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Re: 4-2-09
DOC
4 Units Baylor -4
DOC
4 Units Baylor -4
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Re: 4-2-09
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides
dime bet
706 DEN -4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 705 UTA
Analysis: The Northwest division is in a wild race between Denver, Utah and Portland. These 3 teams have similar records and the pattern between them is that they can't win on the road. The Jazz, Nuggets and the Blazers are 19-0 SU at home against Northwest opponents and for this game I doubt that the Jazz can stop this trend.
The Jazz were spanked last game in Portland by 104-125 and they never were in the game. I remember that the Jazz was playing a back to back game, as they faced the Knicks in the previous day, so we might consider that it was a bad spot for them. However the Jazz simply struggle playing away from Salt Lake City no matter the circumstances. In fact they are 3-8 ATS & 1-10 SU as road underdogs against Western teams and it's important to say that the only win was in Memphis (they were shorthanded, so they were dogs) so technically speaking they are still winless on the road against Western top caliber teams. Why they can't compete on the road? The answer is pretty simple: they can't protect the paint and they are systematically outmuscled by their opponents. Despite having Carlos Boozer and Andrei Kirilenko available, the Jazz was outscored in the paint 38-50 by the Blazers. A deep look to the stats and the Jazz are ranked just 25th in points in the paint allowed per game allowing 42.4 ppg. Only the Thunder, Clippers, Kings, Knicks and the Warriors have worse numbers!! For some reason since the New Year, they are 0-7 ATS in those games.
The Nuggets meanwhile are rolling right now. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and all pieces are falling together (Carmelo Anthony is heating up averaging 30.9 points in his last seven games). After a bad stretch the Nuggets showed some mental toughness winning back to back games on the road in New Orleans and in Dallas. The Jazz lead the series by 2-1 and this game will clinch the series, so this is an important game for Denver, as they don't want to lose the tiebreaker. Curiously the Nuggets are 3-0 ATS in those games and in the last game in Utah (already in March), the Nuggets were pretty competitive. They played in the previous night at home against the Blazers and the Jazz were in the middle of the best stretch of the season. Despite that the Nuggets led the game by 10 points at the halftime (47-37), they ran out of gas in the second half, feeling the effect of a back to back game.
I expect the Nuggets to roll tonight. They are playing better basketball right now and they won't have any kind of mercy of the Jazz. The spread is relatively short for this game. In the first three games between these teams the line was 8, 8 and 9.5 points, so having the chance to grab 4 points is a big deal for us. Take the Nuggets in here.Comment
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Re: 4-2-09
kirkwins.com
3* Baylor -4 vs Penn St.
3* Philadelphia -7.5 vs Milwaukee
The complimentary play record on the star basis is: 781-624 for point spread plays, and 0-1, -2 stars for moneyline plays.
The last 33 comp plays are 23-9-1 on games, and 69-26 (72.6%) on stars.Comment
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Re: 4-2-09
Stan Sharp | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
707 Baylor -3.5 (-110) Bodog vs 708 Penn St .
Analysis: Stan is Betting BAYLOR today. Stan notes that this Baylor team is on a mission as this team had high expectations coming into the season and then a mid season slump killed their momentum. They made a run at it during the Big 12 tournament beating Nebraska , Kansas and Texas before losing the Championship Game to Missouri . Now they are continuing their run in the NIT as they have rolled thru all opponents. Tonight they take down the NIT Championship as they win this game by 8-11 points. TAKE BAYLOR as STAN SHARP'S TRIPLE DIME NIT GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.Comment
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Re: 4-2-09
indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. #704. Take the Washington Wizards +10.5 over the Cleveland Cavs (Thursday @ 8pm). We are rolling along in the NBA as we have won 6 of 7 (6-1) in that stretch as we look to post a great April. It is no secret that these two teams hate each other. From the hard fouls of Haywood, to Deshawn Stevenson and Lebron having words, to the playoffs when these two teams met, these teams freaking hate each other. Washington actually beat this team by 3 the last time they played at home. We remember that game as we took Washington in that contest. The last 3 of 4 in this series has gone under and Wash has covered the last 3 of 4 in this series as well. Arenas is expected to be back for this game as well as Songaila as they are looking forward to this game. Washington played much better at home of late beating the Kings, losing to the Pistons by 2 (covering the spread), beating Charlotte by a bucket outright at home and losing to Chicago by 2 points at home as well. The wrench in this equation is Arenas as I think the Wiz play better without him the majority of the time, nevertheless, as a dog player, it is tough to ignore the Wiz here catching the 10.5. Who knows, prior to game time it could be even higher. We get the Underdog today, at home, who although does not have revenge as Cleveland does, still will look to play their best basketball as they are 3-1 ATS against this team the last 4 games and have covered both games against the Cavs this year. This is the biggest public play on the board with Cleveland and we are going against that. The Wiz have done well against the Pistons, Bulls, Bobcats and Pacers at home as Crittenton, Butler and Jamison are getting it done. For this game, Arenas and Songaila are both expected to be back. Arenas remember got his feet a bit wet in a game prior to this as he really wants to step for his team in this game - hopefully he doesn't ruin their chemistry. Nevertheless, with the total moving up by 5 points, this makes me think that the dog will be active today and I will ride the Wiz at home. The Cavs are 2-6 ATS as big favorites of late, 3-7 ATS as favorites of late and Underdog is 5-0 ATS in this series of late as well.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 138 between Baylor Bears & Penn State (Thursday @ 10pm est). If you wait a bit for this line, it might get up to 139 prior to game time as the public money comes in. I favor the Under here for several reasons as I have tracked these two teams through the NIT and this is why I took the Under between Notre Dame and Penn State the other day. Give both of these schools credit for making it this far. The bottom line here is you have a very good Penn State defense facing a very good Baylor offense. This is the NIT Championship of course. Baylor has consistently put up 70+ points in this NIT tournament including 74 against Georgetown, 84 against Virginia Tech, 74 against Auburn, 76 against San Diego State and now facing a Baylor team who they will likely put up 70+ as well. The last total closed at 138 as Baylor and San Diego State's final score was 76-62. What's impressive is that San Diego State was a top 40 team coming into that game and Baylor handled them with relative ease. What's interesting is that for Penn State to win this game, it needs to go Under. After all, when they won at Florida with their stifling defense, they won 71-62 (133) and beat Notre Dame 67-59 (126). Baylor has hit its stride late into the tournament but remember this team has had the goods to beat Arizona State, Providence and win the Big 12 Championship. For starters, I think that Penn State is a better defensive team than San Diego State so I do not expect Baylor to put up 76 points in this game. Penn State loves to control the pace of a game and that is why this team held Notre Dame to 59 points who is from the Big East (although ND was playing a ton of unders the last 11 or so games in the season) and held Florida to 62 points in Florida. So, Penn State will want to play a slower paced, and will provide plenty of defensive intensity. What else would you expect from a Big 10 team? I expect Baylor to try to speed it up, but let's not forget that Baylor is 10-2 to the Under when they face winning teams of 60% or more meaning they are not able to get up their shots as easy or run their offense as smoothly. I do not believe this game will be "reffed" tightly as they will let both teams be agressive on defense. The Underi s 4-1 for the Nittany Lions on neutral sites as well. I have this game at 133 in my calculations, so I will take the 5 point edge here for the Under overall.Comment
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