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Texas El Paso -8.5 (-110) / 3 units
Texas El Paso -8.5 (-110) / 3 units
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Re: 4-1-09
Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - LA LAKERS.....10 DIMER - CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
30 DIMER - LA LAKERS
Milwaukee is fresh off their Monday blowout at New Jersey, but prior to that shocking result, the Bucks had lost 5 in a row, and 7 of 8 straight up, while failing in 8 of their last 9 against the spread!
Into town comes the reeling Lakers who lost on Sunday at Atlanta, and last night at Charlotte. Tonight concludes their 7 game road trip, and I expect LA to head back to tinsel town with a win and cover under their belts.
The Lakers have won the last 2 season series meetings, and while it is the Bucks that have covered the last 4 series meetings, this is just the wrong time for Milwaukee to be playing the Lakers, as those 2 losses the last 4 days are not sitting well with LA as they get set to board their jet back home.
Expect a double-digit win by Los Angeles tonight.
10 DIMER - CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Don't look now, but Larry Brown is once again working his magic for another franchise. Say what you want about Brown, but he does know how to get a team to play, especially when they are the preceived "underdogs".
Charlotte is on a 6-2 spread run their last 8, and they are fresh off a home upset win over the Lakers last night. Sure, Boston is playing well right now, but the Celtics aren't as tough without KG in the middle, and the Bobcats did beat them outright the last time these teams played, as the underdog is now 12-0 the last 12 series meetings.
Charlotte can smell the postseason, and I give them a shot plus the points tonight to keep things close
Today's Complimentary Selection
G-Man on a 6-2 comp play run the last 8 days.
Take the points tonight as Toronto heads to play a distracted Orlando team.
This is a sandwich game for the Magic, as they just played at Miami on Monday, and will host Cleveland on Friday. Yes, the Magic have won 6 in a row, but they are just 2-3 against the spread in their last 5 games, and with the # 1 seed Cleveland Cavaliers coming to town on Friday, Orlando will allow the Raptors to stay inside of this roomy impost.
Toronto is actually playing some decent ball right now, as the Raptors come to the Sunshine State having won, and covered 4 in a row.
Believe it or not, the Raptors have yet to be eliminated from the postseason chase, so with just a glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel, look for Toronto to continue their late season surge.
Take the Raptors plus the points.
2? TORONTO
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Re: 4-1-09
Robert Ferringo
2009 MLB Futures Plays
6-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay ‘Under’ 89.0 Total Wins (BetCris)
5-Unit Play. Take Toronto ‘Under’ 79.5 Total Wins (Bodog)
Toronto is a very strong ‘Under’ play.
3-Unit Play. Take Milwaukee ‘Under’ 81.5 Total Wins (BetCris)
Writeup to follow.
2.5-Unit Play. Take Atlanta ‘Over’ 83.5 Total Wins (BetCris)
1.5-Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Angels ‘Under’ 88.5 Total Wins
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 71.5 Baltimore Total Wins (Bodog)
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' Kansas City 75.5 Total Wins (Bodog)
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 84.5 Cleveland Total Wins (BetCris)Comment
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Re: 4-1-09
Handicapper: Matt Fag ro Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns - Wednesday April 1, 2009 10:05 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Houston Rockets +1.5 (-110)
Phoenix has been a great play at home and a great play against on the road recently but I am switching it up here and fading the Suns once again. I played against the Suns in all three of those recent road games and they were fortunate to come away with one cover in those games thanks to an overtime loss by five points in Utah. The first thought here is bounce back since they are back in the US Airways Center but I am not thinking along those lines. That recent three-game skid has put Phoenix four games behind Dallas for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference and while it is not mathematically eliminated, it might as well be. Five of the final seven games are against scrubs so putting together a string to end the year is more than possible. The problem is, the Suns have to bank on Dallas tanking but with the Mavericks playing six of their final eight games at home, including a game against Phoenix, that isn’t likely to happen. So even though it is a big game for Phoenix, I think it is actually bigger for the Rockets. Houston got a shot of momentum last night and it didn’t even play. The Rockets were moved up to first place in the Southwest Division thanks to San Antonio losing to Oklahoma City, at home no less. This is the start of a huge stretch for Houston who plays the Lakers, Blazers and Magic in its next three games so this game is extremely big. The Rockets are well rested as they have played just one game, Saturday’s 110-93 victory over the Clippers, in a week. They considered the break, and its four practice days, useful, but long enough and they are more than ready to get back to playing games. The time off will definitely help more than hurt as rest this time of year is huge. Plus, the Rockets are 4-0 this season when playing with three or more days rest with those wins coming by an average of 16.7 ppg. Phoenix has no doubt been better at home than on the road but a lot of that success has come against bad teams. The Suns are only 12-25 ATS this season against teams with a victorious record and that includes a 7-13 ATS mark at home. They are just 9-20 straight up against teams ranked within the top ten, going 9-20 ATS as well. This includes a 5-10 record against the number in home games so there is no advantage at all for Phoenix to be playing this game at home. The Rockets are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of fewer than five points and considering their last three road wins have come against San Antonio, Denver and New Orleans, playing in Phoenix, where they have won the last two meetings, is far from intimidating. 3* Houston RocketsComment
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Re: 4-1-09
Beat Your Bookie
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Wednesday
NCAA Basketball
100* Play UTEP (-9.5) over Oregon State (NCAA)
Oregon State is 4-13 ATS when playing on a Wednesday
Oregon State is 5-27 SU when playing as a road underdog the last 3
seasons
Oregon State is 8-28 SU when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5
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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Orlando (-10) over Toronto (NBA)
30* Play Philadelphia (-200) over Toronto (NHL)Comment
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Re: 4-1-09
MR EAST
TORONTO RAPTORS at ORLANDO MAGIC
PLAY: 5 UNITS ORLANDO MAGIC -10
The Toronto Raptors have now won 4 games in a row for the first time all season. All that will do is get Orlando's attention, that they need to show up for this one. Toronto is fool's gold here. They have played their last 8 games vs teams under .500 on the season. The real story is when they hit the road vs a team with a winning record, they are 0-14 straight up since Thanksgiving, and 10 of the 14 have been decided by 10 or more, 12 by 9 or more! The average margin of their defeats has been 15ppg. Let's not forget who the real hot team is here, Orlando is 13-2 in their last 15, and went through the month of March undefeated at home. Orlando won the last one here by 23, and would not be surprised to see a similar margin here.The Magic are 51-17 vs an opponent that allowed 100+ in their last game. Orlando big here!Comment
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Re: 4-1-09
Jimmy Boyd
NBA Basketball Premium Picks
NBA | Apr 01 '09 (7:35p)
4* Major NBA Public Massacre of the Week on Nets -1.5
Detroit just played a tough one at Cleveland yesterday and it is going to be very tough for the Pistons to bounce back on the road against a Nets team that is coming off its most embarrassing loss of the year. This one is all about pride and I expect the Nets to play with a lot of it tonight to snap a 5-game losing streak. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Nets are 18-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take New Jersey.
TOP PLAY =- NBA | Apr 01 '09 (10:05p)
5* 2009 NBA GOTY on Suns -1
The Suns return home after 3 straight road games and 3 straight losses, including a terrible loss to the lowly Kings last time out. The Suns won't quit on this season no matter what and since they are still alive in the playoff race, I expect one of their most motivated efforts of the season tonight. I expect Houston to be much more concerned about its revenge game with the Lakers coming up next as well. Phoenix is 15-4 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 107.3 to 99.3 and 8-1 ATS after allowing 120 points or more this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 116.1 to 106.3. Pound the Suns!
College Basketball Premium Picks
NCAA-B | Apr 01 '09 (10:00p)
4* Major CBI Tournament Championship Series BEST BET on UTEP -9
The odds makers have gotten the public on Oregon State with this line which is right where they want them as this one is going to be a rout for UTEP. The Miners are at home and it's a do-or-die game. Oregon State has had the benefit of playing all of its tournament games at home but I expect disaster for the Beavers when it steps out of its routine for the first time since March 11. Oregon State is just 4-10 when playing away from home this season. The Beavers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Miners are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Lay the points.Comment
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Re: 4-1-09
Cajun Sports
Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks
Play: 4* Dallas Mavericks -5
Due to the short turnaround time on the College Tournament Games we do not have a full write-up for our NBA and College Basketball selections. American Airlines Center will be the site of tonight’s east meets west when the Miami Heat faceoff against the host Dallas Mavericks. Dallas owner Mark Cuban loves attention and it appears at the time of this writing that his Mavericks will more than likely be facing the number one seed LA Lakers in the opening round of this year’s Western Conference Playoffs. Even if they are locked into their playoff position a chance at the Heat is one this Mavericks team seems to relish after losing to them in the 2006 NBA Championship. The Mavs have won the last five meetings since that Championship Series by an average of thirteen points per game. The Mavs offense utilizing Dirk Nowitzki has caused huge problems for the Heat defense in fact he made twelve of fourteen shots in the 111 to 96 beating the Mavs put on the Heat back on January 31st. Another key for the Mavs offense is their ability to drain the trey; they average shooting 19 per game and average making 7 which is a huge problem for a Heat defense that allows 39.3 percent from behind the arc. Miami is 7-19 ATS versus teams who attempt at least 18 three-pointers per game and 2-10 ATS during the second half of the season including 11-26 ATS over the last three seasons. Coming off that January 31st loss the Heat may be looking to avenge that loss but we know they are 7-12 ATS revenging a home loss this season and 23-36 ATS the last three seasons in that role. The Heat are 1-6 ATS this season revenging a loss where their opponent scored 110 or more points against them in the loss and 9-18 ATS the last three seasons. Dallas has played very well at home this season posting a record of 26-9 SU and our Math Model projects they will score more than 106 points in this contest and shoot 49 percent from the field which is bad news for the Heat as they are 9-21 ATS when they allow 48 to 51 percent from the field We also note that the Mavs are 17-7-1 ATS when they score more than 104 points in a game. All systems point to a Dallas win and cover over the Miami Heat on Wednesday night in Dallas so lay the short price as the Mavs cash the SU and ATS ticket for us in American Airlines Center tonight.
Graded Selection:
4* Dallas Mavericks 114 Miami Heat 96Comment
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Re: 4-1-09
Marc Lawrence
NBA Game Of The Month
Houston at Phoenix
Play: Phoenix -1.5
The Suns host the Rockets in a key Western Conference clash in Phoenix Wednesday evening. Looking inside this series we find the Suns with a 15-5 ATS mark of late, including 3-0 ATS when playing off back-to-back losses. They are also 14-6 ATS when seeking same season revenge against Houston, including 10-1 ATS when the Rockets own a .570 or great win percentage. On the flip side Houston checks in off a 17-point revenge win over the Clippers with a triple revenge affair up next on deck against the Lakers. The clincher is the Suns' sterling 36-17 ATS mark in games when playing off 3 losses exact, including 12-0-1 ATS against an opponent off a win of more than 10 points. With Phoenix currently 3 games back for the 8th and final spot in the Western Conference playoffs, look for Shaq and the boys to come up with their best effort here tonight. Phoenix is our NBA Game Of The Month.Comment
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