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Big Al's 21-5 ATS SWEET 16 UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR!
At 9:55 pm, our Sweet 16 Underdog of the Year is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs plus the points over North Carolina, as the Zags fall into a terrific tourney system of mine that's 21-5 ATS since 1991. What we want to do is play on any NCAA Tourney underdog of +1.5 points or more, in the 2nd round of the Tournament forward, that's off back to back ATS losses. After registering ATS wins in its last three lined games heading into the NCAA Tourney, the Bulldogs have failed to cover their first two games (vs. Akron and Western Kentucky). In contrast, North Carolina was a perfect 2-0 ATS in its games last weekend, with blowout wins over Radford and LSU. But teams off back to back ATS wins in the Tournament have covered just 33 percent of the time vs. foes off a Tourney win and back to back ATS losses. Interestingly, these two teams met two seasons ago, and Gonzaga won that ballgame straight-up, also as an 8-point underdog. That's key here, as guys like Josh Heytvelt and Jeremy Pargo were on that squad, so they KNOW they can beat this North Carolina team. Finally, Mark Few's men have flown under the radar all season, due in part to their early exits in Round 1 the past two years (in games vs. Indiana and Davidson). And those two seasons followed three years which saw the Zags seeded #3 or higher yet fail to reach the Final Four. All of this has led the national media to discount the Zags as a team that can win a lot of games in the West Coast Conference, but one that cannot achieve the ultimate task of winning the National Championship. The curious thing about this mindset is that this year's edition of the Bulldogs might very well be the best yet. An outright upset would not be a surprise here. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al
At 9:55 pm, our Sweet 16 Underdog of the Year is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs plus the points over North Carolina, as the Zags fall into a terrific tourney system of mine that's 21-5 ATS since 1991. What we want to do is play on any NCAA Tourney underdog of +1.5 points or more, in the 2nd round of the Tournament forward, that's off back to back ATS losses. After registering ATS wins in its last three lined games heading into the NCAA Tourney, the Bulldogs have failed to cover their first two games (vs. Akron and Western Kentucky). In contrast, North Carolina was a perfect 2-0 ATS in its games last weekend, with blowout wins over Radford and LSU. But teams off back to back ATS wins in the Tournament have covered just 33 percent of the time vs. foes off a Tourney win and back to back ATS losses. Interestingly, these two teams met two seasons ago, and Gonzaga won that ballgame straight-up, also as an 8-point underdog. That's key here, as guys like Josh Heytvelt and Jeremy Pargo were on that squad, so they KNOW they can beat this North Carolina team. Finally, Mark Few's men have flown under the radar all season, due in part to their early exits in Round 1 the past two years (in games vs. Indiana and Davidson). And those two seasons followed three years which saw the Zags seeded #3 or higher yet fail to reach the Final Four. All of this has led the national media to discount the Zags as a team that can win a lot of games in the West Coast Conference, but one that cannot achieve the ultimate task of winning the National Championship. The curious thing about this mindset is that this year's edition of the Bulldogs might very well be the best yet. An outright upset would not be a surprise here. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al
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