Tuesday 6/25/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Presque Isle Downs - Race #2

#8 Chips Legacy	Take a look at him on the track ahead of this, but I am not really afraid of most of them in here, and this debuter might have found the right kind of spot at first asking. Price should be OK.
#9 Awesome Fantasy	He's an obvious threat on the drop, but honestly I would have liked to see something just a touch better in his first run over the footing. Overbet while dropping off a last-place finish?
#1 Speranzas Will	Interested to see what kind of price he's going to offer, because he's probably the one to beat as the owner of some of the few finishing lines on any of these pages.
Race Summary	Chips Legacy is a bit of a guess at first asking, but he might be good for a clunk-along try right out of the box that could keep him in the frame.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#6 Serenade a Kitten	She might be a little light for some of these right now, but I think she might have a sneaky claim on this as one of the few confirmed closers. There are a couple of solid forward players and other tracking types, and I wonder if she can settle and get past these with the last run at a price.
#8 Takemetothebeach	She scored here at first asking last year before trying a couple stakes spots, and her recent Churchill turf try suggests the form is there to be competitive with this group. Worried a bit about a short price and the fact that she has given away ground in the stretch call of every race but her first.
#7 Jenny Lind	She makes a lot of sense here while rising off the Turfway claim, but she has previously found this level to be a little tough. Not sure how she'll stack up with the locals at this condition, but I'd probably want a better price than we're going to get to find out.
Race Summary	Serenade a Kitten has done some good work locally in the past and might get a decent setup from off the pace today. Takemetothebeach is going to be prominent on a lot of tickets, but I have a couple minor questions.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#3 Silent Spectre	Forward player has turned in a few good tries over synthetic footing at Turfway, so his form might stack up better today after the dull dirt try at Finger Lakes. He might build on that enough to be a threat here.
#8 Mackenzie's Novva	Reliable finisher can be tough in here, but he's still eligible for this non-two spot with a page full of nothing but shares, so it wouldn't be a shock to see him find one or two of these a bit too good again today. Obvious chance, but I couldn't get too excited at anything like the 8/5 ML offering.
#4 Inappropriate	Price might be a little bit better this time around after a solid finishing effort last out, but he's still winless over the local footing and doesn't always punch home with that kind of enthusiasm.
Race Summary	I feel like you can build a case for a lot of these, but they also have a lot of questions to answer. #11 Ranseur is a tough call for me with some dangerous running lines, but his pace is pretty one dimensional and the wide draw probably doesn't do him any favors.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Parx - Race #1

#5 BATTLIA (5-1)	Has speed, has conquered this distance, price attached for new barn.
#7 NURSE CARALYN (5-1)	‘Closed well’ behind Battalia at 7F, use in all gimmick wagers.
#1 CORONA CAMPIONE (7-2)	Lone two-race winner in field returns to claim level, seeks first sprint win.
Race Summary	BATTALIA returns to her maiden-breaking distance after she led clear and held second at 7F last out. Her trainer is in the midst of a 4-for-16 run off the claim. Bet to win and place and play a 1-5-7 exacta box.

Parx - Race #3

#6 POWER AND GLORY (10-1)	Waited long time for first win but value remains for a playback.
#8 PUT THE CRAZY AWAY (8-5)	Set pace, missed in photo finishes in last two starts at this level.
#4 MISS CINNAMON (3-1)	Upstaged series of in-the-money finishes with two wins in last three starts.
Race Summary	POWER AND GLORY broke through with a maiden win at age 6 in her 13th start. She took command in the opening half mile drew away from the pursuing 7-to-5 second favorite. She appears rounding to another good effort at a good price on the class hike. Play 4-6 and 6-8 exacta boxes.

Parx - Race #5

#1 HARLEY’S CHARLY (5-1)	Improved in second try off similar rest to start the year, good value play.
#3 DREAM KNIGHT (7-2)	Romped in six-horse field in first start locally, carries 125 pounds.
#2 BIG JOHN (2-1)	Big back numbers, big percentages for barn that claimed him last out.
Race Summary	HARLEY’S CHARLY, first or second in 6 of 7 starts at this distance, flattened out after a brief bid at 7F, five weeks removed from a claim. He moved forward in her second start off a month-plus layoff in February. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race 2	2nd Half Daily Double $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 3 (races 2-4) $1 Wheel
Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 7:25P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000. (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. H orse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ULTIMATE IRONY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMast er Power Rating. NORTHCUT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB)	4/1	3/1
8	ULTIMATE IRONY	5/1	7/1
11	NORTHCUT	8/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	CLEAR FOR ACTION	6	9/2	Front-runner	93	80	101.0	81.8	75.8
11	NORTHCUT	11	8/1	Front-runner	97	91	81.8	82.8	73.3
5	FOOL FOR THE CITY	5	6/1	Front-runner	77	64	53.1	49.3	31.8
7	TAKECHARGEJUSTICE	7	8/1	Stalker	88	78	77.7	68.3	55.8
2	UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB)	2	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	106	96	94.6	92.6	81.1
9	ENJOY BASEBALL	9	30/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	77	58.8	79.8	64.8
3	BLAME IT ON EDDIE	3	3/1	Trailer	90	83	75.0	71.6	64.6
1	DISTORTED LIMITS	1	8/1	Trailer	85	84	54.6	74.4	64.4
8	ULTIMATE IRONY	8	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	93	81	73.6	84.6	77.1
10	CHARGER	10	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	73	70.6	67.8	53.3
4	PIONEER DANCER	4	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	68.3	63.5	45.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for FanDuel Horse RacingPURCHASE

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race 5	$1.00 Daily Double (Races 5-6) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) .10 Cent Superfecta
Claiming $3,200 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 2:52P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2024 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. OPALINE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OPALINE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ESSENTIAL BELLA: Today is a sprint and the hor se's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WARM BEAUTY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6	OPALINE	20/1	3/1
3	ESSENTIAL BELLA	8/5	5/1
5	WARM BEAUTY	7/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	OPALINE	6	20/1	Front-runner	63	49	66.0	53.6	48.6
1	BUMPER GIRL	1	10/1	Stalker	57	58	42.2	43.0	30.0
4	GREER CROSSING	4	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	53	54	36.8	45.8	34.8
5	WARM BEAUTY	5	7/2	Trailer	62	54	1.4	51.2	45.2
3	ESSENTIAL BELLA	3	8/5	Alternator/Trailer	76	62	53.2	54.2	50.7
2	BAILESTON LASSIE	2	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	65	56	57.6	47.6	39.6
7	NEXT TIME YOU WIN	7	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	61	53.2	45.6	38.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 3:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#6 OMIKAMI (ML=2/1)


OMIKAMI - This filly shows a classic pattern of layoff, two sprints, and stretching to a route today. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the class to make her presence felt. I like the fact that this filly's last speed fig, 66, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 VANILLA BEAN (ML=5/2), #3 XERCES (ML=7/2), #4 UPPITY UP (ML=4/1),

VANILLA BEAN - The Equibase speed figures continue to sink, 82/70/56. Not a healthy omen. Finished fifth in her most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. XERCES - She probably cannot repeat that last homestretch effort and win against this bunch. UPPITY UP - Difficult to put any money on this filly on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 OMIKAMI to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $49680 Class Rating: 104

IND - R8 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $12,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 LOYAL COMPANY 2/1
# 3 OTAGO 4/1
# 6 UNDERDRESSED 10/1

LOYAL COMPANY looks to be a competitive contender. His 95 average has this gelding with among the most respectable Equibase speed figs in this event. The speed rating of 92 from his last race looks very good in here. He has recorded very good figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group of animals. OTAGO - Horses trained by Danner in turf route races are frequently sound. Is difficult not to examine based on speed figures which have been competitive - 97 avg - of late. UNDERDRESSED - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of horses in this race recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Optional Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16500 Class Rating: 89

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 KATE'S PRINCESS 9/5
# 2 MAJESTIC GIG 5/1
# 3 HALFINTHEWRAPPER 8/5

KATE'S PRINCESS seems to be the bet in here. Boasts strong speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Earned a solid speed fig last time out. Is a sharp contender based on figures recorded lately under today's conditions. MAJESTIC GIG - Cumberbatch has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent clip. With a strong 75 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition. HALFINTHEWRAPPER - This pony is highly ranked this field in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Looks to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #12 - Post: 5:41pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#13 ABIDALE (ML=5/1)
#9 JULIET'S MUSIC (ML=12/1)
#10 CAPTIVATING CARA (ML=9/2)


ABIDALE - Aguilar should have her moving solid on the turn. Last raced at Parx Racing carrying 7 pounds more. The lower impost in today's race should serve her well. Last time around the track was at Parx Racing in a race with a class rating of 82. Dropping considerably in class figure in today's event puts her in a solid position in this race. JULIET'S MUSIC - Smith brings her back again. I propose you stay with this strong mare. I like the way this mare's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a thoroughbred coming into top form. Have to like the way Smith has raced this mare back into shape off the layoff. Equine is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. CAPTIVATING CARA - You always have to be on the watch for money generating rider/trainer tandems; we have one right here. Mare had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. Racing at a similar level as last race on May 21st at Parx Racing. I think Brown has found a good spot for her, and I like her chances in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GOOD PENNY (ML=7/2), #6 HIGHTIME VALENTINE (ML=4/1), #11 PRINCESS SOPHIE (ML=5/1),

GOOD PENNY - Tough to play any pony in a short distance race if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. May 22nd is the last time we've seen this mare around. Have to be a little bit leery. HIGHTIME VALENTINE - If you keep betting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be frustrated frequently. PRINCESS SOPHIE - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint races in order to wager on her. 5/1 odds isn't enough for this participant when examining the most recent efforts.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #13 ABIDALE to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	13 with [9,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [9,10,13] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[9,10,13] with [9,10,13] with [9,10,11,13,14] with [9,10,11,13,14] Total Cost: $36