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Re: 3-13-09
Seabass 100* Steam Play - Lou/Vill under
100* lsu
100* south car
50* over lsu
Seabass 100* Steam Play - Lou/Vill under
100* lsu
100* south car
50* over lsu
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Re: 3-13-09
Ferrringo.
NOTE: THE REST OF MY PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AT NOON.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #831 Virginia Tech (+11.5) over North Carolina (Noon, Friday, March 13)
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #824 Michigan State (-2) over Minnesota (Noon) AND Take #836 Wake Forest (-2) over Maryland (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #877 Louisiana Tech (+10) over Nevada (11:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #828 Illinois (-2.5) over Michigan (6:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #855 Villanova (+4.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #846 Auburn (+3.5) over Florida (9:30 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #854 Dayton (-2.5) over Duquesne (8:30 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #842 South Carolina (-2) over Mississippi State (3 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #870 Long Beach State (+3) over Pacific (11 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #840 LSU (-1) over Kentucky (1 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #834 Florida State (-5) over Georgia Tech (2 p.m.)
Today's Teasers
2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #855 Villanova (+9.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.) AND Take #877 Louisiana Tech (+15) over Nevada (11:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #857 West Virginia (-1.5) over Syracuse (9 p.m.) AND Take #843 Alabama (+12) over Tennessee (7:30 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #847 Houston (+19) over Memphis (4 p.m.) AND Take #870 Long Beach State (+8) over Pacific (11 p.m.)
ReportComment
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Re: 3-13-09
AJ Apollo for Friday. Went 4-0 yesterday.
1:00p AJ Apollo
Kentucky r839
+1.0 (-110) / 4 units 4* Kentucky +1 vs LSU
6:30p AJ Apollo
Temple r851
+4.5 (-110) / 4 units 4* Temple +4.5 vs Xavier
7:00p AJ Apollo
Baylor r859
+3.5 (-110) / 4 units 4* Baylor +3.5 vs Texas
7:00p AJ Apollo
Villanova r855
+4.5 (-110) / 4 units 4* Villanova +4.5 vs Louisville
9:00p AJ Apollo
San Diego State r871
(115) / 4 units 4* San Diego State ML +115 vs BYUComment
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Re: 3-13-09
NSA's Selection
CBB Kentucky vs LSU 1:00 PM EST 20* LSU -1
CBB Villanova vs Louisville 7:00 PM EST 20* Villanova +4.5
CBB San Diego St vs BYU 9:00 PM EST 10* San Diego St +2.5
CBB Arizona St vs Washington 9:00 PM EST 10* Arizona St -1
CBB Georgia Tech vs Florida St 2:20 PM EST 10* Florida St -5
NBA Memphis @ Boston 7:35 PM EST 10* Memphis +11.5Comment
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Re: 3-13-09
Matt fagro
8** PAC TEN GAME OF THE MONTH *9-3 RUN*
This line is a little surprising as Pac Ten regular season champion Washington is actually getting a point here. If the Huskies need any more motivation, this will certainly provide it. The Huskies won the first two meetings of this series this year and while winning that third is always tough, there are some significant edges that favor Washington here. Looking at those first two games, Washington beat the Sun Devils in overtime just two weeks ago after winning the first meeting rather easily back in January. The Huskies triumphed by throwing different players at Arizona St. guard James Harden, the Pac Ten Player of the Year, as he averaged just 17 ppg against Washington. The biggest edge here for Washington, and one that is vital in these tournaments, is depth. With guard Jamelle McMillan out for tonight’s game, the Sun Devils are basically a seven-deep teams while Washington goes 10-deep. Washington coach Lorenzo Romar played nine players at least 11 minutes Thursday with Jon Brockman being the only player who went more than 29 minutes. Conversely, Four of Arizona St.’s starters played at least 35 minutes against Arizona. Even Sun Devils head coach Herb Sendek knows it could be an issue as he started that his team gave a lot mentally, physically and emotionally against the Wildcats. The Sun Devils shot 52.1 percent against Arizona, improving them to 14-0 when they shoot better than 50 percent from the floor. That means they are just 9-8 when they shoot less than 50 percent and they likely will not hit that mark here as Washington has allowed opponent to shoot 39.7 percent over its last five games. The Huskies also have a defensive efficiency rating on the season of 88.9 which is 12th best in the nation. Of their 31 games, the opponent shot 50 percent or better only four times and only twice over the last 27 games. Washington is clearly the better team with the better situation in its favor tonight and we take advantage of this big time line error. 8* Washington HuskiesComment
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Re: 3-13-09
WUNDERDOG
Game: Chicago at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia -3.5 (-110)
The Bulls are off a stretch that saw them win seven of 10 games, but have returned to form of late as they are just 4-6 over their last 10. They have not been a good road team especially when they have to face a team that is .500 or better. The Bulls are a dismal 4-16 SU on the road against the good teams in the league. The Sixers at 13-5, have shown the ability to beat the under .500 teams on their home floor this season. The Bulls have played at their worst against teams from the NBA's Atlantic Division where they own a money-burning 8-22 ATS mark in their last 30. The Bulls have not had much success in Philly where they stand at 2-5 against the number in their last seven visits. The Sixers get the call here.Comment
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Re: 3-13-09
Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - WASHINGTON HUSKIES....
10 DIMERS - WAKE FOREST, & PENN STATE
20 DIMER - WASHINGTON HUSKIES
Arizona State has had plenty of success against the rest of the Pac 10 this season, but Washington is a team that has given the Sun Devils fits, as U-Dub swept the season series, winning by double-digits in Tempe, and holding on for a 3-point overtime win at home as the 3 1/2-point favorite.
Overall, the Huskies have taken 9 of the last 10 meetings, and they have covered 6 of the last 9 showdowns.
Washington has won 9 of their last 10 games, including 6 straight, and the Huskies have also gone 6-2-1 against the spread their last 9 games.
Sure, Arizona State dumped in-state rival Arizona last night, but once again it looks like the matchups in this game are wrong for the Sun Devils.
At a near pick, I am siding with the Huskies to advance to the Pacific 10 championship game tomorrow.
10 DIMER - WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS
The Terrapins have given the Deacons fits of late, as Maryland has taken 4 of the last 5 series meetings straight up. Wake did snap a 4-game series slide with the 2-point road win just 10 days ago, and on a neutral floor tonight, I like the Demon Deacons to take care of the Terps for a second straight time.
Maryland had to play yesterday, while Wake had the benefit of the much-needed bye, and the Deacons are also riding a 4-game win, and 3 game cover streak as they hit the hardwood tonight in Atlanta.
The Terrapins are too up-and-down for my liking, as evidenced by their 5-5 mark their last 10 games.
I will lay the points with Wake.
10 DIMER - PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS
Excellent chance for the Nittany Lions to pull an upset, as Purdue is having all kinds of problems finding their game right now, and Penn State does own a little momentum coming in to this one.
The Lions have won 5 of their last 7 outright, and they looked strong yesterday against Indiana.
The Boilermakers have dropped 2 in a row, and 3 of their last 4, and are also just 5-5 their last 10.
The season series was a home-and-home split, and I have a feeling that if Purdue is able to win this game, this game could very well be decided by the last possession.
Have to grab the points with this live dog tonight.Comment
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Re: 3-13-09
Stephen Nover
Orlando at Washington
Play: Over 197.5
I expect Orlando to score a lot of points in this matchup against the Wizards, who rank last in defensive field goal percentage and are giving up an average of 106.7 points in their last four games.The Magic are averaging 109.5 points in their last seven games if you discount their matchups against physically challenging Detroit and Boston.The 'over' has cashed in eight of Washington's last 11 home games. The Wizards are going nowhere. But they still have firepower with Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler.Comment
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Re: 3-13-09
indian cowboy
4 Unit Play. Take Mississippi State +2 over South Carolina (Friday @ 3:20pm est). Yesterday was on me. I had a bad day yesterday and I'm sure it won't be my last. But, after a winning January CBB and February CBB (up 50 units in that span), I am confident we will win in March as well. Let's roll today in my biggest college card of the year to date. I feel strong about these five selections and let's give it a ride. I believe Miss. State matches up extremely well against South Carolina. This is why this team defeated SC by 5 at home earlier this year. At this point in the year, it's all about teams that are playing well and Miss. State is playing very strong basketball. After all, this team romped Georgia by 19 on neutral footing, defeated rival Ole Miss on the road by a bucket and took care of Florida at home by 9 to close out the year. SC who started off the year strong stumbled a bit by losing to Vandy by 13 on the road, losing to Tennessee in a must win game for the share of the SEC Title by 14 at home, who lost to Miss. State by 5 on the road, Flordia, Tennessee and LSU all on the highway as well. SC is just not a strong team on the road and I just feel that they rely too much on their star player. Miss.State on the other hand can have balanced scoring and once again, I love Miss. State's defense and they are extremely well coached. I'm not taking anything away from SC but I'm just saying that Miss. State's depth and more scoring options will benefit them here. I think SC relies way too much on Devan Downey like Miami did with McClinton and look where that got them. Miss State had 5 guys score 8 points or more in thier last contest and is a team that shot 14 for 18 in free throws as well. I think the first round game against UGA will help get this team in sync to defeat a SC team that is not coming in playing its best basketball IMO and of course, a SC team that relies heavily on Downey.
4 Unit Play. Take Alabama +6.5 over Tennessee (Friday @ 7:30pm est.). There is no line on this game here, but when ther is, I will update. Alabama is a team that has completely turned its season around once the poison known as Mark Gottfried left. This team is responding to their interim head coach and look what they have done over the last few games. The Tider were at one point 3-8 in conference play looking to have someone just put them out of their misery. But, now, this team is 7-9 in conference play, just took care of Vanderbilt as an Outright 3 point dog, defeated Tennessee in their house earlier this year, and who beat Ole Miss, Arkansas and Miss. State coming into this contest and have essentially won 5 of their last 6 conference games and it should have been 6 out of 6 if they had taken care of the big lead they had at half against Auburn. Folks, I think Alabama might very well win the SEC. Yes, the Tide. They understand that they need to have a huge run similar to what UGA did last year to get to the tourney and I would not want to play the Tide right now and Bruce Pearl understands that. Despite Tennessee having revenge, the Tide will still come to this game having a dog tag and I think Alabama walks away from this game as the Outright victor and certainly the few points of a dog price that we are to get will be appreciated as well. The Tide are on a roll and I think they are one of my top 3 teams to win the SEC along with Auburn and Miss. State.
4 Unit Play. Take Auburn +3.5 over Florida (Friday @ 9:30pm est.) Don't mess with the Auburn Tigers. There are three teams that I think have the best chance to win the SEC as I have noted and they are indeed Miss. State, Alabama and Auburn. I make no bones about it and frankly, I have put my money where my mouth is as all three of those selections are all 4* selections for me today. Auburn is a Beast. Alabama has won 5 of 6 contests and despite the Tide having revenge, despite being down huge in that contest, Auburn still managed to come back and win in a hositle environment. That should tell you something about this team's character. Auburn is the same team that lost to Florida at home by a few points this year and you know they will have that loss at heart. This team is much improved from that loss and this team actually finished ahead of Florida in conference play at 10-6. This is why Auburn had a chance to rest in Round 1 and Florida had to face a dismal Arkansas team. Auburn is the same team that has won 8 of their last 9 conference games, and finished the year 10-6 in conference play after starting the year 2-3. Heck, this team has won 6 of its last 8 SEC games by double-digits. I'll take the Tigers here given their strong play of late and if Florida thought Arkansas was a cake walk, they are in for a rude awakening with Auburn who is itching to get back at them for that earlier season loss.
2 Unit Play. Take Kentucky +1 over LSU (Friday @ 1pm est).This is just a 2* Selection here but I feel that Kentucky is just playing better basketball than LSU right now. Yes, LSU did win the SEC Championship but let's not forget that this team has struggled in its last two games losing to Vanderbilt at home and Auburn on the road. I think winning the SEC Championship could have been the worst thing that happened to this team as they have lost the edge as the dog and now are the favorite. Kentucky remembers losing to this team on their home floor and frankly, Kentucky has to win this game to go to the NCAA Tournament. If they do not win this game, they very well might have a one way ticket going to the NIT which will not suit the fans of Kentucky. I expect Kentucky, a team that ended the year on a poor note going 0-4 in conference play, who started the game off very poor against LSU and then made a strong comeback, to start this game off strong from start to finish and surprise a lot of folks here by pulling off the upset. Why do you think he line is just +1 and 66% of the public likes LSU the SEC Champs here? The line is indicative of a Kentucky upset and we will be on the side of the upset. Kentucky starts off strong from the opening minute to the closing minute as I think LSU will be a little shell shocked and their lack of edge coming into the tourney might bite them in the rear today.
2 Unit Play. Take Oklahoma State +4 over Missouri (Friday @ 9:30pm est). Missouri romped through Texas Tech as they were able to keep their lead unlike A&M who completely collapsed. The three teams I like the most to winning it all in the Big12 are actually Oklahoma State and at this point Baylor who is playing lights out - but I will give Texas the benefit of the doubt as they match up well against an undersized Baylor team tha relies too much on the outside shot. This is a HUGE opportunity for Oklahoma State. This team has the chance to really make some shockwaves. State will have the crowd behind them as this game is in Oklahoma City, this team is well coached and frankly has really come a long way from its early season play - in particular on defense. This team romped through Iowa State, defeated Oklahoma by a 1 point, won its last 5 of 6 conference games and has won its last 7 of 8 games overall defeating the likes of Texas and Kansas State in the process. Missouri is a good team but this team has not been as strong away from home of late losing to A&M and and getting beat by Kansas by 25 - this team also lost to Kansas State and Nebraska on the road. Call me crazy, but I think Oklahoma State not only wins this game outright, but has a strong chance to win it all in the Big12. This Missouri team only beat Oklahoma State by a bucket at home and now Oklahoma State could very well win this game as this is a semi-home for them in many ways. This is nearly the same spread as Yesterday when Oklahoma State won Outright and I am confident they will roll today as well.
4 Unit Play. #822. Take Golden State -1.5 over the Dallas Mavericks (Friday @ 10:30pm est). Let's finish out the final 3 days of the week strong as we shoot for winning week #9 of 12. I like the Warriors today at home over the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs beat the Warriors by 24 last time out in a game that ended 93-117. Now, the Warriors get to host the Mavs as small chalk just like they hosted the Nets as small chalk the other night. These two teams have a history and GS will be rocking tonight. I expect a big game from the Warriors today as the Mavs will be without the services of Josh Howard which I'm not surei f the 57% of the public know as they take the points here. The Mavs are playing better but I just don't know who will pick up the offensive slack as there will be lots of points scored in this game and Dallas needs to keep up. I will take the Warriors at home with Jackson, Ellis, Crawford and Maggattee at home with revenge over the Mavs who will rely heavily on Dirk and Terry. This is not to mention the Warriors have a decent bench with Randolph, Morrow, Biedrins and Azubuike. The Warriors win this baby as it is small chalk for a reason imo. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS as a small favorite at home while the Mavs are 2-5 ATS as an underdog of late.Comment
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