Monday 7/1/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 08:12 AM

eurobettingvip
SOUTH AMERICA: COPA AM?RICA
Bolivia – Panama
Panama -0.75

overpicks
EUROPE: EURO – PLAY OFFS
Portugal – Slovenia
Over 2.5

wintennistickets
Mensik – Bublik : Bublik @ 1.45
Errani – Noskova : Noskova @ 1.25
Andreescu – Cristian : Andreescu @ 1.28
Total Odds : 2.32

tenniscorrectscore
ATP – SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM)
Mensik – Bublik
Set Betting : 0-3 @ 3.20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:26 PM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 1, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

Yonkers Raceway has a 10-race card. The 0.50 Pick 5 with a $15,000 guaranteed pool rolls in Race 5. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 7, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7 (9:00 PM EST)

1-Nandolo N (7/5)-Has burned some money not posting a win in the last 6 starts. Not loving the short price but need to use. Will rely on Jason Bartlett to race near the top of the stack and be in striking range at the head of the stretch.
6-None Bettor A (8-1)-Doesn’t show a recent win at this level but this isn’t the strongest field and does have enough gate speed to get a good seat. Comes back in sequence for the 2nd straight time and that hasn’t been happening. Might be sitting on a big try.

Race 8 (9:20 PM EST)

1-Brookdale Miki (5-1)-Comes off an even try versus similar and was off 3 weeks between starts. This will be the 2nd start at Yonkers after arriving from Mohawk. Scott Zeron steers, his father owns and will look for an improved effort. The 0-18 this year is an issue but should offer a fair price.
4-Hunting Zone (7/5)-Dropped to this level and stayed inside to finish 3rd versus a sharp winner. The 7/5 ML feels strong but may have met a beatable field. George Brennan sticks, will respect chances of an overdue win, and he will likely be aggressive.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Windsun Ricky (5-1)-Drops to a soft spot, and Dan Dube should have in play with this post draw. Could be overlooked as Bartlett and Holland had been steering. But has back-class and knows how to beat this kind.
3-Racing Rampage (7/5)-Bumps up after going gate to wire in last and looked sharp in the 1st start in the Alexander barn. Matt Kakaley should be out and rolling and will respect chances of doubling up.
4-Cyrus N (6-1)-Gets post relief, class relief and regular pilot Brent Holland comes back for this outing. Has been stuck with the 8 hole in the last 3 starts and from this starting slot Holland could be aggressive. Has the gate speed to get the pocket behind the ML chalk and look to take over down the lane.

Race 10 (10:00 PM EST)

1-Fortify (2-1)-Takes a needed drop in class, draws the rail and will probably be a shorter price than the morning line. Not a value play but is difficult to leave off the ticket.
4-Whats Stanley Got A (5/2)-Similar to #1 as wins have been tough to come by this year (19-2-5-0). Should be heard from with this post draw. Jason Bartlett could leave and try to land on the point. Should get a smooth steer and be in the hunt at the wire.
5-Lou's Sweetrevenge(9/2)-Cashed the top check versus similar on 6-4. May have a tactical advantage if the pace is lively. That could happen and Matt Kakaley should have the Alexander entry stalking close to the leader.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,6/1,4/1,3,4/1,4,5
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:27 PM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#4 Skyler's Artemis	He's probably a good fit with the locals, and I think the pace he has been flashing in New York might be sharp enough to control this one the entire way. If he can shake off the guy drawn widest of all, he might find enough to hold off the late runners.
#2 Adios Ashwood	There might be enough upside to keep him in the frame today, but I'm assuming he'll be running on late again today, and that might leave him to settle for another underneath share.
#7 R Chello	He can win this -- and he might. But I'm against him with the top choice's pace potentially leaving him in a chasing spot where he can't seriously get past horses.
Race Summary	Skyler's Artemis makes some sense if he is able to shrug off the outside pace, and he might stick around this time after getting hassled and just missing last out.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#10 Crosstown Shootout	He might be too cheap for some of these right now, but he has always done pretty good work over the local footing and steps into this with several synthetic-surface scores in his recent running lines. In the mix?
#7 Dreaming of Kona	He has maintained really solid form over the last year, but he remains winless since a stakes score here last season. Guessing we'll see something better today.
#5 Just Might	He might drill these -- he's the classy pace in the group and got back in the win column last time out. Not totally sure how he's going to like it here, but it won't surprise anyone if he runs these off their feet.
Race Summary	Crosstown Shootout will need someone to bother Just Might today, but I'm hoping the splits are just honest enough for the likely chalk who is trying the local footing for the first time.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#11 Mac's Cat	Decent lean in the finale after this guy took a nice step forward last time out despite a bit of trouble. There are a few potentially unreliable forward players lined up, and he might get last laugh.
#4 Michaelshatrick	Wouldn't be surprised to see something a bit better from him at second asking after a wide and less than ideal trip. I wouldn't fall out of my seat if he landed this.
#1 Gruit	Not much from him for some time, but there might be a little upside today at what figures to be a huge price. Save ground and try to make one modest run?
Race Summary	Not sure what to do with #5 Change the Hour or #8 Exclusive Entry, both of whom own capable pace but tend to give way late. Mac's Cat goes third off the break after a useful finishing effort last out that might have him set to score today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:27 PM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Fort Erie - Race #2

#1 CORE (3-1)	Dueled with winning favorite and ran second after 10 months away.
#4 BIG TIME LOUIE (4-1)	Gets plenty of pace to rally into and an extra half-furlong to do it.
#6 VINNIE VAN GO (5-2)	Went wire-to-wire in three straight here last summer, begins 8yo season.
Race Summary	CORE is a model of consistency sprinting, has a strong comeback race to build on, and won the last time he raced for an $8,000 tag. He will have to negotiate traffic from the rail, but stick with him for a win and place bet and 1-4-6 exacta box.

Fort Erie - Race #4

#5 SPRING HIGH (2-1)	Stayed after the fave through turn in long sprint, should be the target in here.
#4 MISS SCHILLER (9-2)	Advanced 4-wide on turn but flattened out at 7-1/2F, third start of cycle.
#7 DEVIL IN HER HEART (7-2)	Ran third in allowance in lone start on the grass, use in gimmicks.
Race Summary	In a field that is a combined 14/0-0-1 this year, SPRING HIGH gets the nod as today’s Best Bet. She pressed the favorite through solid fractions last out at 7-1/2F before leveling off in the stretch. She can maximize her speed on the class drop in this field. Bet to win and place and play a 5/4,7/ALL trifecta.

Fort Erie - Race #5

#3 TONKA WAKAN (6-1)	Idle since December at Woodbine, met recent repeater, gets Lasix.
#1 AUTUMN’S SO FLASHY (7	Takes some catching from the rail in second start off layoff.
#5 YOU SEE ME (9-2)	In range of leaders on turn, finished in 9-path in 5-horse MSW sprint.
Race Summary	TONKA WAKAN earned his top two speed figures while no factor in a pair of sprints at Woodbine when last seen in the winter. He beat half the field in a 7F race won by Smokin Holiday (3-13, $52k), who won his last two starts in the U.S., the latest in a $16,000/nw3 claimer. Bet to win and place and play 1-3, 3-1 and 3-5 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:38 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie
PURCHASE

Fort Erie - Race 4	WPS, Exactor, 20 Cent Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6), 20 Cent Guaranteed $10,000 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $15,750 • Post: 1:24P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2024 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,750, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY)(WAIVER CLAIMING EXEMPT) (LIMITED TO 10 STARTERS)(*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF FIVE FURLONGS ONTHE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. ORBITING THE SKY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ORBITING THE SKY: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. SPRING HIGH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. DEVIL IN HER HEART: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. NEW YORK MINT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SILVER TUNES: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse ha s run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.
2	ORBITING THE SKY	8/1	6/1
5	SPRING HIGH	2/1	7/1
7	DEVIL IN HER HEART	7/2	7/1
1	NEW YORK MINT	10/1	7/1
6	SILVER TUNES	3/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	SPRING HIGH	5	2/1	Front-runner	79	68	122.3	44.6	42.1
3	EASY ACCESS	3	20/1	Front-runner	69	69	82.5	54.0	43.0
6	SILVER TUNES	6	3/1	Front-runner	79	73	81.7	48.5	40.0
7	DEVIL IN HER HEART	7	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	69	68	78.7	56.9	49.9
1	NEW YORK MINT	1	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	75	70	60.4	54.5	48.0
2	ORBITING THE SKY	2	8/1	Trailer	78	72	47.0	50.0	42.0
4	MISS SCHILLER	4	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	60	59	49.8	40.0	28.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:38 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Millarville
PURCHASE

Millarville - Race 4	Exactor / Quinella
Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 2:15P
MILLARVILLE DERBY - A STAKES RACE.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SAXON SAGA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SAXON SAGA: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower tha n the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer.
4	SAXON SAGA	3/5	6/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SAXON SAGA	4	3/5	Alternator/Front-runner	93	87	86.8	72.6	70.1
3	CHRISTINE'S JACK	3	8/5	Stalker	77	72	79.8	79.8	76.3
2	KVOTHE	2	6/1	Trailer	73	67	66.6	66.6	60.6
1	FLASH OF GLORY	1	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	60	58.2	45.2	37.2

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:38 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:34pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#6 BOOM BOOM KABOOM (ML=15/1)
#2 ALMOND CIDER (ML=9/2)

BOOM BOOM KABOOM - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. This rider and conditioner have a beneficial return on investment when they partner up. Last out, this one was in a race at Delaware Park in a race with an Equibase class figure of 83. Dropping significantly in class rating this time around puts him in a solid position in this race. This one could be a potential overlay right here in this race at odds of 15/1. Finished seventh in last race at Delaware Park but was close at the finish line. ALMOND CIDER - This horse could be tough in today's race, especially since Aguilar rode last out and now should be plenty familiar with this one. Taking a big class drop in class rating points from his May 29th race at Penn National. Based on that data, I will give this animal the advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NAVY RULES (ML=6/5), #4 BLUEY (ML=3/1), #1 TIEMPO PERFECTO (ML=4/1),

NAVY RULES - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. I find it hard to bet on him in this race. BLUEY - I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the task finished once in a while. TIEMPO PERFECTO - In the last affair this runner finished fifth. Doesn't look promising for his chances today. Substandard speed figure last out at Parx Racing at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #6 BOOM BOOM KABOOM to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:39 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 70

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 GYPSYROSELEE 3/1
# 6 PAYTON'S INDIAN 6/1
# 2 STRAWBERRY SUNDAE 5/2

GYPSYROSELEE gets the edge as the wager in here. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look formidable in this contest. Looks very good against this group of animals and should be one of the early speedsters. Has to be given a shot based on the decent speed fig recorded in the last competition. PAYTON'S INDIAN - I like the rider on this filly - competitive chance to win the outing. Is a solid choice - given the 64 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race. STRAWBERRY SUNDAE - Will likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the midpoint of the outing. Is a key contender - given the 70 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:39 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 97

MONASHEE H. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY, JUNE 22, 2024 WITH AN ADDITIONAL $750 TO ENTER AND $1,000 TO START. $50,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH 55% GOES TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 4% TO FIFTH, AND 2% SIXTH THROUGH EIGHTH, FINISHERS NINETH THROUGH

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 AIR FORCE 2/1
# 2 WE B THREE 9/5
# 5 INFINITE PATIENCE 5/2

AIR FORCE is my choice. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 2 - 5 in her races recently. Will probably be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the contest. Ought to be given a chance for this event if only for the competitive Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last race. WE B THREE - She has earned solid figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group. Looks very strong against this group of horses in this race and ought to be one of the early speedsters. INFINITE PATIENCE - Win percentage with this rider and conditioner combo - 28 percent - sound. Heads has this mare running well and is a very good choice based on the very good speed figures earned in route races lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2024, 01:39 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Presque Isle Downs - Race #5 - Post: 4:48pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#2 RUBY BLEU (ML=15/1)
#5 HEIRLOOM KITTEN (ML=9/5)
#1 AULT (ML=7/2)
#8 DIGITAL FOOTPRINT (ML=4/1)

RUBY BLEU - Dropping down in class rating points from his November 30th race at Penn National. Based on that data, I will give this animal the advantage. Don't often see a lucrative return on investment like +70. This rider/conditioner duo has done well together over the last twelve months. He has the top earnings per start. Take a good look at this animal. HEIRLOOM KITTEN - True, this campaigner is coming off a layoff, but this gelding runs well fresh. Was in a $5,000 Claiming race at Presque Isle Downs last time around the track. That contest had a class figure of 81 and he is moving down in this race. A certain win candidate. AULT - This thoroughbred coming off a sharp contest in the last thirty days is a win candidate in my book. A gelding like this one, almost always in the top three, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This gelding recorded a strong speed fig of 74 in his last event. That speed fig should be good enough to win this time out. DIGITAL FOOTPRINT - This gelding is in excellent physical condition right now. Finished second last out and comes back rapidly. That 74 fig this gelding notched in his last event tells me he's a major player this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 SEA SPLENDOR (ML=6/1), #3 EL SOLITARIO (ML=8/1),

SEA SPLENDOR - Didn't show much run last time. Probably won't make a winning move in today's event. This less than sharp equine ran a quite unimpressive speed fig in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will likely get beat in today's event running that figure. EL SOLITARIO - Don't believe this entrant will make a winning move today. That last speed figure was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #2 RUBY BLEU on top if we're getting at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2] Box [2,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None