Monday 1/1/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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HAPPY NEW YEAR 2024!

May this year bring you success love and happiness!!!

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

PURCHASE

Fair Grounds - Race 8	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta Daily Double
Maiden Special • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $52,000 • Post: 4:15P
(RAIL AT 9 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $50,000 IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH.)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. YELLOW TOPAZ is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * HECKLED: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SRI LANKA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MS. LILIBET: Horse has a 4F workout since its la st race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race.
2	HECKLED	3/1	7/2
10	SRI LANKA	9/2	5/1
3	MS. LILIBET	8/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	YELLOW TOPAZ	7	10/1	Front-runner	75	67	63.5	63.5	51.5
11	SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ)	11	8/1	Stalker	74	67	68.3	63.5	51.0
2	HECKLED	2	3/1	Stalker	87	80	68.0	81.8	79.3
5	NOBLE BERNADETTE	5	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	88.1	74.3	67.3
3	MS. LILIBET	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	76	84.2	72.8	61.8
10	SRI LANKA	10	9/2	Trailer	82	78	74.3	77.5	73.5
6	BAG LADY	6	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	76.8	65.4	49.4
4	UPSWELL	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	63.4	54.3	39.8
12	IRISH MOLLY	12	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	56.9	51.2	30.2
8	VIOLET FLAME	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	56.9	49.3	30.3
9	ART DECO	9	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	53.1	53.1	33.6
1	MON DIEU	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	51.2	51.2	37.2

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race CoursePURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 4	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay (4-5-6) 20 cent Buckeye Pick 6 Parlay (Races 4-9)-50% Carryover
Claiming $6,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $17,400 • Post: 2:09P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 1. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SUSHI Q: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or tur f) is at least 50. Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. THE LAST APPLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Sp eed Figure at the distance/surface. GRIZABELLA: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). CATABOUT: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	SUSHI Q	7/2	7/2
3	THE LAST APPLE	9/2	7/1
9	GRIZABELLA	4/1	9/1
2	CATABOUT	6/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SUSHI Q	1	7/2	Front-runner	69	59	70.9	61.0	58.0
3	THE LAST APPLE	3	9/2	Front-runner	61	59	65.0	60.7	51.7
9	GRIZABELLA	9	4/1	Trailer	75	58	52.9	54.3	45.8
2	CATABOUT	2	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	66	58	60.0	64.6	51.6
4	CHLOES ANGEL	4	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	72	60	48.2	48.9	43.4
5	CITY SIGNS	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	61	56	51.4	51.9	38.4
7	BIRDIE'S CHANTZ	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	37	49.0	43.2	27.7
8	SHEZA FINE JUSTICE	8	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	46	33.2	53.1	45.6
6	J J'S FANCY	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	58	29.4	29.4	16.9

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 12:32pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#2 WOOD BE WILD (ML=6/1)
#6 TROPHY ROOM (ML=9/2)


WOOD BE WILD - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/trainer combination. This gelding should be at the fitness peak, this far into his form cycle. TROPHY ROOM - This gelding is in good form, having run a strong race on December 18th, finishing second. This gelding earned a strong speed fig of 79 in his last race. That speed rating should be strong enough to win this time out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LUCKY DUDE (ML=7/2), #8 QUICKENING (ML=4/1), #5 LONG LEGGED BOY (ML=5/1),

LUCKY DUDE - Tough to wager on at 7/2 odds after the most recent outings. Will be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list. QUICKENING - Last performed on Dec 4th at Parx Racing, finishing fourth. Unlikely to perk up off of that performance today. Any horse coming out of a route affair should show some zip to clash with the sprinters. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to earn a better fig than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #2 WOOD BE WILD on the win end if we get at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 60

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 16 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 PURA BRISA 3/1
# 2 TUNIA'S DREAM 5/2
# 5 VALID BELLE 2/1

My choice in this race is PURA BRISA. Is hard not to consider based on speed figures which have been very good - 52 avg - of late. This mare has a strong win percent in dirt sprint races. Must be given consideration given the class of races run as of late. TUNIA'S DREAM - Figueroa has her trained solidly to break speedily out of the starting gate. Recorded a very strong speed rating last time out. VALID BELLE - Has ran admirably in dirt sprint races. Looks like a formidable player for the exotics.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Santa Anita - Race #4 - Post: 1:32pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $65,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#6 AINT NO JOKE (ML=5/1)
#1 IMAGINATION (ML=6/5)
#3 MAXIMUM CAPACITY (ML=5/1)


AINT NO JOKE - Last ran at Del Mar and finished sixth. Reviewing his handicapping information, I see he was close at the wire, within 5 of the winner. A wise man taught me to wager on the lone speed horse. Take a look at this one. D'Amato adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for improvement. IMAGINATION - Baffert brings him right back. I advise you stay with this strong colt. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race entered. This thoroughbred has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish. I know the barn is serious today. The colt gets Lasix for the first time. MAXIMUM CAPACITY - This colt notched a nice rating of 89 in his last event. That speed fig should be high enough to win this time around. McCarthy brings him back again. I suggest you stick with this live colt. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the first time. McCarthy adds it on this one today. McCarthy moves this colt to the dirt today. Look for a solid chance of improvement from the most recent grass race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 INDISPENSABLE (ML=4/1), #2 LEADING (ML=5/1), #4 CORNELL (ML=6/1),

INDISPENSABLE - Pace makes the race and the lack of early speed means this closer will have to rally without any help. LEADING - Don't figure that this mount has what it takes to win this time out. CORNELL - In the last affair this horse finished ninth. Doesn't look promising for his chances this time out.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - MAXIMUM CAPACITY - This colt improved his speed rating two races back on October 29th and improved again in the last race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #6 AINT NO JOKE on the nose if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $142000 Class Rating: 94

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $24,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $24,000 AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2023 ALLOWED 3 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1, 2023 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 STOIC LUNA 7/2
# 4 BIG BAD DIVA 15/1
# 1 ENCHANTED NILE 6/1

STOIC LUNA has a quite good shot to take this race. She has been running very well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this field. Looks very good to be close to the front end at the first call. Recorded a competitive speed figure last time out. BIG BAD DIVA - The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a comeback for this mare. The tandem of Birzer/Martin has one of the strongest ROI percentages in this field. ENCHANTED NILE - Must be considered based on the formidable speed rating put up in the last contest. Has garnered reliable Equibase speed figs in dirt route races in the past.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 5	Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quiniela / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 40 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:30P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. INF. Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LUNA BELLA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LUNA BELLA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MAGNIFICENT CREED: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. PULIN'S LEGACY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1	LUNA BELLA	3/1	2/1
8	MAGNIFICENT CREED	4/1	6/1
6	PULIN'S LEGACY	5/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LUNA BELLA	1	3/1	Front-runner	44	38	41.6	34.4	31.9
8	MAGNIFICENT CREED	8	4/1	Front-runner	42	36	35.1	18.5	9.0
6	PULIN'S LEGACY	6	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	41	34	30.1	30.9	27.4
7	ONLY FABIOLA	7	2/1	Trailer	0	0	18.0	19.0	11.5
5	MIA MY QUEEN	5	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	27.5	19.9	12.9
4	D' DREAM GIRL	4	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	32.2	16.1	6.1

Unknown Running Style: MISS MIGHTY MITOLE (5/1) [Jockey: Adorno Omix Y - Trainer: Gomez Maximo], BAY CHARM (9/2) [Jockey: Ortiz Sasha - Trainer: Lisboa Jason], MALCRIADA (9/2) [Jockey: Santiago Javier - Trainer: Rondon Arturo].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:13pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,900 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#3 REINSURE (ML=6/1)


REINSURE - Finished sixth at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 6/1 right here, he looks like a possible contender. Just see his most recent speed fig, 70. That one fits in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 UNCLE EARL (ML=8/5), #2 WIZARD WILLIE (ML=5/2), #4 BROADWAY JONES (ML=4/1),

UNCLE EARL - Dec 7th is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. Will be hard for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. WIZARD WILLIE - This equine doesn't have a champion's temperament. Very often finishes near the winner. Pedestrian fig last time around the track at Mountaineer Park at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's event. BROADWAY JONES - This entrant hasn't been near the winner at the wire of late. If you keep selecting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned most every time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 REINSURE on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Fair Grounds - Race #2 - Post: 1:15pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $54,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating:

#8 HOORAY AUSTIN (ML=8/1)
#9 G'WILDCAT (ML=5/1)
#2 BINDING AGREEMENT (ML=7/2)


HOORAY AUSTIN - Alfortish has this gelding going in the ideal event. G'WILDCAT - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Ducoing. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. BINDING AGREEMENT - A repeat of that most recent performance on November 23rd where he recorded a speed rating of 85 looks high enough to score in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 PINCH ME A PENNY (ML=4/1), #7 TWO B (ML=9/2), #1 HARDLY ABLE (ML=6/1),

PINCH ME A PENNY - 4/1 is not worth it for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race recently. Finished fifth last out. Would have to get better to be on the board in today's race. TWO B - Difficult to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. If today's event shapes up right, all the front runners will force a severe pace battle early. Too bad this animal is one of those front runners. Will be tough for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list. HARDLY ABLE - Notched a pedestrian fig in the last race in an Allowance race on December 7th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 HOORAY AUSTIN to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special

Equibase Special - Race 1	Leg A of the SA All Turf Pick 3
Claiming $25,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $37,000 • Post: 2:04P
SA-R5 - (RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TAISHAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Track Master Power Rating. MARGOT'S BOY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JACKS OUTLAW: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's ave rage winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
6	TAISHAN	5/2	5/1
5	MARGOT'S BOY	2/1	5/1
3	JACKS OUTLAW	5/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	MASTERMIND	2	10/1	Front-runner	89	94	100.2	85.2	75.2
4	COMRADERY (IRE)	4	6/1	Front-runner	97	91	94.2	89.8	80.8
5	MARGOT'S BOY	5	2/1	Front-runner	102	100	92.3	95.6	93.6
7	MIKE OPERATOR	7	5/1	Front-runner	93	83	87.0	76.4	65.9
3	JACKS OUTLAW	3	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	102	96	94.4	91.2	82.2
6	TAISHAN	6	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	98	94	85.4	94.0	88.0
1	HEIR (FR)	1	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	96	84	82.4	89.0	80.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 61

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 VALIANT MAJESTY 7/2
# 3 AUNT BERRA 9/5
# 4 ONTHISHARVESTMOON 5/2

VALIANT MAJESTY is my choice. With a strong 56 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Could provide positive profits based on decent recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 55. Could beat this field given the 53 Equibase speed fig put up in her last outing. AUNT BERRA - Should be carefully examined here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. Has quite good front-end speed and will most likely fare strongly versus this group of animals. ONTHISHARVESTMOON - With a nice Equibase class figure average of 72, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. Looks very strong for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000, IF FOR $28,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SHE'S MY NIECE 5/2
# 5 WE'LL DO IT LIVE 6/1
# 4 LIGHTING AND REIGN 5/1

My pick for this event is SHE'S MY NIECE. Could provide positive profits based on solid recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 66. Don't overlook this filly in your propositions - very dangerous with Maldonado aboard. Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 76 - of her last contest. WE'LL DO IT LIVE - The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a major improvement for this filly. Looks respectable to be up on the front end at the first call. LIGHTING AND REIGN - Has to be considered versus this group displaying competitive figures recently and an average speed figure of 59 under similar conditions. Her 58 average has this filly with among the strongest speed figures in this event.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Dover Downs

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 01/01 DOVER DOWNS

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 8- - PACE 01/01 DOVER DOWNS

6 Baron Chancey 9/2 599.99 100 105.0 85.0 1:54.0 Morand, Jim 12

4 Imalwaysclassy 7/2 569.20 90 61.7 82.0 1:54.3 Davis, Allan 18

2 Bills Fella 10/1 558.50 80 31.7 81.0 1:54.9 Wolfenden, Ross 19

5 P L Leeroy 5/2 524.00 90 10.0 86.0 1:56.2 Morgan, Anthony 24

8 Mister Indiana 12/1 522.81 90 23.3 78.4 1:55.4 Porter, Trae 18