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Re: 3-23-09
INDIAN COWBOY
5 Unit Play (CBI Goy). Take Over 143.5 between Charleston vs. Richmond (Monday @ 7pm est). We started off the week strong in college hoops last week and then tailed a bit. No worries as I'm confident our research will yield a strong March to close and then we will continue to roll as the NBA takes us into summer. We had a winning January and February in college hoops and I'm confident we will return to that consistency we are used to. If you are looking for other selections today check out the site each day and read the research as every cbb and nba game is researched and published except for the ones that I have a play in. As per this play, Charleston is a team that can light it up. Frankly, it should have been this team that should have been playing in the NCAA Tourney but one of the worst officiated games ever went down in the books in Chattanooga as the home crowd helped propel Chattanooga to a birth to the Tourney. I'm glad the Southern Conference strategy of playing conference games blew up in their face as Chatt got blown out by 50+ to Uconn. If that was Charleston, I can promise you it would have been far more competitive. Rather than taking Charleston to win this game, let's take the over as I expect them to be a solid dog today. Remember, Charleston put up 93 points on Troy on the road and 77 points on Davidson on the road. For this game to go ovr, we need to expect each team to knock up roughly 72 points which I expec tot happen. Just as much as Charleston relies on the outside shot and loves to run, Richmond likes to do the same. The Spiders are the same team that put up 80 points on Xavier at home and 78 against Rhode Island. Heck, Richmond even put up 75 points against a defensive St. John's team and that game totaled 144. So, why can't this game total of 144? The over is 4-0 in the last 4 non-conference games and the over is 5-1 for the Spiders in the last 6 home games when they face a team with a winning % greater than 60% - meaning that if when they face competitive teams, both teams push the total over.
4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU (Monday @ 7pm eastern). Write-up to come by 12:15pm eastern. This is just way too tempting not to take Belmont here for several reasons. For starers, the public to a tune of 70% loves ODU here. But, it is Belmont that is a rock solid taem who shoots nearly 70% free throws, who lost to Tennessee on the road by a bucket and who comes off beating Evansville by 16 on the road. Belmont is out of the A-sun and I have personally seen this team place several times this year. This team lost to the eventual A-Sun champ in East-Tennessee State. This is not to take anything away from ODU but if you noticed they only beat Citadel by 8 points at home who is a top 200 team. Belmont is a top 125 team. ODU only beat the likes of William and Mary and Richmond by 1 point and 3 points. Belmont is an extremely well coached team, that shoots quailty free throws and runs a nice pro-set offense and defense. I can see Belmont hanging tough here and have an outside shot at a win. I'll take the 6 points here as the ODU Monarchs are 1-7 ATS as a small favorite of 0 to 6.5 points at home and 2-9 ATS as a favorite of this margin as they typically do not play well as small home favorites as they typically win these games but not by a wide margin.
4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Celtics -15.5 over the L.A. Clippers (Monday @ 7pm est). It's not often that I take such a heavy favorite, but I like the Celtics here as they return home from their road trip. The C's are back in form after crushing the Grizzlies on the road and Garnett played for over 15 minutes in that contest as he gets a feel for the action again. The C's have won their last 3 including over Miami at home, defeating San Antonio on the road with Garnett back and defeating Memphis on the road by 18. The C's lost to the Clippers on the road by a bucket last time around and without a doubt, Pierce, Allen and company remember that loss. This team remembers their losses such as the one to SA only to go on the road to defeat them. I look for the C's to step up big here and win in a defensive manner holding the Clippers to probably less than 90 points while the Celtics top 110 at home with that revenge. There might be a backdoor cover here, but if the C's can win by 18 on the road at Memphis, why can't they win by 16 or more at hoem against a team who they have revenge with as they return home from back to back road games. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS when facing a team with a winning record on the road, they are 1-4 ATS as 11 point dogs or greater while the C's are 15-5 as a favorite of 11 points or greater at home.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
INDIAN COWBOY
5 Unit Play (CBI Goy). Take Over 143.5 between Charleston vs. Richmond (Monday @ 7pm est). We started off the week strong in college hoops last week and then tailed a bit. No worries as I'm confident our research will yield a strong March to close and then we will continue to roll as the NBA takes us into summer. We had a winning January and February in college hoops and I'm confident we will return to that consistency we are used to. If you are looking for other selections today check out the site each day and read the research as every cbb and nba game is researched and published except for the ones that I have a play in. As per this play, Charleston is a team that can light it up. Frankly, it should have been this team that should have been playing in the NCAA Tourney but one of the worst officiated games ever went down in the books in Chattanooga as the home crowd helped propel Chattanooga to a birth to the Tourney. I'm glad the Southern Conference strategy of playing conference games blew up in their face as Chatt got blown out by 50+ to Uconn. If that was Charleston, I can promise you it would have been far more competitive. Rather than taking Charleston to win this game, let's take the over as I expect them to be a solid dog today. Remember, Charleston put up 93 points on Troy on the road and 77 points on Davidson on the road. For this game to go ovr, we need to expect each team to knock up roughly 72 points which I expec tot happen. Just as much as Charleston relies on the outside shot and loves to run, Richmond likes to do the same. The Spiders are the same team that put up 80 points on Xavier at home and 78 against Rhode Island. Heck, Richmond even put up 75 points against a defensive St. John's team and that game totaled 144. So, why can't this game total of 144? The over is 4-0 in the last 4 non-conference games and the over is 5-1 for the Spiders in the last 6 home games when they face a team with a winning % greater than 60% - meaning that if when they face competitive teams, both teams push the total over.
4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU (Monday @ 7pm eastern). Write-up to come by 12:15pm eastern. This is just way too tempting not to take Belmont here for several reasons. For starers, the public to a tune of 70% loves ODU here. But, it is Belmont that is a rock solid taem who shoots nearly 70% free throws, who lost to Tennessee on the road by a bucket and who comes off beating Evansville by 16 on the road. Belmont is out of the A-sun and I have personally seen this team place several times this year. This team lost to the eventual A-Sun champ in East-Tennessee State. This is not to take anything away from ODU but if you noticed they only beat Citadel by 8 points at home who is a top 200 team. Belmont is a top 125 team. ODU only beat the likes of William and Mary and Richmond by 1 point and 3 points. Belmont is an extremely well coached team, that shoots quailty free throws and runs a nice pro-set offense and defense. I can see Belmont hanging tough here and have an outside shot at a win. I'll take the 6 points here as the ODU Monarchs are 1-7 ATS as a small favorite of 0 to 6.5 points at home and 2-9 ATS as a favorite of this margin as they typically do not play well as small home favorites as they typically win these games but not by a wide margin.
4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Celtics -15.5 over the L.A. Clippers (Monday @ 7pm est). It's not often that I take such a heavy favorite, but I like the Celtics here as they return home from their road trip. The C's are back in form after crushing the Grizzlies on the road and Garnett played for over 15 minutes in that contest as he gets a feel for the action again. The C's have won their last 3 including over Miami at home, defeating San Antonio on the road with Garnett back and defeating Memphis on the road by 18. The C's lost to the Clippers on the road by a bucket last time around and without a doubt, Pierce, Allen and company remember that loss. This team remembers their losses such as the one to SA only to go on the road to defeat them. I look for the C's to step up big here and win in a defensive manner holding the Clippers to probably less than 90 points while the Celtics top 110 at home with that revenge. There might be a backdoor cover here, but if the C's can win by 18 on the road at Memphis, why can't they win by 16 or more at hoem against a team who they have revenge with as they return home from back to back road games. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS when facing a team with a winning record on the road, they are 1-4 ATS as 11 point dogs or greater while the C's are 15-5 as a favorite of 11 points or greater at home.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
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