Thursday 12/28/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

PURCHASE

Turfway Park - Race 6	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 8:25P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $10,500 1 LB. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BAREBACK FUN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RAMBERT: Today is a sprint and t he horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. DONYA KNOW IT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PRINCESSTAPITURE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. R ENAISSANCE (IRE): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	BAREBACK FUN	6/1	5/1
8	RAMBERT	4/1	5/1
7	DONYA KNOW IT	5/1	8/1
3	PRINCESSTAPITURE	12/1	9/1
2	RENAISSANCE (IRE)	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	LADY IN HEELS	10	8/1	Front-runner	89	81	97.0	68.2	50.7
8	RAMBERT	8	4/1	Front-runner	89	88	96.0	81.4	71.9
12	MAGIC BEAUTY	12	6/1	Front-runner	79	73	78.8	54.0	38.5
6	BAREBACK FUN	6	6/1	Front-runner	86	82	75.4	79.0	72.0
4	CACTUS FLOWER	4	12/1	Alternator/Front-runner	76	79	74.8	73.8	63.3
9	CALTHA	9	10/1	Stalker	85	67	70.4	64.8	48.3
7	DONYA KNOW IT	7	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	78	74.0	68.4	57.9
3	PRINCESSTAPITURE	3	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	76	64.8	70.6	61.1
2	RENAISSANCE (IRE)	2	10/1	Trailer	83	86	70.6	66.9	56.4
5	SECOND EXCHANGE	5	12/1	Trailer	80	70	44.6	69.0	54.5
11	SHE DAZZLE	11	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	86	63	67.2	65.2	54.2
1	BACKYARD HEN	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	76	0.0	0.0	0.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE

Delta Downs - Race 1	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 1-2)($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races1-2-3) / Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
Claiming $10,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 5:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 28. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PROVOST is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PROVOST: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. COUSVINNYSACANUCK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CODETOWIN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. WISE ANCHOR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. RUNTODAY: Horse is drop ping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer.
6	PROVOST	7/2	3/1
7	COUSVINNYSACANUCK	9/2	9/1
4	CODETOWIN	5/2	10/1
1	WISE ANCHOR	8/1	10/1
3	RUNTODAY	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	PROVOST	6	7/2	Front-runner	93	90	77.8	81.8	76.3
1	WISE ANCHOR	1	8/1	Stalker	91	84	86.0	73.0	65.5
3	RUNTODAY	3	4/1	Stalker	90	85	70.2	61.8	50.8
7	COUSVINNYSACANUCK	7	9/2	Trailer	89	89	55.3	75.4	70.9
4	CODETOWIN	4	5/2	Trailer	93	79	26.6	79.4	72.4
5	GOTTA GO	5	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	80	57.8	64.0	54.0
2	DRIVE FOR FUN	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	77	54.0	53.6	47.1

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $95000 Class Rating: 108

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $60,000 IN 2023 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 FILM STAR 2/1
# 2 KINETIC SKY 5/2
# 1 WINIT 5/2

FILM STAR looks to be a respectable contender. Vaunts formidable speed figs on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. This colt has a very good winning percentage in dirt route races. Has respectable front-end speed and will almost certainly fare solidly against this group of horses in this race. KINETIC SKY - Recent figs for the jock - 21 win percent - make this horse stand out in this field. Looks decent versus this field and ought to be one of the leaders. WINIT - Ought to be considered - I like the figures from the last race. Looks formidable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt route races recently.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 12:38pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#4 SKINNY COSMO (ML=8/1)
#9 WONDER WAVE (IRE) (ML=5/2)


SKINNY COSMO - Bravo was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. The recent fig of 72 is the highest last race speed fig in the group. This filly has the top turf rating in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here mount has a good chance. Breen brings her back again. I propose you stay with this strong filly. WONDER WAVE (IRE) - Entered last at Gulfstream Park in a race with a class rating of 87. Dropping a significant amount in class rating today puts her in a solid position in this field. This sire has a highly successful win rate with 2YO starters. I think that the addition of blinkers today will keep her mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MOVIN' ON UP (ML=2/1), #7 THREEDOTS ANDADASH (ML=9/2), #5 MAYBE MAGIC (ML=8/1),

MOVIN' ON UP - Can't play this probable favorite off the extended vacation. This less than sharp equine ran a mediocre speed rating last time around the track. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat in today's race running that figure. THREEDOTS ANDADASH - This filly in all probability won't be really close near the finish line. MAYBE MAGIC - Hasn't been getting close at all lately. Will not be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #4 SKINNY COSMO on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $36200 Class Rating: 77

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 PAINT THE TOWN 3/1
# 8 KNOCK WOOD 5/1
# 4 THE PINK Z 6/1

I favor PAINT THE TOWN here. He has a good opportunity in this contest as trainer, Gorham, has strong win clip with horses going this distance. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This one ranks at the top in this bunch. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group in his last race. KNOCK WOOD - Could beat this field given the 77 speed rating garnered in his last outing. THE PINK Z - Keep this gelding in your exotics as Reyes has given backers some double digit dividends. Looks very strong against this group of horses in this race and will probably be one of the early speedsters.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,600 Class Rating: 56

Rating:

#2 LUCCA'S LEGACY (ML=5/1)
#1 VISITOR'S WELCOME (ML=2/1)
#6 FAST LEARNER (ML=3/1)


LUCCA'S LEGACY - Utilizing this jockey/trainer combination is a smart choice. Last time, was entered in a race at Parx Racing in a race with a class figure of 69. Dropping a significant amount in class rating in today's event puts him in a solid position in today's race. VISITOR'S WELCOME - My associates and I have made cash playing thoroughbreds with this type of pace. Follow my advice and do the same. Last race was at Woodbine in a race with a class number of 62. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure today puts him in a solid position in today's race. Trainer, Sullivan, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This gelding's last speed figure is strong enough to win here, I'll play him back again this time around. FAST LEARNER - Jockey hops back up atop after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding last time out. That's always a good tip. This pony coming off a sharp try in the last thirty days is a serious competitor in my book. This horse earns a lot of dough per race around the track. Tops in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 IN THE AIR (ML=4/1), #4 WATCH THE TRAMCAR (ML=4/1),

IN THE AIR - This horse just hasn't looked fit lately. WATCH THE TRAMCAR - Should be difficult for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #2 LUCCA'S LEGACY on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 5	Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quiniela / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:30P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 28 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 28 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. MYSTICAL JUSTICE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FARAH DREAM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LITTLE GARDENS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADY TAPATIA: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/ or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MYSTICAL JUSTICE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/su rface.
6	FARAH DREAM	2/1	5/1
1	LITTLE GARDENS	5/2	6/1
7	LADY TAPATIA	3/1	6/1
4	MYSTICAL JUSTICE	6/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	LADY TAPATIA	7	3/1	Front-runner	64	66	72.8	52.0	46.5
6	FARAH DREAM	6	2/1	Front-runner	63	61	62.6	58.4	52.9
5	GOTHIC MAJESTIC	5	10/1	Front-runner	44	39	50.6	21.7	8.2
4	MYSTICAL JUSTICE	4	6/1	Stalker	65	54	55.0	39.8	33.8
1	LITTLE GARDENS	1	5/2	Trailer	65	60	54.8	54.4	49.9
2	STYLISH KITTEN	2	7/2	Trailer	57	49	46.4	46.4	36.4
8	GLOBAL MONOPOLY	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	55	49.0	33.2	23.2
3	KEONI'S GIRL	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	38	34	40.4	21.4	5.4

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,400 Class Rating: 52

Rating:

#5 BUCKEYE CHARLIE (ML=6/1)
#4 NOSEY POWER (ML=10/1)


BUCKEYE CHARLIE - This horse's last race was at Mahoning Valley Race Cour in a race with an Equibase class figure of 57. Dropping drastically in class rating today puts him in a solid position in this field. NOSEY POWER - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is up against an easier group than in the last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Look for this gelding to run better right here. Last event at Mahoning Valley Race Cour finishing seventh on a track listed as good is no indication of his true ability.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 GOOD MUSIC (ML=3/1), #6 HARSH TRUTH (ML=7/2), #1 WHISKEY HELPS (ML=4/1),

HARSH TRUTH - This gelding is always hitting the board, but just doesn't finish on top. Tough to bet on him on the front end. Recent speed figure of 52 may not be true since it was on a track listed as good. WHISKEY HELPS - I can't play this habitual non-winner. Gets the assignment executed occasionally. When examining today's class figure, he will have to record a better speed rating than last race out to be competitive in this dirt route.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 BUCKEYE CHARLIE is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Aqueduct - Race #5 - Post: 2:42pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#13 DEPUTY CONNECT (ML=6/1)


DEPUTY CONNECT - I look for this steed to sit chilly and make a strong move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. This gelding is in the top spot in EPS (earnings per start). Take a good look at this one in the paddock.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 MEMPHIS (ML=7/2), #11 OPPORTUNITY SET (ML=9/2), #1 SOUTH STREET (ML=5/1),

MEMPHIS - Tough to wager on at 7/2 odds after the last two outings. This colt notched a speed rating in his last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's event. OPPORTUNITY SET - In the last race this entrant finished fifth. Doesn't look good for his chances this time out. Don't think this questionable contender will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class rating. SOUTH STREET - I cannot play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the task finished once in a while.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #13 DEPUTY CONNECT to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	13 with [2,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $70000 Class Rating: 83

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 MYTHIC PERFORMANCE 7/2
# 2 BREAK OUT 12/1
# 10 SALACIOUS 6/1

I've got to go with MYTHIC PERFORMANCE. Solid average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this horse a key contender. BREAK OUT - Will more than likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. Has performed strongly lately in route races, posting a nifty 71 avg Equibase Speed Figure. SALACIOUS - Since this pony changes blinkers - on - there is a respectable chance for a speed improvement in today's race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this horse look solid in this affair.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11800 Class Rating: 74

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 28 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 RED DEVOLUTION 6/1
# 2 SILENT TIGER 7/2
# 4 LONGTAIL 9/2

I have to consider RED DEVOLUTION here. Albright has him trained soundly to break speedily out of the starting gate. Could beat this field given the 85 Equibase speed fig put up in his last outing. This pony has a wonderful win percent in dirt sprints. SILENT TIGER - He has been moving very well lately while recording solid speed figures. This gelding looks good here since Patterson has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. LONGTAIL - Could beat this group given the 78 speed figure posted in his last outing. Can't overlook the connections here, a 21 winning percentage, one of the strongest at getting into the winner's circle.

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Post: 4:22 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$13000 - CLAIMING $15,000 W/ALLOWANCES DAYTON RACEWAY 12% TAKEOUT 100% NET CARRYOVER SUPERFECTA & PICK 5 C. PAGE - LISTED 2-8

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 CARLOS MITTANNA 5/2
# 2 THEMYSTERYISOVER 9/2
# 3 SKIPPING STONE 10/1

Look no further than CARLOS MITTANNA as the bet in this contest. Cannot put a finger on it, but strongly consider this gelding for a bet. This nice horse achieved a nice speed rating last out. Looks in fine form to come right back. THEMYSTERYISOVER - Has one of the most respectable win percentages in the field of horses and may be able to add to those figures right here. SKIPPING STONE - Dayton Raceway has been playing to this contender's running style, we're looking for a substantial effort. Driver-trainer are a potent partnership when teaming up on a common race horse. 42 percent ROI within the recent past.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 9
1	1	MADDYS CREDIT	4/1	Kelly, Colin - 19	459.80
7	7	CUSTARD LITE	3/1	Davies, Paul B - 0	424.31
9	9	NORA D	2/1	Henry, Travis J - 20	421.82
3	3	FIERY SHADOW	5/2	Mackenzie, Paul G - 7	408.25
4	4	BIG CHEDDAR	8/1	Byron, Stephen R - 8	404.65
2	2	HAPPY LOOKER	6/1	Ryan, Jason D - 14	403.27
5	5	CANVAS OF STARS	12/1	Harris, J Bradley - 14	396.22
8	8	BALA	9/2	Fillion, Samuel - 9	392.31
6	6	BOOKIE BABY	10/1	Coulter, Scott - 16	363.74

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Post: 12:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$5400 - NW $610 PS L5-6 OR PS IN 2023 $8600 PC LS AE:$10000 CLM W/A

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 7 SAFENSOUND HANOVER 5/2
# 6 ROCKNROLL CHARM 3/1
# 4 INTRIGUED AGAIN 4/1

SAFENSOUND HANOVER has a great shot to take this outing. Overall numbers appear very good. Can't throw out at this point. Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a big 77 TrackMaster speed fig. Major player. Doherty fits this fine animal's style perfectly. They've enjoyed some excellent results when teaming up. ROCKNROLL CHARM - Many analyzers know speed is is key. This race horse has credentials with a 79 avg ranking. This solid standardbred achieved a nice speed rating last time out. Looks in good shape to come right back. INTRIGUED AGAIN - Has to be given a look based on the very good TrackMaster SR recorded in the last gathering. Deserves a shot given the positive win pct he sports.