3-12-09

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:22 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Cajun Sports
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: Los Angeles Lakers +2.5

The AT&T Center will be the site of tonight’s Western Conference battle between the host San Antonio Spurs and the visiting Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers lost their last trip here 112 to 111 back on January 14th but they did avenge that loss by defeating the Spurs less than two weeks later at the Staples Center, winning by 14 points. In the Lakers loss here the Spurs shot better than 57 percent from the floor and we do not expect that type of shooting performance from the host tonight. The Spurs will be without Manu Ginobili in tonight’s game as he is suffering from an injured right leg and they want him to be at 100 percent for the playoffs so they are not taking any chances with his health at this point. For the Lakers Pau Gasol was awarded the Western Conference Player of the Month Award for February. A Lakers player had won the award the previous two months but that was Kobe Bryant winning those, a two pronged offensive attack from the Lakers makes defending them even more difficult as evidenced by their conference leading record. The Lakers are 21-9 ATS when installed as an underdog and a perfect 5-0 ATS as a road dog coming off a road game. The Spurs are 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a win percentage > 70 percent the last 2 seasons. Play ON NBA teams facing a conference rival after playing at least their last two games on the road and a line range of pk-2.5 points, 24-4 ATS their last 28 qualifying games. If our Play ON team is an underdog their record is 31-13 ATS and if they have a line range of pk-2.5 points their record is 7-1 ATS this season. We will take the points here as the Lakers get the straight up win in San Antonio on Thursday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Los Angeles Lakers 108 San Antonio Spurs 101

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:22 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Craig Trapp

NC State vs. Maryland
Play: Maryland -1.5

Maryland has created a tough spot for themselves with an unexplainable loss to end the regular season. The loss at Virginia puts them under 500 in the ACC at only 7-9. Maryland most likely needs to win a minimum of two games to feel confident about their chances come Selection Sunday. Greivis Vasquez is the key to this team when he scores over 20 points and also is getting others involved Maryland can beat anyone. But when teams take him away they can lose to anyone. NC State lost by 11 earlier this year to Maryland in a game that Maryland really dominated. NC State has 4 players in double figures and don't rely on one player to carry them. Spreading the scoring around is a good thing but unfortunately they don't really have a go to player come the end of games. NC State lost a ton of close games this year with no leader or players stepping up to take and make the big one. Motivation for this team might be a problem and if they get down early they might just quit. Betting Trends: Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NC State have not beat Maryland ATS in the last 5 meeting and Maryland is in a must win game. Spells trouble for the Wolfpack and a blowout is a high probability in this one. SCORE MAR 76 - NCST 61

USC vs. California
Play: California -1.5

The PAC 10 conference overall has had a disappointing year. Most experts had USC as a definite NCAA tourney team in the preseason but not many picked CAL as one. CAL has outplayed all expectations and Coach Montgomery has shown why so many saw him as a top Coach while he was at Stanford. Both teams could really use this win and this game will probably be a very physical match up.

Even scoring has been the key for a big improvement at CAL this year, led by guard Jerome Randle averaging over 17 points and 4 assists a game. Coach Montgomery has brought his success that he had at Stanford over to the Bears. A year ahead of time this team will make the big dance as most likely a #7 seed.

USC has played tough defense all year and most games dominate the glass also. But in almost every loss they have struggled on the offensive end. Poor and inconsistent outside shooting has really let them down in some key games this year. Most likely need 2 wins to have any chance of making the big dance.

Recent Trends:

Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Head to head Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Talent between these teams is pretty close and maybe USC is a little more athletic. This game is going to be won in a close one and the team that comes with better effort will win this game. Coach Montgomery has proven that his games win the game they are supposed to win so we are going to take CAL. SCORE CAL 69 - USC 62

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:23 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Nelly

Providence + over Louisville

Providence was a little flat in the opening game yesterday but you can blame Cincinnati for that. All week Providence prepped for a critical match-up with the Bearcats that would improve its NCAA candidacy but DePaul pulled out the upset and plans changed. The Friars had less time to prepare for DePaul and also could have looked past the Blue Demons towards this game. Providence got things together in time to close out the win but it was not its best performance and certainly did not deserve the cover they nearly stole. This should be a much better effort as this is the game they wanted all along, as it offers a legitimate ticket to the Big Dance. Louisville won the Big East and earned the top spot in this tournament but few would argue the Cardinals are the best team in the conference. Louisville drew one of the easiest schedules in the behemoth league, playing Pitt and Connecticut once each at home and the late season win streak did not feature many impressive wins and the best two wins came by very slim margins. The final score says that Louisville won by 18 against Providence in the regular season but the Friars led at halftime and this will be a much less favorable venue for Louisville. Providence actually won the rebounding battle and had a lot of opportunities in that game but Louisville simply had a hot shooting game. The comfort level for Providence should be strong having played at Madison Square Garden already and playing in the early time slot yesterday while Louisville is more likely focused on the talk of earning a potential #1 seed and could easily look past a pretty solid Providence squad. Take the points and expect an underwhelming effort from the Cardinals as Providence is by far the superior offensive team.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:23 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Great Lakes Sports

Kent State vs Buffalo
Play: Kent State

The Kent State Golden Flashes are coming off a thrill last Tuesday beating Northern Illinois and with a game under their belt we look for the Kent State Golden Flashes to be ready. The Kent State Golden Flashes is a very respectable 35-27 ATS in the role of a favorite the last three years, and the Golden Flashes is also a very solid 31-22 ATS when playing after a conference game the last three years. The Buffalo Bulls are a terrible 5-12 ATS off of a win vs a conference rival the last three years, and the Bulls are a terrible 19-30 ATS vs conference opponents the last three years. We look for the Kent State Golden Flashes to roll over the Buffalo Bulls in the quarter finals of this yearâ€™s Mid-American Conference Tournament for the ATS Win & Cover tonight.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:23 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Michael Cannon

Iowa +5 vs. Michigan, at Indianapolis, IN

Take the points with Iowa this afternoon in the first round of the Big Ten tournament.

The Hawkeyes are a much improved team and should be able to give the Wolverines a scare today. Iowa is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 overall, including an overtime win over Michigan at Iowa City on Feb. 22.

Iowa also plays tough defense, ranking 12th in the nation in scoring at 58.9 ppg.

Michigan relies so heavily on its perimeter game, but they are going to have a hard time finding open looks against the aggressive Iowa defense.

Jake Kelly has done a good job running the point in the absence of Jeff Peterson, who is day-to-day with a hamstring injury.

Take the points with Iowa as they stay within the number.

3? IOWA

Georgia vs. Mississippi State -9', at Tampa, FL

Take Mississippi State minus the points over Georgia in the first round of the SEC tournament.

Mississippi State has revenge motive for last year’s upset loss to the Bulldogs in the SEC tourney, and they should have an easy time winning and covering this line today.

That’s because Georgia ranked at the bottom of the conference in both scoring and field goal percentage, and they will be going against a Mississippi State team that’s allowing only 39 percent from the field on the year.

Mississippi State ended the regular season with back-to-back wins over Florida and Ole Miss and that momentum should carry over into today.

Georgia’s last seven losses have been by double-digits and I see no reason why that trend should change against the deeper, more talented Msu team.

Take Mississippi State minus the points as they grab the win and cover.

4? MISSISSIPPI STATE

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:23 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Matt Rivers

Pistons on Monday.

Cleveland State outright on Tuesday.

Colorado right here on Wednesday!

For Thursday let's make it four in a row by taking the points with the Georgia Bulldogs against Mississippi State.

I'm not at all asking history to repeat itself because it won't but I will grab this healthy sum with Terrance Woodbury and the Dawgs,

Sure UGA is clearly the weakest team in the SEC and it cost Dennis Felton his job but after the unreal SEC tournament championship run last season why not look for a little more lightning in a bottle here, or at least a semi competitive game from a still big-time athletic program in a neutral site!?!?!?

It's not like Mississippi State has been all that this season at all. These Bulldogs lost Jamont Gordon and others from last season's team and have been fairly mediocre overall. Granted mediocre is better than Georgia, there is no denying that, but besides Jarvis Varnado swatting balls away in the middle I'm really not all that concerned with much else State has to offer. These guys come in on a two game winning streak but dropped five of six before those last two victories and were fairly awful during that recent stretch.

Georgia in the SEC is similar (but even a little better) to how DePaul was in the Big East and we all saw how the Blue Demons whacked Cincinnati. UGA downed Florida and just won at Rupp against Kentucky. Sure I'll take these points!

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:23 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Iowa +5.5
3 units on Maryland -1.5
3 units on Boston College -4.5
3 units on Bowling Green -2
3 units on Arizona +4

Free Pick Utah -10

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:24 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Insider Sports Report

4* Bowling Green -2 over Ohio
Range: -.5 to -4

3* Maryland -1.5 over N. Carolina St.
Range: Pk to -3.5

3* California -1.5 over U.S.C.
Range: +.5 to -3.5

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:24 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Clemson -9.5 over Georgia Tech

2 UNIT PLAYS

Ole Miss +6.5 over Kentucky

Arizona/ Arizona State Over 131.5

1 UNIT PLAY

Miami -3 over Virginia Tech

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 09:24 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Scott Delaney

Take San Diego State, as it will go into the Thomas and Mack Center and deflate Las Vegas for the next few days, by knocking Sin City's beloved Runnin Rebels from tournament existence.

UNLV has shown signs of offensive fatigue all season, and truthfully has been the most inconsistent of the upper echelon in this conference. But it's not the Rebels' fault the Aztecs will be so motivated ... blame Cleveland State.

With the Vikings' win over Butler in the Horizon League final, it meant an at-large bid was stolen from one bubble team, and many believe that would be San Diego State.

That being said there's plenty of motivation for San Diego State to roll into Vegas and knock off Lon ******'s bunch, which has a road win at Louisville to its credit. By doing that, the Aztecs raise one eyebrow of the Selection Commmittee. And ensuing win raise the other eyebrows and just a trip to the Mountain Finals could get them back in the mix for a tournament berth.

Take the road underdog in this one, as the Aztecs knock UNLV from the tournament being held in its own house.

SAN DIEGO STATE

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 10:23 AM

Re: 3-12-09

BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Thursday

NCAA Basketball

100* Play Buffalo (+1.5) over Kent State (NCAA)

Kent State is 1-9 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days
Kent State is 0-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court
Kent State is 2-10 ATS after playing two games as a favorite

100* Play San Diego State (+4) over UNLV (NCAA)

UNLV is 0-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 3-9 ATS coming off an UNDER the total this season
UNLV is 0-5 ATS over the last 5 games

100* Play NC State (+2) over Maryland (NCAA)

NC State is 10-3 ATS as an underdog this season
NC State is 17-6 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997
NC State is 7-2 ATS over the last 9 games

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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play LA Lakers (+2) over San Antonio (NBA)

30* Play Montreal (-275) over NY Islanders (NHL)

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 10:53 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Billy Coleman:
4* BC

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 10:53 AM

Re: 3-12-09

KELSO March Madness Basketball Package

4 Units
Arizona (+4) over Arizona State

3 Units
Utah State (-10) over Fresno State

5 Units
Providence (+10) over Louisville

**Mr. IWS** · 03-12-2009, 10:53 AM

Re: 3-12-09

Savannah Sports

CBB Basketball
3 Units on Kansas St +4.5
3 Units on Virginia Tech +3.5

3-12-09

3-12-09

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