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Super Bowl Props:
San Francisco RB Christian McCaffrey OVER 129.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards -115
San Francisco QB Brock Purdy UNDER 13 Rushing Yards -105. Market is as high as 14.5 and as low as 12.5.
San Francisco WR Deebo Samuel OVER 58.5 Receiving Yards -115
San Francisco WR Deebo Samuel OVER 15.5 Rushing Yards -115
7-Unit Play - #101 San Francisco -2-110 over Kansas City (Sunday, February 11, 2024, 6:30 PM ET) 4-Unit Play - #101-102 San Francisco/Kansas City GAME TOTAL UNDER 47.5-110 (Sunday, February 11, 2024, 6:30 PM ET)
Bender Consensus Group (MTD) 12-2 +13.90 unit (+51.06% roi)
(YTD) 43-19-1 +29.22 unit (+25.4% roi)* Jersey number of First TD Scored Over Number 19.5(-115) (BetUS) 1u
7-Unit Play. #101. Take San Francisco 49ers -2 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday @ 6:30pm est)
We roll with the Niners here as we think finally Kyle Shanahan releases his demons. Of course, as a Falcons fan I will never forgive him for the fact we lost to the Patriots up 28-3. But, that's ok. Shanahan knows how poorly his team started against the Lions, they came out very flat and unfocused and did not respect the Lions and they certainly will respect the defending champs here in the Chiefs. The Chiefs of course beat the Ravens - on the road - and still get no respect here. But, at the end of the day, the difference here is the skill positions for the Niners are much better even though their QB is no where near the realm of Mahomes. This sets up beautifully for Vegas as the public will grab the points with the chiefs, all their experience, with Andy Reid, with Taylor Swift and the defending champs at that, and they all get buried here simply because Shannahan puts his absolute best effort forward here, has the better assistants, and I think they put together a fantastic game plan and they not only do well, they not only take an early lead but they pour on the gas in the 2nd half for a huge win here. Remember, the Niners can also prove a point by beating the Chiefs - who beat the Ravens - who destroyed the Niners earlier this year at home. This is such a benchmark game for this franchise and I think they get it done and Brock Purdy cements himself as the new Tom Brady as Mr. Irrelevant into major star.
3-Unit Play. Take Under 47.5 San Francisco vs. Kansas City (Sunday @ 6:30pm est)
The Niners gave up 30+ points against the Lions with a terrible defensive game and with that in mind, they play much better defense here and at the same token, we like the favorite/under modality here which is something I have always followed. We do this in basketball as well which is what has led us to a winning season in college basketball, and what we expect here is a solid effort from the Niners as a quality bounce-back and the Chiefs of course come off a great win against the Ravens by holding that defense in check, and I think they will make Purdy throw the ball and then use the offense to run the ball as often as they can, to ruck the clock and keep McCaffery off the field, Hence, Under.
Super Bowl Pick
6:30 PM EST
Rotation #101
49ers -2.5 over Chiefs
Super Bowl 58 might be the closest matchup on paper we have seen in years. Most of the public money backs the Chiefs. Kansas City covered all three playoff games, while the 49ers didn’t cover both of their games. It’s clear why the betting public favors Kansas City. Another factor is a particular celebrity dating a Chiefs player. Remember that the Super Bowl is not a game; it’s an event. You could make a case for either team, but we are going with the 49ers because they have more depth on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Chiefs left tackle Joe Thuney has yet to practice, and the Kansas City backups on the offensive line lack experience. Derrick Nnadi and Charles Omenihu have been placed on IR, so the Chiefs lack depth on the defensive line. Kansas City could be in serious trouble if anyone gets hurt. Star players get all the glory, but football is a game decided in the trenches. Four years ago, the 49ers blew the Super Bowl to the Chiefs and are out for revenge. The paths to winning the Super Bowl will be different for both teams. The Chiefs will want to throw, while the 49ers will run the ball. Chrisitan McCaffrey is a serious weapon, and his presence allows the 49ers to throw the football when the coverage is favorable. Deebo Samuel being on the field results in big plays from him or other receivers who get less attention. San Francisco had a phenomenal season as they dominated the NFC. It wasn’t until a month ago that Kansas City turned it on. This game will come down to a fortunate bounce. Look for San Francisco to win their first title in almost 30 years. Take the 49ers.
Prop Bets for Super Bowl LVIII
Justin Watson (KC) Over 1.5 catches +115
Justin Watson (KC) Over 17.5 receiving yards, -110
Justin Watson (KC) first touchdown of the game +1325
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) first touchdown of the game +1100
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Over 59.5 receiving yards -115
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Over 4.5 receptions +130
The first 49ers player to score a TD, Brandon Aiyuk, +550
Which Team will have more red-zone trips? 49ers -115
Will Christian McCaffrey (SF) have a run over 18 yards? YES -120
Super Bowl MVP Brock Purdy (SF) +235
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