Thursday 5/30/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

---

Churchill Downs - Race #6

#6 Killshave Beauty	I'm worried that there are a couple other decent forward players lined up today, but she almost has to be capable of something better than she showed last out -- she was 9/2 that day, so that was a disappointment for a lot of folks.
#10 Coco Crush	She would benefit if all the potential speed hooked up, and I wonder if she might still have some upside with just three races in her career and that comeback score under her belt. Interested to see what she brings today.
#4 Cecile	She has been a good fit in a couple stakes spots in recent starts, so she's clearly capable with this kind with her baseline effort. One of the ones.
Race Summary	Killshave Beauty should offer a slightly better number today, and she might be able to stick around better in the second start off the layoff after the speed-and-fade comeback.

Churchill Downs - Race #7

#9 Scotland	He's meeting a good group with some pretty serious and classy running lines, but a lot of those types are a bit more proven as two-turn players, and this guy has shown the versatility to do a little bit of anything. First jump for home?
#10 Dreaming of Kona	He's not quite as classy as some of these, but there are a few lines on his page that stack up well enough to think he can land a piece of this at a price.
#7 Extra Anejo	He's back off the bench with pretty imposing 3-year-old form that ended with a try in the Haskell, but I worry he's going to take a lot of cash. Tough call for me, but obviously talented enough to land this.
Race Summary	Scotland should be in a good spot throughout, and I'm interested to see if I can get Dreaming of Kona in the frame for a piece of this at a price with some of the logical players.

Churchill Downs - Race #8

#4 Pleasestoptalking	She drilled a group at Horseshoe Indianapolis to graduate last out, and I'm willing to take that at face value as part of her overall improving form. Would be interested at something a bit shorter than the 15/1 ML price.
#7 Thorny	Tactical player posted another easy win off the claim last time out, and she's a good fit in this spot with that sharp Oaklawn form. The one to beat, but I don't know that she *has* to win this.
#9 Low Country Magic	The debut score suggests she's a player here, but I worry just a little bit about her flashing outside pace in a spot with a at least a couple other mild forward players. Enough to like.
Race Summary	Pleasestoptalking stepped forward nicely when sent two turns for the first time earlier this month, and she could have a chance to step up and score right back at a midrange price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

---

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#3 ALWAYS DRAMA (8-1)	Money poured in after long absence, ran second, takes class hike.
#5 DOWN IN THE BAYOU (4-1)	Takes big class drop, sheds 10 pounds for hot barn.
#6 SAVE US MELANIA (8-5)	Joseph acquisition has best numbers, tries conventional dirt for first time.
Race Summary	ALWAYS DRAMA chased a 7-2 first-time starter around the track and gained late to preserve the runner-up spot in a heavily bet return off a 2-year layoff. She showed enough in that 6F sprint at Tampa Bay Downs to warrant a playback at an inflated price today. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#6 AMERICAN OF COURSE (2-1)	Starts fresh off claim, plays catch-me-if-you can yet again.
#1 HITS DIFFERENT (9-2)	Late-running stablemate of ‘American’ tries sprint for new connections.
#7 CYMBAL COURT (8-5)	Floated and drifted wide in last pair, ran third, figures close-up throughout.
Race Summary	AMERICAN OF COURSE led at the stretch call four times and was within a length of the lead three other times in her last seven starts, but failed to win. She shortens up to 5-1/2F off the Joseph claim and lands in a dream spot to maximize her speed. Bet to win and place and play 6-1 and 6-7 exactas.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#2 JOE DI BAGGIO (12-1)	Does best running for this barn, worth a price stab at proven level.
#4 ENSIGN PARKER (1-1)	Tried and drifted at 7F, won 3 of 6 against better in prior sprints.
#7 GRAND VALLEY (8-1)	‘Kept on’ for third in last two 6F sprints at Tampa, won twice at GP in fall.
Race Summary	JOE DI BAGGIO won easily and just missed at this level, earning his top speed figures for a barn that re-claimed the 8-year-old twice. He couldn’t recover from a bumpy start in a five-horse field in a $12,500 claimer last out, but is worth a win and place bet at an inflated price. Also play a 2,4/2,4/ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race 8	Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta / 0.20 Jackpot Hi5/ $1 Swinger
Maiden Optional Claiming $25,0 • 1 1/16 Miles • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $49,200 • Post: 8:13P
INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ONTARIO SIRED SIRED MAIDENS THAT HAVE RACED 3 CONSECUTIVE STARTS IN THE MAIDEN OPTIONAL $40,000 / OS CATEGORY IN 2023-24 AND DID NOT FINISH 2ND THRU 4TH. OR THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD MAIDEN CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 1 LB.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. INDIANA ROAD is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INDIANA ROAD: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. GATHER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1	INDIANA ROAD	8/1	9/2
8	GATHER	5/2	5/1
4	NIKITA'S GEM	2/1	7/1
7	WILD QUEENIE	15/1	7/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	INDIANA ROAD	1	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	0	0	62.3	64.3	58.3
6	ANNIA CORNIFICIA F	6	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	49.0	49.0	43.5
8	GATHER	8	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	71	64	46.6	50.0	45.5
7	WILD QUEENIE	7	15/1	Trailer	66	62	68.3	58.8	48.8
4	NIKITA'S GEM	4	2/1	Trailer	73	58	55.2	55.2	47.7
9	BRIT	9	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	44.6	44.6	35.6
10	LANEY GRACE	10	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	40.8	40.8	29.8

Unknown Running Style: SHE'SACROWDPLEASER (10/1) [Jockey: Marti Alexander - Trainer: Ross John A], LUCKY LOUISE (6/1) [Jockey: Contreras Luis - Trainer: De Paulo Michael P], EMPIRE'S TREAT (12/1) [Jockey: Adams Austin - Trainer: Grant Carlos].

---

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sam Houston Race ParkPURCHASE

Sam Houston Race Park - Race 7	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 7-8) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Pick 5 (Races 7 thru 11)
Allowance • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 9:18P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DANCING COWGIRL 5678: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HARD TIMES SALLY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. VIKINO JESS CASH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. ACTION REQUIRED: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BIG JIM HATLEY: Horse ranks in t he top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	DANCING COWGIRL 5678	5/2	5/1
8	HARD TIMES SALLY	8/1	7/1
9	VIKINO JESS CASH	15/1	7/1
7	ACTION REQUIRED	6/1	8/1
4	BIG JIM HATLEY	8/1	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	JET BLACK ZOOM	1	12/1	Average	75	60	4.6	0.0	0.0
2	WICKED AND FAST	2	7/2	Slow	75	73	7.1	0.0	0.0
3	DANCING COWGIRL 5678	3	5/2	Average	79	77	5.2	0.0	0.0
4	BIG JIM HATLEY	4	8/1	Average	83	70	5.8	0.0	0.0
5	CURLIE SUE	5	9/2	Average	66	67	5.4	0.0	0.0
6	BP LUV WAGON	6	30/1	Average/Trouble-prone	71	64	4.2	0.0	0.0
7	ACTION REQUIRED	7	6/1	Average	84	67	5.0	0.0	0.0
9	VIKINO JESS CASH	9	15/1	Fast	73	75	3.2	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: HARD TIMES SALLY (8/1) [Jockey: Ayala Ricardo Lomeli - Trainer: Lozano Jr Bonifacio].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#6 SEVEN ANNIVERSARY (ML=6/1)


SEVEN ANNIVERSARY - This gelding likes to sit just off the pace and the way things shape up here, he should get an ideal trip. Baxter brings him back again. I recommend you stay with this hot gelding. Trainer, Baxter, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Lets try to beat the favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ALWAYS DIALED (ML=2/1), #8 CALYPSO CHARLIE (ML=5/2), #7 BIVOL (ML=7/2),

ALWAYS DIALED - Never really did much at all last time out on May 9th. Hard to bet on in today's race. Notched a mediocre speed figure last time out in a $35,000 Maiden Claiming race on May 9th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig. CALYPSO CHARLIE - This mount hasn't been coming close at the finish line of late. BIVOL - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests lately. Doubtful to see him doing it this time around either.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SEVEN ANNIVERSARY - Posting a better speed rating each of his last couple of races. This gelding is a prime candidate to win today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #6 SEVEN ANNIVERSARY to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $43520 Class Rating: 86

IND - R3 - FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 1/16 ON THE MAIN TRACK.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 15 FRENCH BREAD 20/1
# 8 PILKINGTON 9/2
# 3 MOHTAFIL 6/1

FRENCH BREAD is the best wager in this competition especially at such a decent 20/1. Going off blinkers can produce noticeable speed increases. Will more than likely be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the midpoint of the affair. Has to be considered versus this group displaying strong figs lately and an average speed rating of 79 under similar conditions. PILKINGTON - Put up a strong speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. MOHTAFIL - He should be given consideration given the solid speed figures. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the secret to a turnaround.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 81

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 30, 2024 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE MARCH 30, 2024 ALLOWED 5 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 TUSSLING CHARLIE 2/1
# 5 SINGLE SHOT 9/2
# 1 JACKSON D 8/1

TUSSLING CHARLIE looks strong to best this field. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Will almost certainly compete quite well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this field. SINGLE SHOT - Has a strong shot in this competition if you like back class. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong speed figures (73 average) at today's distance and surface recently. JACKSON D - He looks very strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Has run soundly when racing a turf route race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Delaware Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#5 ENCHANTMENT (FR) (ML=3/1)
#4 WHATTA NOTION (ML=8/1)


ENCHANTMENT (FR) - Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should help. I like when a race sets up this way. This mare has the lone pace to demolish this field. Was in a $16,000 Claiming race at Tampa Bay Downs last race out. That race had a class number of 73 and she is moving down in this field. A certain solid contender. I like the fact that this mare's last speed figure, 63, is tops in this bunch. WHATTA NOTION - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is up against an easier field than in the last race at Charles Town. Looking over this filly's PPs I see that the last time she tried this distance she got a speed rating that would be good enough to win today's event. Is ranked totally number one in the field in EPS (earnings per start). A powerful performance in today's race will boost that bankroll. When a horse drops at least five lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but could make the difference.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHEZA NASTY GIRL (ML=2/1), #3 CARSONS COOL WOMEN (ML=4/1), #1 SKY BUY (ML=6/1),

SHEZA NASTY GIRL - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint events lately. Doubtful to see her doing it this time around either. Just can't wager on this horse. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on Mar 17th. CARSONS COOL WOMEN - The event on April 14th was versus maiden claimers. Pass on this one today versus the tougher group. This filly earned a speed fig in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. SKY BUY - This steed showed very liitle last time finishing fifth. Don't see any hint of any change today. I cannot play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled from time to time. Pedestrian speed figure last race out at Delaware Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this pony will improve too much in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 ENCHANTMENT (FR) is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip