Tuesday 11/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Zia Park

PURCHASE

Zia Park - Race 7	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Leg .50 Pick 4 / 2nd Leg Pick 5
Claiming $7,500 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 2:53P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LONELY PRIVATE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LONELY PRIVATE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SILVERWIND: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HIT THE SEAM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	LONELY PRIVATE	7/2	3/1
4	SILVERWIND	4/1	7/1
5	HIT THE SEAM	10/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LONELY PRIVATE	1	7/2	Front-runner	88	93	89.8	86.2	82.2
5	HIT THE SEAM	5	10/1	Front-runner	89	89	87.2	71.8	61.3
2	FOLLOW THE FACTS	2	8/1	Front-runner	92	76	77.0	72.0	61.0
4	SILVERWIND	4	4/1	Front-runner	87	84	73.8	74.4	67.9
3	KNIGHT DISRUPTOR	3	15/1	Front-runner	84	69	70.0	69.4	53.4
12	MT. TAYLOR	12	6/1	Front-runner	81	80	65.2	75.2	62.2
7	HEART TO BEAT	7	15/1	Front-runner	71	71	60.4	61.4	44.9
8	RIGHT TO SUE	8	12/1	Front-runner	69	68	60.0	62.8	42.8
10	PATRIOT	10	12/1	Stalker	80	79	86.4	74.2	63.2
9	LOTTA GUSTO	9	10/1	Trailer	79	72	62.0	72.8	58.3
6	MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY	6	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	77	74	57.2	73.2	62.2
11	AUTISM WARRIOR	11	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	67	61.8	50.2	29.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger LakesPURCHASE

Finger Lakes - Race 7	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 7-8) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 7-8-9)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $32,100 • Post: 3:03P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WITT LASTING SPEED is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WITT LASTING SPEED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. KEEP IT SEXY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibas e Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	WITT LASTING SPEED	4/1	2/1
8	KEEP IT SEXY	3/1	4/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	WITT LASTING SPEED	3	4/1	Front-runner	59	58	68.6	54.0	48.0
6	HAPPY'S SMILE	6	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	57.8	49.3	42.3
8	KEEP IT SEXY	8	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	81	35.1	40.8	36.8
1A	SASSY TALLAHASSEE	9	6/1	Trailer	56	50	15.4	48.0	39.0
2	BANDULU QUEEN	1	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	34.1	21.5	10.5
5	SCHERZER	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	68.8	36.0	25.5
7	OUR FIRST LADY	7	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	50	50	29.0	38.2	25.7
1	BABI DREAMS	5	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	42	27.2	37.6	26.1

Unknown Running Style: DALE AVENUE (12/1) [Jockey: Davis Jacqueline A - Trainer: Breed Jr Ronald].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33700 Class Rating: 62

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 QUEENIE ROSE 4/1
# 6 DOLCE MARIE 7/2
# 7 DANCE DRAMA 9/2

QUEENIE ROSE looks to be a very strong contender. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 62 - of her last race. DOLCE MARIE - Demonstrates the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 53 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the strongest in this field. I like the jockey on this filly - very good chance to win the contest. DANCE DRAMA - Ran a sharp last race. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of competitive win percentage - 37 percent - at this distance & surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #7 - Post: 2:47pm - Maiden Special - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#3 NOISY ON THE BAY (ML=6/1)


NOISY ON THE BAY - This horse picks up a lot of cash per start. Tops in this event. That 57 fig this filly registered in her last race tells me she's a main player this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ZUMA (ML=3/1), #5 KINDRED HEARTS (ML=4/1), #6 OVERMUCH (ML=5/1),

ZUMA - Doesn't appear to have enough positive aspects to warrant the price. KINDRED HEARTS - Don't think that this filly has value at 4/1 this time around. OVERMUCH - I don't have a positive intuition about this steed in this clash.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - NOISY ON THE BAY - Gonzalez can give this filly patient handling. Should make a strong late move to win me some dough.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 NOISY ON THE BAY to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	3 with [6,7] with [6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	3 with [6,7,8,9] with [6,7,8,9] with [6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 55

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 LIQUOR CAT 3/1
# 3 DEB'S BLESSING 8/1
# 5 UNITED SISTER 4/1

LIQUOR CAT is the most respectable wager in this race. Handler boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface. Wiseman will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out early in this contest. Is a solid contender - given the 56 speed rating from her most recent race. DEB'S BLESSING - Has a very strong shot for this race if you like back class. I like the jock on this filly - very strong chance to win the contest. UNITED SISTER - Martin is trying to prove victorious with this entrant by bringing her back so soon. Have to bet on this filly with the solid earnings per start in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,100 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#5 I MATTER (ML=5/2)


I MATTER - Jockey hops right back on after getting to know the horse by riding in the last race. That's always a green light. This filly usually does her best running late. Look for her way back early in the race and cruising down the homestretch on the tiring speed horses. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a sharp effort is a good sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHAOLIN (ML=4/5), #6 MARKET OF STOCKS (ML=7/2),

SHAOLIN - Can't really bet on this kind of oft beaten favorite. MARKET OF STOCKS - Common speed figure last time around the track at Mountaineer Park at 1 mile. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #5 I MATTER to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 2	Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta/Daily Double (Races 2-3)/Pick 3 (Races 2-4) Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 1:23P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * OOCHIE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. SHEZA CAT: Horse has a TrackMas ter "+" designation or an "L" designation. MISS CHARGE IT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LEPRECHAUN CHARM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. OLD SCHOOL FLASH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 3 0 days.
7	OOCHIE	7/2	6/1
2	SHEZA CAT	4/1	7/1
4	MISS CHARGE IT	5/2	7/1
5	LEPRECHAUN CHARM	5/1	7/1
6	OLD SCHOOL FLASH	6/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	LEPRECHAUN CHARM	5	5/1	Stalker	55	55	48.8	45.2	37.2
6	OLD SCHOOL FLASH	6	6/1	Stalker	62	53	36.2	44.4	37.4
7	OOCHIE	7	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	81	72	50.8	25.2	14.7
2	SHEZA CAT	2	4/1	Trailer	65	57	15.4	52.4	48.4
1	ANGEL AND ME	1	8/1	Trailer	64	55	15.4	51.2	42.7
4	MISS CHARGE IT	4	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	63	55	43.8	46.6	41.6
3	MAVE RUNNER	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	56	52	42.8	36.4	23.4

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - SO - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 21, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 CLUBHOUSE SAINT 5/1
# 1 CITYONTHENILE 6/5
# 6 TOOTIE 6/1

I back CLUBHOUSE SAINT here. Reason to like this mare as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. Recorded a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. CITYONTHENILE - Should best this group of horses here, showing very good figs of late. Has quite good early speed and ought to fare well against this group. TOOTIE - Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. In the upper half of earnings per start at the distance/surface in this lot.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 14 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$25000 - OPEN HANDICAP POST POSITIONS 1 & 2 ASSIGNED BALLY`S DOVER DRIVER CHOICES: ANTHONY MORGAN 2 OVER 8.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 CRYSTAL FASHION 5/2
# 3 JL CRUZE 7/2
# 2 MUSCLE DYNASTY 8/1

The pick in this contest is CRYSTAL FASHION. Could be the most favorable in the pack here, showing respectable numbers of late. Avg speed is a solid 93. This fine animal has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 93 avg class figure. Should play well in this event. Is a huge choice given the 90 speed rating from his most recent race. JL CRUZE - That 90 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the last competition puts this standardbred in the mix for this one. Win statistic for this driver-conditioner is a sparkling 25 percent - magnificent chance. MUSCLE DYNASTY - This race could be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will verify that. This fine animal looks very good considering the high class markings. Don't throw out of any exotics.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
1	1	SOMEWHEREINVERONA	7/2	Smith, Jeremy - 22	565.92
5	5	M AMADEUS	5/2	Miller, Brett - 13	540.95
6	6	JK'S CHAMP	6/1	Hanners, Austin - 6	522.33
8	8	BIG BOOTY RUDY	8/1	Noble, Dan - 17	505.14
3	3	HC COMMANDER	9/2	Smith, Tyler - 12	501.48
2	2	MEDOLAND BOSA	12/1	Presley, Chris - 12	498.77
4	4	ROCKIN DADDY O	8/1	Smith, Trevor - 6	482.84
7	7	IDEAL FUNDING N	12/1	Widger, Sam - 11	473.51
9	9	KING'S CRUISER	10/1	Page, Chris - 19	454.38

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 10
4	4	PRESTON YOUR LUCK	3/1	Devaux, Jim - 20	463.42
2	2	WELL'S FIRE	5/1	Cushing, Mitchell - 10	450.19
1	1	MIKI DE VIE	2/1	Long, Chris - 10	448.49
5	5	WOODROW F CALL	4/1	Beckwith, Brett - 16	429.00
3	3	PRAIRIE FENWAY	10/1	Dobson, Billy - 14	416.00
7	7	STAGE WEST	6/1	Chartrand, Alek - 8	394.58
6	6	HOT ON THE TRAIL	12/1	Cross, Brian - 6	381.08

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Post: 8:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$16000 - NW $10,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OF THE BASE CLASS NW $10,000 L5 IN LAST START NE AE: WINNERS IN LAST START OF THE BASE CLASS NW $7,500 L5

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 JIMMY CONNOR B 3/1
# 7 SPEED MAN N 5/2
# 1 KING JAMES EXPRESS 6/1

Hey, listen up! JIMMY CONNOR B is the knowledgeable bet if you like to win. Cannot put a finger on it, but love this gelding for a play. Could dominate this group of horses, just look at the speed rating - 88 - from his last effort. A very good play in here as he has one of the highest winning percentages in the group of animals as well as magnificent credentials all around. SPEED MAN N - He's running in good form, recording sharp TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent pick. This horse has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 93 average class figure. Should play well in this event. KING JAMES EXPRESS - Harness players love to play the driver of this gelding - great win stat recently. He has competitive class ratings, averaging 90. Worth considering for a bet this time.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Post: 8:12 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$10000 - NON WINNERS 4 PARI-MUTUEL RACES OR $30,000 LIFETIME. AE: N/W 7 PM RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME CLAIMING PRICE $30,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 TIDE HAS TURNED 7/5
# 7 DCROCKINMOONDANCER 9/2
# 2 JAY SEASIDE 5/1

Feel pretty confident putting some green stuff down on TIDE HAS TURNED. The consortium saw this horse's name in a book. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. The consortium noted a sharp affair out of this contender last time. Looking for a repeat of that to end up in the winner's circle. This race horse will be greatly helped with Lake taking the reins. 20 percent winners over the last 30 days. DCROCKINMOONDANCER - He's competing in good form, recording clear-cut TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent selection. This entrant looks tough considering the high class numbers. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. JAY SEASIDE - The handicapping team gives this nice horse a great chance to win this one, class figures are tops in the group of animals.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 8
2	2	GROOVY MAN	8/1	Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 14	465.09
4	4	ONLYTHETUFFSURVIVE	4/1	Taggart, Jim Jr - 19	459.84
6	6	ATLANTIS	5/2	Merton, Michael - 21	455.32
5	5	YANKEE ON THE MOVE	7/2	Merton, Gregory - 28	455.13
3	3	POPPY DRAYTON N	5/1	Parker, Brandon - 11	435.36
7	7	CAVIART SKIPPER	9/2	Sowers, Mcgwire - 12	397.28
1	1	WEONA SIZZLER A	6/1	Merton, Thomas - 7	380.25