4-29-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #31
    Re: 4-29-09

    Scott Delaney
    Scott Delaney
    Wednesday lineup:

    30 DIME ATLANTA HAWKS - If Dwayne Wade was battling back spasms at home, and couldn’t do anything but be a hindrance to his team on Monday, what do you think will take place in Atlanta after he spent yesterday out of practice being treated for the ailment? He’ll be evaluated at some point just before the 8 p.m. tip, which tells me he’s still in pain. And all the stretching, H-Wave and Ultrasound treatments and rubdowns he gets won’t take away from the fact he is less than 100 percent, and he is on the road.



    Wade comes in after his worst shooting performance of the series Monday, when he was 9 of 26 from the field and 1 of 8 from three-point range in 41 minutes. As you can see, all the halftime-treatment and back rubs during timeouts did him no good. In fact, at one point his teammates had to help him off the bench so he could get back into the game.



    Wade’s back injury had a vivid effect on the way he lifted for his jump shots, while it hindered his ability to drive around Atlanta’s defenders, who were sturdy enough against the all-star, who averaged a league-best 30.2 points during the regular season. In this series, his average is down about five points and he’s committing five turnovers in this series. His field-goal percentage and free throw attempts are also down from his season averages.



    You’re going to see Atlanta take full advantage of this series, and isolate the opportunity to go up 3 games to 2 in this one, there’s no doubt about it. This whole game and game plan is about being physical at home, getting the crowd into it and taking Wade out of the mix. Lay the chalk with the Hawks.



    10 DIME TAMPA BAY RAYS (WITH Kazmir and Blackburn) - I realize the Rays have suffered through a frustrating road trip, having lost two of three in Seattle and Oakland before splitting out here in the Metrodome, but this is a perfect opportunity with Scott Kazmir toeing the slab for us against a right-hander, and I’ll lay the chalk. The Rays, who are 7-5 against northpaws, take on Nick Blackburn, who gave up six runs in 1-1/3 innings of an 11-1 loss last September to the Rays.



    And with Pat Burrell expected to be back in the lineup, and the defending AL champs looking to revitalize the offense, I think Kazmir will get the run support he’ll need today. Kazmir has won both road outings this season, including last Friday’s outing in Oakland, where the left-hander yielded two hits over six scoreless innings of an 8-2 win. List both and lay the chalk.
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99936

      #32
      Re: 4-29-09

      Gomes
      Houston at Cincinnati


      Play: Single Dime Play on Under 9
      Comments: HOUSTON (9 - 12) at CINCINNATI (10 - 10) Wednesday, 4/29/2009 7:10 PM FELIPE PAULINO (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
      A couple of weeks ago Edinson Volquez completely struggled with his command in Houston by walking 5 Astros' batters and still the Astros scored only one run! This is being the story about Volquez and the Astros: 3-0 with an ERA of 1.37 and a WHIP of 1.170! The Astros lineup is batting just .216 against him and I expect Volquez to dominate them once again. Houston is one of the worst offensive teams of the league with the Under cashing 12-3 vs. RHP and 5-2 road games. Last night they scored 8 runs but note that 4 of them were scored in the 5th inning and the Reds committed 3 errors so we can expect a more focused Reds' team on the defensive end.

      Meanwhile the Astros send Felipe Paulino to the mound and this is going to be his 3rd start of the season. He made a quality start in his debut facing the Reds by not allowing a single run while striking out 6 batters! The Reds' offense are struggling right now, in the last 5 games for only once they scored more than 4 runs and even in that game (a 8-2 win vs. Atlanta) 6 of the 8 runs come in the same inning (the fifth inning). With both offenses struggling I expect a low outcome for this contest. The line of 9 runs is a high number as I expect this game to end with 6/8 runs. Take the Under in here.
      Pick: 3 units on Under 9



      Tampa Bay at Minnesota


      Play: Single Dime Play on Tampa Bay ML
      Comments: TAMPA BAY (8 - 13) at MINNESOTA (10 - 11) Wednesday, 4/29/2009 8:10 PMSCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. NICK BLACKBURN (R)
      The Rays are just 8-13 and naturally they didn't look like the same team from last season however there is a huge difference for them facing lefty handed pitchers than facing right handed pitchers! In fact, they are 1-8 vs. LHP but 7-5 vs. RHP! Facing right handed pitchers the Rays are scoring 5.6 runs/games while batting .277 BA and .354 OBP! Last night once again the Rays struggled facing LHP Francisco Liriano but the scenario for this game is much better as the Twins send to the mound Nick Blackburn. Blackburn is coming from a quality start vs. Cleveland but I can't trust him as he at home already allowed back to back 4 runs vs. Mariners and vs. Angels.

      Meanwhile the Rays send southpaw Scott Kazmir to mound and Kazmir is perfect on the road with 2-0 and a micro ERA of 0.75! He had one non quality start so far in the season vs. White Sox but he bounced back last game vs. Oakland. The Twins was a superb team facing lefty handed pitchers last season but the same cannot be said this season as they are batting just .232 BA for a dismal mark of 3.5 runs per game! Last season Kazmir went scoreless against them in his only start vs. Minnesota while Blackburn was pounded vs. Tampa Bay allowing 6 runs in just one inning! I expect the Rays to roll tonight as they have all the edges for a nice win. Take the Rays in here.
      Pick: 2 units on Tampa Bay ML
      Pick: 1 units on Tampa Bay RL -1.5
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