If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Saturday 11/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Minnesota @ New Orleans (7:10 PM EST)
Play On: Minnesota -5 1/2
The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans on Saturday night. Minnesota is 8-3 overall this year while New Orleans comes in with a 6-6 overall record on the season. Minnesota is 7-1 SU and 5-1 ATS so far this year in November. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS last 7 games when playing at New Orleans. My Rocketman line has Minnesota winning this one by 13 points. We'll recommend a small play on Minnesota tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Oregon State are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games.
- Washington are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Oregon State.
South Carolina played the toughest schedule in the entire country during their 2-6 start to the season. They have finally gotten a break in the schedule with four straight winnable home games to close out the season and are taking advantage. After beating Jacksonville State 38-28, they came back and crushed Vanderbilt 47-6 last week.
The Gamecocks now sit at 4-6 on the season with their sights set on making a bowl game if they can beat Kentucky and Clemson at home to close. I like their chances of knocking off Kentucky, which played an extremely easy schedule to open the season during a 5-0 start. They have since stepped up in class and it hasn't been pretty.
The Wildcats are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win coming against an injury-ravaged Mississippi State team. They lost 51-13 at Georgia, 38-21 at home to Missouri, 33-27 at home to Tennessee and 49-21 at home to Alabama. They won't have much left in the tank here after that physical game against Alabama last week.
The Wildcats sit at 6-4 on the season and already bowl eligible, so they don't have much left to play for the rest of the way. But this is definitely a sandwich spot as they are coming off the Alabama game with rival Louisville on deck next week. They will be much more motivated to beat Louisville next week to try and spoil what has been an incredible season to this point for the Cardinals.
South Carolina is 4-1 at home this season with their lone loss coming to Florida by 2 points. They are scoring 41.6 points per game, averaging 492 yards per game and 7.2 yards per play at home this season. Kentucky has been fortunate to play a home-heavy schedule with seven of their first 10 games at home. Two of their three road games were against Vanderbilt and Mississippi State. This will easily be their second-toughest road test of the season behind that 36-point loss at Georgia.
South Carolina is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference opponent. Mark Stoops is 6-20 ATS after allowing 6.75 or more yards per play in his last game as the coach of Kentucky. Bet South Carolina on the Money Line Saturday.
I'll take my chances with Iowa State as a 7.5-point home dog against Texas. The Long Horns have been an overvalued commodity down the stretch. Texas is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The only win coming against an awful BYU team. Last week they won by just 3 at TCU as a 13-point favorite. Their previous road game they won by only 7 as a 24-point favorite against Houston. Iowa State is not an easy place to play, especially in a night game. Cyclones are going to be extremely motivated in what figures to be their final shot against Texas in some time. I also feel the injury to starting running back Jonathan Brooks is a big deal against this ISU defense, which is much better at defending the pass. Cyclones hang around and maybe win this thing outright. Give me Iowa State +7.5!
*3 Star Free Play Over 48 SDSU/SJSU* San Jose State is quietly putting together a really nice offense. The Spartans are 13th in the nation in explosiveness on offense. They are second in the Mountain West Conference in yards per play. San Jose State has scored 35 points or more in four straight contests. The Spartans are up against a San Diego State defense that is no longer good.
The Aztecs were a good defense for a long time, but this is a now a weak defense. San Diego State is 11th in the Mountain West in YPP allowed at a whopping 6.12 YPP allowed. The Aztecs have allowed 32 points or more in five of their last eight games.
San Diego State should be able to put up some points here against a San Jose State defensive line that isn't very good. They are 127th in defensive line yards. They are 101st in the nation in YPC allowed.
Comment