3-23-09

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:46 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Craig Trapp

How bad does Kentucky have to be that they are traveling to Creighton in the NIT and are the underdog at -2. Hard to imagine at the beginning of this season that anyone would have imagined this scenario but never the less it has occurred. The Wildcats started there NIT off with a bang playing at home and winning by 10 points and looking very impressive. Creighton on the other hand did win but had to hold on late barely beating Bowling Green by 2 points. Lets look at records and trend for this match up:

Records:

Creighton 27-7 overall 16-13 ATS

Kentucky 21-13 overall 14-14 ATS

Trends:

Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Creighton is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Creighton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Neither one of these teams have been playing well ATS but you have to think the toughness of the schedule for UK will help them in this match up. Creighton has not faced any player as good as Patrick Paterson and Jody Meeks. UK getting 2 points on the road isn't a lock but definitely think Meeks and Patterson can carry this Wildcat team all the way to Madison Square Gardens. Both of these players are most likely auditioning for the NBA draft as both most likely will leaver early. Creighton will keep it close early but UK is too athletic and the stars will prevail. SCORE UK 73 - CREI 70

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:46 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Scott Rickenbach’s

College Basketball Picks
3/23/2009
7:00:00 PM CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS(-2)
over Kentucky Wildcats
Scott Rickenbach’s March Madness 2* (Top Play) Creighton Blue Jays (-) vs Kentucky @ 7 PM ET – When Creighton squeaked by Bowling Green Wednesday there were a couple of key factors. One was that the Blue Jays were still trying to get over the disappointment of not making the Big Dance. The other was that the Falcons had an 11-4 run going as they headed into Creighton for an NIT Opener that Bowling Green was much more excited about than the Blue Jays were. This all showed up in the way the Blue Jays played that game as they trailed by as many as 14 points in the first half and still trailed by 8 points with under 9 minutes to play in the game! Creighton simply was disappointed by not making the Big Dance and they were also guilty of overlooking Bowling Green. That all changes now for the Blue Jays as, after surviving the expected “let-down game”, it’s a unique opportunity that now sits in front of Creighton! The Blue Jays are fired up about the opportunity of hosting Kentucky in a game that will be televised on ESPN. This is a rare chance for Creighton to secure a high-profile victory over a big-school foe! Additionally, even though they certainly won’t overlook the Wildcats, the Blue Jays know that defeating Kentucky will set up a home date with Notre Dame. This would be huge for Creighton, a Catholic school, as they would then get a showdown with one of the most high-profile programs in the country. As you can see, and the players don’t need reminded of this but Coach Dana Altman will do just that, not making the NCAA Tournament is not the total disaster it originally appeared to be. After surviving the first round scare, the Blue Jays now see this as an opportunity to take down some big-name schools and make a run at winning the NIT! The Blue Jays have the horses to do just that. Kentucky, though they did manage to beat UNLV in the first round, is still upset about missing out on the Big Dance. That’s because it was the first time the Wildcats had missed the NCAA Tourney in 18 years! That’s not very easy to overcome and coach Billy Gillispie continues to be on the hot seat. Unlike a Creighton team that was red-hot at the end of the season, the Wildcats had lost 9 of their last 13 games before coming up with the win over UNLV. The trouble here is that Creighton has enough size inside to slow down big man Patrick Patterson of Kentucky. Also, the Wildcats have seen star Jodie Meeks continue to struggle with his shooting touch. Kentucky also has had a big problem with turnovers this season and we feel certain that Creighton’s pressure defense is absolutely going to disrupt the Wildcats offense throughout this game. Kentucky shot 50% from the floor against UNLV even though three starters – Meeks, Michael Porter, Perry Stevenson – combined to make just 9 of their 25 shots. The rest of the team made 17 of 27 shots from the floor and that’s unlikely to be repeated against the pressure defense that the Blue Jays employ. Yes, Creighton’s defense did not look good against Bowling Green but so much of that had to do with missing out on the Big Dance. The situation is an entirely different one now. The Blue Jays are hosting the Wildcats of Kentucky and that means they bring their “A game” tonight and score a big win for the mid-majors in this one! Play Creighton minus the points as a Top Play selection.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:46 PM

Re: 3-23-09

The King Maker | CBB Total
double-dime bet616 Creighton / 615 Kentucky Over 139.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Kentucky/Creighton OVER 139 (-120) BetUS

2-Units

Mississippi 85

Kentucky 80

Georgia 90

Kentucky 85

(KM TOTAL Cashed with 10 min remaining)

Both of the teams mentioned above possess 4 GUARDS in their top 5 in terms of production.

Kentucky has 1 Guard in their top 5.

HMMMMMMM?

5 of the top 6 points producers for Creighton are GUARDS.

Does something start to resonate with you?

A HOME perimeter team against this lumbering Kentucky perimeter defense will have plenty of open looks. And Kentucky is a team that depends on 4 Forwards to pull most of the weight on defense.

Creighton is designed to take advantage of this sort of allignment mismatch.

If they hit the THREE, then this game cashes early.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:47 PM

Re: 3-23-09

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NHL MONEYMAKER BEST BET

Pick # 1 New Jersey Devils (-115)

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:47 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Dave M
4* #602 ATLANTA/MINESOTA Under

Full season numbers are lagging way behind where these two are
performing in this category right now, and with Mike Woodson in a
classic MTG setting (?Manage The Game?), off of Cleveland, and with
San Antonio, Boston and the Lakers immediately on deck, this pace is
not going anywhere.

Before that Saturday road loss against the Cavaliers the Hawks had
made news on a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS home stand, with Maurice
Williams assimilating well into the starting lineup. What went
unnoticed, based on tonight?s high Total, was that there was another
pattern in play beyond the Hawks just winning ? the pace was slowing,
and the defense was gearing up. Those seven games played Under at a
6-1 clip, falling a collective 69 points below the projections, or
nearly 10 full points per game. And the only Over came in a setting
in which the Hawks could not help but scored in a 119-97 blowout of
Sacramento. And since the All Star break it has been an 8-1 tally to
the Under on this court, falling a collective 105 points below the
projections. There is no reason for that to change here in a game
that the Hawks should be able to command the pace throughout.

Minnesota provides one of those sleeper counter-sides to MTG
settings. When the Timberwolves come to town it is a chance for the
home team to get a win without overly taxing themselves, and we can
see the patter this way ? in five settings as a road underdog in
March it has been a 4-1 Under count, with those games falling 40
points below the projections. At the back end of a cycle that makes
this the fifth game in seven days, with a court change every time,
Kevin McHale knows that his best chance to compete is to make this as
slow of a flow as possible, which further plays to our purposes.

4* #616 CREIGHTON over KENTUCKY

It might not be a stretch to call for this to be one of the most
intense crowds we will ever see for an NIT game, with standing room
only seats now being sold at the Qwest Center, where they may top out
at over 18,00 spectators tonight (Creighton reached 17,954 vs.
Wichita State earlier). And that provides exactly the kind of passion
and intensity that can drive a key matchup advantage into an easy win
for the home team.

Creighton came out flat in the NIT opener vs. Bowling Green, which is
what happens to a lot of teams that felt that they were snubbed by
the Big Dance (no team had ever had 26 wins, and finished in the RPI
top 40, without getting in). But whereas the markets often view such
a performance as a team being disinterested, it is in game #2 when
the intensity and focus returns, particularly when a name program is
coming to town. And Dana Altman?s squad has the ideal tactics to make
this one work.

Altman has one of the deepest rotations in the nation, with 10
different players averaging at least 14 minutes per game, and they
will press the length of the court for the full 40minutes. Nine of
those 10 players have at least a dozen steals, and it helped them to
finish #12 in the nation in turnover margin. And in terms of floor
play the overall execution brings a lot of extra scoring
opportunities to the table ? the finished +63 in assist to turnover
ratio, while holding their opponents to -133 in that same category.

Enter Kentucky. While Jodie Meeks is special on the perimeter and
Patrick Patterson is a load down low, the Wildcats are just abysmal
at handling the rock. And we mean abysmal. They finished #322 in the
nation in turnovers (correct, #322), and #296 in turnover margin.
They gave the ball up 586 times this season, with seven different
players turning the ball over at least 53 times. Those just happen to
be the only seven players that average double-figure minutes, which
also makes this an uphill battle as the Blue Jays throw fresher
players at them all evening, with the crowd only making matters more
difficult for the Wildcat ball-handlers.

The S.E.C. was nothing special at all this season, and yet Kentucky
is being priced as being the significantly better team here, based on
what we think the home court is worth. We will back a hungry
Creighton team to create easy points off of Wildcat turnovers to
build a lead in this one, and the Blue Jays can use their 75.3
percent free throw accuracy to close it out late.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:47 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Docs sports

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st. Mary's 4 (4U)
north eastern- 7.5 (3U)
bradley -3 (3U)

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:47 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Rocketman Sports NCAA 03/23/09
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Oakland vs. Bradley (NCAAB) - Mar 23, 2009 9:00 PM EDTPlay: Point Spread: 3/-104 Oakland Pick Title: Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play MondayOakland @ Bradley 8:00 PM EST Play On: Oakland +3 1/2 Oakland comes in with a 23-12 record this year while Bradley is 19-14 on the season. Oakland is 5-1 ATS since 1997 and 4-0 ATS last 3 years when playing in March. Seems they step it up a notch at the end of the season. Oakland is 5-1 ATS since 1997 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Golden Grizzlies are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Golden Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Golden Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Golden Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Golden Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Grizzlies are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Golden Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Braves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Braves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:47 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NBA Sides
free pick613 PHI 8.0 (-110) vs 614 POR
Analysis: The Sixers can still salvage a winning record on the five-game West Coast swing with a victory Monday night. They'll go 3-2 if they can beat the Trail Blazers. The Sixers handled Portland 100-79 in the teams' first meeting on Jan. 14. They had 11 three-pointers in the game, held a 16-2 edge in fast-break points and the bench's plus-minus total was plus-69; I expect another similar performance. Portland is a horrible 4-5 ATS against Atlantic division opponents; play on the 76'ers

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:48 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Florida Panthers -110

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:48 PM

Re: 3-23-09

MURRAY HILL MIKE’S CIT BIG BOSS
Murray Hill Mike remains HOT in College Hoops going 2-1 again yesterday with winners on Arizona (Big Boss) and Kansas (Black Hand) and narrowly missed out on Pitt by 1 point! With that Big Boss win on Arizona, that makes it EIGHT STRAIGHT WINNERS (100%) in College Basketball! Mike is now 12-6 (67%) in the NCAA Tournament!

BRADLEY
Larry Ness' 20* CIT 2nd Round GOY (15-7 s/Mar 3)
Larry's high-end plays in CBB (20*s or higher) have gone 15-7 (68.2 percent) since the beginning of the conference tourneys on March 3. It's a new week but Larry's 'ASSAULT' continues, as this 25-year vet has no plans of letting up. He tips off this Monday with his 20* CIT 2nd Round GOY. Any takers?

BRADLEY

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:49 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Wizards +7.5
2* Nuggets/Suns over 237
3* Magic/Knicks over 213

NCAA:

2* Vermont +1
4* Davidson/St. Mary's over 142

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 02:49 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Matty O'Shea | NBA Sides
dime bet
611 DEN 3.5 (-110) vs 612 PHO
Analysis:Single Dime NBA Underdog Play O' the Day on Nuggets +3.5

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 03:56 PM

Re: 3-23-09

S S G

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10** Game of the year

Davidson v. St Marys
PICK: St Marys CA -4* Buy the half point..

**Mr. IWS** · 03-23-2009, 03:56 PM

Re: 3-23-09

Fairway Jay: Belmont

3-23-09

3-23-09

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