Monday 12/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:47 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 4	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay(Races 4-5-6)
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 82 • Purse: $24,300 • Post: 2:08P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. TIME THE AVENGER is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * CHIRON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Ho rse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. RANSAM PAYNTER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SHORTLY: Today is a route and thi s is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	CHIRON	3/1	3/1
7	RANSAM PAYNTER	10/1	7/1
6	SHORTLY	7/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	RANSAM PAYNTER	7	10/1	Front-runner	78	75	82.2	57.8	46.8
6	SHORTLY	6	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	73	64	60.6	66.4	60.9
4	ROYAL AIR FORCE	4	10/1	Stalker	63	61	63.0	59.0	48.0
1	GREAT REVELATION	1	6/1	Stalker	62	44	44.1	44.1	28.1
2	CHIRON	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	82	79.0	79.6	77.6
3	QUICK QUICK WHIT	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	73	64.4	67.8	59.3
8	TIME THE AVENGER	8	5/2	Trailer	0	0	68.3	68.3	62.8
5	GLOBAL PRIDE	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	56	65.3	51.4	40.9

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:48 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE

Delta Downs - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 5-6) ($1 min.) /Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Pick 4 (.50 min) (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $4,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:47P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * LA TRESS GRAY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. KNIGHTS SWORD: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). IRON LOTUS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ITSNOTMYJOB: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an insi de post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
2	LA TRESS GRAY	9/5	7/2
6	KNIGHTS SWORD	6/1	7/1
5	IRON LOTUS	8/1	7/1
4	ITSNOTMYJOB	7/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	KNIGHTS SWORD	6	6/1	Front-runner	71	69	73.4	54.8	45.8
4	ITSNOTMYJOB	4	7/2	Front-runner	78	67	62.8	47.8	40.8
2	LA TRESS GRAY	2	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	74	69	66.8	62.0	58.5
5	IRON LOTUS	5	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	70	72	56.8	57.2	49.2
7	ESSENTIAL BELLA	7	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	84	85	73.2	52.2	49.7
3	HOLY WAR	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	54	38.0	50.8	38.3
1	POINT OF VICTORY	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	67	26.0	47.6	35.1

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:48 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 59

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CUSTOM SUNSHINE 9/5
# 6 JET ROCKET 7/2
# 5 COAL DANCER 4/1

I've got to go with CUSTOM SUNSHINE. Looks respectable versus this field and will most likely be one of the front-runners. Put up a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. JET ROCKET - She has to be carefully examined given the very good speed numbers. With a nice class rating average of 63, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of animals. COAL DANCER - I like the rider on this filly - formidable chance to win the race. Could beat this group of animals given the 52 speed figure earned in her last outing.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:48 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Zia Park - Race #7 - Post: 2:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#6 SKY JUMPER (ML=6/1)
#9 IMA BLING CAT (ML=12/1)

SKY JUMPER - Juarez and Valdez-Cabral perform well when they join forces. Tough to beat a winning percent of 38. IMA BLING CAT - Don't often see a beneficial return on investment like +26. This jockey/handler tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. Earnings per race entered is something that I think can be a crucial handicapping factor. This horse is ranked number 1 in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BLUEGRASS FAITH (ML=7/2), #11 SIGALERT (ML=9/2), #10 MAGIC MOSCO (ML=5/1),

BLUEGRASS FAITH - The chalk horse is vulnerable here with the lack of workouts. SIGALERT - There's zip, zip, and more speed in this event. Doesn't look good for this animal. Most unsatisfactory speed rating last time around the track at Zia Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this steed will improve too much today. MAGIC MOSCO - Equibase speed figures tell a narrative of lessening form.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SKY JUMPER - Better than looked last time around the track. Expect a nice effort this time around.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 SKY JUMPER on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	[6,9] with [6,9] with [1,2,7,10,11] Total Cost: $10
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[6,9] with [6,9] with [1,2,10] with [1,2,7,10,11] Total Cost: $24

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:48 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating:

#2 MCMAGIC (ML=4/1)

MCMAGIC - Ocasio and Gonzalez getting together are a handicapper's friend. Dropping down in class figure points from his November 8th race at Parx Racing. Based on that valuable data, I will give this animal the edge.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 WHISKEY PRIZE (ML=2/1), #1 OUT ON THE TOWN (ML=5/1), #7 MERGING TRAFFIC (ML=8/1),

WHISKEY PRIZE - Hasn't been on the Parx Racing oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. This gelding has already been defeated as the chalk the last two times. Hard to give him another chance. OUT ON THE TOWN - This horse hasn't been close at the finish recently. This steed ran a common fig last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that rating. MERGING TRAFFIC - This racer likes to be in the money, but doesn't usually win. Forget the top spot.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 MCMAGIC is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:48 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $39000 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 STABILITY 12/1
# 10 AZTEC SUN 4/1
# 11 GOLDENSPA 6/1

My selection for this race is STABILITY especially at a such a nice price. He ought to be given a shot given the quite good speed figs. AZTEC SUN - In this field, this one is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. The odds could be right on this horse. GOLDENSPA - Has to be considered against this group displaying formidable numbers lately and an average speed figure of 74 under similar conditions. Handler has sharp win rate (20 percent) at this distance and surface.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:49 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $41000 Class Rating: 78

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON ONE PA-RESTRICTED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 ALWAYS MIA 8/1
# 6 MOONBOOTS 6/1
# 8 THEGODDESSOFSNAKES 6/1

I think ALWAYS MIA is a very good pick and is a decent value bet given the line. With Haddock aboard her, this filly will probably be able to break out quickly here. Could beat this group given the 76 speed figure garnered in her last outing. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in here. MOONBOOTS - Appears to be the type to be helped on Lasix here. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 81, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this field. THEGODDESSOFSNAKES - Has been racing very well and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:49 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $25900 Class Rating: 88

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 MUGSY MALONE 5/2
# 8 AULD LANGE SYNE 6/1
# 1 FROG TOWN 4/1

MUGSY MALONE has a very strong shot to take this race. This gelding with Rivera in the saddle makes him a solid choice. With Rivera uptop him, this gelding ought to be able to break out quickly in this contest. With a competitive 79 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. AULD LANGE SYNE - Has a sharp shot for this event if you like back class. Is a sharp contender based on numbers garnered lately under today's conditions. FROG TOWN - He has been moving soundly lately while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last race.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Zia Park

Zia Park - Race 7	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Leg .50 Pick 4 / 2nd Leg Pick 5
Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 2:53P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SKY JUMPER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BLUEGRASS FAITH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IMA BLING CAT: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jo ckey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. NUMEROLOGIST: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6	SKY JUMPER	6/1	4/1
5	BLUEGRASS FAITH	7/2	6/1
9	IMA BLING CAT	12/1	8/1
3	NUMEROLOGIST	12/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	SIGALERT	11	9/2	Front-runner	86	74	89.0	67.4	55.9
4	AWESOME STORM	4	30/1	Front-runner	84	92	78.0	63.6	49.1
10	MAGIC MOSCO	10	5/1	Front-runner	92	78	69.0	59.0	44.5
9	IMA BLING CAT	9	12/1	Alternator/Front-runner	89	85	78.8	78.2	72.2
5	BLUEGRASS FAITH	5	7/2	Stalker	92	83	71.2	83.4	76.9
3	NUMEROLOGIST	3	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	96	88	72.8	79.4	66.9
2	SANTIAGO'S TOWER	2	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	88	82	66.2	75.0	63.0
12	EL CHUMELITO	12	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	83	56.0	75.0	59.0
1	PLEASE THE COURT	1	10/1	Trailer	84	82	55.0	77.0	66.0
6	SKY JUMPER	6	6/1	Trailer	91	89	49.2	84.2	81.2
7	JUVAL	7	10/1	Trailer	69	63	42.2	57.6	34.6
8	ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	69	69.2	64.8	43.3

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:49 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 15
5	5	THE FAST LANE	5/2	Morgan, Anthony - 17	487.96
2	2	HEAD HONCHO BO	6/1	Stafford, Art Jr - 15	457.36
7	7	FEELING OPTIMISTIC	9/2	Davis, Allan - 11	448.99
1	1	CLAIBORNE	8/1	Berry, Pat - 13	438.15
8	8	STONEBRIDGE JASPER	12/1	Morand, Jim - 19	423.16
4	4	WHITE LIGHTNING	12/1	Wolfenden, Ross - 12	419.04
3	3	SNAPCHAT SAM	7/2	Kirby, Victor - 11	410.63
9	9	GRAB DA MONI	10/1	Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 18	388.42
6	6	WHAT THE SKY	15/1	Poliseno, Cody - 4	386.64

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:50 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Post: 7:28 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$10000 - NON WINNERS 7 PARI-MUTUEL RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME CLAIMING PRICE $30,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 PELLEGRINI 3/1
# 7 WINNING HILL 7/2
# 9 THE BIG PICTURE 15/1

All signs point to PELLEGRINI for the play. Formidable driver-conditioner, winning 27 percent of the time. Looks to be a excellent wager. The number crunching team will always toss in a entrant from the 1 hole here at Northfield Park, definitely worth a look. Unquestionably think these two have a very good relationship. Deaton in the sulky means a competitive chance to get the top prize. WINNING HILL - His 84 average has this gelding among the most compelling TrackMaster speed figs this time. Is a bang-up choice given the 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating from his most recent race. THE BIG PICTURE - Overall stats look really strong. Can't throw him out of the picture.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:50 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Post: 10:24 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 93 - Purse:$36000 - PREFERRED.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 AMIGO VOLO 2/1
# 6 HP MAMA B 5/2
# 3 PEMBERTON 7/2

We've got an instinct AMIGO VOLO is going to get the win. Horoscope said take a chance today, this entrant is as good as any to take a shot with. Has very nice TrackMaster SRs and more than likely has to be thought of for a wager for this one. This interesting entrant looks dangerous considering the high class numbers. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. HP MAMA B - If effort in the most recent contest is representative, this entrant will have a very nice shot in this one. High last race speed rating. Very compelling driver/trainer rankings make this horse a very strong choice. Most definitely will be putting cash down today. PEMBERTON - This standardbred looks very good considering the high class figures. Don't throw out of any exotics. Should be in the hunt again in this event, looking to add to that already high lifetime winning stat.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:50 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 6
5	5	LOUS THE ATTITUDE	9/5	Bartlett, Jason - 25	552.57
6	6	SHAKESPEARE	2/1	Brennan, George - 17	534.05
4	4	FULSOME	12/1	Dube, Daniel - 10	527.00
2	2	TUFFENUFTOWEARPINK	5/1	Beckwith, Brett - 17	516.41
7	7	TJ'S INDY PACER	20/1	Kakaley, Matt - 18	514.89
3	3	AMERICAN CLASSIC	7/2	Bongiorno, Joe - 19	514.14
1	1	RB	8/1	Holland, Brent - 11	494.08

**ConleyPicks** · 12-18-2023, 09:51 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 13
10	10	MATTEO	6/1	Kash, Keith - 3	502.08
3	3	REGGIE RAIDER	3/1	Davis, Billy Jr - 16	500.40
4	4	MCTHIRSTY	9/1	Sugg, Kurt - 10	495.37
5	5	SOMEBEACH BARON	6/1	Deaton, Elliott - 11	491.41
8	8	VENOM	15/1	Merriman, Aaron - 24	455.93
6	6	BALLARD MR COIN	6/1	Ebersole, Luke - 9	453.78
9	9	CROSSCUT	15/1	Cummings, Kyle - 12	451.74
2	2	FROMASHESTOASHES N	7/2	Tharps, Eric Jr - 8	451.28
1	1	BOMBAY BOBBY	10/1	Stahl, Ryan - 9	448.91
7	7	AIM FOR GLORY	25/1	Myers, Hunter - 13	427.14

Monday 12/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 12/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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