Tuesday 5/21/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Parx - Race #1

#3 MENDED WE STAND (9-2)	Right set-up, right price for barn that produced his best race at 6F.
#8 OLD HEAD (8-1)	Good long sprint record at Parx, enters 24-percent claim barn, price attached.
#2 SEEKING THE DREAM (5-2)	Beaten fave in 4 of last 6, drops off claim for trainer that spots ‘em well.
Race Summary	Tough race with several recent claims eyeing this condition. MENDED WE STAND drew away to win off the re-claim, projects an ideal stalking trip on the class rise and ran her best race at this distance when she won at Parx. Bet to win and place and play a 2-3-8 exacta box.

Parx - Race #2

#5 SEEYOUTATTHEHOP (6-1)	Troubled trip behind runaway, gets Lasix, value remains.
#6 STYLE TO FOLLOW (4-1)	Bid 3-wide on turn, no match for 7-1 firster at Tampa Bay Downs.
#7 CHIT CHAT CHUB (2-1)	Took money off bullet workout at Belmont, raced wide to finish second.
Race Summary	SEEYOUATTHEHOP finished a length behind morning-line favorite CHIT CHAT CHUB for the place spot in a useful – and troubled -- debut at 31-1. She drops in for a tag, worked in :48 flat since her race and gets Lasix. Bet to win and place.

Parx - Race #4

#6 JACKSON ROAD (6-1)	Late runner returns to main track, returns as gelding, won with Gonzalez.
#5 BURN THE EVIDENCE (7-2)	Beaten fave last out romped twice at Parx, might need passing gear.
#7 WHO KNOWS (9-5)	Held safe the lead in slow – but crowded – maiden field after dueling.
Race Summary	JACKSON ROAD makes his first start as a gelding and is working forwardly for his seasonal debut. The race favorites should provide ample pace flow for a possible upset victory at 6-1/2F. Bet to win and place and play 6-5 and 6-7 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs

PURCHASE

Assiniboia Downs - Race 1	DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / .20 PICK 3 (Races 1-2-3) / .20 SUPERFECTA .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 51 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:30P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PLUNGEINTOTHENITE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THREE ROUGH SHODS: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Hor se is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. BIG AND BOLD: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an in side post position and isn't a Trailer. PLUNGEINTOTHENITE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post pos ition.
4	THREE ROUGH SHODS	7/5	5/2
1	BIG AND BOLD	5/1	4/1
2	PLUNGEINTOTHENITE	12/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	PLUNGEINTOTHENITE	2	12/1	Front-runner	0	0	66.4	35.1	28.1
1	BIG AND BOLD	1	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	59	51	45.2	38.6	34.1
6	WIKWEMIKONG GHOST	6	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	23.5	50.5	45.5
4	THREE ROUGH SHODS	4	7/5	Alternator/Stalker	63	57	11.4	59.7	56.7
5	CAUSE I BELIEVE	5	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	54	41	53.8	32.2	23.2
3	DADSAMUMBLER	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	30.0	34.0	24.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for FanDuel Horse RacingPURCHASE

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race 2	$1.00 Daily Double (Races 2-3) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) /.50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) .10 Cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 43 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 1:28P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * NEAP TIDE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EIGHT MAY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. KNUCKLE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7	NEAP TIDE	4/1	7/2
2	EIGHT MAY	3/1	9/2
6	KNUCKLE	7/2	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	NEAP TIDE	7	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	82	45.1	24.1	19.6
2	EIGHT MAY	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	49	51	31.9	32.9	29.9
6	KNUCKLE	6	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	49	44	18.6	34.8	28.8
4	PLAY THE BLUES	4	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	74.7	19.2	11.7
5	LELAND JOHN	5	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	41	30	41.0	20.4	8.9
3	HALF THE BATTLE	3	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	58	25	17.8	19.8	9.8
1	LORD ZEKE	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	17.5	19.2	9.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 77

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 E'S MAGIC 8/5
# 4 NONEOFYOURBUSINESS 5/2
# 2 ADDICTED TO LOVE 4/1

E'S MAGIC looks to be a decent contender. Strong average speed figs in dirt sprint races make this horse a contender. Her 77 average has this filly with among the top Speed Figures for this event. Davis has her trained solidly to break rapidly out of the starting gate. NONEOFYOURBUSINESS - Have to assume this equine will do well again today. Her 63 average has this filly with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figs for this race. ADDICTED TO LOVE - Trainer boasts solid win figs at this distance and surface. Must be considered in this race if only for the very good speed figure earned in the last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race #7 - Post: 6:35pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#8 CHEAPSKATE DIVA (ML=6/1)
#5 FORT POLK (ML=9/2)


CHEAPSKATE DIVA - This pony should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. Ran last time out against a tougher field at Fair Grounds. The move to a lower class rank should suit her well. FORT POLK - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been generating a lucrative return on investment. 61-65-69 are last 3 speed ratings. Improving each time out is something she should do again in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 OLIVIA G (ML=3/1), #6 BOX OF PICTURES (ML=7/2), #4 HIGHLY WICKED (ML=8/1),

OLIVIA G - Tough to keep following this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. BOX OF PICTURES - Hard to play at 7/2 odds after the two most recent efforts. HIGHLY WICKED - 8/1 is just too low of a reward to take on most any racer that has run poorly in back to back efforts.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - CHEAPSKATE DIVA - Don't overlook this horse in your wagering. She owns the best average class figure against these horses in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #8 CHEAPSKATE DIVA to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,800 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#3 HONOUR'S CHOICE (ML=8/1)
#1 MAGNA CAT (ML=9/2)


HONOUR'S CHOICE - Batista is back up for another contest today after riding aboard this animal for the first ride on April 30th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This jockey/handler duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +124. I really like that most recent effort on Apr 30th at Mountaineer Park where she ran first. MAGNA CAT - The ROI when Aviles and Godsey team up is fantastic. Godsey, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in this event. A positive sign. Earnings per race is something that I think can be an important factor. This thoroughbred is ranked the highest in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BETTY'S SONG (ML=8/5), #7 WANDA SUSIE DOOZY (ML=3/1), #2 SYBARITE (ML=7/2),

BETTY'S SONG - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint affairs recently. Doubtful to see her doing it today either. WANDA SUSIE DOOZY - Difficult to wager on this questionable contender today. Make her show you something in a short distance event before you bet on her in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. SYBARITE - I just don't possess a good feeling about this questionable contender in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 HONOUR'S CHOICE on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 72

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 21, 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 OLD MAN WINTER 9/5
# 1 FOLLOW THE SIGNS 2/1
# 7 MASETA 10/1

OLD MAN WINTER looks like the bet in here. Could provide positive returns based on formidable recent speed figs with an average of 74. Acquilano has him trained soundly to break swiftly out of the starting gate. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good handicapping angle. This horse ranks at the top in this field. FOLLOW THE SIGNS - I like the jockey on this gelding - strong chance to win the contest. The average class figure of 71 makes this one difficult to beat. MASETA - Has longshot possibilities and could score at boxcar odds. The extreme drop in competition can only help this one this time around.