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Wednesday 12/27/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
It seems like just two weeks ago that Pep Guardiola said that nobody could challenge Manchester City for the Premier League title. After dropping points in three of their last four league matches, they sit fifth in the table and in danger of missing out on Champions League play next season. Everton is sitting just clear of the relegation zone, but would be a lot higher up in the table if it wasn't for a points deduction. While it's a home game for Everton, Manchester City is tied for first in goal differential in away matches. Pep needs a win here, and I think he gets it.
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS+6.5 for our Wednesday Free Play. Washington is coming off a loss last night against Orlando as it lost by eight points, failing to cover by a point. The Wizards were getting seven points against one of the better teams in the Eastern Conference and remain home and are getting only a half-point less against one of the worst teams in the conference. Washington is one of two teams in the league that is winless against the top 16, going 0-14 but it is a little more respectable against the bottom 14, going 5-10. The Wizards have covered three of four games playing with no rest. Toronto has been off since Saturday and is currently riding a three-game losing streak while going 3-10 in its last 13 games. The Raptors have been respectable at home, going 8-9 but are just 3-9 on the road, covering only four of those games. Toronto is below average on both ends of the floor as it is ranked No. 20 in offensive efficiency and No. 20 in defensive efficiency and in a game that hovers around the number, the Raptors are bad in putting games away, being the second worst free throw shooting team in the NBA. Play (522) Washington Wizards
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Brooklyn Nets as a home underdog against Milwaukee on Wednesday. Milwaukee star Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as questionable due to right calf injury management, and we don't think the bookmakers have adjusted properly.
Supporting trends: Nets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Dallas over St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday.
We'll fade the Blues as they check in off consecutive wins, including a big come-from-behind victory (after trailing 5-2 in the third period) against the Blackhawks on Saturday. The Stars are red hot right now, winners of three games in a row and five of their last six overall. Dallas did drop a 4-3 decision in its last trip to St. Louis on December 16th. Note that the Stars are 8-1 in their last nine road games when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent, outscoring foes by 2.2 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Blues are 0-7 in their last seven contests after winning consecutive games by two goals or more, which is also the situation here. Take Dallas.
The Phoenix Suns are only 3-7 SU and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games, but they've had a day off since a 128-114 loss to Dallas on Christmas Day while the Rockets will be playing on no rest after battling Indiana last night. The Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest and the Suns are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
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