Monday 1/8/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #1

    Monday 1/8/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20787

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

    PURCHASE
    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 6
    Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay (Races 6-7-8)
    Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 88 • Purse: $30,100 • Post: 3:04P
    FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).S).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * OAKS HONEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layof f. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DARK VADER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. IT'S OFFICIAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rati ng at the distance/surface.
    4
    OAKS HONEY
    7/2
    5/1
    1
    DARK VADER
    5/2
    5/1
    8
    TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH
    5/1
    8/1
    7
    IT'S OFFICIAL
    4/1
    9/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    LUCKY STREAK
    3
    15/1
    Front-runner
    81
    76
    75.2
    69.8
    55.8
    9
    SIMON SAYS
    9
    8/1
    Front-runner
    81
    82
    69.0
    64.4
    53.4
    8
    TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH
    8
    5/1
    Stalker
    88
    75
    75.4
    77.2
    70.2
    7
    IT'S OFFICIAL
    7
    4/1
    Stalker
    86
    79
    70.8
    72.8
    62.3
    4
    OAKS HONEY
    4
    7/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    90
    84
    67.3
    77.7
    72.2
    1
    DARK VADER
    1
    5/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    85
    86
    65.4
    80.9
    76.4
    5
    RUMBLE STRIP RON
    5
    8/1
    Trailer
    85
    78
    49.8
    67.8
    56.3
    2
    VISUAL MISSION
    2
    12/1
    Trailer
    83
    85
    24.0
    74.4
    65.9
    6
    GIV'EM THE BIZ
    6
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    74
    73
    79.4
    67.2
    50.2

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20787

      #3
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      PURCHASE


      Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 12:32pm - Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 65

      Rating:

      #2 BADBADBOBBY (ML=6/1)
      #4 AFY KID (ML=9/5)


      BADBADBOBBY - Hasn't run at today's trip recently but does have a rating earned last time he tried this trip good enough to win. Believe in this horse. No other viable pace gives this animal a strong chance at the winner's circle. Sub-par performance last time around the track at Parx Racing was due to the off-going (he ended up eighth). Will most certainly do better in this event without the slop. I like a runner that makes a good late run in a sprint race and comes back in a route. AFY KID - Rowland and Gonzalez partnered together are a horse gambler's friend. Last race December 20th was pretty strong for a $7,500 Claiming race so this colt's performance wasn't all that bad. This colt is in excellent physical condition right now. Ran second last out and comes back promptly.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BOINTHEBACK (ML=7/2), #3 UNION REWARD (ML=5/1),

      BOINTHEBACK - Will be hard for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued contestants list. I checked out his past performances and he hasn't done well out of the one hole. UNION REWARD - Granted the last race was good, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 BADBADBOBBY to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,4]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      None
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20787

        #4
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30100 Class Rating: 88

        FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 S).

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 4 OAKS HONEY 7/2
        # 1 DARK VADER 5/2
        # 2 VISUAL MISSION 12/1
        OAKS HONEY is my choice. He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group. Is a solid contender - given the 82 speed fig from his most recent race. Has a very strong shot here if you like back class. DARK VADER - Is worth looking at and may be a wager - strong speed figs (82 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Should definitely be carefully examined in this event if only for the very strong Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last competition. VISUAL MISSION - Conditioner boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface.



        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20787

          #5
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

          PURCHASE
          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 64

          FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 10 SONET'S NAME 5/2
          # 2 ASTONISHING ANABEL 3/1
          # 8 CUP OF LIFE 15/1
          My choice in this contest is SONET'S NAME. Boasts strong Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this mare a strong shot. Has competitive early speed and will almost certainly fare solidly versus this group of horses. ASTONISHING ANABEL - Has been racing strongly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Very good pick to take this race going in a dirt sprint. CUP OF LIFE - Must be carefully examined based on the quite good Equibase speed fig earned in the last outing.



          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20787

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

            Parx Racing - Race 5
            Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta /10 cent Superfecta
            Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 64 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 1:53P
            (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SONET'S NAME is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SONET'S NAME: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
            10
            SONET'S NAME
            5/2
            5/2

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            10
            SONET'S NAME
            10
            5/2
            Front-runner
            78
            79
            87.6
            69.0
            67.0
            4
            MAZAL EIGHTEEN
            4
            5/1
            Front-runner
            64
            58
            82.4
            37.8
            24.3
            8
            CUP OF LIFE
            8
            15/1
            Front-runner
            69
            60
            71.0
            51.4
            44.4
            5
            ROAD TO DREAMS
            5
            10/1
            Front-runner
            59
            60
            64.2
            48.2
            31.7
            2
            ASTONISHING ANABEL
            2
            3/1
            Alternator/Front-runner
            72
            65
            80.4
            51.6
            46.6
            1
            PARISIAN VIBE
            1
            15/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            78
            70
            61.0
            47.2
            40.2
            6
            SWEET LILLY FACTUM
            6
            20/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            64
            57
            58.2
            38.8
            22.8
            7
            TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE
            7
            6/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            71
            54
            79.4
            45.4
            33.9
            3
            SEVEN YEARS LATER
            3
            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            57
            60
            71.6
            41.4
            25.9
            9
            MISS ALEX
            9
            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            69
            43
            14.2
            38.4
            23.4

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20787

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,900 Class Rating: 71

              Rating:

              #2 CANT BE TOUCHED (ML=6/1)
              #3 CURIOSITY KILLS (ML=4/1)


              CANT BE TOUCHED - I like this mare. Has the uppermost earnings per start in here today. CURIOSITY KILLS - Was in a $7,500 Claiming race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last time around the track. That event had a class rating of 76 and she is moving down right here. A certain serious competitor. Lets try to beat the favorites with this mare. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. Last out, finished fourth on a track listed as good at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Will do better in today's race.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RIVERVIEW STEVIE (ML=3/1), #7 TATTERED HEART (ML=7/2), #1 CHARGINA (ML=9/2),

              RIVERVIEW STEVIE - Hasn't been on the Mahoning Valley Race Course oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to record a better rating than in the last race to compete in this dirt sprint. TATTERED HEART - Had a hard run down the stretch on Nov 13th and followed it up with another one. Probably won't see her doing it in today's event. CHARGINA - Not likely that this horse will finish better than she did last time out of the box when finishing sixth. The Brain cautions me to stay away from horses in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in sprint races of late.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 CANT BE TOUCHED to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Skip
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20787

                #8
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 12
                5 5 BO BREEZE 12/1 Carter, William - 7 473.24
                4 4 TRU LOU 5/2 Dalious, Barton - 10 470.94
                8 8 PREMIER ON STAGE 8/1 Callahan, Corey - 14 469.02
                3 3 CAN WE DANCE 7/2 Porter, Trae - 6 462.45
                1 1 TWIST KNOT 6/1 Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 17 458.08
                7 7 FORTY FIVE RED 9/2 Wolfenden, Ross - 13 426.54
                6 6 Z'S DREAM 12/1 Davis, Allan - 11 425.89
                2 2 CLEAN SHAVE 15/1 Stafford, Art Jr - 14 402.35

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20787

                  #9
                  Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Dover Downs


                  CompuBet Free Pick!


                  CompuBet 01/08 DOVER DOWNS

                  Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

                  Race#: 5- - PACE 01/08 DOVER DOWNS

                  4 Silas Seelster 5/2 589.31 100 113.3 82.0 1:53.8 Callahan, Corey 19

                  3 Frivolous Appeal 7/2 558.19 90 58.3 82.0 1:55.1 Morgan, Anthony 24

                  5 Moneyorroses 9/2 529.46 90 41.7 79.0 1:55.5 Davis, Allan 17

                  1 Prince Clyde 6/1 516.16 90 40.0 79.0 1:56.0 Napolitano, Geo. Jr 23

                  7 Laguna Beach Boy 12/1 507.72 80 21.7 79.0 1:56.5 Porter, Trae 18

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20787

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Monticello Raceway


                    CompuBet Free Pick!


                    CompuBet 01/08 MONTICELLO

                    Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

                    Race#: 6- - PACE 01/08 MONTICELLO

                    2 We The Female 3/1 549.37 100 MUD 115.0 75.0 1:58.0 Merton, Michael 28

                    7 Mystical Gal 5/2 508.57 90 101.7 75.0 1:57.8 Merton, Gregory 39

                    5 Caroline James 7/2 493.64 90 65.0 75.0 1:57.8 Aldrich, Bruce Jr 22

                    4 Hurrikanemyshannon 4/1 468.29 90 MUD 61.7 76.2 1:58.5 Dibenedetto, Kyle 12

                    6 Betting Hannah 9/2 457.58 90 66.7 75.0 1:58.3 Merton, Thomas 14

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20787

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 2 - Post: 4:22 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$7500 - N/W $1501
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 1 BOUNTIFUL BRITTNEY 5/2
                      # 3 FOX VALLEY BRITZKA 7/2
                      # 4 MJ'SLIBERTYVALANCE 9/2
                      BOUNTIFUL BRITTNEY looks respectable to best this field of starters. May provide us a trip to the winner's circle based on very good recent speed figures - earning an average of 79. It's sometimes tricky to consider based only on class, but this mare has among the most compelling class ratings of the field. FOX VALLEY BRITZKA - Could very well provide us a victory based on very nice recent speed figs - earning an avg of 80. The 84 average class figure may give this gelding a distinct edge in the pack. MJ'SLIBERTYVALANCE - This solid standardbred will be greatly helped with Smith piloting. 26 percent winners the past month.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20787

                        #12
                        Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                        P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                        RACE 4
                        6 6 RITSON 4/1 Mcclure, Bob - 14 614.74
                        5 5 PATRIARCH HANOVER 3/1 Mcnair, Douglas R - 17 608.27
                        4 4 BELLA CAVALLA 5/1 Roy, Louis-Philippe - 18 574.17
                        3 3 WALKONTHEMOON 7/2 Henry, Trevor S - 12 534.11
                        1 1 RADIO LAB 10/1 Hensley, Ed F - 4 513.51
                        2 2 DONATOVER 10/1 Filion, Sylvain R - 12 510.39
                        8 8 SOUTHWIND DOMINO 6/1 Jamieson, Jody C - 12 504.84
                        7 7 GV SWANDERFUH 8/1 Macdonald, James A - 22 461.29
                        9 9 BUCK DANCER 10/1 Borth, Tyler J - 9 450.58

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20787

                          #13
                          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 11 - Post: 11:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$8000 - CLAIMING $8,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.
                          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                          # 6 A BOY NAMED SUUZZ 5/1
                          # 1 FLASH TOTHE FINISH 3/1
                          # 10 COIN FLIP 15/1
                          Feel pretty confident putting some green stuff down on A BOY NAMED SUUZZ. Worth a look here looking at the figures in the speed fig department alone. Has one of the finest win clips in the group of horses and may be able to add to those figures in this race. Chances are greatly enhanced for solid standardbreds coming from the 6 hole at Woodbine Mohawk Park. FLASH TOTHE FINISH - Has respectable speed figures and clearly has to be thought of for a bet for this race. Can't ignore the connections here, a 25 winning pct, one of the top at getting into the winners circle. COIN FLIP - Huge driver-handler ratings make this entrant a sharp choice. Definitely will be putting some profits down this time. Has one of the finest win clips in the field of horses and may be able to add to those figures right here.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20787

                            #14
                            Free play from Mike Wynn

                            Free Pick: Houston/Miami Under 216 Points



                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20787

                              #15
                              Free play from Totals4U

                              Monday's Free Selection: Vancouver Cannucks/New York Rangers over 6 1/2

                              Comment

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