Saturday 5/25/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-24-2024, 06:42 AM

Race of the Week: Snow Chief at Santa Anita | Saturday

May 23, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:
Memorial Day weekend at Santa Anita features 11 stakes races Saturday through Monday, including the Hollywood Gold Cup on the final day. Saturday's action boasts 5 stakes in the California Gold Rush series, including the 10-runner Snow Chief Stakes. The 1-1/8 miles turf test for 3-year-old California-breds goes as Race 8 of 10 on the card and will be our focus.

Field Depth:
SHADY TIGER is the lone stakes winner in the field. STOLEN TREASURE is multiple stakes-placed. CURLIN'S KAOS has the strongest company lines having contested a pair of graded stakes in open company.

Pace:
TAKES THREE, STAY ON THE FENCE and STOLEN TREASURE all should vie for the front and there's a chance some sprint-tor-route types will increase what's already a solid pace to fast. A finisher should have every chance.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-SHADY TIGER: Nearly perfect in 4 starts, all sprints, he's shown ability on dirt and turf and has the field's signature victory in the Echo Eddie Stakes sprinting on dirt. May be best as a closing sprinter, but dam did win twice around 2 turns and could squeeze a mile. Feels like a win-or-toss type and shorter price projection pushes me away. with some reluctance.

#2-SIZE DOES MATTER: Only win in 5 starts came in $25,000 maiden claiming debut and had no excuse when third in common race with several Snow Chief rivals. Prefer others.

#3-TAKES THREE: Absolutely got his way on the front end in an April 28 allowance vs. several of these and gave way. Tempo only gets tougher for 1-for-7 colt.

#4-TWO BY FOUR: Out-finished by no less than 4 of his return rivals among his last several starts, he'll need to turn the tables by displaying more late energy than he's shown in a couple of 2-turn bids. Certainly an exotics consideration, but more likely for the minor prizes.

#5-CURLIN'S KAOS: Horse to beat is 2-for-2 in Santa Anita turf miles, beating several of these last time in a visually pleasing allowance prep. Split the field in the Santa Anita Derby and Sunland Derby this spring. Chief concern is 0-4 record without Lasix, which will not be in play Saturday. Still the one to beat.

#6-STAY ON THE FENCE: Dirt sprints in 9 of 11 starts, only routing once and only trying turf once in separate affairs. Needs to make up more than 5 lengths on Shady Tiger and Stolen Treasure while showing something he's not done before in turf routing.

#7-TAMARANDO STAR: Northern California raider can handle the grass and distance, a more known quantity than several of these on Saturday. Has been contesting open company at Golden Gate Fields, which should translate well to SoCal state-breds. Excuse last result when facing older horses.

#8-FINAL STORM: Route pedigree for this lightly raced colt who has only 4 sprints on the resume. Rallying turf sprint winner in first start since Phil D'Amato claimed him out of a $50,000 maiden claiming victory. Fits well here and will be much better price than stablemate Shady Tiger.

#9-STOLEN TREASURE: Runner-up in the Cal Cup Derby and King Glorious on dirt, he returned with a weak effort in the aforementioned April 28 turf allowance prep. Ed Freeman goes back to blinkers this time, though raced with them twice as a juvenile to no avail. Pace player has to hustle from wide draw.

#10-KEEP MOVIN' ON: Drop-back closer likely trails early and will need a fast pace to have any impact. Only 1 win from 6 starts and didn't make enough headway in the common April 28 prep to elicit high hopes.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
CURLIN'S KAOS is 3: 2-0-1 on turf and unbeaten on the Santa Anita grass.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
Ex-maiden claimer FINAL STORM has pedigree to route and could appreciate the move from sprints.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$35 exacta part-wheel CURLIN'S KAOS with FINAL STORM, TAMARANDO STAR ($70). $15 exacta part-wheel FINAL STORM, TAMARANDO STAR with CURLIN'S KAOS ($30).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 08:46 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 25, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park has a 12-race card featuring Ontario Sires Stakes action. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9 (10:16 PM EST)

2-Funtime Bayama (6/5)-This 3-year-old had a very good freshman campaign and has looked great since coming off the bench in his 1st two starts. Likes to lead from gate to wire and that doesn't seem like an issue here. Would love to find more value but unless the trip is rotten the Moreau pupil should be posing again.

Race 10 (10:38 PM EST)

6-Control Heaven (8-1)-Maybe this class will be a bit much, but so far has won 2 of 3 in the Smith barn and has had the 10-hole 2 times. Willing to take a swing with this post draw and if comes out on top, this might be the last chance to get this kind of price for some time.
7-Taurasi (2-1)-Starting outside should help the price and unless there is a form change it probably won't make a difference in the outcome. Doug McNair is on a 5-year-old who has been unmatched on this track for a long time. Needs to be part of the ticket without a doubt.

Race 11 (11:00 PM EST)

3-Momas Son Byrne (7/2)-Seemed to be handled cautiously in the first start after a DNF, was 9th by 14 lengths at the 1st call on 4-27. Did rally from way back and had a 26.3 last panel to finish a close 4th. But the rally was aided by a 53.2 opening half. Should be used more aggressively early on and there could be some quick fractions to close into.
7-Uncle Shank A (5-1)-Shank was pulling the train into the 53.3 opening half but faded to finish 3rd. Willing to respect the effort, blistered the 3/4's in 121.0 and could be set-up for a big try off a different trip.

Race 12 (11:22 PM EST)

4-Blue Hunt (3-1)-Not loving the 3-1 morning line but this is the 3rd start since arriving from Yonkers. Lands in a more competitive spot than the first two races in town. Should be better tonight and it's best to respect.
6-Southwind Sambucca (5-1)-Raced well from this same post to come a well beaten 2nd behind Legendary Hanover who paced the mile in 148.3. Won't be facing any monsters tonight. Should be a square price and has hit the board in 6 of 10 at Mohawk with 2 pictures.
7-Redwood Hanover (5/2)-Raced well to finish 2nd against this kind 2 back and then disappointed at Flmd as the 7/5 choice. This will be the 3rd start since 11-9 and all systems should be dialed on high in a return to Mohawk. Has hit the board in 10 of 15 on the big track with 5 trips to the winner's circle.

1.00 Late Pick 4

2/6,7/3,7/4,6,7
Total Bet=$12

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 08:51 AM

Scott Shapiro: Churchill Spot Plays | Saturday, May 25, 2024

May 24, 2024 | By 1/ST BET
After night racing in Louisville last Saturday, Churchill Downs returns to an afternoon card this weekend headlined by the $250,000 Keertana Stakes. The 1 � mile affair for fillies and mares goes as Race 10 on the 11-race slate and makes up the fourth leg of an attractive late Pick 5 sequence that kicks off with an allowance sprint over the sod in Race 7. I am not in love with the feature from a wagering perspective, but do have a few horses I will lean on both in-race and vertically on Saturday afternoon.

Race 5: # 9 Zippin Gigi (3-1 ML)

There is very little speed signed on in this $25,000 claimer at 7-furlongs over the main track, which bodes extremely well for #9 Zippin Gigi. The son of Run Away and Hide makes his second start off the freshening after chasing 11-time winner, The Distractor early at Keeneland last month before tiring late. The Paul McGee trainee has not had things easy on the front end of late, but is in a great spot here after shaking off any potential rust last out. Wire-to-wire under Brian Hernandez, Jr.

Race 6: #11 Flawless Quality, 12-1 ML

This maiden special weight for fillies and mares at 7 panels looks ripe for a price, so let’s take a swing with second-time starter #11 Flawless Quality. The daughter of Quality Road did not do much running in her first try, but that came over a sloppy racetrack on Oaks Day earlier this month. The Dallas Stewart trainee lacked early speed from the rail and chased dominant winner Sundance Feature early before tiring badly in the lane. The price will need to be at least 10-1 to make it a worthwhile endeavor, but a move forward if not two is expected. The move from the rail to the outside should benefit as Julien Leparoux takes over riding duties.

Race 11: #5 Bougie Not Basic, 5-1 ML

The card concludes with another maiden special weight at seven-eighths for the ladies where #5 Bougie Not Basic returns to the races for trainer Mike Maker. The Pura Vida Investments filly got hammered down to 2-1 on debut in an 11-horse field at Keeneland in mid-April, but disappointed her backers with an underwhelming stalk and fade to kick off her career. That said, she should take a big step forward here moving off the rail and gaining the invaluable racing experience last month. Look for a big run from this daughter of Oscar Performance who moves from turf-to-dirt and attracts Ricardo Santana, Jr.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 08:52 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 5/25/24

May 25, 2024
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita “What You Need to Know
Saturday, May 25, 2024

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

View Jeff Siegel’s Prime Plays Video

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: Really Thirsty; 7-Stop Digging; 4-Quick Kate.
Backups/savers: 2-Clubhouse Bride; 3-Bella Vienna.

Forecast: Really Thirsty displayed some moxie when graduating over this course earlier this month, and while the step up in class might pose a challenge the shortening in trip to five furlongs should be highly agreeable. The Stay Thirsty filly projects to enjoy a pace pressing trip and then have her chance from the quarter pole home. Stop Digging is another coming off a nice maiden score over the local lawn and if it weren’t for her ice cold barn we give her strong consideration as a top pick. Quick Kate shows the popular route-to-sprint angle, and over a course that has been quite kind to the second flight closers the daughter of Clubhouse Ride looks very much like the most dangerous of the late runners.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Smoken If U Gottem; 2-Smiling Beast.
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: This state-bred maiden special weight affair has two players, one with a pivotal race under his belt and the other training like he’ll be a definite threat. Smokem If U Gottem finished a strong runner-up in a fast, highly rated race in his debut last month while earning a speed figure that would win this type of race eight times out of 10. It took a good colt to outrun him, so anything close to that sharp effort today will make him hard to beat. Smiling Beast has done everything right in the a.m. for B. Koriner and if he performs close to a.m. drills the son of Smiling Tiger should give his chief rival a real run for his money. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:03 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: 1-The Chosen Vron.
Backups/savers: 3-Big City Lights.

Forecast: The Chosen Vron has won 12 of his last 13 races, his only defeat coming in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1 last fall behind Elite Power and Gunite, certainly no disgrace with that glitch on his resume. The California-bred gelding has captured 17 of 22 overall and 10 of 12 over the Santa Anita main track. ‘Nuff said.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: Kings River Knight.
Backups/savers: 5-Old Pal.

Forecast: Kings River Knight isn’t quite the turf version of The Chosen Vron, but it’s close. The son of Acclamation has won six of his last seven, mostly recently in an open (non-state bred) allowance race over this course and distance with the first triple digit Beyer speed figure of his career. Back with California-bred runners, the type of which he has toyed with throughout much of his career, the J. Sadler-trained gelding is a devout front runner in a field without much speed, as if he needed any more help.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 5: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Willow Cove.
Backups/savers: 9-Hot Danzing.

Forecast: Willow Cove flashed good speed in her debut before weakening late to wind up fourth (beaten three lengths) over this track and distance but has returned to breeze quite well (:47 flat, second fastest of 48), so we’re expecting a forward move today from the daughter of Ministers Wild Cat. Additionally, the M. Puype-trained 4-year-old makes the significant class drop from an already productive straight maiden affair to the maiden $50,000 level, so at 4-1 on the morning line she should be a strong play at anywhere near that price, though we suspect she’ll go lower.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 6: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 1-Carmen Miranda; 11-Stay and Scam; 8-Madiha.
Backups/savers: 6-Tam’s Little Angel.

Forecast: This year’s edition of the Fran’s Valentine Stakes for state-bred fillies and mares is a complete grass grab bag requiring a spread in rolling exotic play. Stay and Scam deserves to be favored based on the company she’s been keeping but the extreme outside 11-post does her no favors, and as a committed front runner with speed drawn inside her the daughter of Square Eddie will be forced to employ stalk-and-pounce tactics. She’s won that way in the past, but never around two turns. On the other hand, Carmen Miranda, first off an $80,000 claim by J. Sadler, gets the coveted rail and is guaranteed a cozy ground-saving trip. She should be extra sharp following a series of quick recent sprints and she’s run well around two turns in the past. Also, she gets a major jockey switch to J. Hernandez, is a two-time winner over the local lawn, and should be set for a career top performance, so after going back and forth she’ll be our top pick. Madiha, first or second in eight of 15 career starts over the local lawn, projects as a late threat and with some help up front could make some noise in the final furlong.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 7: Post: 4:11 PT Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 6-Whimsical Heir.
Backups/savers: 1-Irish Wahine; 2-Tizzy Twister.

Forecast: Whimsical Heir has won her last two outings like a vastly improve mare, most recently blowing away a field of $16,000 restricted claimers with a career top speed figure that makes her quite competitive in this tougher allowance optional claimer. The M. Glatt-trained daughter of Orb isn’t particularly quick during the early stages but can really turn it on from the quarter pole home, so we’re expecting her to tag the speed close home while hoping to get close to her morning line of 4-1. We’ll include her two toughest rivals on a backup ticket, but the main push goes to ‘Heir in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 8: Post: 4:43 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 1-Shady Tiger; 8-Final Storm; 5-Curlin’s Kaos.
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Shady Tiger is a very good California-bred sophomore but he’s bred to go a mile (or shorter) so this stretch out to nine furlongs for this year’s renewal of the Snow Chief Stakes could be problematic. His recent victory sprinting on dirt in the Echo Eddie Stakes was visually quite pleasing but this trip is a whole different game, so we’ll put him on top without singling him. Final Storm has won his last pair sprinting in very good style, and as a son of Blame from a mare by Pioneer of the Nile the rapidly developing 3-year-old gelding could move up a ton at this trip. He’s a stable mate of our top pick in the P. D’Amato-barn and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them finish one-two in whatever order. Curlin’s Kaos just handled a solid allowance field over this course at a mile and is another that should benefit from today’s longer journey. He’s right there with the D’Amato pair based on numbers and is unbeaten in two starts on grass.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 9: Post: 5:15 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: 4-Grand Slam Smile; 7-Roberta’s Love.
Backups/savers: 1-Safa; 3-Loretta Lynn.

Forecast: Grand Slam Smile has won sprinting on dirt, sprinting on all-weather, two turning on grass, and on the front end or from off the pace, so she can pretty much do it all. A clever winner of the California Cups Oaks routing over the local lawn back in January, she returns following a series of exceptional recent workouts at her Golden Gate Fields home base that should have her fit and ready for another major effort over a group she’s proven she can handle. Roberta’s Love is the one she should fear the most. The Calbred daughter of Collected stretches out for the first time (should love it) after winning her previous two races sprinting in sharp style, most recently the Evening Jewel S. over this dirt strip last month while cutting out fast splits that make her the likely controlling speed if her connections employ that strategy. On pure numbers she’s right there with ‘Smile, though without her rival’s impressive resume.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 10: Post: 5:40 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 1-Our Bucky Charm
Backups/savers: 10-Left Hand Man; 9-Eddie’s Last.

Forecast: Our Bucky Charm was bet like he couldn’t lose in his debut, and he didn’t, dominating gate to wire in a main track sprint that produced a strong speed figure. The son of Munnings moves up to the first level allowance ranks today and will try his luck down the Hillside Course but from his favorable outside the draw the M. Puype-trained gelding projects as the quickest of the quick. With a sharp recent breezed to tick him over and with top rider J. Hernandez staying aboard, he’s likely to score right back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 08:55 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #8

#8 Final Storm	I'd find him plenty appealing at anything like the 6/1 ML offering while stretching out after a really nice turf debut off the claim. Think he's going to be in line to settle just behind some more committed forward players while getting the jump on the finishing threats. Solid lean if the price is right.
#5 Curlin's Kaos	Isolate his turf lines and the form gets pretty compelling pretty fast, and he might be another who can get first run on some of the interesting finishers. Wouldn't be a surprise.
#1 Shady Tiger	Curious to see what kind of trip he'll get from the fence while stretching out for the first time, but I figure it'll be a forward run in a spot with a couple other potential pace players. Talented enough.
Race Summary	Final Storm looks interesting while stepping up and stretching out, as he held solid form off the claim last out while handling the new footing just fine.

Santa Anita - Race #9

#3 Loretta Lynn	She might offer a price that's just playable even as she moves back to the main track where she has done her best work. The trip should be there from close range.
#4 Grand Slam Smile	She's the clear one to beat from what should be a perfect pressing spot, and I wouldn't blame anyone for landing here with some enthusiasm except for the likely price.
#1 Safa	She might be just a tiny cut below the best in here, but she's got super reliable form and might find a cozy trip from the fence. Not completely out of the question, but I think she makes a lot more sense underneath today.
Race Summary	Loretta Lynn didn't seem to care much for the turf last out, so it's back to the dirt with a nice race flow looming. Could see her being interesting at something like 9/2.

Santa Anita - Race #10

#9 Eddie's Last	There are a couple OK names in his recent running lines, and he might be in a good spot tracking the speed today. Guessing he'll hold his consistent form.
#3 Tizz a Good Thing	He ran well enough on the turf in his career debut, and I'm willing to give him a chance to bounce back from the non-effort last out.
#11 Our Bucky Charm	He could win this easily after posting a sharp debut win at 40 cents on the dollar, and he draws well to attack from the outside today. Dangerous if he likes the turf.
Race Summary	Eddie's Last typically runs his race and fits well with this group, and I'm hoping Our Bucky Charm will take cash again based on the action from his debut score.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 08:56 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Pimlico - Race #1

#7 QUIT QUAY (5-1)	Demolished weak field at 6F, catches another one in repeat attempt today.
#4 DETERMINED BLUE (5-2)	Takes magnified class drop, ran 1-2 in all three starts at distance.
#2 CORA’S CHOICE (3-1)	Has speed, lacks staying power, reunited with Karamanos.
Race Summary	QUIT QUAY ‘cruised’ to maiden win at this level in her seasonal debut and there’s no reason to think she can’t win again in a field that is a combined 7-for-134. She runs okay at 6F and is worth a win and place bet at 5-1 on the morning line.

Pimlico - Race #4

#1 YOOOU KNOW (3-1)	Flattened out late in longer grass sprint, projects similar-type trip.
#10 CLOUDS OF WHITE (4-1)	Two wins, a second and a troubled trip in last four higher-tagged turf sprints.
#2 PUDD’N N PIE (8-1)	Won off Robb claim, seeks three-peat in first start on the lawn.
Race Summary	YOOOU KNOW advanced between rivals in the final eighth of a mile but was out-kicked by the winning favorite and the runner-up at 5-1/2F. The same type of move from a ground-saving spot could lead to the winners’ circle at the same level. Bet to win and place.

Pimlico - Race #5

#10 NUWANDA (5-1)	Seeks duplicate of comeback try for new barn, moves inside out.
#8 APROPOS (9-2)	Solid allowance numbers at various venues, tries blinkers on cutback to turf sprint.
#2 WISE AND ELEGANT (8-1)	Can be excused for latest, 8-wide rally fell just short at Gulfstream two back.
Race Summary	NUWANDA backed off an early duel with the 4-to-5 winner, regrouped with a good rally and flattened out late to finish third at 75-1. It was a much improved try off the layoff for her new barn and some value remains. Bet to win and place and play a 2-8-10 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 12:25 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Coast To Coast

PURCHASE

Coast To Coast - Race 3	Race 11 from Gulfstream Park Leg C of the Coast to Coast Pick 5
Optional Claiming $25,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 103 • Purse: $61,000 • Post: 6:00P
GP - R11 - (RAIL AT 66 FEET). RACE 11 FROM GULFSTREAM PARK. (INCLUDES UP TO $5,000 FBIF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $12,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES)(MAIDEN RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (IF NO THREE-YEAR-OLDS ARE ENTERED, OLDER WEIGHT WILL REVERT TO 122 LBS.). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE TAPETA COURSE AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FREDO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest Trac kMaster Power Rating. LORD EDDARD STARK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SPY HUNTER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest aver age Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. O CAPTAIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	FREDO	8/5	5/1
7	LORD EDDARD STARK	6/1	6/1
8	SPY HUNTER	3/1	7/1
1	O CAPTAIN	5/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	FREDO	5	8/5	Front-runner	99	100	94.8	97.8	95.3
8	SPY HUNTER	8	3/1	Front-runner	94	98	93.2	98.0	92.0
4	SWASHBUCKLE	4	10/1	Front-runner	95	88	92.6	86.4	75.4
6	IMMENSE FAITH	6	30/1	Stalker	80	87	85.0	78.2	67.2
3	BIG COMMERCE	3	12/1	Stalker	87	80	66.4	80.2	67.2
7	LORD EDDARD STARK	7	6/1	Trailer	99	95	87.8	93.4	84.4
1	O CAPTAIN	1	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	99	98	76.9	92.2	83.7
2	SCAT TU TAP	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	87	82.7	82.2	70.7
9	ANALOGY	9	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	92	87	57.7	72.1	55.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 12:26 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for HawthornePURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race 8	WPS (12% Takeout) / $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta $1 High-5
Maiden Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $10,500 • Post: 6:20P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (HORSEMEN ENTERING ILLINOIS-BRED HORSES IN OPEN CLAIMING RACES WILL BE ASKED TO DECLARE THEIR CLAIMING PRICE AT TIME OF ENTRY). ILLINOIS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $9,400.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SKY MASTER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD	5/2	3/1
5	SKY MASTER	2/1	7/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD	4	5/2	Front-runner	0	0	85.3	52.1	45.1
5	SKY MASTER	5	2/1	Front-runner	76	60	76.4	40.8	36.8
8	RAISERICHIESRANSOM	8	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	64	50	48.4	46.2	34.2
7	MY TENNIS SHOES	7	8/1	Trailer	66	44	14.6	47.0	41.5
2	GRAND FESTIVAL	2	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	67	58	42.2	41.6	29.6
1	KEYSER	1	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	64	49	33.8	39.6	24.6
6	GRAY MIKE	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	53	43	41.0	34.8	18.3
10	LARRY'S LUNCHBOX	10	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	61	43	35.4	41.2	31.7
9	CHERRY ORCHARD	9	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	52	32.4	21.8	3.8
3	PIRATE MARMALADE	3	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	3.8	35.6	25.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 12:26 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 103

MTH - R8 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 DISCO BALL 3/1
# 3 THE JUDGE AND JURY 5/2
# 7 FIVE DREAMS 5/1

DISCO BALL has a competitive shot to take this race. This gelding has posted some nice finishes in his last several efforts. Seems to have a very strong class edge based on the latest company kept. Jacobson has this gelding running well and is a competitive choice based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figs put up in sprint races lately. THE JUDGE AND JURY - This gelding with Rendon in the saddle makes him a key contender. Will probably go to the lead and could never look back. FIVE DREAMS - Strong average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this pony a solid contender. He has a competitive distance/surface win record - 8 out of 39.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 12:26 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Emerald Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:52pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#4 SIR LOOKING GLASS (ML=5/2)

SIR LOOKING GLASS -

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CHINOOK BEND (ML=7/2), #1 DERBY BOY (ML=5/1), #5 CONNECTER (ML=5/1),

CHINOOK BEND - Awfully tough to play this less than sharp equine when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. DERBY BOY - Didn't land in the money on May 11th after the very long layoff. Be doubtful of this one in today's event. This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance races. Not easy to bet on him in this affair. CONNECTER - Very long layoff, then came back and finished fifth. Tough to expect much better this time. No accomplishments for this questionable contender in a sprint contest over the last 60 days tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult situation

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - SIR LOOKING GLASS - Bettors may say this animal can't control the pace. While this may be true, he is the sole solid stalker in this field. Won't be too far back when it counts - At the finish line.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 SIR LOOKING GLASS on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 12:27 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $31300 Class Rating: 93

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 DUNCAN IDAHO 8/5
# 7 PENGUIN POWER 4/1
# 4 DERBY DAY DREAMS 3/1

DUNCAN IDAHO looks formidable to best this field. I like the jock on this colt - very strong chance to win the competition. Looks strong against this field and will most likely be one of the leaders. Could best this field based on the speed rating - 92 - of his last affair. PENGUIN POWER - He has garnered solid figures under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group of horses. Has very good Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet in this contest. DERBY DAY DREAMS - His 86 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figs in this race. Has to be given consideration in this race if only for the formidable Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-25-2024, 12:27 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Prairie Meadows - Race #6 - Post: 8:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,078 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#5 ROCKIN BOOTS (ML=5/2)

ROCKIN BOOTS - Great chance for this horse. Strong late speed and should have good position. I really like that recent race on May 11th at Prairie Meadows where he finished third. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the vacation and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 FLEETWOOD SMACK (ML=2/1), #4 A JUST CAUSE (ML=3/1), #7 NICE ONE JULIO (ML=7/2),

FLEETWOOD SMACK - Doubtful that the speed rating he recorded on May 11th will be enough in this affair. A JUST CAUSE - Can't invest in this questionable contender in today's sprint of 5 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance contest lately. The extended vacation since Aug 5th is somewhat disturbing. The speed rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a vulnerable contender. NICE ONE JULIO - Not easy to bet on any steed in a short distance affair if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last couple of months.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ROCKIN BOOTS - Looks like Birzer has been trying to find the right class for this horse. Took a big drop in class in last race, but returns to a similar class level in this affair. What that tells me is he may win today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 ROCKIN BOOTS is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None