3-29-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-29-09

indiancowboy


4 Unit Play. Take Over 138 between Michigan State @ Louisville (Sunday @ 2:20pm). I'm glad we cashed on the Pod yesterday with the UConn/Missouri Over. I am a huge Rick Pitino fan as I love his fire and coaching style. Louisville beat Morehead State by 20, had a close contest against Siena but rolled on and just crushed Arizona by over 40. This team has put up 74, 79 and 103 points while giving up 54 to Morehead State, 72 to Siena and 64 to Arizona. Michigan State beat Robert Morris 77-62, 74-69 to USC and Kansas 67-62. You have a classic Big East vs. Big 10 battle here and I know the public likes Louisville here but why shouldn't they? Louisville continues to have depth from their starting rotation. What has caught my eye in this game is that we know Louisville can csore points putting up 103 against Texas A&M and 79 against a Siena team that can play sound defense. But, what might be a bit surprising is that Michigan State is able to score some points as well. This team dropped 74 points against a defensive team in USC and that game totaled 143 and even the Kansas game totaled 129. So, there is a high level of scoring in games that we expect to have a defensive intensity too. Why can't a game that features a team like Louisville and Michigan State also reach that 140 mark and go over as well? I think what Louisville will try to do is run and gun a bit more here to get Michigan State out of sync. If you are looking for another play here, I was also looking at the over in UNC vs. Oklahoma, but decided to take the shorter number with the over here as Loiusville and Michigan State square off. Expect this game to go under in the first half likely but with late fouls and double-bonus time both teams should get to the cusp of 70 as the victor should get over 70. I believe the Cardinals will dictate the pace of this game as the over is 9-4 for Louisville as a favorite and the over is 4-1-1 for Louisville as a favorite of 7 to 12 points

[Guest]

Re: 3-29-09

Vernon Croy's **Sunday Night NBA B-L-O-W-O-U-T OF THE MONTH** 100% NBA Run!
San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Hornets (Mar 29 8:05 PM)
San Antonio Spurs (-1.0) (-110.0)
20 Units, Take San Antonio ATS, This pick falls into one of my top NBA systems and the Spurs are the overall superior team here tonight now that Ginobili, Duncan and Parker are all back in the line-up. Tyson Chandler is out for the Hornets and Posey and Stojakovic are listed as questionable so that only benefits on the best defensive team in the NBA tonight on the road. The Hornets are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after a SU loss and they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a dog of +0.5 to +4.5 points. Take the Spurs as they win this game by double digits on the road tonight and make sure you get on my other plays as my overall run continues.

[Guest]

Re: 3-29-09

Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 2* (Top Play) San Antonio Spurs (-) @ New Orleans @ 8:05 PM ET – I do apologize but the full analysis will not be posted here until 12:30 PM Central time today for this evening game. Briefly, this play has a lot to do with the Spurs getting healthier, being rested here, and having big momentum edges due to Manu Ginobili being back and due to their massive blowout of the Clippers in their last game. The final score did not do justice to the domination. Additionally, the other key here is the Hornets being without Tyson Chandler and having other nagging injuries that have limited their depth – like Hilton Armstrong. This has led to some major inconsistency for this Hornets team and, even when point guard Chris Paul has a huge game – like he did against San Antonio earlier this season – the Hornets can still lose as they did in that game. With the way Tony Parker is playing right now for the Spurs, he can “hold his own” against Paul and Tim Duncan and the Spurs frontcourt will have a big edge with Chandler being out for New Orleans right now. Please check back after 12:30 PM Central time for the full details but the above is a quick snapshot synopsis as to why the Spurs should take this one on the road! Play San Antonio as a Top Play selection on Sunday night!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-29-09

Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 2* (Top Play) San Antonio Spurs (-) @ New Orleans @ 8:05 PM ET – I do apologize but the full analysis will not be posted here until 12:30 PM Central time today for this evening game. Briefly, this play has a lot to do with the Spurs getting healthier, being rested here, and having big momentum edges due to Manu Ginobili being back and due to their massive blowout of the Clippers in their last game. The final score did not do justice to the domination. Additionally, the other key here is the Hornets being without Tyson Chandler and having other nagging injuries that have limited their depth – like Hilton Armstrong. This has led to some major inconsistency for this Hornets team and, even when point guard Chris Paul has a huge game – like he did against San Antonio earlier this season – the Hornets can still lose as they did in that game. With the way Tony Parker is playing right now for the Spurs, he can “hold his own” against Paul and Tim Duncan and the Spurs frontcourt will have a big edge with Chandler being out for New Orleans right now. Please check back after 12:30 PM Central time for the full details but the above is a quick snapshot synopsis as to why the Spurs should take this one on the road! Play San Antonio as a Top Play selection on Sunday night!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-29-09

STAN SHARP

DOUBLE DIME


ATLANTA +4 (bodog)OVER LAKERS @ 330 est


Stan notes that no one will want the atlanta side as they have just lost to san antonio and boston so if they can't beat these two how will they beat the lakers . That thinking is what is getting us great value with atlanta . Look for atlanta to keep this one close right to the end and pull the upset as this is the lakers 3rd road game in 4 days and 5 straight road game . Atlanta in a upset . **DOUBLE DIME **

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-29-09

Doc s***** NBA's pick
4-Unit Play #704 Take Atlanta +3 ½ Over LA Lakers (3:30 p.m. EST, Sunday)

We know the Lakers aren’t going to sweep this road trip and we think this is the best chance for a slipup as the Hawks are a very solid home team with only nine losses here this year. This is the Lakers fourth road game in six nights and fatigue has to be a factor here. With upcoming winnable games on this trip for LA against Milwaukee and Charlotte, the Lakers won’t be taking this game as seriously as the Hawks, who have dropped two straight to two of the best teams in the NBA (Boston and San Antonio) and desperately need a win. The Lakers are 14-23 ATS on one day of rest and this is the perfect spot for an upset, but with the points we have a little extra cushion in case of a close game.

3-Unit Play #707 Take New Jersey/Minnesota UNDER 199 ½ (3:30 p.m. EST, Sunday)

These teams have been really struggling offensively lately and the last three meetings have all gone under 200 points. The T-Wolves have averaged under 90 PPG in their last five contests. They have scored in the 80s in four of their last seven games. The Nets have failed to reach 100 in five of their last six games and have averaged just 96 PPG during that span. We feel that for this one to go over that one team will have to surpass 100 points and we just don’t see that happening tonight the way these offenses have been playing. New Jersey has actually been playing some pretty solid defense lately and the Lakers are the only team to reach the century mark on them the last five games. They have allowed only 95 PPG during that span.



3-Unit Play #709 Take Philidelphia +2 Over Detroit (6 p.m. EST, Sunday)

The road team has dominated this series against the number, cashing in 11 of the last 16 meetings and we believe the wrong team is favored tonight. The Pistons are in a freefall and have won only two of their last eight, and those wins came against the lowly Wizards and Clippers, two of the worst teams in the league and they best Washington by only two points. Philly has won seven of their last 10 and has some very impressive wins lately against Portland and the Lakers on the road as well as Miami at home. Detroit has been one of the most overvalued home teams in the NBA this season as they have covered in only eight of their last 30 games here.

[Guest]

Re: 3-29-09

STAN SHARP

DOUBLE DIME


ATLANTA +4 (bodog)OVER LAKERS @ 330 est


Stan notes that no one will want the atlanta side as they have just lost to san antonio and boston so if they can't beat these two how will they beat the lakers . That thinking is what is getting us great value with atlanta . Look for atlanta to keep this one close right to the end and pull the upset as this is the lakers 3rd road game in 4 days and 5 straight road game . Atlanta in a upset . **DOUBLE DIME **

[Guest]

Re: 3-29-09

Doc s***** NBA's pick
4-Unit Play #704 Take Atlanta +3 ½ Over LA Lakers (3:30 p.m. EST, Sunday)

We know the Lakers aren’t going to sweep this road trip and we think this is the best chance for a slipup as the Hawks are a very solid home team with only nine losses here this year. This is the Lakers fourth road game in six nights and fatigue has to be a factor here. With upcoming winnable games on this trip for LA against Milwaukee and Charlotte, the Lakers won’t be taking this game as seriously as the Hawks, who have dropped two straight to two of the best teams in the NBA (Boston and San Antonio) and desperately need a win. The Lakers are 14-23 ATS on one day of rest and this is the perfect spot for an upset, but with the points we have a little extra cushion in case of a close game.

3-Unit Play #707 Take New Jersey/Minnesota UNDER 199 ½ (3:30 p.m. EST, Sunday)

These teams have been really struggling offensively lately and the last three meetings have all gone under 200 points. The T-Wolves have averaged under 90 PPG in their last five contests. They have scored in the 80s in four of their last seven games. The Nets have failed to reach 100 in five of their last six games and have averaged just 96 PPG during that span. We feel that for this one to go over that one team will have to surpass 100 points and we just don’t see that happening tonight the way these offenses have been playing. New Jersey has actually been playing some pretty solid defense lately and the Lakers are the only team to reach the century mark on them the last five games. They have allowed only 95 PPG during that span.



3-Unit Play #709 Take Philidelphia +2 Over Detroit (6 p.m. EST, Sunday)

The road team has dominated this series against the number, cashing in 11 of the last 16 meetings and we believe the wrong team is favored tonight. The Pistons are in a freefall and have won only two of their last eight, and those wins came against the lowly Wizards and Clippers, two of the worst teams in the league and they best Washington by only two points. Philly has won seven of their last 10 and has some very impressive wins lately against Portland and the Lakers on the road as well as Miami at home. Detroit has been one of the most overvalued home teams in the NBA this season as they have covered in only eight of their last 30 games here.