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PURDUE --- As many of you know who have been with me for some time, I’m a huge Ohio State fan. I was born and raised in Ohio and have followed all things Buckeye since about 1982. It’s not often I miss a selection when picking on or against this team, but I’ll admit I stubbed my toe yesterday backing the Bucks as eight-point dogs to Michigan State. OSU used 53% shooting from the field and 9-of-16 shooting from downtown to bury the Spartans in the second half, 82-70. I’ll tell you this much… if these two laced up the shoes tomorrow, Michigan State would likely win by 10 or more. The Bucks just happened to catch fire at the right time and MSU wasn’t hitting anything from beyond the arc.
Folks, I love the Buckeyes, but they just aren’t that good. They’re young and inexperienced and their best defender, David Lighty, has been out since December with a broken foot. OSU was lucky to beat Wisconsin (down 54-47 with about four minutes to go) and very fortunate to clobber Michigan State… but the luck must run out at some point and that’s going to happen today. Position for position, they just aren’t as talented as Purdue. Aside from Evan Turner, OSU just doesn’t have that “go to” player to rely on like Purdue does. If Robbie Hummel isn’t hitting, they Boilers can always rely on E’twaun Moore to pick up the slack. If he’s struggling, Keaton Grant usually steps up. You see, Purdue simply has more quality depth in their starting five and on their bench and they’ll roll the Buckeyes this afternoon in Indy.
It’s been a nice run for the Bucks… good enough to lock them in to the Big Dance, but not enough to win the Big 10 Tournament Championship. Purdue and Ohio State recently played in West Lafayette on February 28 and the Boilers could do no wrong, torching the Bucks 75-50. The other meeting between the two resulted in an overtime win for OSU in Columbus, but Purdue didn’t have Robbie Hummel available in that one. He’ll be healthy this time around and should be too much for Ohio State to handle. For what it’s worth, Ohio State just doesn’t play well on Sundays, covering just once in their last eight games played on Sunday. Purdue cuts down the nets at Conseco Fieldhouse Sunday, winning 72-61 over Ohio State.
Well it's been a great NCAA run this year. I will probably not be posting for the tourney unless I run into a great deal of free time while in Vegas. Hope everyone else has enjoyed this year.
I really don't like anything so i'm going to throw what I would lean towards out there
I would lean towards both unders for the 1:00 games.
I will probably take some o/u halftime lines today
I'm not that good at spreads....so take this one with a grain of salt.
Florida St. +7
Duke has covered the -7 two times in their last 10 games.(Maryland, WF, with two pushes St. Johns..ha ha, and VT) Gerald Henderson has been a one man wrecking crew for Duke against FSU this year. I think the size will cause problems inside and FSU D and confidence will cover this. Duke has beat BC by 1 and Maryland by 6. Also, love the fact that Duke has beat them twice this year. It's hard to beat a team 3 times, let alone by 7 points.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE, no matter what side you are on.
874 ATL / 873 POR Under 187.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
Sun, 03/15/09 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
894 Duke -6.5 (-110) BetUS vs 893 Florida St.
Analysis: **** NCAABB CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP 4* GAME of the MONTH ****
I highly recommend going ahead and laying the 10cents, to take this Line down to -6...which is what I did for myself and the Fund I manage...VR
Sun, 03/15/09 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
898 Purdue -6.0 (-110) SportBet vs 897 Ohio St.
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
Sun, 03/15/09 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CBB Total Double-Dime Bet
898 Purdue / 897 Ohio St. Under 125.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
Florida State is 7-3 ATS over the last 10 games
Florida State is 4-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog the last 3 seasons
Florida State is 5-1 ATS when revenging a loss this season
100* Play Ohio State (+6.5) over Purdue (NCAA)
Ohio State is 16-4 ATS vs. Purdue over the last 20 games
Ohio State is 18-6 ATS in all tournament games the last 3 seasons
Ohio State is 5-1 ATS revenging a loss of 20 points or more
Jake Timlin
Sunday's Action
300? Florida State Seminoles
Huge winner on the Seminoles yesterday I continue to see value with Florida State today. I mean given how good Florida State is right now and throughout the year I am a bit shocked that Duke is any sort of favorite today. You see for Florida State golden thus far in the league tournament the Seminoles have been a very solid team this year with 25 wins overall and an amazing 18-8-1 ATS mark on the season. Included the Seminoles ATS record is a pair of cover wins against Duke improving Florida State to 5-1 ATS in the last 6 series meetings. Meanwhile, you know what they say about a team beating another team three times in one season in that it is very hard to accomplish and will be here today for Duke. Flat out, given the matchup problems Florida State is going to cause for Duke today mixed in with the Seminoles ability to cover games this year I expect nothing less than a close game where FSU stays inside the number with an outright being very possible as well.
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