4-25-09

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#952 - MLB - 3 units on Cincinnati +117
#963 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers +113
#966 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego -121
#974 - MLB - 3 units on Cleveland -128
#975 - MLB - 3 units on Texas +110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Maddux Sports

Hockey
#44 - NHL - 3 units on San Jose -210

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#520 - NBA - 3 units on New Orleans -4.5
#524 - NBA - 3 units on Miami -4
#526 - NBA - 3 units on Utah +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Insider Sports Report

4* L.A. Lakers -4 over Utah (NBA)
Range: -2.5 to -6

3* Houston (Hampton) -125 over Milwaukee (Suppan)
Range: -110 to -145

3* Florida (Volstad) -130 over Philadelphia (Park)
Range: -115 to -150

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Elite Sports Picks

Kansas City (Davies) -115 over Detroit (Miner)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Craig Davis Saturday's Lineup
50 Dime ---- HEAT

20 Dime ---- LAKERS

MIAMI HEAT --- Absolutely love this play tonight. I've been waiting for this series to come back to Miami since it started, and it actually plays into our hands that Miami won game 2 the way they did.

After the Heat suffered a near 30-point beatdown in Game 1, they answered the call in Game 2 and scored 108 points in a 15-point win. Dwayne Wade looked as good as he has all season and led this team on the offensive and defensive end of the floor. You see, that's the difference here. Wade has the experience of playing in (and winning) an NBA Championship, and if he has to, he'll carry this team on his back to the next round. Atlanta is a nice, young team that really has no veteran leadership... no one they can rely on in crunch time.

But to be honest, one of the biggest reasons I like this game tonight is home court advantage. It's not often I back a team based as much on the home court as I'm doing tonight. But there's something about Miami and playing at home that I simply can't ignore. Not only has this team covered seven of their last ten home games, they've won 28 of 41 home contests and their average margin of victory in their last ten was nearly 10 PPG.

Miami's last home game vs. Atlanta this season (January 26th) was a 95-79 win completely dominated by the Heat in the second quarter. In this series, whoever wins the second quarter wins the game and wins big. It seems as if that's been the status quo in this series to date.

Do you trust Atlanta on the road, seriously? They are just 3-7 ATS in their last seven roadies and haven't competed in five of them. Their last two road wins came against lowly Toronto and Milwaukee and that's because neither of those teams play a lick of defense.

The Hawks don't have a single trend in their favor, dropping their last four ATS as a dog, six of their last seven after allowing 100+ points in the previous game, and four of their last five overall. Miami, meanwhile, has covered their last five home games vs. a team with a losing record on the road and five of their last six home games when giving between 1 and 5 points.

This one is all Heat and it's my favorite game of the playoffs thus far.

LAKERS --- Okay, the fun's over for Utah. It was a nice comeback win over LA in Game 3 but it took the Lakers completely falling apart in the fourth quarter to get Utah back in the game and eventually over the hump. The Lakers held a 64-51 third quarter lead with just a few minutes left, but allowed Utah back in the game with dismal shooting. That might happen on a rare occasion now and then, but it won't happen in back-to-back games. Not with the Lakers.

LA cruised to two easy wins at home, and despite slipping in the 4th quarter a few days ago, they're clearly the better team and won't let another win slip away from them. Pau Gasol won't miss six free throws and Kobe Bryant won't miss 19 shots and Utah won't be close in the fourth quarter.

Yes, I realize the Jazz are an impressive 33-8 at home, but I'm also aware the Lakers are 29-12 on the road and I know they'll come out with a new attitude after letting Game 3 get away.

The Lakers have covered five of their last seven as a favorite and six of their last eight in this round of the playoffs. Utah is a measly 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a SU win and they don't play well on Saturdays (if you believe in that stuff).

Bottom line: the Lakers are better, and when you can get a #1 seed giving just a few points against an 8-seed, you take it. Lakers win 105-95 and get the easy cover tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

teddy covers


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nuggets 20* BigTicket!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Steven Budin-CEO
SATURDAY'S PICK FREEHOLD, NEW JERSEY WISE GUYS

25 DIME RELEASE

Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Howie Feiner

Howie's 100 Dime NBA Western Conference Playoff Winner
L.A. Lakers (209) at Utah Jazz (+4') – 9:05 p.m.
Analysis By 3:00, ET
Utah Jazz (+4') 100 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Trace Adams
1000*s - New Orleans Hornets, Atlanta Hawks, Minnesota w/Slowey over Pavano Early start time has to favor the Hornets in this one, and the fact the Bugs lose this game, and they are toast also favors the team from the Big Easy.

As dominant as Denver was on their home floor, I doubt they will be able to make it translate on the road, at least not in this game.

Denver won the last series meeting in New Orleans, 101-88 back at the end of March, so taking the points would appear to be enticing, but you know how the NBA playoffs go, so my money is on the Hornets to get on board in the series with the win, and the cover this afternoon.

It's do-or-die for New Orleans, and I expect them to survive this critical game.

1000? - New Orleans Hornets - 1:00 pm

I think the linesmakers have a bit of a quandry here, as both games played in Atlanta were blowouts, the Hawks scoring the win in Game 1, the Heat returning the favor in Game 2.

I have a feeling this is game is going to be the game in which we see a tightly contested battle.

The Hawks were unable to break through on the playoff road last year against Boston, but the experience they gained in that seven game set was invaluable, and that should translate to a competitive effort in today's swing game.

Aside from D-Wade, this Miami team does not have a whole lot of veteran leadership, and you saw how that worked out for Chicago after they split the first pair in Boston earlier this week.

The Hawks have still won 7 of the last 10 meetings straight up, and getting points today they are the play.

1000? - Atlanta Hawks - 6:35 pm

On the diamond, I expect a wild one between Minnesota and Cleveland.

Both Kevin Slowey, and Carl Pavano pitched well their last time out, but their previous 2 starts left a lot to be desired, as both were hit pretty hard.

Both teams have yet to hit their stride, but I expect Minnesota to get things going before Cleveland does. The Twins took last night's game with ease, and I expect them to do some more damage tonight.

At a near pick, prefer to side with the Twins and Slowey, as I have seen enough of Pavano to know he could give up an 8-spot early in this game.

Take Minnesota

1000? - Minnesota w/Slowey over Pavano

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Bob Balfe

Pirates +105 over Padres
Duke/Hill

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Las Vegas Sport Picks

6* Mavs -4
10* Hornets/Nuggets under 198 (NBA Playoffs Total of the Year)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Doc Sports NBA

6 Units

Denver +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

charlie
nba. denver @ new orleans over 197 & atlanta+4 (500*).
nba. lakers-4' (30*)
nba. spurs @ dallas over 188 (20*)
nba. new orleans-4' (20*)
nba. atlanta @ miami under 186(10*)
nba. spurs+4' (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 4-25-09

Kelso

10 units Mavericks
3 units Jazz