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MLB Platinum Hi-Roller Winner - Wednesday
Handicapper: Jim Feist
League: MLB
Competition: Seattle Mariners (Bryan Woo) vs Cleveland Guardians (Tanner Bibee)
Time: Wednesday, June 19, 06:40 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Seattle Mariners +120 (BetMGM) Bet Now
Analysis:
A pair of first place teams meet here on Thursday as the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Indians play the second game in their three-game set. The Mariners took the opener on Tuesday, 8-5, extending their win streak to four games in a row and eight of their last nine. The Mariners have a commanding lead in the AL West with a 44-31 record and 10-game lead over 2nd place Houston. The Mariners also have a +22 run differential. They will send Bryan Woo to the hill today. Woo has been excellent for the M's this year with a 3-0 record in his six starts and a 1.07 ERA. He's only allowed runs in two of his four starts and that was three runs to the Nationals and one run to the Royals. The Cleveland Guardians are in 1st place in the AL Central with their 44-26 record. They have a 4.5-game lead over 2nd place Minnesota and 5-games over third place Kansas City. They also have a division best +83 run differential. Tanner Bibee will get the start today for the Guardians with his 4-2 record and 3.94 ERA in his 14 starts. Bebee is coming off a loss at Cincinnati where he allowed four hits and four runs over 5 1/3 innings. It was the second straight loss for the Guardians when Bebee has started. I like Woo today for the Mariners. Take Seattle.
OSKEIM'S HUGE MLB HIGH ROLLER BLOWOUT
Handicapper: Oskeim Sports
League: MLB
Competition: Los Angeles Dodgers (Bobby Miller) vs Colorado Rockies (Ryan Feltner)
Time: Wednesday, June 19, 08:40 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -192 (BetOnline) Bet Now
Analysis:
Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 707-305 SU (69.9%; +1.4% ROI) and 567-398 RL (58.8%; +2% ROI), including 556-260 SU (68.1%) and 421-327 RL (56.3%) versus .449 or worse opponents, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2012, MLB favorites or road underdogs lined more expensive in their previous three games are 2940-1825 SU (61.7%; +4.2% ROI) and 2399-2365 RL (+4% ROI) versus teams lined cheaper in their last three games. Since 2007, MLB road favorites on a two-game win streak are 71-33 SU (68.3%; +17.8% ROI) and 58-46 RL (55.8%; +20.7% ROI) following a come-from-behind win in the 9th-inning, including 26-9 SU (74.3%; +23.6% ROI) and 23-12 RL (65.7%; +39.7% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +3.1 runs per game. Since 2008, MLB road favorites entering off two or more consecutive wins are 173-103 SU (62.7%; +9.9% ROI) and 141-134 RL (+12.4% ROI), provided their most recent win came in the ninth inning, including 87-32 SU (73.1%; +24.6% ROI) and 71-48 RL (59.7%; +27.3% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +1.93 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB home underdogs coming off a game in which they allowed ten or more runs are 521-777 SU (40.1%; -8% ROI) and 604-548 RL (-5% ROI), losing by an average of -1.1 runs per game. Since 2011, MLB home underdogs of greater than +105 coming off a game in which they scored at least twice the number of runs than their season average are 278-377 SU (42.4%; -1% ROI) and 353-301 RL (-3% ROI), including 144-217 SU (39.9%; -5% ROI) and 190-170 RL (-3.2% ROI) since 2018, losing by an average of -1.7 runs per game. Finally, since 2007, divisional home underdogs of +150 or greater are 377-775 SU (32.7%; -10.6% ROI) and 519-628 RL (-7.8% ROI), losing by an average of -1.92 runs per game. Take Los Angeles and invest with confidence.
Bob Balfe Mets -110 over Rangers Manaea/Heaney
The Mets and Rangers are at two different ends of the spectrum regarding hitting lefties. Texas has struggled all year and is the worst team in all of baseball in June when facing left-handers. The Mets have been red-hot against lefties this month and are better on the road than at home. It’s hard to get swept at home, but the Rangers show no signs of life. New York is 8-2 in their last 10. The Rangers bullpen disappoints, so I expect New York to win if the game is close in the later innings. Take the Mets.
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