Saturday 12/2/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Post: 6:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$9000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 - $12,500 PP`S DRAWN ACCORDING TO BASE PRICE POST POSITIONS 1-5 - DRAWN POST POSITIONS 6-7 - DRAWN POST POSITION 8 - ASSIGNED POST POSITIONS 9-10 - DRAWN NJSO HORSES ELIGIBLE FOR 25% BONUS

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 10 RACING MONEY 3/1
# 7 SEE YOU FRIDAY 9/2
# 9 CHIEF OF STAFF 6/1

We've got a feeling RACING MONEY is going to get the win. Can't pass over based on TrackMaster SRs which have been top notch (84 avg) recently. Really good driver/handler, winning 28 percent of the time. Should be supported as a magnificent wager. SEE YOU FRIDAY - Some trainers just fit better with certain standardbreds. That seems to be the case in this race with Quevedo. A really strong bet. This nice horse recorded a respectable speed rating last time out. Looks fit to come right back. CHIEF OF STAFF - This fine animal will be greatly helped with Gingras controlling. 21 percent winners over the last 30 days. Been squaring off with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 84).

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 11 - Post: 8:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$10000 - ** THE CHARLIE HOFFMAN PACE ** 2ND LEG - N/W $20,000 OR $800 P/S IN 2023 AS OF OCT. 23

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 3 WAY TOO SWEET 6/5
# 8 YACHTSMAN 6/1
# 1 INITIAL CONCEPT 8/1

Hard not to back WAY TOO SWEET as the top choice in this contest. This outing may be controlled by this mare. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will confirm that. That 74 TrackMaster SR clocked in the last race puts this standardbred in the mix this time. Always tremendous driver/handler combo. 20 percent winners when they combine to do work. YACHTSMAN - He's competing in good form, recording sharp speed ratings. An excellent pick. This contender has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 81 average class stat. Should play well here. INITIAL CONCEPT - With one of the most competitive drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this gelding out of the competition. When the starter calls, harness racers starting out of the 1 slot have more wins than normal.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Hoosier Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 2
5	5	MIKE'S Z TAM	5/2	Ross, Jordan - 11	608.36
4	4	ESCAPETOTHEBEACH	7/2	Miller, Lewayne - 10	590.69
1	1	BIG CHIEF ARROW	6/1	Luna, Marvin - 12	581.77
3	3	TRUFFLE DOG	15/1	De Long, John - 16	579.58
6	6	DE LOS CIELOS DEO	8/1	Tetrick, Trace - 21	577.55
7	7	MUSTANG BEACH	5/1	Oosting, Michael - 11	573.03
2	2	VP ROCKIN	9/2	Wilfong, Kyle - 11	565.85

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 11 - Post: 11:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 89 - Purse:$18000 - NW $8,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $19,500 LAST 10 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000. AE: N/A $1,620 P/S IN 2023.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 10 THE GREEK FREAK 10/1
# 6 LAST BEACH 15/1
# 2 JOE DIMAGIO 5/1

Really keen on the chance of THE GREEK FREAK taking down the winner's share for this race and the morning line makes this a dynamite value wager. This gelding has been doing work versus some of the most competitive horses in this race recently. LAST BEACH - The panel of smart guys keenly points out that when Wallace trains this standardbred, the odds of finishing hitting the board go way up. If effort in the most recent outing is representative, this standardbred will have a very formidable shot in this contest. High last race speed fig. JOE DIMAGIO - Woodbine Mohawk Park has been playing to this solid standardbred's running style, we're looking for a substantial effort. A great play in here as he has one of the highest winning pcts in the group of animals as well as tremendous credentials all around.

[ConleyPicks]

TALKING HORSES
Saturday December 2, 2023
AQUEDUCT
Sara Elbadwi
Race 1 7 - 9 - 1 - 3
Race 2 7 - 6 - 1 - 3
Race 3 8 - 2 - 3 - 1
Race 4 1 - 3 - 7 - 8
Race 5 6 - 8 - 7 - 4
Race 6 5 - 3 - 6 - 8
Race 7 9 - 3 - 7 - 4
Race 8 7 - 5 - 2 - 6
Race 9 2 - 5 - 3 - 8
Race 10 5 - 3 - 7 - 2

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Saturday, December 2
by David Aragona

AQUEDUCT

Visit TimeformUS to view this card’s Highlight Horse and get PPs.

PICKS

Race 1: 7 - 9 - 5 - 1
Race 2: 1 - 7 - 6 - 5
Race 3: 3 - 2 - 1 - 5
Race 4: 5 - 8 - 3 - 1
Race 5: 7 - 6 - 8 - 4
Race 6: 2 - 3 - 5 - 8
Race 7: 4 - 2 - 3 - 5
Race 8: 2 - 5 - 7 - 6
Race 9: 5 - 2 - 3 - 7
Race 10: 3 - 7 - 12 - 2

FAIR VALUE PLAYS
(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)


RACE 3

Winit (#2) is clearly the horse to beat as he makes his second start off the layoff. He returned as a new gelding last time, and the change really seemed to have the desired effect, as he was more professional during the race. He broke better and traveled well throughout, but just couldn’t hold off the late rally for Castle Chaos. He should be fitter this time as Kimmel now elects to take the blinkers off, probably feeling that they’re no longer needed. He just has to relax enough to avoid getting pulled into another competitive pace scenario. No Burn (#1) is likely to show speed to his inside as he looks to get back on track off the layoff. He has plenty of races in his past that would make him highly competitive at this level, but he’s struggled with consistency over the past year. The good news is that he’s returning during a period when Oscar Barrera is in the midst of a hot streak, and I would be inclined to include him if he’s a fair price. My top pick is Trafalgar (#3). He makes his first start off the claim following a brief layoff for Linda Rice, who has excellent stats with this specific move. Over the past year, she is 17 for 39 (44%, $2.75 ROI) first off the claim with a layoff of 45 to 90 days on dirt. I liked this gelding’s last race at Churchill, where he made a relentless rally through traffic to win with a strong 111 TimeformUS Speed Figure. He showed talent as a younger horse, but ran into unfavorable circumstances through the middle of the season, getting the wrong trips on a few occasions then not caring for turf. He’s back in the right spot now, and might have upside for this new barn.

Fair Value:
#3 TRAFALGAR, at 5-2 or greater


RACE 4

There isn’t much dirt form to latch onto in this state-bred maiden claimer, so I’m happy to endorse a lightly raced second time starter. Seba M (#5) just appears to have found the right field as he stretches out for his second start. Jose Jimenez is 0 for 31 with first time starters, so this gelding had a right to need his debut sprinting. He actually showed some ability that day. He broke with the field, but was slow into stride and dropped far behind in the early stages. He raced greenly past the half-mile pole, appearing to drift out before commending a rally. He started to advance while wide on the turn and was finishing best of all through the stretch before galloping out with good interest. Furthermore, he was against a rail bias that seemed to carry along the first and third-place finishers. Based on the visual of his debut, I don’t mind the stretch-out to a mile, and he wouldn’t have to improve much to beat this field.

Fair Value:
#5 SEBA M, at 5-2 or greater


RACE 5

Some speed is expected to scratch out of this race, since Kingdom ran on Friday. However, there still is ample pace in here with Screw Loose, Mandatory, Vodka Mardini and others all looking to show early speed. A fast pace would be just fine for favorite Brooklyn Diamonds (#6), who makes another attempt at this starter allowance condition after falling a nose short in October. He’s been in great form since the claim by Linda Rice, and just seems to fit this race well. The only drawback is that his form is now exposed, so you’re not going to get much of a price on this logical contender. American Law (#8) has been knocking on the door at this level and was flattered when the horse who defeated him last time, Colonel Vargo, returned to win against a tougher field in his next start. However, this 5-year-old is tough to endorse as a win candidate given his 9 second-place finishes to go along with this one career victory. If the pace completely falls apart, Stjames (#4) would benefit, but he’s another that’s a little tough to trust to get the job done. He’s just 1 for 17 in his career, and really should have won last time when he got a great setup at this level. I think this is a tougher field. My top pick is Cloud Forest (#7), who seems to be coming around since the claim by Ray Handal. It took this guy a while to break his maiden, but he didn’t run as badly as it might look in his first start for the new barn back in September. He got outrun in the early stages and couldn’t make up much ground while attempting to close into a slow pace. He showed more of his typical tactical speed last time and got the job done against maiden special weight foes. He now takes advantage of his starter eligibility, and should work out a good trip sitting in behind the speed. Ray Handal is 7 for 38 (18%, $2.77 ROI) with last-out maiden winners on dirt over 5 years.

Fair Value:
#7 CLOUD FOREST, at 5-1 or greater


RACE 6

It’s pretty obvious that Overstep (#3) will be tough for this field to beat if he returns with an effort as good as his last race prior to the layoff. He earned a career-best 116 TiemformUS Speed Figure beating a strong field of New York-breds, and isn’t really encountering a tougher field despite moving into open company. Yet this lightly raced 4-year-old has had trouble staying on the racetrack. He was off for 15 months prior to returning earlier this year, and now he’s been away for over 9 months since his last race. Todd Pletcher is known for excelling with these types, and while he does have a solid 25% win rate with horses returning from 180 to 360 day layoffs in dirt sprints, the ROI is just $1.44. The biggest asset for the favorite might be his early speed, since the TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a scenario favoring frontrunners. The horse shown pressing him on the Pace Projector is Dark Vector (#8), one of two Linda Rice trainees in here. This horse showed ability earlier in the season, but he’s never really developed since then, and had little excuse to lose a weaker race last time after working out a good trip. I much prefer the other Linda Rice runner Power Seeker (#2), who exits the same Oct. 26 race at Keeneland. Both of these horses are claims, and Linda Rice has done exceptionally well with this move. Over the past year, she is 28 for 63 (44%, $2.94 ROI) with horses first off the claim on dirt, who are also racing at a different track than their prior start. That partially captures how well she has done with her claims from Kentucky, and this runner was picked up at the recent Keeneland meet. Power Seeker arguably should have won that last race, since he was reined in after trying to show speed, and was closing best of all into a slow pace, with all blue color-coded fractions in TimeformUS. I think he can do better second off the layoff, and I like the confident placement by Rice.

Fair Value:
#2 POWER SEEKER, at 4-1 or greater


RACE 7

Life Talk (#3) is obviously the class of this field, dropping out of a pair of Grade 1 events, including the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. She was hardly disgraced in those two stakes attempts despite settling for minor awards, and I thought she actually ran pretty well in the Breeders' Cup. She drew a wide post, and was always traveling in the 3 to 4-path, yet still stayed on for fourth behind likely champion Just F Y I. The stretch-out to 1 1/8 miles isn’t supposed to be a problem. The only drawback is that she’s never run a particularly fast speed figure, and she’s going to be a short price due to those company lines. There are a few closers drawn to the outside who merit consideration, but I’m a little concerned about the pace of this race. It seems likely that Caress will scratch, since she’s entered back on Sunday. That could create a situation that favors front-running types. Dolomite (#2) should sit a good trip from her inside post position, having shown tactical speed in sprints. Her debut is a lot better than it looks, since she was steadied on the backstretch and made a strong rally to finish second. The winner has since gone on to win a stakes. Dolomite won next time out by over 6 lengths with a modest speed figure. Yet that’s been a very productive race, from which multiple horses have returned to achieve improved speed figures. She might be better than she looks, and she has some pedigree to handle the stretch-out. My top pick is another recent maiden winner. Most of All (#4) has much to prove at this level, but she appears to be headed in the right direction after a slow start to her career. She just couldn’t keep up sprinting against a tough field on dirt first time out, and then failed to handle turf. Yet she started to put things together last time, easily breaking her maiden in an off the turf event. That 95 TimeformUS Speed Figure makes her competitive here, and she still has upside going longer, being bred to handle added ground. Her connections figure to make use of her early speed as she stretches out, and Bill Mott has good stats in this situation. He is 17 for 63 (27%, $2.34 ROI) with last-out maiden winners in dirt routes over 5 years.

Fair Value:
#4 MOST OF ALL, at 9-1 or greater
#2 DOLOMITE, at 7-1 or greater


RACE 9

I’m not really against the likely favorites in this Remsen, but I view it as a competitive affair where I didn’t really want to settle for short prices. Dornoch (#3) has to be considered the horse to beat off his impressive maiden victory at Keeneland, which earned a strong 111 TimeformUS Speed Figure. He’s proven around two turns, and he drew well towards the inside. He just has to avoid getting caught up in a fast pace, since there are multiple runners who want to attain forward early position. Some pace up front would suit the other horse likely to take money, Sierra Leone (#7). This expensive yearling purchase hinted at serious potential on debut, rating well in behind horses before producing a strong kick once angled out in the stretch. He covers a lot of ground and looks like one that should relish this 9-furlong distance. He just has to get faster in a race where most others have already earned significantly higher speed figures. I’m most interested in two alternatives. The other Chad Brown runner Domestic Product (#2) has already handled this distance, winning his second start with a powerful finish going 1 1/8 miles. He got a great trip that day, sitting on top of a moderate pace before sprinting home. Yet the effort earned a solid 105 TimeformUS Speed Figure, and he drew another good post position for this race. He had needed some education on debut and seems to be much more focused with the addition of blinkers. My top pick is another recent maiden winner. Drum Roll Please (#5) took a few races to break through, but he showed ability in his first two starts at Saratoga. He was never in a great spot in his debut sprinting in the slop, but really progressed to be second next time out behind impressive winner Locked. That rival has since proven to be one of the best 2-year-olds in the country, and Drum Roll Please chased him home gamely while 13 lengths clear of the rest. He regressed a bit from a speed figure standpoint to break his maiden last time, but I liked the way he battled back after getting headed in mid-stretch. He strikes me as one that should relish the added ground, and he figures to be a square price for a dangerous barn.

Fair Value:
#5 DRUM ROLL PLEASE, at 6-1 or greater
#2 DOMESTIC PRODUCT, at 9-1 or greater


RACE 10

I’m usually not inclined to pick the favorite in a competitive race, but I don’t think anyone can be that short a price in this wide open Cigar Mile. Senor Buscador (#3) just appears to fit this race perfectly. There is so much speed signed on, and he figures to get the setup he needs to produce his best effort. I do think he’s slightly better going shorter distances than the classic trips he’s been trying for much of this year, but I also am encouraged by the turnback to a one-turn event, where it’s easier to make that sustained rally from off the pace. He won his most recent one-turn race in the Ack Ack last year, and a repeat of that effort makes him highly competitive with this group, if not the horse to beat. Furthermore, I actually think he’s improved this year despite not catching ideal circumstances. He ran particularly well two back in the Awesome Again, closing well over a track that was playing to speed. I primarily want to use him with another closer, Three Technique (#7). This horse didn’t have much of a chance in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint, and he was also compromised two back when attempting to rally into a slow pace in this year’s Ack Ack. He usually runs well in these elongated one-turn events, and he was successful when shipped to the NYRA circuit over the summer. I’m not a big fan of the horses coming out of the Forty Niner. I question the quality of that race a bit, but I do respect Everso Mischievous (#2), who could vie for favoritism. He has to work out a trip in a race that features plenty of pace, but he usually shows up with a competitive performance and possesses the grit that’s required for this kind of race. I just don’t need to upgrade him at a short price. The longshot that I want to throw in somewhere is Pipeline (#12). His recent form leaves a lot to be desired, but we’ve seen Cherie DeVaux excel with trainer switches like this. He’s capable of competing with this group on his best day, and the one-turn mile distance is perfect for him. Perhaps he can work out a free-running trip from this outside post and stick around for a piece at a price.

Fair Value:
#3 SENOR BUSCADOR, at 3-1 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

By Brad Free
BEST BET: Program Trading (7th race)
Del mar

First Race
1. Kerry Gold 2. Andy Can U Hear Me 3. Talklessworkmore
Vastly improved KERRY GOLD will be tough in this Cal-bred allowance turf mile after two sharp wins from three recent turf routes at
Golden Gate. Purchased privately and transferred to SoCal trainer Peter Miller following his most recent win, 'GOLD enters as the
deserving choice. ANDY CAN U HEAR ME stretches back to the mile distance and Del Mar turf on which he scored a maiden win in
summer. His runner-up sprint last out was solid. TALKLESSWORKMORE was compromised by strategy last out. He lost ground with a
premature move on the far turn, made the lead in the lane, and tired. He has tried this Cal-bred N1X turf level six times, five times in the
money. WINE AND WHISKY is eligible to improve returning to grass. Both turf starts this summer in Northern California were highly
rated.

Second Race
1. Miss Commander 2. Unkept Secret 3. Ipanema Girl
MISS COMMANDER ran the best race of her career last out, runner-up in a similar maiden-20 sprint. If she repeats that effort, she can
handle this soft field. The challenge, however, is a post-position switch from the outside. She lost ground last out, but was always in the
clear. Now she breaks from an inside post (2 of 6). Uncertain if she will be as effective inside, but the additional furlong of this six and
one-half furlong race should be okay. UNKEPT SECRET, meanwhile, does not benefit by the longer distance. She shortened stride
noticeably last out, tiring to fourth in the same race as the top choice. Visually, it was not great. Based on her upper-50s figures, she fits.
IPANEMA GIRL returns to a sprint after finding two turns too far; LUCKY VEGAS is racing for the first time at the bottom class level,
with a 10-pound apprentice allowance.

Third Race
1. Lane Way 2. Daniel's Magic 3. Turn On The Jets
Although five furlongs is shorter than preferred for LANE WAY and improving DANIEL'S MAGIC, they nonetheless are the choices in
this turf stakes. LANE WAY ran well at this abbreviated trip in 2022. His only start at the distance this year was a comeback prep. He is
G2-placed, finished in the exacta eight of nine since being gelded, and has enough natural speed to be forwardly placed in a race with a
murky pace scenario. DANIEL'S MAGIC is compromised by pace and distance, but there is no denying his sharp form. He was gelded
early this year and enters off the two best performances of his career: N1X upset two back, open allowance upset last out. 'MAGIC will
rally late, possibly at a price. TURN ON THE JETS, winner of this stakes race last year and 3-for-4 going five furlongs at DMR, had a
tough trip last time. He finished third after being blocked on the turn and into the lane. He found clear sailing too late. A true horse-forcourse, 'JETS will roll from midpack. UNCONQUERABLE KEEN won the race in which TURN ON THE JETS had the trouble.

Fourth Race
1. Ghost of Midnight 2. Jefe de Obra 3. Disco Ball
Runner-up in a highly rated N1X sprint last out, lightly raced GHOST OF MIDNIGHT enters as the fastest in the field. He was no match
for $3.55 million colt Hejazi, but finished far clear of third and earned a figure close enough to par. The only DMR start by 'MIDNIGHT
was a decisive maiden-claiming win. JEFE DE OBRA is speed, making his second U.S. start after a runner-up finish at Keeneland. He ran
super in defeat. He dueled, shook off multiple pace rivals who finished nowhere, and got collared late. Three DMR workouts by 'OBRA
indicate he handles the surface; he could be gone. DISCO BALL, entered for the optional $40k claim tag, will keep the pace honest. His
last-out runner-up finish was exceptionally fast based on speed figures.

Fifth Race
1. Lady de Berry 2. Go With Gusto 3. Mo Fox Givin
LADY DE BERRY has much to prove jumping from maiden win to G3 turf mile, but this 2yo filly stakes was won three of the last four
years by last-start maiden winners. Chad Brown trains 'BERRY, who improved second time out moving to turf. She won a Keeneland
maiden route going away. The lightly raced filly is expected to continue her upward pattern; her figure suggests she won't need much
improvement to handle these. GO WITH GUSTO had a compromising trip finishing second against boys in a Breeders' Cup undercard
stakes. She was blocked into the lane, remained blocked to the middle of the stretch, then finished well inside. Good effort by 'GUSTO,
whose previous start was a third vs. boys in a G1 at Woodbine. This is her first start against fillies, she switches to jockey Tyler Gafflione
and looms a contender from off the pace. MO FOX GIVIN finished third in the BC undercard race; she ran super. She lost ground fourwide early, pressed the pace to deep stretch, then got swallowed in a race dominated by late-runners. 'GIVIN was the only front-runner to
stick around. She is likely to adopt a more effective strategy this time. Look for her to take back, and rally late. CIRCLE OF TRUST might
be listed too low; her maiden "win" (disqualified and placed second) was solid.

Sixth Race
1. Imagination 2. Tapalo 3. British Isles
IMAGINATION stretches to a maiden dirt route following a creditable runner-up debut. He did not break well, chased his winning
stablemate, and finished more than four clear of third. Two turns should be fine; he is a sibling to G3 route winner Occult. TAPALO
stretches out with two sprints under his belt. He is moving up in class to maiden special-weight after a runner-up finish in a restricted
maiden race, but he could be the speed of the field. BRITISH ISLES, stablemate to the top choice, is supposed to be better than the
double-digit defeats his first two starts. One more chance at two turns? Sired by Justify, he is a sibling to G1 route winner Eight Rings.

Seventh Race
1. Program Trading 2. Redistricting 3. Webslinger
East Coast shippers get top billing in the G1 Hollywood Derby: class-proven PROGRAM TRADING and upset candidate
REDISTRICTING. The call is the class. PROGRAM TRADING won a G1 in summer at Saratoga to go three-for-three, then ran even
better next out for second in a highly rated G3 at Colonial Downs. 'TRADING was used early from the outside, chased a fast pace, and got
worn down. The race was productive: winner Integration crushed a G2 next out; third place Runway Storm won a G3 next out. The main
foe for 'TRADING is lightly raced stablemate REDISTRICTING, who has an alibi for his one defeat from three starts. He lost a shoe
finishing far back in the G1 Belmont Derby. He returned with a decisive N1X allowance win designed as a prep for this race. Unproven
against top company in the afternoon, he reportedly trains in the morning like a top horse. Brown won this G1 race three of the last five
years he had a runner. WEBSLINGER is the top horse out of the G2 Twilight Derby at Santa Anita. He finished third, but was best
considering ground loss. He was four- and five-wide the far turn, finished super, and missed by a half-length. He ran better than winner
SEAL TEAM and runner-up SILVER KNOTT, who are both in this field. WEBSLINGER, in his previous start, finished second to top
choice PROGRAM TRADING.

Eighth Race
1. Des Doigts 2. Salsation 3. Eligio
DES DOIGTS should be tough in this dirt starter for 2yos, returning to the DMR track on which he won a maiden-claiming race by more
than eight lengths in summer. He was subsequently overmatched three starts (two stakes, N1X allowance), but is back where he fits and a
potential pacesetter in a sprint with little true speed. Come catch him. SALSATION also gets class relief after finishing tenth in a $175k
Cal-bred stakes. He placed in a $75k stakes at Albuquerque two back, and ran well at DMR in summer. Similar to the top choice, he has
enough gas to be forwardly placed. ELIGIO misfired last out at Santa Anita, but his runner-up finishes twice over the DMR track in
summer give him a look. He is still a maiden, but that is no big deal at this level. His speed figures in summer make him a contender.

Ninth Race
1. Sea Dancer 2. Pink Whitney 3. Muri
SEA DANCER drops into a maiden race after finishing midpack in a $487k stakes at Kentucky Downs. A sibling to stakes winner
Johannes, 'DANCER gets Flavien Prat for her California debut and enters as arguably the "best horse" in this turf mile for maiden fillies.
PINK WHITNEY produced the best finish of her career last out, third with a final quarter-mile in :23.15 over this course. All three DMR
turf starts at one mile were decent. First-time starter MURI has a pedigree and connections that command respect. The filly is a sibling to
2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf winner Aunt Pearl; trainer Michael McCarthy is 4-for-8 this year with debut 2yos in turf routes.
GOLDEN GHOST is speed, running for the first time on "firm" after fading in a pair of maiden races on slow courses labelled "good." She
might be the one to catch, and might be listed too low.

[ConleyPicks]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 2, 2023
Dec. 01, 2023

Race 7 at Del Mar | Saturday December 2 | Post Time 6:25 PM Eastern

Hollywood Derby – Grade 1 | Purse $300,000 | One Mile and One Eighth on Turf |Three Year Olds


Analysis and top win contenders:

Among the four horses which were separated by a total of one-half length in a blanket finish four weeks ago in the identical Twilight Derby (at Santa Anita), the horse likely to go to post at the highest odds is Reiquist (3) because the public normally always weights on finishing position but sometimes on other factors as well. Twilight Derby third place finisher Webslinger (5) opens at 3 to 1, higher odds than the winner of that race Seal Team (9), who opens at 5 to 1 and higher odds than Twilight Derby runner-up Silver Knott (1) at 6 to 1. Webslinger will likely go to post at the lowest odds of the quartet because of his visually impressive 10th to third rally in the last eight of a mile, as well as the fact he won the American Turf Stake son Derby day this past May as well as missed by a head in the similar Saratoga Derby, which was won by Program Trading (8), and who opens as the 9 to 5 starting favorite.

As you can see, there are commonalities among many of these, and that’s why a horse like Reiquist (3) is going to go unnoticed by some bettors, making him the one we need to look at first when considering our win bets. The colt has done little wrong since moving to turf three races ago. He finished second at a mile on this turf course in August then was moved up to first when the winner was disqualified. He was just 10 to 1 odds in the Del Mar Derby in September off that maiden win, but had a big traffic issue in the stretch to lose any chance. Showing up two months later in the Twilight Derby, Reiquist ran huge, stalking in fourth until the field turned for home, then battling between horses to be second in the stretch, and finally fighting hard all the way to the wire and ending up fourth but just a half-length from the winner and two noses from the runner-up. Ramon Vasquez rides back and as the colt is making his second start off a two month layoff has every chance to improve and turn the tables on the three horses which finished in front of him just four weeks ago.

Webslinger (5) shows up every time he’s run, with a 3-2-2 record in eight races this year and nearly three-quarters of a million in earnings this year alone. He ran on from 12th of 13 in the Twilight Derby, into the same kind of moderate pace he’s going to see here, and passed seven horses in the late stages. Prior to that he rallied from seventh of eight to lead in the stretch before just being run down late by Program Trading. There’s no doubt Webslinger has what it takes to win, but he may not have the odds it takes to bet as in this very deep and talented field 3 to 1 (his starting odds) or less may mean the only way to profit from him running well I son exacta tickets.

Seal Team (9) won the Twilight Derby with a nice rally from eighth to fifth to the front, running the best race of his career. Rispoli rides back and the colt’s last eight of a mile in that race was 11.7, second only to Webslinger’s 11.3. The outside post isn’t really a disadvantage since he comes from far back, and in spite of winning an identical race four weeks ago his staring odds of 5 to 1 mean he must be considered for win bets.

The opposite is true of Program Trading (8), who opens at 9 to 5 and similar to Webslinger is a poor win bet anywhere near those odds. He’s a top turf horse in the division though, having won the first three starts of his career including the Saratoga Derby, before making the lead late in the Virginia Derby then run down in the last 16. However, the horse that beat him, Integration, is arguably the TOP three year old horse in the North American sophomore turf division, having won the Hill Prince Stake at Aqueduct in his next start, the LIKELY reason trainer Chad Brown avoided that race and sent Program Trading to California. That being said, he’s as good as, and as likely as, the other three main contenders, and at those low odds we must go looking elsewhere for win bets.

Bets:

Win: We should absolutely consider Reiquist (3) and Seal Team (9) for win bets at odds of 3 to 1 or more.

Exactas:

Box Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9)

For extra value: Reiquist (3) over ALL and also (the opposite) ALL over Reiquist (3)

Optionally, we can key on the two higher odds horses as follows:

Reiquist (3) and Seal Team (9) over Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9)

and also

Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9) over Reiquist (3) and Seal Team (9)

Trifectas:

Reiquist (3) and Seal Team (9) over Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9) over Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9)

and also

Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9) over Reiquist (3) and Seal Team (9) over Reiquist (3), Webslinger (5), Program Trading (8) and Seal Team (9)

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - December 2
Dec. 01, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 70% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET

BEST BET: #9 BIG PRANKSTER

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-5 9 Big Prankster R Silvera
PLACE 3-1 7 Liberty Central J A Gomez
SHOW 8-1 2 Perno L Saez
WILD CARD 8-1 3 Hair On Fire K Carmouche

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 8 Solo Empire J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Doc Sullivan D Davis

* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX


RACE #2 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Ignite the Light E Cancel
PLACE 5-1 8 Cool Operator M Franco
SHOW 6-1 1 El Capi J A Gomez
WILD CARD 9-2 5 Hop Sing L Saez

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 King Mendelssohn J Alvarado
ALTERNATE 2 4-1 4 Conquest Warrior K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX


RACE #3 $92,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:52 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 8 Set Sail J Alvarado
PLACE 7-2 3 Trafalgar J L Ortiz
SHOW 12-1 6 Synthesis J Lezcano
WILD CARD 5-2 2 Winit K Carmouche

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Gilded Age L Saez
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Bourbon Calling M Franco

* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX


RACE #4 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET

BEST BET: #8 KING FREUD

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 8 King Freud R Silvera
PLACE 7-2 3 Drinking Solo M Franco
SHOW 9-2 5 Seba M J A Gomez
WILD CARD 5-1 7 Neptune Beach J Lezcano

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Blue Marble L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 In a Minute K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX


RACE #5 $55,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:48 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Brooklyn Diamonds J Lezcano
PLACE 9-2 8 American Law L Saez
SHOW 8-1 10 Vodka Mardini J L Ortiz
WILD CARD 5-1 1A Kant Beat the Rock I Castillo

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Mandatory R R Maragh
ALTERNATE 2 5-1 1 Kingdom O Hernandez Moreno

* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/8/10 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX


RACE #6 $90,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:17 PM ET

BEST BET: #3 OVERSTEP

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 2-1 3 Overstep I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE 5-1 5 Oceans Reserve J Castellano
SHOW 5-1 6 Rocco Strong K Carmouche
WILD CARD 8-1 2 Power Seeker J Lezcano

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Tetsu M Franco
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Fenwick J A Gomez

* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX


RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET

** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 DEMOISELLE STAKES GRADE II

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 10-1 2 Dolomite M Franco
PLACE 8-5 3 Life Talk I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW 9-2 9 Caldwell Luvs Gold L Saez
WILD CARD 12-1 6 Caress J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1 15-1 4 Most of All J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2 30-1 1 Cozee Rags J A Gomez

* EXACTA: 2,3/2,3,4,6,9
* TRIFECTA: 2,3/2,3,9/2,3,4,6,9

COMMENTS: LIFE TALKs last race was better than it looks on paper with better fractions despite a wide run. DOLOMITE might have the most upside in the field making just her third career start and her last was good enough to win here. CALDWELL LOVES GOLD has been a real consistent performer and might have some upside in her second route run. MOST OF ALL could be the one with the best chance to take the field wire to wire in a race with slowish frontrunners.



RACE #8 $200,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:17 PM ET

** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 GO FOR WAND STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 7 Good Sam I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE 2-1 6 Gerrymander J L Ortiz
SHOW 7-2 5 Tizzy in the Sky L Saez
WILD CARD 12-1 3 Venti Valentine M Franco

ALTERNATE 1 15-1 4 Know It All Audrey J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2 4-1 2 Dr B J Lezcano

* EXACTA: 6,7/3,4.5,6,7
* TRIFECTA: 6,7/5,6,7/3,4,5,6,7

COMMENTS: GOOD SAM increased her speed figure in every race after her debut. GERRYMANDER ran the highest last race speed figure by a wide margin and the same race would make this easy. TIZZY IN THE SKY improved her pace through the first half mile in her last and could be better here in the third up. VENTI VALENTINE has four wins and a third in five races at the distance.



RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET

** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 REMSEN STAKES GRADE II

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 7 Sierra Leone J L Ortiz
PLACE 6-1 8 Wheres Chris I Castillo
SHOW 10-1 9 Copper Tax K Carmouche
WILD CARD 5-2 3 Dornoch L Saez

ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Moonlight I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Drum Roll Please J Castellano

* EXACTA: 3,7,8,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7,8.9/7,8,9/3,4,7,8,9

COMMENTS: SIERRA LEONE had a troubled trip in his debut and still managed to make it look easy. WHERES CHRIS has two wins and third when he had to go five wide in his three races. COPPER TAX has five wins and a second in six career starts. DORNOCH really upped his game in the last start and has some of his best workouts between races.



RACE #10 $500,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET

** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500,000 CIGAR MILE STAKES GRADE II

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 2 Everso Mischievous C A Torres
PLACE 4-1 10 Accretive I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW 8-1 7 Three Technique J Castellano
WILD CARD 8-1 5 Dr Ardito M Franco

ALTERNATE 1 7-2 3 Senor Buscador J Alvarado
ALTERNATE 2 20-1 8 Offaly Cool A Adorno

* EXACTA: 2,5,7,10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,7,10/2,7,10/2,3,5,7,10

COMMENTS: EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS should be close to the front versus these and has some of the best late speed. ACCRETIVE ran better fractions in his second route run compared to his first and has one of his better workouts between starts. THREE TECHNIQUEs resume says he should be close to his best in the third start after a layoff. DR ARDITO is a half length from winning seven of his last nine races with jockey Manny Franco riding. Manny is on the mount today.

[ConleyPicks]

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - December 2
Dec. 01, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $7,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 6 War Tourist D L Parker
PLACE 5-2 7 Cced for Steph J A Guerrero
SHOW 5-1 3 Sweet Little Rose J Graham
WILD CARD 4-1 4 Cece Wave K Wellington

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Serenadingthemoon E Nieves
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Sum Charm J Riquelme

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX


RACE #2 $52,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

BEST BET: #2 WHIMSICALLY

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 2 Whimsically M Pedroza Jr.
PLACE 4-1 12 Way to Be Marie F Geroux
SHOW 8-1 13 Miss Harmonic C J Lanerie
WILD CARD 6-1 10 Purr Factor J Graham

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 14 Tempting Lady J A Torres
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Matching Energy R Gutierrez

* EXACTA: 2-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/12/13 BOX, 10/12/13 BOX


RACE #3 $75,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET

BEST BET: #5 CONCRETE GLORY

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 5 Concrete Glory R Santana Jr.
PLACE 4-1 3 Caramel Chip F Geroux
SHOW 9-2 8 Junior Bug F Arrieta
WILD CARD 15-1 4 Motion to Strike R Gutierrez

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 11 Beverly Park M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 12 Magic Castle J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX


RACE #4 $100,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-5 4 Samarita E Giles
PLACE 8-1 9 My Good Fortune C J Lanerie
SHOW 10-1 7 Hashtag Lucky R Gutierrez
WILD CARD 5-1 10 Pens Street F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Northern Diamond E Morales
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Choctaw Bingo F Geroux

* EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX


RACE #5 $150,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET

BEST BET: #7 PERHAPS TONIGHT

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 7 Perhaps Tonight E Morales
PLACE 9-2 2 Yankee Dollar J Loveberry
SHOW 8-1 3 Anatolian J Graham
WILD CARD 6-1 9 Swoonatra E Nieves

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Danas Beauty J A Torres
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Annies Song F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/9 BOX


RACE #6 $75,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 13 Proverb R Santana Jr.
PLACE 12-1 7 Toma Todo B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW 7-2 4 Time for Trouble J Graham
WILD CARD 15-1 1 Caseys Memory A Birzer

ALTERNATE 1 9-2 8 On a Spree R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2 20-1 10 Mau Mau J A Guerrero

* EXACTA: 13-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/13 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX


RACE #7 $150,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 2 Mischievous Rogue L Machado
PLACE 8-1 8 Atta Party A Suarez
SHOW 8-1 11 Cotton R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD 9-2 7 Bring Me a Check J Loveberry

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 13 Tough Charlie A Green
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Zoombie C J Lanerie

* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/11 BOX, 7/8/11 BOX


RACE #8 $100,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-5 9 Like a Saltshaker C A Emigh
PLACE 10-1 11 Richiesonaroll E Giles
SHOW 6-1 3 All West M Murrill
WILD CARD 9-2 8 Solidify Y Navas

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Startdfromdabottom E Morales
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Pure Panic L Machado

* EXACTA: 9-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/9/11 BOX, 3/8/11 BOX


RACE #9 $150,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-5 11 Therapist F Geroux
PLACE 9-2 9 Ocelot C J Lanerie
SHOW 30-1 12 Duke of Carthania M Murrill
WILD CARD 6-1 8 Tiberius Mercurius R Gutierrez

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Bizzee Channel J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 10 Leave It to Kitten L Machado

* EXACTA: 11-9 BOX, 9-12 BOX, 12-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/11/12 BOX, 8/9/12 BOX


RACE #10 $200,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 2 Money Supply J Loveberry
PLACE 3-1 3 Saqeel F Arrieta
SHOW 4-1 4 Kings Ovation R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD 7-2 5 Frosted Grace R Gutierrez

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 All West M Murrill
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Luigis Spirit C J Lanerie

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX


RACE #11 $53,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 5 Like This R Gutierrez
PLACE 9-2 6 Comanche Warrior J L Rodriguez
SHOW 7-2 12 Kings Lute C McMahon
WILD CARD 15-1 4 Tripple D Ruller A Birzer

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Malaki Empire J A Guerrero
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Gutzy M Pedroza Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/12 BOX, 4/6/12 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - December 2
Dec. 01, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:35 PM ET

BEST BET: #4 GRAN YACO

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 2-1 4 Gran Yaco D Centeno
PLACE 7-2 2 Peace Not War S Marin
SHOW 3-1 1 Arrow Speed C Olivero
WILD CARD 4-1 5 Dunedin Causeway A A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Remerton S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Everdoit H Villa-Gomez

* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX


RACE #2 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:12 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 1-1 1 Americas Vow C Marquez
PLACE 9-2 8 Copper Bound J C Ferrer
SHOW 3-1 7 U Lite Up My Life S Camacho
WILD CARD 12-1 5 Sofster A S Arroyo

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Princess Aleska J E Morelos
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Summer Flower M Iorio

* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX


RACE #3 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:42 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-1 2 Fleur Delacour E M Walker
PLACE 8-1 9 Fluffy S Camacho
SHOW 9-5 7 Destiny Star A S Arroyo
WILD CARD 3-1 6 Three Run Bolt J C Ferrer

ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Lucky and Gorgeous S Spanabel
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Bonita Diamond J A Batista

* EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX


RACE #4 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET

BEST BET: #5 BINGOS DREAM

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 5 Bingos Dream J A Vargas Jr.
PLACE 20-1 12 Ritz On Broadway I Villalobos
SHOW 3-1 9 Expecting a Winner S Camacho
WILD CARD 20-1 3 Panola G Maldonado

ALTERNATE 1 15-1 8 Miss Imelda A S Arroyo
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Obstreperous M Meneses

* EXACTA: 5-12 BOX, 12-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/9/12 BOX, 3/9/12 BOX


RACE #5 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:46 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 5 Trendy D Centeno
PLACE 6-1 8 Tourist Style S Spanabel
SHOW 9-2 10 Shes So Sexy S Camacho
WILD CARD 5-1 6 Kitten S Marin

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Alma Pura A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 13 Forty Miner M Meneses

* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/10 BOX, 6/8/10 BOX


RACE #6 $100,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-5 3 Chi Chi E Gonzalez
PLACE 2-1 6 Toupie J Ruiz
SHOW 4-1 4 Let Them Watch H R Diaz Jr.
WILD CARD 10-1 7 A Primera Vista C Cedeno

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Betsylicious S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2 30-1 8 Savanah Lady J E Morelos

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX


RACE #7 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:50 PM ET

BEST BET: #8 ZINGALES KING

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 6-1 8 Zingales King M J Sanchez
PLACE 4-1 10 City Leader D Centeno
SHOW 8-1 1 Spanish Pharoah A S Arroyo
WILD CARD 12-1 2 Attrayant J A Vargas Jr.

ALTERNATE 1 3-1 5 Mickey Shillelagh S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 12 Oishi S Marin

* EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/8/10 BOX, 1/2/10 BOX


RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 5 Sound of the Beast E Gonzalez
PLACE 9-2 4 Crazy Mason M J Sanchez
SHOW 9-5 8 Patriot Spirit S Camacho
WILD CARD 10-1 3 Sir Flash A S Arroyo

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Rathmore S Marin
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Sir Mi Tolee C Cedeno

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX


RACE #9 $53,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 10 Radiant Queen J Ruiz
PLACE 8-1 13 Stormy Disco C Cedeno
SHOW 2-1 5 Queens Fable S Camacho
WILD CARD 10-1 14 Victorias Dancer C Olivero

ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Frosted Victory V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Romantic Story H R Diaz Jr.

* EXACTA: 10-13 BOX, 13-5 BOX, 5-14 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/10/13 BOX, 5/13/14 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - December 2
Dec. 01, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET

BEST BET: #2 MARGOTS BOY

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 2 Margots Boy M Gutierrez
PLACE 4-1 4 Andy Can U Hear Me H I Berrios
SHOW 2-1 6 Kerry Gold F Prat
WILD CARD 5-1 1 Wine and Whisky J Torrealba

ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Talklessworkmore K Frey
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Mystic Flyer T Baze

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX


RACE #2 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET

BEST BET: #2 MISS COMMANDER

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-5 2 Miss Commander G Franco
PLACE 2-1 3 Unkept Secret J Valdivia Jr.
SHOW 5-1 4 Lucky Vegas J Mackay
WILD CARD 4-1 1 Ipanema Girl T Baze

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 California Diva D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Doozy J Torrealba

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX


RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-5 2 Lane Way M E Smith
PLACE 5-2 3 Turn On The Jets J J Hernandez
SHOW 4-1 1 Unconquerable Keen F Prat
WILD CARD 6-1 6 Daniels Magic T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 See Through It G Franco
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 8 Johnny Podres K Frey

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX


RACE #4 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET

BEST BET: #5 GHOST OF MIDNIGHT

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-5 5 Ghost of Midnight A Fresu
PLACE 4-1 4 Hard to Figure F Prat
SHOW 9-5 3 Jefe de Obra M E Smith
WILD CARD 4-1 6 Disco Ball R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Thirsty John J J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX


RACE #5 $100,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:26 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 8 Lady de Berry F Prat
PLACE 8-1 11 Zona Verde J J Hernandez
SHOW 4-1 9 Go With Gusto T Gaffalione
WILD CARD 6-1 6 Mo Fox Givin H I Berrios

ALTERNATE 1 20-1 10 Feisty Mitole E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 She Is Romantic A Fresu

* EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/11 BOX, 6/9/11 BOX


RACE #6 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-5 6 Imagination F Prat
PLACE 4-1 1 British Isles J J Hernandez
SHOW 5-1 5 Tapalo J Rosario
WILD CARD 8-1 7 Better Than Gold M E Smith

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Flight Way A Fresu
ALTERNATE 2 50-1 4 Mischief Moments A Aguilar

* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX


RACE #7 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-5 8 Program Trading F Prat
PLACE 5-1 9 Seal Team U Rispoli
SHOW 3-1 5 Webslinger T Gaffalione
WILD CARD 6-1 1 Silver Knott J P Spencer

ALTERNATE 1 20-1 2 Maltese Falcon J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Watsonville A Fresu

* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX


RACE #8 $45,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 5 Havoc F Prat
PLACE 7-2 4 Des Doigts E Hernandez
SHOW 5-1 2 Gentlemens Club D A Herrera
WILD CARD 4-1 8 Handsome Harry G Franco

ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Mr. Suds K Frey
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Mr. Dreamcycle S Kirrane

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX


RACE #9 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-1 13 Affair J Torrealba
PLACE 4-1 8 Golden Ghost T Gaffalione
SHOW 5-2 5 Sea Dancer F Prat
WILD CARD 8-1 2 Visually K Frey

ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Pink Whitney T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Ketonia A Fresu

* EXACTA: 13-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/13 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - December 2
Dec. 01, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET

BEST BET: #4 WRITTEN CONSENT

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 4 Written Consent P W Ouzts
PLACE 7-2 13 Gotham Gray A Cedillo
SHOW 8-1 14 Ancient Relic C J Hernandez
WILD CARD 4-1 6 Gold Oak J E Felix

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 11 Alter the Stars G Ashton
ALTERNATE 2 9-2 8 Roundbball G Corrales

* EXACTA: 4-13 BOX, 13-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/13/14 BOX, 6/13/14 BOX


RACE #2 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 10-1 14 Valerie Blue J Padron-Barcenas
PLACE 10-1 4 Twilight Sonata A Beschizza
SHOW 5-1 10 R Queen Candy G Corrales
WILD CARD 15-1 8 Rose Darling J Elliott

ALTERNATE 1 7-2 6 Fly High Birdie F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2 5-1 1 West Coast Song A Cedillo

* EXACTA: 14-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/10/14 BOX, 4/8/10 BOX


RACE #3 $10,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET

BEST BET: #11 RED PIXIE

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 11 Red Pixie G A Martinez
PLACE 10-1 12 Honeybell T Canuto
SHOW 3-1 5 Kings Legacy A Concepcion
WILD CARD 8-1 9 Harveys Princess A Cedillo

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Renaissance S Pauly
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Dash of Simplicity O Mojica

* EXACTA: 11-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/11/12 BOX, 5/9/12 BOX


RACE #4 $5,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-1 9 K W Captain Hook P W Ouzts
PLACE 4-1 11 No Angel T Conner
SHOW 5-1 6 Crankshaft A Cedillo
WILD CARD 5-1 5 Upbeat Melody M Garcia

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 7 Takafumi R Miranda
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 14 Celtic Mischief J McKee

* EXACTA: 9-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/9/11 BOX, 5/6/11 BOX


RACE #5 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 5 Chiron J Elliott
PLACE 5-2 4 Magistrate G Corrales
SHOW 3-1 8 Life At Sea A Cedillo
WILD CARD 12-1 6 Presider F De La Cruz

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Giovannino W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 My Friend Louie D Cannon

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX


RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 4 Marissas Lady R Bejarano
PLACE 5-1 2 Quaria Comet J Talamo
SHOW 5-1 6 Bling M Garcia
WILD CARD 6-1 10 Train to Artemus A Cedillo

ALTERNATE 1 20-1 7 Arties Princess T Conner
ALTERNATE 2 20-1 5 Baby No Worries W A Rodriguez

* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX


RACE #7 $10,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 6-1 7 Sweet Baby Ray J McKee
PLACE 7-2 5 Three Coins V Lebron
SHOW 8-1 10 Ziggzappa W A Rodriguez
WILD CARD 8-1 12 Oh Pollyanna J D Ramos

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 14 Megans Noel J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 9 Jacks Summer F Peterson

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 5/10/12 BOX


RACE #8 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 10:25 PM ET

BEST BET: #1 JUST SAY WHEN

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 1 Just Say When A Concepcion
PLACE 7-2 10 Condemn G Corrales
SHOW 8-1 11 Retained F De La Cruz
WILD CARD 8-1 7 Bless the Kitten A Jimenez

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Air Combat J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Gregorys Pride J Talamo

* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/10/11 BOX, 7/10/11 BOX


RACE #9 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 10:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 6 Tribest C J Hernandez
PLACE 4-1 12 Spring Lilacs A Cedillo
SHOW 10-1 3 Wing and a Player J Rocco Jr.
WILD CARD 6-1 13 Englished G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Silent Revenge R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2 7-2 10 Esme T Conner

* EXACTA: 6-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/12 BOX, 3/12/13 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Orlando +2.5 over Brooklyn

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Illinois Illini/Rutgers Scarlet Knights over 135 1/2