Saturday 12/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #1

    Saturday 12/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis


    December 16, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
    The Meadowlands has a 14-race card, and the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6 (8:25 PM EST)

    2-Villiam (10-1)-The Joe Chindano trainee drops to a nice spot to get an overdue win. Draws well to race near the top of the stack. Could seal the deal with that kind of trip and has won 3 of 14 at M1.
    6-Whole Lotta Lou (6-1)-This will be the 2nd start since July and should fit better here than with the NW14000L4. The trainer is off, and Victor Kirby gets the call. That pilot has done good work steering this 5-year-old at the Big M and will look for an aggressive try.
    7-Stone Hanover (5/2)-Needs a top effort but should relish the company and has the gate speed to land a close-up seat. Has hit the board in 23 of 46 starts at M1 and has taken 6 pictures.

    Race 7 (8:50 PM EST)

    5-As Always (12-1)-Engblom entry makes the 2nd straight start at the Big M after a 2nd place finish. Chindano gets the catch driver as Jordan Stratton isn't in the house. The price is right to use, comes off a sharp effort, the pace should be quick, and this barn keeps clicking.
    8-Tito Rocks (4-1)-The Cleary barn is posting 29% winners over the past 30 days and has shown sharp form in 2 of the last 3 races. The last start was at Philly versus this kind and came 2nd. Should be a square price tonight and will count on Marcus Miller to put the son of Sweet Lou in play early in the mile.

    Race 8 (9:15 PM EST)

    4-Nextroundsonme (8-1)-Gets needed post relief and has shown the ability to battle this kind but will need a good steer from Marcus Miller. Has the gate speed to leave, get an efficient trip and roll by down the lane at a nice price.
    6-Lindys Irishcream (7/2)-This is the 4th start for the new connections and finished better in his last race. Gets a new set of hands in Tyler Miller and should be a main player if steps up off the last start.

    Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

    8-Hereittiz (3-1)-Can win coming off cover but probably has a better chance if on the lead or close to it turning for the wire. If Jonathan Ahle can work a solid trip this veteran should be difficult to beat.
    10-Sugar Me N (2-1)-The program chalk bested the one above from the 8-hole last week with Yanick Gingras in the bike. Andy Miller does the steering this time. Getting assigned the 10-hole makes this a challenge but is in top form. From the inside this Sweet Lou 6-year-old would be a big odds-on choice.

    0.50 Early Pick 4

    2,6,7/5,8/4,6/8,10
    Total Bet=$12
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #3
      Race of the Week: Prairie Bayou Stakes at Turfway | Saturday


      December 13, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
      The Lead:
      The horse-for-course angle will be on full tilt Saturday at Turfway Park as many of the most successful local stakes performers in recent years converge for the $125,000 Prairie Bayou Stakes. The 1-1/16 miles test lured a capacity field of 12 with a pair of also-eligible runners and goes as Race 7 on the card.

      Field Depth:
      Grade 2 winners include WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST, TEMPLE and WAR BOMBER, while the Grade 3-level successes number a half-dozen more in LIKE THE KING, TIZ THE BOMB, RUNAWAY STORM, KITODAN, CELLIST and PACKS A WAHLOP. This is an extremely strong non-graded stakes lineup.

      Pace:
      WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST may be most intent on the front in a race that has a fair amount of early interest. RUNAWAY STORM and wide-drawn WAR BOMBER and PACKS A WAHLOP figure close-up, as does HUSH OF A STORM. He doesn't always fire to the front, but OCEAN ATLANTIQUE is more than capable of being up top from post 2. There should be enough pace here that a late-running sort has every chance if he delivers his best.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      1-LIKE THE KING: The 2021 Jeff Ruby winner has a sharp local record, but has won just once in 14 starts the past 2 seasons. Strong morning worker continues to put up fast a.m. times for this and could wake up with a great draw. Mark Casse-Fernando de la Cruz don't team often, but did so for $41 stakes winner Get Smokin at Kentucky Downs this year.

      2-OCEAN ATLANTIQUE: February's local Dust Commander stakes winner scored wire-to-wire in that one, but hasn't been asked for the same kind of speed since. Red-hot rider Luan Machado takes over on this Mike Maker-trained son of American Pharoah whose current form is peaking.

      3-TEMPLE: Seven-year-old is just 1-for-10 since joining Mike Maker's barn in 2021 and that victory was a year and a half ago. Classy turf marathoner asked for new surface and more brilliance at this shorter trip.

      4-TIZ THE BOMB: The 2022 Jeff Ruby winner at Turfway has fallen on hard times since with 12 straight out-of-the-money finishes. The synthetic return will have to be the wakeup call for this Kenny McPeek trainee, who at least has been consistent in terms of Beyer Speed Figures during the losing streak.

      5-HUSH OF A STORM: Third in this race in 2021 as a 3-year-old, this Bill Morey trainee has been steady as they come with 9 straight top-4 finishes. His 3 local wins include the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes. Jockey Gerardo Corrales has a strong 28% win rate teaming with Morey in recent years.

      6-RUNAWAY STORM: Sophomore meets elder stakes rivals for the first time while in superior form. He won Keeneland's Grade 3 Bryan Station last out, and prior to that was a sharp third in the Virginia Derby at Colonial behind a pair of next-out major stakes winners in New York & Califronia. All 5 starts have been on turf, where he's been pace versatile, but certainly capable of going to the front. Sire Midnight Storm just 3-44 on the Turfway main track, however.

      7-WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST: Turfway's Kentucky Cup Classic winner in March makes his second stop in Florence and has been a synthetic dynamo everywhere he's gone -- including Woodbine and Gulfstream. All of his recent wins have come when contesting the early lead, so expect new pilot Tyler Conner to employ those tactics. Rarely misfires in spots when expected to compete like this.

      8-KITODAN: Deep closer wants the pace as fast as he can get it, and did win the 2022 Rushaway Stakes here in his only local appearance. Popped a 20-1 upset to win the Dueling Grounds Derby last year, but hasn't been up to that form at all in 5 starts this year.

      9-CELLIST: Last year's Prairie Bayou Stakes runner-up has just 1 win in his last 12 starts and meets a deeper cast, top-to-bottom, this time around. But he's run well enough on most occasions to give exotics consideration, though value in the win pool seems more than the 8-1 morning line price offering.

      10-WAR BOMBER: Rare road game for Woodbine-based runner who has made 20 of 22 starts at home. He's danced all the big dances in Canada and has performed admirably ... though shorter distances appear to be his strong suit, based on pedigree and past performances. Wide draw makes ground loss probable with his running style.

      11-PACKS A WAHLOP: Prime west coast 2-year-old turfer in 2022 has been totally off the mark all season. Moves to Bill Morey's barn and changes venues and surfaces in hopes of a major reversal. Workouts sharper than his usual since arriving at TP.

      12-LEAVE IT TO KITTEN: Veteran 7-year-old won from post 12 last time and will have same challenge while in pursuit of a 3-race winning streak. Those wins were on grass and notably just 2-19 lifetime on the Turfway synthetic, racing against weaker competition when last seen here.

      13 AE-FAIR DINKUM and 14 AE-VINTAGE PRINT: The also-eligibles will be hard-pressed to overcome the post draw if they're fortunate enough to draw in. Neither has experience on the Turfway synthetic nor any discernible edges that would make me want to overlook the likely wide trip.

      Most Certain Exotics Contender:
      HUSH OF A STORM fires each and every time with an honest effort, is well-drawn and pace versatile to be in the hunt under most any scenario.

      Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
      At 12-1 morning line, there's no reason HUST OF A STORM can't fit this space, too. He's the right horse at the right price. If you're looking for boxcars late in the super, KITODAN could come from the clouds at a big number to spruce things up.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $60 win HUSH OF A STORM. $20 exacta box WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST and HUSH OF A STORM ($40).
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #4
        Jon White: Springboard Mile and Los Alamitos Futurity Picks


        December 13, 2023 | By Jon White
        Two weeks ago, Program Trading prevailed by a neck as the favorite in the Grade I Hollywood Derby, which brought together seven 3-year-olds to do battle at 1 1/8 miles on the turf.

        Program Trading was my top pick in the selections I made for Xpressbet.com. He returned $3.80 for each $2 win wager.

        Webslinger finished second. I also nailed the $1 exacta, which paid $5.50.

        Okay, I readily admit that those were pretty puny mutuel prices. But you know what? A win wager on anyone besides Program Trading in the Hollywood Derby lost. Also, the only exacta combination that returned any money was Program Trading over Webslinger.

        Last week, Nothing Like You won the Grade II Starlet Stakes at Los Alamitos by 5 1/2 lengths. She was my top pick.

        Two others were sent off at lower odds than Nothing Like You. Chatalas departed the starting gate as the 9-5 favorite. Slightly more money was bet on Chatalas than Grazia, who also was 9-5 at race time. A $2 win wager on Nothing Like You paid $6.20.

        This week, I am submitting selections for both the Springboard Mile at Remington Park and the Grade II Los Alamitos Futurity, a pair of stakes races for 2-year-olds.

        This year’s edition of the Springboard Mile is set for Friday night (Dec. 15). It has attracted a field of nine.

        From the rail out, the Springboard Mile field consists of Fidget, My Buddy Mel, Gettysburg Address, Magic Grant, Glengarry, Raging Torrent, Rhino Runner, Otto the Conqueror and Third Street.

        The Los Alamitos Futurity will be contested at 1 1/16 miles on Saturday afternoon. It has drawn a field of six.

        From the rail out, the Los Al Futurity cast is comprised of Moonlit Sonata, Wynstock, Stronghold, Ace of Clubs, Coach Prime and Wine Me Up.

        As I said in the Santa Anita press box Monday on Steve Byk’s SiriuxXM radio program At the Races, I am picking Otto the Conqueror to win the Springboard Mile.

        A $450,000 auction purchase, Otto the Conqueror was virtually ignored in the wagering when debuting in a seven-furlong maiden race at Ellis Park on Aug. 13. Off at 23-1 in the field of 11, he was a pace factor from the outset and finished second, one length behind Liberal Arts.

        Liberal Arts would go on to finish third in the Grade III Iroquois Stakes at Churchill Downs on Sept. 16. He then won Churchill’s Grade III Street Sense Stakes on a sloppy track Oct. 29.

        Otto the Conqueror followed his loss at first asking by winning a seven-furlong maiden contest at Churchill on Sept. 22.

        And then Otto the Conqueror splashed his way to a four-length victory in a seven-furlong allowance/optional claiming affair at Churchill on Oct. 29. His win came in the race just prior to Liberal Art’s triumph in the Street Sense.

        Liberal Arts was credited with an 83 Beyer Speed Figure for his Oct. 29 victory.

        Otto the Conqueror received an 88 Beyer for his win on that same Oct. 29 card.

        Honor Marie finished second to Otto the Conqueror on Oct. 29. Honor Marie then won Churchill’s Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes by two lengths on Nov. 25, a performance that flattered Otto the Conqueror’s maiden score.

        Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen trains Otto the Conqueror. Asmussen has won this race a record six times (Shawklit Man in 2002, Smooth Bid in 2004, Test Boy in 2005, Bayerd in 2014, Long Range Toddy in 2018 and Shoplifted in 2019).

        Asmussen has 10,326 lifetime Thoroughbred wins through Tuesday (Dec. 12), which makes him North America’s all-time leading trainer in this category.

        Otto the Conqueror is a Kentucky-bred son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense and the Shackleford mare Dream It is. Shackleford won the 2011 Preakness Stakes.

        Below are my Springboard Mile selections:

        1. Otto the Conqueror (5-2 morning-line favorite)
        2. Raging Torrent (3-1)
        3. Gettysburg Address (6-1)
        4. Glengarry (7-2)

        Raging Torrent is a Southern California shipper for trainer Doug O’Neill. The Kentucky-bred Maximus Mischief colt won a five-furlong maiden sprint by 2 1/4 lengths when unveiled at Del Mar on July 23.

        After earning his maiden diploma, Raging Torrent has finished third in Del Mar’s Grade III Best Pal Stakes, fourth in the Grade I Del Mar Futurity, then also fourth in Santa Anita’s Grade I American Pharoah Stakes.

        Raging Torrent had blinkers added for the American Pharoah. He will race sans blinkers in the Springboard Mile.

        Antonio Fresu again rides Raging Torrent in Friday night’s race. Fresu has been aboard the youngster in all of his starts to date.

        Fresu has established himself as one of the leading jockeys on the tough Southern California circuit. He finished third to Juan Hernandez and Umberto Rispoli in the final standings at the recent Santa Anita autumn meet.

        Gettysburg Address, trained by Brad Cox, kicked off his racing career by winning a six-furlong maiden race at Ellis on Aug. 6. In his lone subsequent start, the Kentucky-bred Constitution colt set the early pace before finishing fourth on a sloppy surface in the aforementioned Grade III Street Sense Stakes won by Liberal Arts.

        Flavien Prat rode Gettysburg Address in the Street Sense. It’s certainly a plus for Gettysburg Address that he again is going to be piloted by one of the nation’s top jockeys.

        Luis Saez, also one of the best riders in the country, guided Glengarry to a half-length victory in Keeneland’s six-furlong Bowman Mill Stakes on Oct. 28.

        Among the vanquished in the Bowman were Valentine Candy (who finished third) and Patriot Spirit (fourth). Valentine Candy won the Advent Stakes by 6 3/4 lengths as a 9-5 favorite at Oaklawn Park on Dec. 8. Patriot Spirit proved a punctual 3-5 favorite in Tampa Bay Downs’ Inaugural Stakes on Dec. 2.

        The Springboard Mile will be Glengarry’s first start in a race longer than six furlongs.

        Prior to Glengarry’s stakes win at Keeneland, he won a maiden race and the state-bred Iowa Cradle Stakes at Prairie Meadows when ridden by the venerable Ken Tohill.

        BAFFERT SEEKS 14TH LOS ALAMITOS FUTURITY WIN

        When Nothing Like You took last Saturday’s Starlet Stakes, it was Baffert’s seventh straight victory and record 10th overall in that race originally run at Hollywood Park and nowadays held at Los Alamitos.

        The Los Alamitos Futurity began as the Hollywood Futurity at Hollywood Park in 1981. Baffert has won this race a record 13 times.

        Baffert’s Los Alamitos Futurity winners are listed below:

        2020 Spielberg (81 Beyer Speed Figure)
        2019 Thousand Words (91)
        2018 Improbable (96)
        2017 McKinzie (92)
        2016 Mastery (91)
        2015 Mor Spirit (88)
        2014 Dortmund (91)

        Baffert’s Hollywood Futurity winners are listed below:

        2011 Liaison (91)*
        2009 Lookin At Lucky (83)*
        2008 Pioneerof the Nile (86)*
        2000 Point Given (101)
        1999 Captain Steve (101)
        1997 Real Quiet (102)

        *Run on a synthetic surface

        Baffert trains half the field in this year’s Los Alamitos Futurity. He is the conditioner of Wynstock, Coach Prime and Wine Me Up.

        My top pick is $1.7 million auction purchase Coach Prime, who again will have Flavien Prat in the irons. Prat was aboard the Kentucky-bred Quality Road colt when he came from well off the pace to win a 1 1/16-mile maiden race by 7 1/4 lengths at Santa Anita on Nov. 10.

        In his only previous start, Coach Prime finished third in a one-mile grass race for maidens at Santa Anita on Oct. 7. The winner of that maiden race, Stay Hot, then ran 10th in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita on Nov. 3 before winning Del Mar’s Grade III Cecil B. DeMille Stakes on Del Mar’s turf course Dec. 3.

        Below are my Los Alamitos Futurity selections:

        1. Coach Prime
        2. Wine Me Up
        3. Wynstock
        4. Stronghold

        Juan Hernandez is being reunited with Wine Me Up. They collaborated for a 1 1/2-length debut win in a six-furlong maiden race at Del Mar on Sept. 2. Ramon Vazquez, who now is riding at Oaklawn Park, was aboard Wine Me Up when he ran second in Santa Anita’s Grade I American Pharoah Stakes on Oct. 7, then eighth in the Grade I BC Juvenile at Santa Anita on Nov. 3.

        A $300,000 auction acquisition, Wine Me Up is a Kentucky-bred colt by 2019 BC Classic winner Vino Rosso,

        Wine Me Up’s 85 Beyer in the American Pharoah is the top figure in the Los Al Futurity field.

        Watch out for Wynstock. He took a giant leap forward Beyer-wise to a 77 when he stretched out to one mile and won a maiden race by 7 1/2 lengths at Santa Anita on Oct. 15. The New York-bred Solomoni colt’s two prior Beyers sprinting were just 55 and 56.

        Kyle Frey rode Wynstock in his maiden graduation and again has the mount Saturday.

        Stronghold, trained by Phil D’Amato, won a Churchill Downs maiden race by 1 1/2 lengths at one mile and around one turn on Oct. 1. The Kentucky-bred colt by 2004 Horse of the Year Ghostzapper then finished second to the highly regarded Nysos in Del Mar’s Bob Hope Stakes at seven furlongs on Nov. 19. Stronghold’s two best Beyers of 82 and 80 stack up well vs. his Los Al Futurity adversaries.

        Moonlit Sonata came charging from far back to win a 6 1/2-furlong maiden race going away by 2 1/2 lengths in his career bow on Nov. 25 at Del Mar. He’s trained by Tim Yakteen, who won last year’s Los Alamitos Futurity with the star-crossed Practical Move.

        Ace of Clubs completes the lineup for this year’s Los Al Futurity.

        Trained by Doug O’Neill, who won the 2021 renewal with Slow Down Andy, Ace of Clubs switches back to dirt after finishing fifth in Santa Anita’s Qatar Golden Mile on the grass Nov. 3.

        Ace of Clubs is two for three when racing on the dirt.

        MY KENTUCKY DERBY TOP 10

        As we near the end of 2023, many horseplayers are looking far down the road to the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 4.

        Below is my current Kentucky Derby Top 10:

        1. Nash
        2. Fierceness
        3. Nysos
        4. Locked
        5. The Wine Steward
        6. El Capi
        7. Muth
        8. Sierra Leone
        9. Dornoch
        10. Timberlake

        I am really looking forward to Fair Grounds’ Gun Runner Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on Dec. 23. According to Daily Racing Form’s Marcus Hersh, that is scheduled to be the next start for Nash, a Kentucky-bred Medaglia d’Oro colt trained by Cox.

        Nash is one of 25 sophomores nominated to the Gun Runner, according to Fair Grounds’ Kevin Kilroy of the track’s media relations department.

        As I wrote for Xpressbet.com last week, “I loved Nash’s 10 1/4-length maiden win in a 1 1/16-mile maiden race at Churchill Downs on Nov. 12. He recorded a serious 95 Beyer Speed Figure. In my eyes, it’s a 95+ because he was geared down late, which Beyers do not take into account.”

        In his only previous start, Nash finished second in a six-furlong maiden race at Keeneland.

        It’s clear that Cox is sky high on Nash from what the trainer said to Hersh.

        “I like him a lot,” Cox said. “He’s the best [2-year-old] I got for sure.”

        In Kentucky Derby future odds listed by Horseracingnation.com’s Ron Flatter as of Dec. 3 at the Caesars Sportsbook in Las Vegas, Nash at 40-1 was the lowest of any horse trained by Cox.

        The only four horses listed with shorter odds than Nash were:

        Odds Horse (Trainer)

        15-1 Fierceness (Todd Pletcher)
        20-1 Nysos (Bob Baffert)
        30-1 Locked (Todd Pletcher)
        35-1 Knightsbridge (Bill Mott)

        The other Cox trainees among the 111 Kentucky Derby candidates listed by Caesars were Lightline (65-1), Timberlake (70-1), Air of Defiance (75-1), Catching Freedom (125-1), Drum Roll Please (125-1), Rocketeer (125-1), Awesome Road (150-1), Bergen (150-1), Orange Diablo (150-1) and Alder (175-1).

        FLASH BAK UPSETS CHAMPION OF CHAMPIONS

        Dismissed at 9-1, Flash Bak broke cleanly from the inside post and went on to capture the prestigious Champion of Champions at Los Alamitos last Saturday evening (Dec. 9). The 5-year-old Missouri-bred gelding won the Grade I, $750,000 dash for Quarter Horses by three-parts of a length in :21.57.

        Empressum, the reigning World Champion, finished second in the field of 10 as the 11-10 favorite. A Tres of Eagle ran third as a huge 45-1 longshot.

        The 7-2 second favorite, Scoops Dynasty, “was fidgety in the gate, reared and came away slowly to lose all chance,” according to the Equibase chart. He finished ninth.

        When I saw Scoops Dynasty begin poorly, I expected Empressum to win after he got away to a good start. But Empressum simply didn’t have the needed late response and thereby was unable to make it back-to-back Champion of Champion victories.

        Apollitical Pence, off at 4-1, appeared to break stride for some reason at one point during the race “to lose all momentum,” as the chart put it. He ended up seventh. Thus, Apollitical Pence was thwarted in his bid to make history. He was attempting to join the great Refrigerator as a three-time Champion of Champions winner. Apollitical Pence won the 2020 and 2021 renewals.

        PADDOCK HERO JOHN SHEAR PASSES AWAY

        I will never forget what I saw from my television broadcasting perch at the Santa Anita walking ring on March 12, 2011.

        John Shear, as usual, was on duty in his capacity that day as the so-called paddock captain, a job that put him in charge of public safety with regard to the horses and the public in that area of the track.

        On that March afternoon, a horse got loose, bolted out of the walking ring and ran back to his home in the stable area. In the process, the horse ran smack into Shear, who managed to shield a 5-year-old girl, Roxy Key, from being injured, perhaps seriously. The young girl, who was accompanied at the walking ring by her farther, Michael Key, escaped from the incident unscathed.

        Shear “didn’t save a daughter, he saved a family,” Michael Key would say.

        I witnessed Shear’s heroic actions that afternoon. Unfortunately, he did not escape unscathed. Shear suffered a broken pelvis and a fractured cheekbone, plus life-threatening internal bleeding.

        In time, Shear recovered and returned to work at the Great Race Place, where he continued to perform his paddock area duties until he retired in 2021.

        Shear died on Tuesday (Dec. 12) from natural causes at a rehabilitation facility in Arcadia, Calif. He was 102. Shear’s family released a statement announcing his death.

        “John will be deeply missed by countless lifelong friends here at Santa Anita,” said Nate Newby, the track’s senior vice president and general manager. “We were honored to have him as part of the Santa Anita family for more of 60 years of dedicated service and we’ll never forget him.”

        I knew Shear going all the back to the early 1980s. Let me tell you that you will never a find a nicer, kinder man. He was a true gentleman. Shear also was a hard worker. He took his job very seriously, as he so ably demonstrated at the Santa Anita on that March day in 2011.

        A long time after the walking ring incident, I found myself riding the elevator to the Santa Anita press box with Shear.

        “How are you doing these days, John?” I asked.

        “Oh, I’m getting along,” he said. “The recovery was tough, very tough. I’m doing much better now, though. But I’ll tell you what was worse, much worse, than getting hit by that horse was when I got shingles after that. Having shingles was horrible!”

        When Shear told me that having shingles was much more of an ordeal than the severe injuries he incurred when run into by a horse on the run, it really got my attention. It was a major reason that I got a shingles shot just as soon as I could.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Fair Grounds - Race #7
          #1 Baltimore Heart Debuter probably gets overlooked from the fence today, but he gets one of the best local turf riders and might be ready enough to make some noise. Check him out on the tote and track.
          #10 Gavel Pace gets on the turf for a team that does good work in these types of spots, and he at least draws outside of the other serious speed. Wouldn't surprise.
          #5 Honky Tonk Highway He was plugging away OK in the lane last out when getting a turf sprint for the first time, and I wonder if he still might offer a mild overlay after the close finish last out.
          Race Summary Baltimore Heart should offer a decent price in here, and he might have some appeal in a race that doesn't have a ton of established form. #7 Finish the Mission makes sense, too.
          Fair Grounds - Race #8
          #8 Liuzza She's got a pretty progressive-looking worktab ahead of this one, and she might not have to be a star to land what doesn't feel like the strongest special weight on paper.
          #1 Into Stars She probably stacks up fine with these after the New York and Keeneland tries, but the price isn't going to be anything all that appealing for a top team.
          #6 Beelieve Her She ran on well enough at first asking, and any reasonable upside would probably make her pretty tough here. She might get a nice tactical trip with these.
          Race Summary Liuzza goes first out while coming into this with a profile similar to a lot of early winners from this barn in the past. Take a look, but I'll guess she's ready.
          Fair Grounds - Race #9
          #3 Academic Honor She moves to the turf for the first time and figures in line for a really good go of things while tracking the speed. Think she can land this fresh on the new footing.
          #6 Miss Riddler She has some decent form on her page with better, but I would have liked to see something just a bit better from her last out when getting in with allowance company.
          #1 Present Moment She's capable of something better than she showed in that modest run last time out, but she'll probably offer another playable price for those who think she's ready to bounce back.
          Race Summary Couple of tough ones to read in Miss Riddler and Present Moment who both come off underwhelming tries, but I think Acadamic Honor should trip out while getting on the turf for the first time.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Laurel Park - Race #1
            #2 K KAKE POP (6-5) Left too much work to do in otherwise promising debut, should graduate.
            #4 AMIE’S SYMPHONY (9-2) Dam was a debut MSW winner and later a stakes winner of $100k.
            #3 CONCRETE FAZE (12-1) Steady 5F work tab at Fair Hill to get ready for first start.
            Race Summary K KAKE POP gobbled up ground after an awkward start as an odds-on favorite in her debut. She finished third in mid-track, ahead of a rival who won on yesterday’s Laurel Park card. Bet to win and place and play 2-3 and 2-4 exactas.
            Laurel Park - Race #3
            #4 BRYSONS OPTION (3-1) Long duel took its toll in latest, traffic woes hurt his chances two back.
            #7 MALIBU’S BOSS MAN (12 Hit gate, trailed throughout in debut for top-notch 2-year-old barn.
            #1 GLASS OF COURAGE (7-2) Finished in money in two well-bet route races, tries blinkers today.
            Race Summary BRYSONS OPTION dueled on the backstretch and through the turn in an unfamiliar lead role before he was passed by the deep closers in the final furlong. He was shut off with run at the eighth pole against some of the same rivals two starts ago. Bet to win and place.
            Laurel Park - Race #4
            #4 LOOSE GOOSE (12-1) Fits ok on best, projects ideal trip, worth a longshot stab for new connections.
            #2 SPEARGUN (5-2) Earned top speed figure during $44k season in photo-finish setback at distance.
            #3 BOB MARCO (9-5) Forgot to stop in last two starts after blowing long leads in prior pair.
            Race Summary LOOSE GOOSE lacked the late kick that produced five 1-2 finishes in 5 of 6 starts before he was claimed. He gets plenty of pace to rally into as he tries to pad his $80k bankroll this year. Bet to win and place
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369837

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park

              PURCHASE
              Oaklawn Park - Race 10
              Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Superfecta
              Optional Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 86 • Purse: $140,000 • Post: 4:40P
              FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $24,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 16, 2023 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (ALLOWANCE CONDITION PREFERRED).
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * RIVERCREST GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ha s the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ONE WAY OR ANOTHER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. CHAI TEA: Horse ranks in the top th ree in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HAMAZING DEBATE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fi gure at the distance/surface.
              7
              RIVERCREST GIRL
              8/1
              5/1
              6
              ONE WAY OR ANOTHER
              9/2
              7/1
              13
              CHAI TEA
              12/1
              7/1
              8
              HAMAZING DEBATE
              4/1
              7/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              4
              TIMBAVATI
              4
              6/1
              Front-runner
              64
              64
              95.2
              57.0
              42.5
              6
              ONE WAY OR ANOTHER
              6
              9/2
              Front-runner
              76
              80
              94.0
              64.0
              51.0
              11
              NIGHT ORB
              11
              15/1
              Front-runner
              77
              78
              68.9
              55.5
              42.0
              1
              GOLD STRATEGY
              1
              30/1
              Stalker
              63
              67
              74.8
              55.8
              34.8
              5
              SASSY LASS
              5
              5/1
              Stalker
              69
              72
              72.8
              62.8
              45.8
              12
              FLY LIKE THE WIND
              12
              7/2
              Stalker
              65
              75
              72.3
              63.0
              50.5
              2
              LASSIE MY GIRL
              2
              12/1
              Stalker
              74
              73
              72.2
              64.0
              52.5
              7
              RIVERCREST GIRL
              7
              8/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              86
              81
              40.8
              64.9
              58.4
              8
              HAMAZING DEBATE
              8
              4/1
              Trailer
              87
              78
              66.0
              70.8
              60.8
              13
              CHAI TEA
              13
              12/1
              Trailer
              81
              68
              62.8
              73.6
              64.6
              14
              HOT SPRINGS BLING
              14
              10/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              81
              70
              64.8
              71.6
              60.1
              10
              MUSIC MISTRESS
              10
              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              65
              69
              73.5
              60.5
              40.5
              9
              MISSY PIGGY
              9
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              65
              70
              67.5
              57.5
              35.5
              3
              MOCHA KISS
              3
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              73
              65
              52.8
              60.8
              37.8
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369837

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cross Country Pick FourPURCHASE


                Cross Country Pick Four - Race 2
                Leg B of the Cross Country Pick 5
                Stakes • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 83 • Purse: $500,000 • Post: 3:37P
                NEW YORK STALLION SERIES S. AQU - R9 - FOR TWO YEARS OLD ELIGIBLE FOR THE NEW YORK STALLION STAKES. ALL FOALS BY NOMINATED STALLIONS WILL BE AUTOMATICALLY ELIGIBLE FOR ALL OF THE NEW YORK STALLION STAKES SERIES RACES. NON-LASIX RACE PURSUANT TO 4043.2 (7)(E)(5) LASIX NOT PERMITTED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $500 WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. $3,000 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $4,500 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $2,500 IN ADDITION TO THE ENTRY ANDSTARTING FEES MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. ALL MONIES TO BE DIVIDED 55% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, 4% TO FIFTH AND 3% DIVIDED EQUALLY AMONGST THE REMAINING FINISHERS. 5% OF PURSES WONN TO BE AWARDED TO THE STALLION NOMINATOR. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING ALLOWED 2 LBS.; MAIDENS ALLOWED 4 LBS. WINNERS PREFERRED. ANY TIES WILL BE BROKEN BY TOTAL EARNINGS. A TROPHY WIL
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ANTONIO OF VENICE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint an d the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. THE BIG TORPEDO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                1
                ANTONIO OF VENICE
                6/1
                4/1
                7
                THE BIG TORPEDO
                8/1
                9/2

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                1
                ANTONIO OF VENICE
                1
                6/1
                Front-runner
                84
                81
                81.6
                76.0
                71.0
                11
                SOLO'S FURY
                11
                12/1
                Front-runner
                81
                65
                61.5
                62.0
                49.0
                4
                KING FREUD
                4
                12/1
                Front-runner
                77
                78
                29.4
                62.6
                49.6
                10
                SOLO IN PARIS
                10
                15/1
                Alternator/Front-runner
                68
                65
                47.7
                51.9
                35.9
                7
                THE BIG TORPEDO
                7
                8/1
                Stalker
                85
                81
                46.5
                76.8
                72.8
                6
                LIBERTY CENTRAL
                6
                8/1
                Stalker
                84
                68
                44.7
                65.3
                54.8
                5
                PROFITABILITY
                5
                30/1
                Stalker
                57
                51
                39.4
                49.0
                30.5
                12
                BRICK AMBUSH
                12
                7/2
                Stalker
                82
                80
                0.9
                50.2
                42.7
                9
                B D SAINTS
                9
                5/2
                Trailer
                85
                77
                42.7
                55.0
                46.5
                2
                SOLO EMPIRE
                2
                20/1
                Trailer
                0
                0
                22.8
                58.8
                47.3
                Unknown Running Style: HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS (12/1) [Jockey: Silvera Ruben - Trainer: Rodriguez Rudy R], WO HOP (30/1) [Jockey: Martinez Joey R - Trainer: Mott William I], PALACE BOSS (20/1) [Jockey: Davis Katie - Trainer: De Paz Horacio], KAZ' MEGA BAN

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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369837

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37000 Class Rating: 95

                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 3 FRENCH COMPOSER 5/2
                  # 7 VODKA MARTINI 7/2
                  # 8 LIMONITE 8/1
                  My selection in this competition is FRENCH COMPOSER. Had one of the most respectable Equibase speed figs of this group of horses in this race in his last contest. Decent jockey and handler combo winning 22 percent of their races working together. When Delany uses Fusilier there's a good chance for sizeable profits. VODKA MARTINI - Landry has a solid winning percentage with horses running in dirt route races. Will likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the midpoint of the affair. LIMONITE - His 92 average has this horse with among the strongest speed figures in this race. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a contender.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369837

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 5 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $10100 Class Rating: 87

                    QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 1 RELIEF FACTOR 2/1
                    # 3 POLITICALY EXTOLED V 5/2
                    # 4 GOODBYE QUICKIE 7/2
                    RELIEF FACTOR is the best wager in this race. Should compete soundly in the early speed battle which bodes well with this group. He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group of animals. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group recently. POLITICALY EXTOLED V - Nicasio should be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this competition. The speed figure of 75 from his last affair looks very good in here. GOODBYE QUICKIE - He has been running solidly as of late while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. Is a solid choice - given the 76 Equibase speed fig from his most recent race.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369837

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE


                      Aqueduct - Race #4 - Post: 1:18pm - Optional Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $90,000 Class Rating: 92

                      Rating:

                      #8 SHE'S MO BUBBLY (ML=3/1)
                      #2 PARIS STYLE (FR) (ML=6/1)
                      #4 FREUDIAN (ML=12/1)
                      #7 COPPA GIRL (ML=7/5)


                      SHE'S MO BUBBLY - My expertise says this is the lone stalker in the race. PARIS STYLE (FR) - This filly is in nice form, having run a good race on November 16th, finishing first. Filly tallied a win her last race here on November 16th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. Horse has improved at least 2 Equibase speed fig points in last two races. I look for that to continue in today's race. FREUDIAN - Filly finished first her last race here on November 9th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (70-72-82) make this horse a dominant contender. COPPA GIRL - This horse could be tough in today's contest, especially since Castellano rode last out and now should be acquainted with this one. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a solid contest is a good signal. This filly's last speed rating earned on Nov 26th is tops in last race Equibase speed figures.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ICHIBAN (ML=9/2),

                      ICHIBAN - Last raced on November 25th at Aqueduct, finishing sixth. Not likely to advance off of that effort in today's event.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #8 SHE'S MO BUBBLY to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
                      EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [2,4,7]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      8 with [2,4,7] with [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6
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                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #12
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special

                        Equibase Special - Race 3
                        Leg 3 of the Tropical Turf Pick 3
                        Stakes • 2 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 106 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 5:02P
                        H. ALLEN JERKENS H. GP - R11 - (RAIL AT 59 FEET). THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3. WEIGHTS: FRIDAY, DECEMBER 8. $1,000 TO ENTER. $100,000 GUARANTEED. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $100 MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINEES WILL BE WEIGHTED AT TIME OF ENTRY. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. *(NOT PART OF THE ANNOUNCED GROSS PURSE, THE FTBOA OFFERS $25,000 TO THE OWNER OF A REGISTERED FLORIDA-BRED FINISHING FIRST, PAID DIRECTLY BY FTBOA). STARTERS TO BE NAMED BY USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. ALL FEES SHALL BE PAID PRIOR TO THE START OF THE RACE. PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HIGHWEIGHTS, WITH CONSIDERATION OF THREE YEAR OLDS AN ADDITIONAL 3 LBS. AND FILLIES AND MARES 3 LBS. EQUAL WEIGHT PREFERENCE WILL BE DETERMINED BY TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2022-23. IN THE EVENT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF TURF, IT W
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Dominant Stalker. VALUE ENGINEERING is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VALUE ENGINEERING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MCLOVIN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                        1
                        VALUE ENGINEERING
                        2/1
                        5/2
                        8
                        MCLOVIN
                        5/2
                        7/1

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        4
                        F FIVE
                        4
                        6/1
                        Front-runner
                        101
                        94
                        99.7
                        97.0
                        91.5
                        5
                        SIX MINUS
                        5
                        10/1
                        Stalker
                        97
                        80
                        78.8
                        89.2
                        75.2
                        1
                        VALUE ENGINEERING
                        1
                        2/1
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        112
                        112
                        104.2
                        103.6
                        100.1
                        10
                        SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY
                        10
                        8/1
                        Trailer
                        108
                        105
                        90.8
                        103.2
                        92.7
                        3
                        SWORE
                        3
                        12/1
                        Trailer
                        89
                        92
                        85.0
                        85.6
                        71.6
                        8
                        MCLOVIN
                        8
                        5/2
                        Trailer
                        106
                        107
                        81.3
                        103.2
                        98.7
                        7
                        CATCH THAT PARTY
                        7
                        8/1
                        Trailer
                        96
                        99
                        78.2
                        98.6
                        89.6
                        9
                        SERIFOS
                        9
                        15/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        99
                        92
                        80.2
                        87.8
                        76.3
                        2
                        TWOWAYCROSSING
                        2
                        30/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        97
                        91
                        79.4
                        87.4
                        71.4
                        6
                        KNOX
                        6
                        30/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        86
                        82
                        57.2
                        81.0
                        62.0

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                          Remington Park - Race #1 - Post: 2:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 62

                          Rating:

                          #12 RIDEN THE LEGEND (ML=8/1)
                          #4 SUPPOSE YOU DREAM (ML=4/1)
                          #6 NIGHT VISION (ML=9/2)
                          #1 LATENT SHADOW (ML=20/1)


                          RIDEN THE LEGEND - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. Adding blinkers often leads to a better effort on the racetrack. SUPPOSE YOU DREAM - This gelding earned a nice speed rating of 61 in his last race. That figure should be good enough to prove victorious this time. NIGHT VISION - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a good race in the last race within the last 30 days. Earnings per race entered is something that I feel can be a very key factor. This thoroughbred is ranked number 1 in this bunch. LATENT SHADOW - When this rider and handler join forces you have to take a look. Wiseman and Oberlander have been great together. This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Oberlander. With 'blinkers-on' this gelding should be very competitive.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #11 RIGHT CIDER (ML=7/2), #9 C J'S LEGACY (ML=5/1),

                          RIGHT CIDER - This gelding gave a lackluster effort last time. When examining today's class rating, he will have to register a much better speed rating than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt sprint. C J'S LEGACY - This horse hasn't shown too much in the last couple races. Finished fourth in his most recent effort with a mediocre rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group.


                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #12 RIDEN THE LEGEND on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,12] Box [6,12]

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          None
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #14
                            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

                            Fair Grounds - Race 5
                            Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-7) $1 Pick 6 (Races 5-10)/ Daily Double
                            Allowance • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 95 • Purse: $53,000 • Post: 2:45P
                            (RAIL AT 24 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THEMAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE EIGHTH.)
                            Contenders
                            Race Analysis
                            P#
                            Horse
                            Morn
                            Line
                            Accept
                            Odds

                            Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BASELINE BEATER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BASELINE BEATER: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating a t the distance/surface. SOLID COUNTRY GOLD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AGENT CREED: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BRIGADE COMMANDER: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
                            10
                            BASELINE BEATER
                            12/1
                            6/1
                            6
                            SOLID COUNTRY GOLD
                            6/1
                            6/1
                            8
                            AGENT CREED
                            3/1
                            6/1
                            1
                            BRIGADE COMMANDER
                            4/1
                            8/1

                            P#
                            Horse (In Running Style Order)
                            Post
                            Morn
                            Line
                            Running Style
                            Good
                            Class
                            Good
                            Speed
                            Early Figure
                            Finish Figure
                            Platinum
                            Figure
                            10
                            BASELINE BEATER
                            10
                            12/1
                            Alternator/Front-runner
                            90
                            87
                            96.6
                            86.5
                            78.5
                            1
                            BRIGADE COMMANDER
                            1
                            4/1
                            Stalker
                            88
                            89
                            95.7
                            86.4
                            78.4
                            9
                            GLUCKSTADT
                            9
                            8/1
                            Stalker
                            77
                            84
                            80.8
                            77.9
                            59.4
                            6
                            SOLID COUNTRY GOLD
                            6
                            6/1
                            Stalker
                            97
                            92
                            75.2
                            92.4
                            84.9
                            4
                            OLD ALLIANCE
                            4
                            7/2
                            Stalker
                            92
                            80
                            66.4
                            84.4
                            72.9
                            8
                            AGENT CREED
                            8
                            3/1
                            Trailer
                            96
                            93
                            80.2
                            89.8
                            86.3
                            2
                            SUMMER LOVER
                            2
                            8/1
                            Trailer
                            88
                            86
                            74.0
                            80.8
                            64.8
                            7
                            SMARTY ALEX
                            7
                            12/1
                            Trailer
                            98
                            72
                            70.0
                            89.2
                            80.7
                            3
                            DAPPER DUDE
                            3
                            8/1
                            Trailer
                            84
                            79
                            58.7
                            74.0
                            61.0
                            5
                            TREATY
                            5
                            12/1
                            Alternator/Non-contender
                            91
                            90
                            72.4
                            76.8
                            62.3

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.




                              Race 8 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $76000 Class Rating: 99

                              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $9,500 TWICE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 9 CITY FEVER 6/1
                              # 4 TALKIN' CASH 3/1
                              # 11 LOYAL COMPANY 9/2
                              I've got to go with CITY FEVER. With a solid 99 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. He has posted formidable figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group of horses. TALKIN' CASH - Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 92 speed figure which is one of the top in this field. Should compete solidly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this group. LOYAL COMPANY - A nice return on investment of +41 with this jock and trainer duo. At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this bunch.

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