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JEFFERSON-SPORTS EARLY RELEASE
MLB
TORONTO-138 (Halladay)
MLB
TORONTO-138 (Halladay)
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Re: 4-16-09
John Ryan (-4.81u @1u/play YTD for hockey)
Money Line: 187 Anaheim Ducks
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Anaheim as the face San Jose slated to start at 10:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 76-57 mark making 45.6 units since 2003. Play on road dogs of +100 to +200 against the money line versus division opponents, off a road loss against a division rival. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 125-88 making 31.5 units since 2003. Play on any team against the money line off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival and with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season. Here is a third system that has gone 75-71 making 28.6 units since 2003. Play against home favorites against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games and playing with 3 or more days rest. San Jose is just 6-10 against the money line (-11.3 Units) against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season; 5-10 against the money line (-15.0 Units) off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Anaheim is a solid 25-15 against the money line (+11.3 Units) in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. Take AnaheimComment
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Re: 4-16-09
Fred Wallin
Fred Wallin's MLB Total's Play of the Day
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (Apr 16 10:10 PM)
Over 8.5 (-120.0)
Dodger Stadium is a big ballpark, but that won't matter in this matchup.. Zito is a shadow of himself and although Stults pitched well last week, he's extremely hittable and he'll be under pressure to keep his spot in the rotation.
Take the OverComment
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Re: 4-16-09
Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - SAN DIEGO PADRES (Peavy over Maine)
20 DIMER - SAN DIEGO PADRES (Peavy over Maine) Jake Peavy has been reached for 6 runs in his 15 innings of work this spring, splitting a pair of starts. I have a feeling the righty is going to be ready to mow the Mets down in their new park this Thursday night, and I am all about this very nice price on the Padres, and their ace tonight. New York counters with John Maine, and if you ask me, while Maine is capable of shutting the Good Fathers down tonight, more than likely he is going to be hit by a San Diego team that has enjoyed this April, getting off to a 6-3 start. The Padres also play well when playing against the Mets, as they have split the first 2 at the new Citifield, and are now 12-5 overall against New York since the 2007 season. It is a small card this Thursday, but I do have the one winner on the diamond that will add more coin to our pockets! Take the Padres over the Mets.Comment
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Re: 4-16-09
steve merrill
Florida Marlins /Atlanta Braves UNDER 9.0 / 5 units
Atlanta sends Kenshin Kawakami to the mound. The Japanese import is 1-0 this season after defeating the Nationals at home. He struck out eight and walked four in his six innings of work. This is the type of pitcher that the Marlins have trouble with as they have never faced him and the Florida hitters are strikeout prone.
Florida sends Anibal Sanchez to the mound and he looked strong in his season debut versus the Mets last Friday when Sanchez pitched five scoreless innings and allowed only four hits. Sanchez should have success again today against a Braves’ lineup that will be without Chipper Jones who is still dealing with a thumb injury. Brian McCann is hitting .364 against Sanchez, but the rest of the team struggles against him. Look for a pitcher's duel today as the bats are likely to still be asleep with this early daytime start.
Play UNDER as a 5 unit play.
Toronto Blue Jays /Minnesota Twins UNDER 7.5 / 5 units
A pair of aces take the mound in game four of the Twins and Blue Jays series in Minnesota. Toronto sends Roy Halladay to the mound and the ace is already 2-0 on the young season after shutting down the Indians and defeating the Tigers on opening day. Halladay is 7-0 against the Twins with an ERA of 2.71 and a fantastic WHIP of 0.935. Minnesota collectively hits only .228 against the righthander. If you take out Delmon Young's 6 for 11 against him, that average goes even lower. Minnesota is unlikely to have any success today as their offense is struggling and has scored three or less runs in six of the 10 games played so far this year.
The Twins send lefty Francisco Liriano to the mound. He's scuffled so far this season going 0-2 with a 6.94 ERA. Liriano lost 6-1 on opening day to Seattle and 8-0 to Chicago five days later. Despite the slow start, the potential is there for Liriano to shut down the Blue Jays. While he's never made a start against Toronto, the Blue Jays’ hitters have 16 at-bats against him managing only one hit by Vernon Wells. Liriano is a talented pitcher and will bounce back today. Both offenses will struggle and my power ratings predict just 6.8 total runs.
Play UNDER as a 5 unit play.
San Francisco Giants / Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8.0 / 7 units
These NL West rivals wrap up their series in LA with a pair of lefthanders taking the mound tonight. Barry Zito goes for the Giants after losing his first game of the season 7-3 to the Padres. The enigmatic lefty went only four innings giving up four runs on seven hits. He is 5-4 against Los Angeles with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.194. The Dodgers are extremely familiar with Zito and Matt Kemp hits .520, while Rafael Furcal checks in with a .429 average.
The Dodgers have scored 16 runs the past two nights and their offense should have success again this evening as Barry Zito struggled in April last year. The Dodgers have also crushed left-handed pitchers this season, batting .353 as a team versus LHP and averaging 12.9 runs per nine innings.
The Dodgers’ starter Eric Stults won his first start pitching well in 5.3 innings, giving up only one run, however Stults hasn’t had much success against San Francisco, going 0-1 with a terrible 6.23 ERA and a WHIP of 2.154. The Giants as a team hit .500 against the lefthander in 30 at-bats. Fred Lewis is 5 for 6, while Randy Winn is 2-for-4. The Giants have not had many looks at Stults, but when they do get him, they hit the guy around.
Play OVER as a 7 unit play.Comment
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Re: 4-16-09
Keith Fredrick
Padres at Mets
Pick: Padres +115
Padres have been a thorn in the side of the Mets the last three years as even with yesterday's win the Amazins are just 5-10 against the Friars in the last 15 meetings. With that backdrop we see John Maine against Jake Peavy, and with Peavy having a "plus" in his column. Padre ace is 4-2 with a 3.32 career ERA against New York while Maine has allowed 13 hits and seven earned runs in 11.2 career innings of work against the Padres. Peavy as a dog...I am in!Comment
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