish, the Cardinals, and the Blue Devils. Two of those three games could've gone either way. This is going to be a tight one. So, I will take the underdog. Take NC State. Thank you.

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS-6.5 for our Saturday Free Play. Oklahoma St. had its five-game winning streak snapped with a 42-point loss at UCF last week, getting gashed on the ground while committing four turnovers. The Cowboys are 5-2 and still right in the mix for a trip to the Big 12 Championship as they are in a four-way tie for second place but hold the tiebreaker over two of the other three teams. If Texas beats Iowa St. today, Oklahoma St. controls their own destiny by winning out and they will be in. They have relied on a strong running game that was suddenly shut down last week but will get back on track today. Houston lost against Cincinnati last week to fall to 4-6 so this is a big game for the Cougars as well as they need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. They are just 2-5 in the conference with the wins over West Virginia and Baylor coming by just three points combined. The win over West Virginia came on a hail mary as time expired and the win over Baylor came in overtime on a made two-point conversion so Houston could very well be 0-7 in the Big 12. The Cougars bring in a defense that is ranked No. 104 overall and No. 106 in scoring. Here, we play on road favorites rushing for 4.8 or more ypc and after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game going up against teams rushing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1992. Play (403) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

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Rob Vinciletti

Loaded Saturday card has the BIG 12 Game of The Year, an Executive Level Tier 1, the ACC Game of the Month and 2 more CFB Best Bets. There is also our Exclusive early season NCAAB System plays and a TOP NBA Play. Comp play below

The Saturday comp play for is on Oregon-24.5 -105 at 4 eastern. The Ducks have the 2nd ranked offense in the country and they have covered the last 5 as a road favorite of more than 14 and they have revenge. Arizona St applies to the late season system below that plays against home dog off a road dog win at +3 or more vs an opponent off a conference win in games where the total is 66 or less.. The Sun Devils have failed to cover 5 of 6 in the first of back to back home games. They stunned UCLA as a 13 point dog on the road last week but will have a tough time keeping up with The Ducks here. Look for Oregon to pull way late. On Saturday Rob has a Huge Card up with his TIER 1 in BIG 10 Action, the BIG 12 Game of the Year from a 32-1 system, the ACC Game of the Month and more. In hoops Rob has a Top NBA Play and his early season College hoops System plays. Jump on now and cash out all day and night. For the CFB Comp play. Play on Oregon -24. Rob V-

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Dustin Hawkins

1 Dimer on IUPU Ft Wayne-3

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Boston College-5

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Freddy Wills

Texas Tech -2.5 1.1% Free Play

UCF coming off a nice win over Oklahoma State as a 4.5 point dog at home, and have 2 winnable games to get their 6th win. Texas Tech in the same situation with Texas on deck this game is a must win. Tech has been a better home team most years, and this season hasn’t been different and they nearly upset Oregon earlier in the year. UCF has a top 25 offense, but they have faced only 2 teams in the top 80 in yards per play defense, lost both of those game. The average ypp defense of their other opponents rank 106.7th. Texas Tech ranks 48th in ypp, and they have gotten that ranking having faced 4 top 50 ypp offenses going 2-2 in those games. I think Tech back at home wins this game they have a huge edge on special teams ranking 8th vs. 103rd. Big 12 home teams have been very good this season especially against the new Big 12 teams of BYU, UCF, Houston and Cincinnati who are a combined 1-10 straight up in road games against original Big 12 teams.

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Boston College-5

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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ASA

#387/388 ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 55 Points – California vs Stanford, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET - 2 really bad defenses in this game lead to a high scoring affair. Cal’s defense ranks 118th in total defense and 130th in scoring defense allowing 37 PPG. They’ve allowed at least 34 points in 6 of their last 7 and over that stretch they are allowing an average of 45.5 PPG. Stanford’s defense ranks 131st in total defense and 129th in scoring defense allowing 36.9 PPG. They’ve allowed at least 40 points in 5 of their last 6 games and over that stretch they are allowing an average of 40 PPG. Cal’s offense can score averaging 32 PPG on the season. The only 2 times they’ve been held under 21 points in Pac 12 play was vs Utah & Oregon, the 2 best defenses in the conference. In their other 5 conference games they are averaging 37.5 PPG and now they face the worst defense they’ve seen in league play. Stanford’s offense has been up and down but they’ve shown they can score with 33 points vs Washington and 46 vs Colorado. Last week they had 17 vs Oregon State (they gave up 62) but the Cardinal had their chances but had 4 turnovers, 2 inside OSU territory, and were shut out on downs in OSU territory. That was vs a defense ranked in the top 40 and now they face one of the worst stop units in the country. The Golden Bears love to play up tempo ranking in the top 10 nationally in seconds per play. Stanford is middle of the pack in tempo so definitely not a slow paced team. Weather looks decent in Palo Alto at game time with a slight chance of rain but winds around 10 MPH which shouldn’t affect either offense. The projected final here is Cal 31, Stanford 24 and we like both teams to eclipse those totals. Over is the Play.

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Alex Smart

The Kansas Jayhawks (7-3) play in-state rival K-State (7-3) on Saturday in another incarnation of the Sunflower Showdown.This has a high probability of being the most competitive Sunflower Showdown in the last 20 years as both sides according to my power rankings are evenly matched.

Leipold is 8-0 ATS in home games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game in all games he has coached in his career.Leipold is 11-1 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play in all games he has coached Leipold is 8-0 ATS in home games after playing a game at home in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 24-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas to cover