Saturday 6/1/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    Saturday 6/1/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/1/24


    June 1, 2024
    Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita “What You Need to Know
    Saturday, June 1, 2024


    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

    The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

    View Jeff Siegel’s Prime Plays Video

    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
    Main Ticket: 6-Middleburg; 7-Cathal (IRE)
    Backups/savers: 9-Rostovsky; 3-Fausto.

    Forecast: Middleburg exits two considerably tougher races, most recently when sent from the gate to establish a quick pace before fading in the final furlong in a fast, highly rated main track affair. The son of Tapit tries grass today and should benefit greatly from much softer early splits, so whether on the lead or from a comfortable stalking position combined with the highly positive jockey switch to J. Hernandez the B. Baffert trained colt is likely to produce a significant forward move. Cathal (IRE) had a decent recent sprint prep in his first start since arriving from Ireland and today stretches out to a distance that probably suits him better. He’s another that appears primed for a career top effort.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: Zemba Warrior; 1-Tembo
    Backups/savers: 5-Mastermind.

    Forecast: Three of the five entrants in this $12,500 claiming main track miler exit the same race won by Mastermind earlier this month in which the L. Barocio-trained gelding was handed an easy front running trip and rolled all the way to the wire. Similar tactics likely will be employed again but this time he’ll probably be pressured or be stalked from the start by Tembo, the beaten favorite in the aforementioned race when he was taken back off the lead and forced to race wide throughout. The S. Knapp-trained son of Carpe Diem lands the favorable rail post position and is likely to receive a much more aggressive ride. Meanwhile, Zimba Warrior takes a significant class drop to his lowest level ever and should thoroughly enjoy the softer assignment. Anything close to his best effort will be more than good enough to return him to winning form.

    Backups/Savers: none.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 3: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 1-Champagne Camie; 2-Topolina.
    Backups/savers: none.

    Forecast: Topolina is clearly the quickest in the field and will take her $25,000 claiming foes on the front end for as far as she can. However, she’s always been suspect close home, having blown leads inside the furlong pole seven times in her most recent 10 starts. She’s also winless in nine starts over the local turf course, which is not particularly kind to speed types in sprints. Champagne Camie , away since August of 2022, makes her comeback in a realistic spot for a barn that has solid stats with layoff runners. The V. Cerin-trained mare projects to draft into an ideal stalking position and then have every chance to wear down the likely pacesetter close home. Her recent work tab is light, but the presence of J. Hernandez tips the scales in her favor.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 4: Post: 2:29 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: Elector; 4-Soul of Midnight.
    Backups/Savers: none.

    Forecast: Elector returns to his claim level and winning distance for high percentage trainer M. Glatt, who isn’t giving up yet on this once promising son of Constitution even though it would make just as much sense to drop him to the bottom and simply move on. On pure numbers the 6-year-old gelding, while arguably not one to trust, fits with this $20,000 group and with the switch to one of the stable’s “go-to” jockeys (K. Frey) there are enough positive factors in his past performance chart to try him at 4-1 on the morning line. Soul of Midnight, a two-time winner over the local main track and solid in the speed figure department, should be on or near the lead most of the way, though this extended sprint distance might be stretching his limit. In a race that we’ll not get too involved with, both should be included in rolling exotic play.

    Backups/Savers: none.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 5: Post: 2:59 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: One Time Mark; 5-Nuclear; 8-Siennois (IRE)
    Backups/savers: 3-Sir Maximus; 9-Bartholdy.

    Forecast: One Time Mark lands the favorable rail and is guaranteed an ideal ground-saving trip either in a pace setting or pace-pressing role in his third start off a layoff. His chances will be determined by the amount of early pressure he receives, which might be heavy or not much at all, depending how many of the others are sent from the bell. Nuclear could be one of those that are gunned to the lead, and if he can clear early he might get brave. Originally purchased at auction for $1.55 million, the four year old son of Justify returns to grass, which might be his preferred surface, and with just three prior starts he still has plenty of room for improvement. There’s always the option of taking back early and producing one late kick, a tactic that might be worth experimenting with. Siennois (IRE) is a bit too one paced for our liking but if a speed meltdown occurs he should be heard from late.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 6: Post: 3:31 PT Grade: X
    Main Ticket: 2-Happy Jack 1-Dr. Venkman
    Backups/savers: 4-Big City Lights.

    Forecast: We’ll give a very slight edge in this year’s renewal of the Triple Bend S.-G2 to the in-form Happy Jack, who ran lights out when earning a career top speed figure in his outstanding runner-up performance behind The Chosen Vron in the Kona Gold S. in late April. The veteran son of Oxbow shows a healthy series of workouts in the interim and should fire a similar shot today. Dr. Venkman launches a comeback, and this lightly raced son of Ghostzapper has trained like he’s fit and ready for his first outing since last fall, when he narrowly missed in the listed Perryville S. at Keeneland. He’s had issues (just three starts) but he’s plenty fast on figures and projects to be prominent – possibly on the lead from his rail draw – if totally cranked up. It’s a four runner affair that might be best left alone when you also factor in the presence of Big City Lights, who has never lost in five starts in races that didn’t have The Chosen Vron in it.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 7: Post: 4:03 PT Grade: B+
    Main Ticket: Shiloh’s Mistress; 5-Circle of Trust
    Backups/savers: 4-Sea Dancer.

    Forecast: Shiloh’s Mistress and Circle of Trust finished two-three in the much stronger Providencia S.-G3 over this course and distance in April and it wouldn’t be surprising if they did so again in either order in this year’s renewal of the Honeymoon S.-G3. Both are improving with experience and show rising speed figures and a healthy work pattern in the interim, so they’re tough to separate, but ‘Mistress may be a tad more versatile with a bit better tactical speed, so we’ll give her a slight edge on top.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 8: Post: 4:45 PT Grade: B+
    Main ticket: 3-Big Baby; 9-Cody Boy
    Backups/savers: 10-Last Call Paul.

    Forecast: Big Baby has been away since last July – he had been unplaced in three starts in straight maiden company before being sent home – but he’s trained like a better type this time around, so we’re expecting the son of Mr. Big to display considerable improvement in his first start facing maiden $50,000 foes. The M. Glatt-barn has unworldly stats with comebackers (27% with a massive ROI) and with one of the stable’s “go-to” riders A. Fresu taking the call the 5-year-old gelding has the look of an extremely well-meant runner. He’s 4-1 on the morning line and offers a gamble at or near that price. Cody Boy removes blinkers (love that angle) after finishing second in a similar affair last month in a race that produced a career top number. If he can turn in two alike the son of Grazen will be the one our top pick will have to worry about the most.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket: 6-Rugelach; 2-Big Summer; 8-Mahina.
    Backups/savers: 5-Pastiche; 10-Charm Your World.

    Forecast: Rugelach was as flat as a pancake when unplaced at 3/5 sprinting at this level sprinting over this course in early April but after a seven week vacation the daughter of Twirling Candy returns on the stretch out to a distance she probably prefers. She projects as the controlling speed, so if she can shake loose early without being sent hard the R. Ellis-trained filly should be difficult to catch. Big Summer, first or second in 11 of 15 career starts, should draft into a stalking position and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. Mahina is the most dangerous of the closing types and is a three time winner (from six starts) over the local lawn. She is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Churchill Downs - Race #9
      #10 Faith Understood She was second best behind a decent talent last time out, and she's fast enough to find a good spot early on from the high draw. Would love to see her find a perfect first-over spot.
      #1 Way to Be Marie She has done little wrong on the turf and was just competitive in Grade II company here on Derby weekend, and she might find a cozy spot from the inside draw while tucked in.
      #9 Pin Up Betty Think she's still an interesting one on the turf with only a couple starts to her name over the footing, both of which have been sharp. Spying speed could land this.
      Race Summary Faith Understood has some appeal after chasing a nice winner last time out, and she is one of a couple interesting potential price players. #6 Buchu has class and makes sense, too.
      Churchill Downs - Race #10
      #5 Tapit Trice He was in the frame with a couple of pretty good sophomores last season, and there might be enough pace in here to ensure the tempo is at least fair. Along to land it.
      #9 Cagliostro He got back on the board last out when racing fresh after a string of graded stakes tries, and he has the kind of tactical pace to get another good trip near the top. Some upside second off the bench?
      #2 Highland Falls He's got a pretty high ceiling and has been within a couple lengths in a pair of decent -- but not outstanding -- graded stakes spots. Capable underlay?
      Race Summary Tapit Trice looks like the right one while racing off the bench after five straight Grade I starts, and his baseline stuff seems competitive while facing older horses for the first time.
      Churchill Downs - Race #11
      #7 Rock'n a Halo He showed a really sharp turn of foot last time out when angling out to score against allowance company over this course, and he might be along late at another midrange price today. Still think pretty highly of him.
      #2 Cugino He hasn't done much wrong in recent starts, but he may have taken a small step back last out after a big two-back run. Tactical pace draws better today.
      #5 Formidable Man He seems to have found his home on the turf right now, and he's fast enough to be in an attack position throughout today. Obvious threat right back.
      Race Summary Rock'n a Halo steps up after a solid local win, and I think it's OK to go looking for a decent number in a fun race -- looking forward to seeing #3 Cameo Performance, #6 Camaro Z, and #9 Lagynos in the mix, too.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Delaware Park - Race #1
        #3 STRIKE ME ROYAL (5-2) Gaps between starts since maiden win but barn’s runners are firing.
        #4 RUSSIAN HAMMER (6-1) Been burning money in sprints, takes class hike off the claim.
        #6 RENEGADE SERENADE (9-5) Tracked dueling leaders, bid, and ran third on stretch-out in distance.
        Race Summary STRIKE ME ROYAL raced 3- and 4-wide throughout when he broke his maiden at this level at Tampa Bay Downs. He has raced only once since that December victory at 1 mile and 40 yards, but his trainer is hot and he gets in light-weighted. Bet to win and place.
        Delaware Park - Race #3
        #5 COVERT KAT (7-2) Hit best stride in grass routes last year, solid work tab for return.
        #3 SPLENDID SUMMER (2-1) Best turf numbers on firm footing, runs for cheapest tag yet.
        #8 ELEVATED GAME (3-1) Two wins and a second from post 10 lately, can use speed well.
        Race Summary COVERT KAT topped $100k in turf earnings as a 4-year-old and is working well for his seasonal debut. He broke his maiden with ease at this distance and held steady route form since then. Bet to win and place and play 5-3 and 5-8 exactas.
        Delaware Park - Race #6
        #6 CROOKED DREAMS (5-1) Had dead aim on leaders for stretch drive, flattened out in long sprint.
        #1 BEN’S HERO (3-1) Idle seven months, landed minor awards in last four sprints, two as the favorite.
        #5 GAMBE FORTE (8-1) Sprinted clear, held third at 47-1 in second-out wake-up call.
        Race Summary CROOKED DREAMS loomed boldly while 3-wide for the stretch drive after a sluggish start, but he ran evenly to the finish on a sloppy track at 7F. He worked in :48 flat at Monmouth last Friday and should be set for a winning effort in his second start on the cutback to 6F. Bet to win and place and play a 6-ALL exacta.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

          PURCHASE
          Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6
          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Four
          Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 62 • Purse: $9,895 • Post: 8:33P
          QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KOOL ICE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. STUDY UP: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MISS PYC TOO YOU: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. RR FAST LEW: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. STEEL DYNASTY: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
          3
          KOOL ICE
          4/1
          6/1
          8
          STUDY UP
          7/2
          6/1
          6
          MISS PYC TOO YOU
          5/2
          7/1
          2
          RR FAST LEW
          8/1
          7/1
          7
          STEEL DYNASTY
          9/2
          8/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          1
          MARCO CARTEL
          1
          8/1
          Slow
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          2
          RR FAST LEW
          2
          8/1
          Slow
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          3
          KOOL ICE
          3
          4/1
          Slow
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          5
          TIN CUPP
          5
          15/1
          Slow
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          6
          MISS PYC TOO YOU
          6
          5/2
          Average
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          7
          STEEL DYNASTY
          7
          9/2
          Slow/Trouble-prone
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          8
          STUDY UP
          8
          7/2
          Fast
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          9
          MJ PERRY
          9
          15/1
          Slow
          0
          0
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0
          Unknown Running Style: MIRROR IMAGE (15/1) [Jockey: Lara Gabriel A - Trainer: Willoughby Scott].

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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury ParkPURCHASE


            Canterbury Park - Race 5
            Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
            Allowance • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 76 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 7:10P
            (RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR MN-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, TWO-YEAR-OLD RACES WILL BE RUN AT 6 AND 1/2 FURLONGS AND RACES FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SAM SEZ: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 da ys. MYSTIFIER: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MIDNIGHT ROYAL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
            9
            SAM SEZ
            12/1
            3/1
            10
            MYSTIFIER
            7/2
            6/1
            3
            MIDNIGHT ROYAL
            15/1
            8/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            9
            SAM SEZ
            9
            12/1
            Front-runner
            94
            87
            94.8
            64.5
            61.0
            12
            BACK TO SELLING
            12
            6/1
            Front-runner
            67
            65
            76.8
            55.0
            34.5
            8
            KAL EL
            8
            15/1
            Front-runner
            75
            72
            69.2
            69.2
            52.2
            11
            GOT GHOSTED
            11
            15/1
            Front-runner
            61
            53
            43.2
            49.8
            28.8
            7
            MR INSENSITIVE
            7
            9/2
            Stalker
            73
            66
            40.9
            53.3
            42.3
            3
            MIDNIGHT ROYAL
            3
            15/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            86
            79
            55.7
            62.0
            54.0
            2
            WIN OVER WYATT
            2
            15/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            80
            68
            53.8
            54.1
            41.1
            10
            MYSTIFIER
            10
            7/2
            Trailer
            81
            71
            62.0
            76.9
            67.4
            1
            CAUGHT OFF GUARD
            1
            8/1
            Trailer
            69
            68
            50.1
            62.0
            48.0
            4
            GABRIEL'S LEGEND
            4
            8/1
            Trailer
            80
            74
            38.9
            64.4
            51.4
            6
            MR. D'S LEGEND
            6
            12/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            67
            65
            11.4
            60.7
            48.2
            5
            OUTOFTHEDARK
            5
            6/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            71
            68
            46.2
            58.0
            48.0
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358322

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20500 Class Rating: 86

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $22,000.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 6 BON PRIX 3/1
              # 7 THE BEAT 6/1
              # 1 ESTIFRAAD 8/1
              BON PRIX is the strongest wager in this race. Boasts sound Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals. He has a respectable distance/surface win record - 10 / 33. Will probably come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the front end recently. THE BEAT - With a formidable jock who has won at a competitive 20 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices. Ran a sharp last race.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358322

                #8
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 70

                GP - R11 - FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 7 MISS HOLLY 9/2
                # 2 SHINING SKYE 10/1
                # 3 COOL TRICKS 12/1
                MISS HOLLY is tough to overlook as the wager in here. She has been running soundly and the Equibase speed figs are among the strongest in this group of horses. Will likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the halfway point of the outing. Could beat this field given the 76 speed figure put up in her last outing. SHINING SKYE - Players using horses with this rider and trainer duo have done quite well recently. Win percentage with this jockey and conditioner combo - 23 percent - strong. COOL TRICKS - Has run admirably when running a turf route race.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358322

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE


                  Belterra Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 63

                  Rating:

                  #6 ENGLISH BOBBY (ML=5/1)


                  ENGLISH BOBBY - This horse's last race was out at Horseshoe Indianapolis in a race with an Equibase class figure of 80. Dropping drastically in class rating this time around puts him in a solid position in this race. Entered a $20,000 Maiden Claiming race at Horseshoe Indianapolis in the last race and raced on the soft turf finishing tenth. I'd expect a better race in this race. Has a decent opportunity to break maiden moving to the dirt in today's race. This gelding's last speed rating recorded on May 13th is in the top spot in last race Equibase speed figures.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CENTRIFUGAL FORCE (ML=5/2), #2 REVENGE TOUR (ML=7/2), #3 HANGMAN CREEK (ML=4/1),

                  CENTRIFUGAL FORCE - Hard to play any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no value to taking the shot. When checking today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed figure than in the last race to vie in this dirt route. REVENGE TOUR - Awfully tough to bet on this entrant when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit of late. This colt is always in the money, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to bet on him on the top end. When checking today's class figure, he will have to record a better speed rating than last race out to be competitive in this dirt route. HANGMAN CREEK - The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this animal as a likely underpriced contender.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 ENGLISH BOBBY to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Pass
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358322

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE


                    Woodbine - Race #10 - Post: 5:42pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $111,300 Class Rating: 80

                    Rating:

                    #10 ANTIHERO (ML=8/1)
                    #7 NANTUCKETS DAY (ML=10/1)
                    #12 STORMS OF LIFE (ML=15/1)
                    #6 QUALITY PRESENCE (ML=12/1)
                    #1 HELIOCENTRIC (ML=20/1)


                    ANTIHERO - This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Casse. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the capability to make her presence felt. NANTUCKETS DAY - Ran against the boys in her last race on Oct 15th. Horse's last race was at Woodbine in a race with a class rating of 87. Dropping a significant amount in class figure in today's event puts her in a solid position in this event. Ranks number one in earnings per start (EPS). A powerful effort in this race can add to the lifetime total. STORMS OF LIFE - Jockey hops right back atop after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding last out. That's always a helpful angle. Generally, I don't like to see a filly run against the males like she did December 17th. Good to see she's back with her own sex today. Trainer Pion moves this horse down the class ladder to face a less competitive field. Look for a nice performance given this drop. The improved speed ratings over the last three races is solid. Pion drops her in this race in shape and ready to win. This filly's last speed rating is high enough to score here, I'll invest in her back again this time out. QUALITY PRESENCE - Always beware of the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Dropping in class figure points from her March 24th race at Gulfstream Park. Based on that data, I will give this one the advantage. HELIOCENTRIC - Forgive the off the board finish on the off track last out. On a fast track, has a good shot right here. This jock and conditioner have a favorable ROI when they combine forces.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WORSHIP (ML=3/1), #11 VAZHI (ML=4/1), #5 ROMANTICA (ML=6/1),

                    WORSHIP - Hasn't been on the Woodbine oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. Hard to play any racer to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the shot. Didn't meet expectations when the favorite twice in a row. VAZHI - Awfully difficult to wager on this vulnerable equine when she hasn't been showing any fighting spirit recently. ROMANTICA - Doesn't seem to have enough positive angles to warrant the reward.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #10 ANTIHERO is the play if we get odds of 6/1 or better
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,10,12]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    None
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [7,10] with [7,10,12] with [1,6,7,10,12] with [1,6,7,10,12] Total Cost: $24
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