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Re: 3-21-09
Ferrrringo
3-Unit Play. Take #522 Villanova (-2) over UCLA (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 145.0 UCLA vs. Villanova (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
UCLA looked like garbage against VCU on Thursday. The Rams had exactly one player and UCLA couldn't stay with him or stop them. Villanova didn't play much better. But they are still at home, in front of a favorable crowd, playing a West Coast team at 1 p.m. The Wildcats are the better team. And if they play at all up to their capabilities then they should run the Bruins. They have better guards, more interior scoring, and they have competed against better competition all year. This is a short number and a win should cover it.
1-Unit Play. Take #517 Texas (+7.5) over Duke (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
Texas's guards are going to get manhandled by Duke. AJ. Abrams is going to get hounded. But this is a type of team - large, athletic, and dominating in the post - that has given the Blue Devils fits in the past. Texas should control the boards and be able to defend the basket. So it's all about whether or not Duke hits their outside shots. I'm ready to bank on UT coming to play today and putting up a fight. Win or lose, I think they can play with the Blue Devils and I think they will.
1-Unit Play. Take #528 Washington (-1.5) over Purdue (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 140.0 Purdue vs. Washington (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
I really liked the energy and the passion that Washington played with on Thursday. Their guards are more aggressive and much more experienced. I love it that they are playing in front of, essentially, a home crowd. Mississippi State was playing as well as anyone in the country coming into the tournament and Washington smothered them. Purdue is playing great. I had them as one of a couple teams to come out of this region. But they were lackluster against Northern Iowa and I'm curious how they are going to perform against someone who matches their defensive intensity. We're going with the home team, going with the seniors and experience, and we're going with the team that played better in the opening round.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #526 Oklahoma (-6.5) over Michigan (5 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
I know that everyone thinks that Michigan is super-sleeper and is ready to make a run in this tournament. Well, I'm still not buying. Clemson played awful against the Wolverines on Thursday and didn't come close to exploiting their size advantage on the interior. Oklahoma is going to do that. The Sooners have played these types of perimeter teams before - Baylor and Nebraska come to mind - and they have had great success.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #529 Western Kentucky (+11) over Gonzaga (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
Gonzaga is overrated. I mean, Akron was awful and the Zags were in danger of losing to them. They didn't cover the spread in that game and they aren't a legitimate Final Four contender. Gonzaga is soft inside. They are a good team from a small conference and there are plenty of those out there. I didn't think that WKU is much this year. But they've been an ATM machine over the last month and I think that this number is thick.
1-Unit Play. Take #515 LSU (+12.5) over North Carolina (5:45 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
North Carolina put on a display in the first round. But LSU is a team that can actually score with them. The Heels likely won't still have Ty Lawson, and if they do he won't be 100 percent. That's driving the line up and I have to think that the Tigers will at least put up a fight this evening.
1-Unit Play. Take #523 Maryland (+9.5) over Maryland (3:20 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
I think I've made my feelings pretty clear on how I feel about Memphis. They aren't very good, they aren't making it to the Final Four, and I'll be playing against them as long as they are playing. It's about that simple.
Ferrrringo
3-Unit Play. Take #522 Villanova (-2) over UCLA (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 145.0 UCLA vs. Villanova (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
UCLA looked like garbage against VCU on Thursday. The Rams had exactly one player and UCLA couldn't stay with him or stop them. Villanova didn't play much better. But they are still at home, in front of a favorable crowd, playing a West Coast team at 1 p.m. The Wildcats are the better team. And if they play at all up to their capabilities then they should run the Bruins. They have better guards, more interior scoring, and they have competed against better competition all year. This is a short number and a win should cover it.
1-Unit Play. Take #517 Texas (+7.5) over Duke (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
Texas's guards are going to get manhandled by Duke. AJ. Abrams is going to get hounded. But this is a type of team - large, athletic, and dominating in the post - that has given the Blue Devils fits in the past. Texas should control the boards and be able to defend the basket. So it's all about whether or not Duke hits their outside shots. I'm ready to bank on UT coming to play today and putting up a fight. Win or lose, I think they can play with the Blue Devils and I think they will.
1-Unit Play. Take #528 Washington (-1.5) over Purdue (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 140.0 Purdue vs. Washington (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
I really liked the energy and the passion that Washington played with on Thursday. Their guards are more aggressive and much more experienced. I love it that they are playing in front of, essentially, a home crowd. Mississippi State was playing as well as anyone in the country coming into the tournament and Washington smothered them. Purdue is playing great. I had them as one of a couple teams to come out of this region. But they were lackluster against Northern Iowa and I'm curious how they are going to perform against someone who matches their defensive intensity. We're going with the home team, going with the seniors and experience, and we're going with the team that played better in the opening round.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #526 Oklahoma (-6.5) over Michigan (5 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
I know that everyone thinks that Michigan is super-sleeper and is ready to make a run in this tournament. Well, I'm still not buying. Clemson played awful against the Wolverines on Thursday and didn't come close to exploiting their size advantage on the interior. Oklahoma is going to do that. The Sooners have played these types of perimeter teams before - Baylor and Nebraska come to mind - and they have had great success.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #529 Western Kentucky (+11) over Gonzaga (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
Gonzaga is overrated. I mean, Akron was awful and the Zags were in danger of losing to them. They didn't cover the spread in that game and they aren't a legitimate Final Four contender. Gonzaga is soft inside. They are a good team from a small conference and there are plenty of those out there. I didn't think that WKU is much this year. But they've been an ATM machine over the last month and I think that this number is thick.
1-Unit Play. Take #515 LSU (+12.5) over North Carolina (5:45 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
North Carolina put on a display in the first round. But LSU is a team that can actually score with them. The Heels likely won't still have Ty Lawson, and if they do he won't be 100 percent. That's driving the line up and I have to think that the Tigers will at least put up a fight this evening.
1-Unit Play. Take #523 Maryland (+9.5) over Maryland (3:20 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
I think I've made my feelings pretty clear on how I feel about Memphis. They aren't very good, they aren't making it to the Final Four, and I'll be playing against them as long as they are playing. It's about that simple.
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