4-14-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #1

    4-14-09

    Karl Garrett

    20 DIMER - MINNESOTA (Perkins over Romero)...10 DIMER - NY YANKEES (Burnett over Garza)
    20 DIMER - MINNESOTA TWINS (Perkins over Romero)



    The Blue Jays went 6-0 last year versus the Twins, and they picked right up where they left off with the 8-6 win last night at the Metrodome.



    Minnesota usually doesn't lose too many at home, and the G-Man will back them tonight to get on board with the "W".



    Glenn Perkins pitched his butt off in his first start, working 8 innings of 1 earned run ball, but taking the loss against Seattle. I like Perkins to get some redemption tonight, as a 53-28 home field mark last season cannot be overlooked, and Minnesota is way overdue for a home win against the Jays.



    I want to see if Romero can duplicate his winning home first start with a quality road win. I don't think he can.



    Go with the Twins.



    10 DIMER - NY YANKEES (Burnett over Garza)



    Last night I gave you Tampa, and that line just went through the roof, and with good reason, as the Rays rolled 15-5.



    No repeat tonight, as AJ Burnett looks like he is locked-in, coming through with a solid debut in a win over Baltimore. Burnett has also pitched well in the past against the Rays, and after getting humiliated from the get-go last night, expect the Yankees to have a little fire in their eyes.



    The Yankees still own a 10-9 mark since 2007 at the Trop versus the Rays, and they did get to Matt Garza in his last 2 starts against them a season ago, allowing 7 runs in 10 innings for a pair of no-decisions.



    I will take the Yankees to even this 3-game set with the win tonight.
    Today's Complimentary Selection

    G-Man giving you an easy OVER for FREE last night on Baltimore and Texas. Now 14-6 the last 20 days with my comp plays.



    Another OVER tonight, this time in the senior circut, as the Reds and Brewers keep the sticks cranking on Tuesday.



    Last night, Cincy and Milwaukee combined for 13 runs, and we could be seeing at least that many tonight when Bornson Arroyo and Manny Parra hit the bump.



    Arroyo allowed 5 runs in 6 innings in his first start of the season, while Parra allowed 5 runs in 4 innings in his season debut.



    Parra's last 2 starts against the Reds have seen 10 runs cross in just 12 innings of work, while Arroyo's last start against Milwaukee saw 5 runs cross in 6 innings. As you can see, these 2 hurlers aren't fooling too many batters of late.



    9 of the last 15 meetings at Miller Park between the teams have gone OVER the total, and this one will as well.



    3? OVER
    (on a 1? to 5? basis)
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #2
    Re: 4-14-09

    Richenboch

    Whitesox
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    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99936

      #3
      Re: 4-14-09

      Paul Leiner

      100* Yankees +110
      100* Indians +10
      100* Tigers +115
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      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99936

        #4
        Re: 4-14-09

        DOC

        2 units 76ers -5
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99936

          #5
          Re: 4-14-09

          Robert FerRringo

          1.5-Unit Play. Take Texas (-145) over Baltimore
          After losing four straight I gotta think that the Rangers get it back together tonight. In a game between these two offenses it’s really almost a toss-up. But Texas does have a slight advantage with Brandon McCarthy on the bump. His counterpart, Alfredo Simon, took a loss while giving up four runs in his first outing to the significantly lighter hitting Yankees. I don’t think that he’s going to be up to the task in his second career start, especially not on the road and really especially not in Arlington.

          1.5-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-130) over Toronto
          How the hell do you lose to the same team 10 straight times? How? Minnesota had that game won three different times last night. I don’t think that they are getting swept at home – they can’t get swept four straight times; they’re not that bad – so I’m going to get on the Twins this weekend and see if they can pull their heads out of their asses. Ricky Romero is another guy that is making his second career MLB start and doing so on the road. I don’t think this outing will be nearly as smooth as his last, and the Toronto bullpen is getting burnt out pretty quickly.

          Today's Totals
          2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 11.0 Baltimore at Texas

          1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Toronto at Minnesota

          1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.0 Boston at Oakland
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          Comment

          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 99936

            #6
            Re: 4-14-09

            Bob Balfe

            Cardinals -150 over DBacks
            Carpenter/Scherzer
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            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 99936

              #7
              Re: 4-14-09

              erin rynning
              royals / playmaker
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              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99936

                #8
                Re: 4-14-09

                The Baseball Prophet

                POD - Rangers/Orioles over 11 -120
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99936

                  #9
                  Re: 4-14-09

                  TheSportsPros

                  Over 190.5 Hawks
                  Under 207 Jazz
                  Rays-115
                  Over 11 Rangers
                  Over 9 Royals
                  Cardinals-130
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                  Comment

                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 99936

                    #10
                    Re: 4-14-09

                    TEDDY COVERS

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Lakers Apr 14 2009 10:30PM
                    PICK: Los Angeles Lakers
                    Your pick was graded at: -6 5Dimes
                    EXPERT: Ted Sevransky
                    TITLE: On Fire: 6-0 Run Continues
                    EVALUATION: Play Not Evaluated.
                    REASON FOR PICK: The betting marketplace is pricing Utah like a ‘must win’ team as they try to avoid the dreaded #8 seed in the Western Conference and a first round matchup with these same Lakers. The problem, of course, is that the Jazz are in this ‘must win’ situation because they’ve been downright horrible on the road against quality foes all year. The numbers don’t lie: Utah is 1-10 SU, 2-10 ATS against other Western Conference playoff teams on the road this year. The lone win came against a Hornets team tanking every bit as much as the Jazz are right now.

                    Utah is playing on the second night of back-2-backs, and the Jazz are a woeful 5-15 ATS in that role this year. They’ve gone 2-6 SU in their last eight games, beating only the lowly Clippers and the Hornets during that span. The Jazz have lost six straight to the Lakers at the Staples Center, with five of those losses coming by double digit margins. LA knocked Utah out of the playoffs last May, and they’ve beaten the Jazz twice in three previous meetings this year. So, given this relatively cheap pointspread – the Lakers won and covered as ten point favorites the last time these two teams met on this floor – the betting marketplace clearly expects a lackluster effort out of LA in their regular season finale.


                    I don’t expect a lackluster effort, not by any stretch of the imagination. Check out these quotes. Lakers center Andrew Bynum: “We’re going into (Tuesday’s game) trying to send them a message.” Phil Jackson: “I wouldn't think of sitting players.” Pau Gasol: “I think you can send a message. You definitely want to make sure they know we're a team they're not going to beat.”

                    3* Take the LA Lakers.
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                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 99936

                      #11
                      Re: 4-14-09

                      C-Stars Sports

                      1000 Units - AL Game of the Week - Boston over Oakland
                      50 Units NY Yankees +110
                      50 Units Minnesota over Toronto
                      50 Units Texas over Baltimore
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                      Comment

                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 99936

                        #12
                        Re: 4-14-09

                        Kyle Bales

                        10* NY Yankees/Burnett +110

                        5* LA Angels/Loux -110

                        Free Play Cleveland Indians @ Kansas City Royals over 9
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 99936

                          #13
                          Re: 4-14-09

                          3Daily Winners

                          Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - Apr 14, 2009 9:05 PM EDT
                          Play: Money Line: -147 Texas Rangers Play Title: Free Play

                          PLAY ON home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175, allowing 5.2 or more runs a game on the season in the American League, after allowing eight runs or more. Over the last three years, this system is flat-out astonishing at 22-2, 91.6 percent. The qualifying team is the Texas Rangers.
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 99936

                            #14
                            Re: 4-14-09

                            Dr. Bond

                            12* atl/mia under 191
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                            Comment

                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 99936

                              #15
                              Re: 4-14-09

                              EZ Winners 2-Tex Rangers
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