4-17-09

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#951 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis +170
#953 - MLB - 3 units on Florida -124
#964 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers -144
#971 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +137
#978 - MLB - 3 units on Minnesota -114

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Hondo

April 17, 2009

Hondo's prayers for the Padres were answered last night when they rallied and then held off the Metamucils to beef up the bankroll to 175 lezcanos.

Tonight, he'll keep on praying and take another stab with San Diego -- 10 units on Young to come up tall in Philadelphia.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

RatedPicks 4/17

(Paid Plays)
Detroit Tigers +105
Houston Astros -145
LA Dodgers -1.5 RUN LINE +115
Padres/Phillies OVER 8.5

(free plays)
Texas Rangers -110
Chicago White Sox +155

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Friday, April 17th, 10:15 PM ET

Carlo Campanella is off to a 6-2 start with his "MLB Pitching MisMatches" and Arizona fits that role as road Favorite starting Haren on the mound in San Francisco for this Friday west match-up. San Francisco opened the season at 0-5 against Division opponents and now must face Haren, who's allowed just 3 Earned Runs in his 13 Innings Pitched this season. Those two starts came against the Dodgers and Colorado, who have stronger line-ups than these Giants, who own a .236% Team Batting Average. HUGE Pitching MisMatch here as he squares off against the Giants Sanchez, who is 1-5 when starting against Arizona with an ERA of 8.56. 7* Play On Arizona Good luck - Carlo Campanella

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Wunderdog

Game: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia +150 (moneyline)

The Flyers were never in game one as the Penguins dominated from start to finish, and never had to worry. The fate and resolve of the Flyers will certainly be more apparent in this one. They have lived up to those words on the season, as they have followed-up a horrible loss of three goals or more with an 18-7 mark. They have also followed-up a two goal or less offensive performance with a 19-7 mark. The Penguins have been hot at home, but the last team to take them down in this building was the Flyers, and I expect them to answer the bell for game two. The Flyers get the call here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Bob Balfe

04/17/2009
MLB Baseball
Marlins -130 over Nationals
Nolasco/Lannan

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

The Baseball Prophet

POD - Seattle Mariners -120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

RON RAYMOND’S 5* GRAND SLAM WINNER! (PVI RATING 77%)

Pick # 1 Oakland Athletics / Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.0 100

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Ferrringo 4-17-09
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"WOW". I'm sure that's your first thought looking at today's card. But trust me, I'm playing games and I'm playing series. That may not make total sense, but Monday morning we're going to look at our bank rolls and we're going to have more money in it than we do Friday afternoon. That's what I know. If you do not want this much action, this is the order you should cut the plays: Cut the underdog plays first, Cut the totals second (trust me, just for today), cut the Runline System third. So if you want to play games but don't want this much action just get on the straight sides that I've tossed out there.

I think we're going to have a good day and I know that we're going to have a great weekend. Let's see what we can do.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #970 Toronto (-130) over Oakland (7 p.m.)
Hey, as long as the Blue Jays keep winning we’re going to keep playing them. They have looked incredible to this point in the season. Absolutely sensational. They have been able to do no wrong and they are destroying left-handed pitching. Oakland does not hit lefties very well, and that also hurts because Toronto’s bullpen is stacked with left-handed pitchers. Oakland is coming off a nice series with the Red Sox and I don’t think that the turf is going to serve them well. Toronto gets Game 1.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #962 Houston (-145) over Cincinnati (8 p.m.)
Two guys that are very happy to see the Reds come to town: Lance Berkman and Roy Oswalt. Oswalt has been garbage this year, but he has won 22 of 26 starts against the Reds over the last few seasons. I know that this is a different Reds team, but the bottom line is that when you own a franchise, you own a franchise. The Astros are 48-21 against the Reds in the last 70 meetings and the ‘Stros are 55-19 in Oswalt’s home starts. He gets his first win of the season tonight.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #980 Seattle (-125) over Detroit (10 p.m.)
King Felix and the M’s have a lot of mojo right now. Their new manager really has this team playing good baseball and has them playing the game the right way. Much like the Blue Jays and the Marlins, the Mariners are just smoking hot and we’re going to go to the well a little bit. Justin Verlanders has proven time and time again that he’s just not the same guy he was three years ago. Detroit is 5-13 with Verlander on the road and is 5-11 when he has extra rest. Detroit is also 15-37 as an underdog and 1-7 on the road.

1-Unit Play. Take #960 New York Mets (-125) over Milwaukee (7 p.m.)
Mets are starting to feel the pressure a bit, I believe. But the Brewers just really aren’t a very good team right now. They have been dropping series against teams – Cubs aside – that just aren’t very good (Reds, Giants). And Milwaukee has not looked good doing it. The Brewers are 3-12 in their last 15 road games and are 4-13 backing Dave Bush on the road. The Mets have faced some really good starting pitching over the last week and I think that Bush is going to be throwing softballs up there to a lineup that is really focused on getting some momentum. Mets get 2-of-3 in this series this weekend without breaking a sweat.

1-Unit Play. Take #953 Florida (-125) over Washington (7 p.m.)
This is along the same lines as the Blue Jays. As long as the Marlins keep winning we’ll keep playing them. They are 21-7 over the Nationals over the last couple years and dominated them last week in Miami. John Lannan has not looked sharp this year and the Marlins’ right-handed power – Uggla, Ramirez, etc. – should have another solid day against him.

Runline Systems Plays
1-Unit Play. Take #952 Chicago Cubs (-180) over St. Louis (2 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #952 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +110) over St. Louis (2 p.m.)
Hey, I’m sure P.J. Waters is a nice guy. He’s probably going to have a great career. But he’s not going to beat Carlos Zambrano this afternoon. It’s the kid’s first career start and he’s doing it in a huge rivalry game at Wrigley Field. He’s going to be nervous, while the Cubs are going to be focused because they lost Game 1. I don’t expect Waters to have a deep outing and that's going to get us into the St. Louis bullpen. Nothing good happens when you get into the St. Louis bullpen.


1-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-170) over Chicago White Sox (7:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +110) over Chicago White Sox (7:30 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #968 New York Yankees (-1.5, -105) over Cleveland (1 p.m.)


Underdog Systems Plays
1-Unit Play. Take #957 San Diego (+155) over Philadelphia (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #971 Baltimore (+135) over Boston (7 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #955 Atlanta (+105) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m.)


Today’s Total
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Florida at Washington (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Oakland at Toronto (7 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - TEXAS (Harrison over Meche)....10 DIMER - BALTIMORE-BOSTON OVER (Guthrie vs. Penny)
20 DIMER - TEXAS RANGERS (Harrison over Meche)



I know Meche rates the edge over Harrison, but to me the Royals 5-4 record is a bit of a mirage, as I just don't see their hitters stacking up against the loaded Texas lineup tonight in Arlington.



Texas has been knocking the snot out of the ball in their home park, and I have a feeling their bats will easily carry the night against Kansas City.



The Rangers did go 7-2 against the Royals in the season series last year, and one of those wins was thrown by southpaw Harrison, as he went 7 innings, and allowed only 1 run to score in a win at Kauffman.



Gil Meche's 2 starts against the Rangers last season produced an 0-1 mark, 6 runs allowed in 12 innings of work.



KC's record is better than expected, but tonight they get rocked.



Take Texas!



10 DIMER - BALTIMORE-BOSTON OVER (Guthrie vs. Penny)



I have a feeling the guys inside the Green Monster are going to be busy hanging crooked digits up on the Fenway scoreboard this evening!



I am backing another OVER from the O's tonight. Baltimore's pitching leaves a lot to be desired, and the fact they have played 4 straight OVERS, and OVERS in 7 of their 9 games already this year tells me there could easily be another OVER in store tonight.



Boston has also been playing them HIGH of late, sailing OVER in 3 in a row, and 4 of their last 5, with a push in the mix.



Brad Penny is always a pitch or two away from leaving the game injured, and he is quite capable of allowing that one ugly inning that sees 5 or 6 runs come home.



Have to stick with the percentages, and play this Baltimore-Boston game OVER the total.
Today's Complimentary Selection

G-Man stands at 14-9 the last 23 days with my comp play releases.



Early action in the Bronx today, and I thought the Yankees ticket prices were high! The same can be said for the price on Joba Chamberlain this afternoon against a Cleveland team that broke through in a big way against the average Yankees bullpen yesterday in a 10-2 win in the first game played at the new ballpark in the Bronx.



More of the same today, as the Tribe is starting to heat up, winners of their last pair, and 3 of 5, while the Yanks are a middling 2-3 their last 5 ball games.



You know Joba is not likely to work past the 6th inning, as the starting experiement still sees young Mr. Chamberlain's innings still being limited, and with the way the New York bullpen hasn't been getting the job done, you simply have to take a shot at this huge underdog to get the weekend started.



Reyes may not be able to blank the Yanks, but I have a feeling the Cleveland bats will be able to bail him out.



G-Man rolling with the Indians at this great price!



2? CLEVELAND
(on a 1? to 5? basis)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

DOC

6 Unit Pick. Take Carolina (+130) over New Jersey

Game two is tonight after New Jersey took game one rather easily. Carolina couldn't have played a worst game, they were out played in every area. The Devils from the start seemed like they just had more energy and jumped on the Hurricanes out shooting the Carolina 30-13 and leading 3-0 after the first two periods. This Carolina team is mentally tough and quietly was one of the best in hockey after making a coaching change in December. I think we will get a better effort here tonight from Carolina and I think this series will head back to Carolina 1-1.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Marc Lawrence

Play On: Houston w/Oswalt

When the Astros send ace righthander Roy Oswalt up against the Reds in Houston tonight they will do so knowing they have defeated Cincinnati 22 out of 26 times in Oswalt's career team starts in this series. Inside those numbers he's won each of his last 9 starts at home against the Reds. With Oswalt 0-2 out of the gate this season, look for the Astros to improve to 17-3 as a host in this series here tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Brian Edwards

Marlins at Nationals
Play: Marlins -121

Florida is on fire with four straight wins and eight victories in its first nine games of the season. The Marlins just swept the Braves, outscoring Atlanta by a combined score of 21-7 in three games. The Nats got their first win of the season yesterday but I don't see this abysmal squad catching fire. Ricky Nolasco shits Washington down and Hanley Ramirez bounces back from Thursday's 0-for-5 performance against the Braves.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Jim Fiest

NL Mismatch Game of the Year

FLORIDA MARLINS / WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Take FLORIDA MARLINS

Washington has been awful -- beyond awful. They are 14th in the NL in runs scored and dead last in pitching,a whopping 7.71 team ERA! The Nats are tired of Lastings Milledge, their 24-year-old center fielder, acting like a 10-year veteran who has earned a central position in their locker room when, in fact, he has accomplished little. When he doesn't show up until 30 minutes before team stretching exercises or is late to a team meeting the day before Opening Day, it sends a bad message, so they sent him to Triple AAA.He is (was) one of many problems on this team. Meanwhile, the Marlins are rolling: They outscored the Braves 21-7 in the series, a sweep on the road. Ricky Nolasco is 6-1 lifetime against the Nationals and the Marlins swept the Nats in three straight last week by a combined 26-13. They are 3-0 on the road and have the highest plus-run differential in baseball, along with the best record.

Play the Marlins.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-17-09

Kirkwins

4 Seattle
4 SD
4 Pitt
3 Pitt under
3 Toronto
3 Baltimore
3 Chisox
3 Florida
3 Florida over