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The Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series and 38-14 in their last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, while the Royals are 14-31 in their last 45 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 1-5 in Davies' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. After Posting a 12.47 ERA in his first start I belive that Brian Burres will bounce back with a strong effort today. He will be facing a KC squad that is 22nd in scoring at 4.2 rpg and 25th in hitting at .247. The Royals also score just 4.4 rpg at home and in their 8 day games they have hit just .200 and have scored just 3 rpg. toronto has had no such hitting problems as they are 4th in scoring (5.9 rpg) and 1st in hitting (.290), plus they average 6.5 rpg on the road and 6.1 rpg vs righty starters. That Toronto offense will take aim at a struggling Kyle Davies, who is 1-1 with a high 6.88 ERA in his slast 3 starts, plus he is 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA at home. The Jays offense will win this one as I just don't see KC putting up enough runs to outscore them.
POWER ANGLE For This Play--- Since June 22nd 2008 The Blue Jays are a sparkling 25-3 after allowing 6+ runs.
1 UNIT PLAY
Oakland/ Texas Under 11
The Under is 26-11 in Athletics last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-1 in Bradens last 7 starts as a road underdog, while the Under is 8-1 in Padillas last 9 starts with the total set at 11.0 or higher. You won't see this that often, me taking an Under in a Rangers home game, but Padilla is due for a good game and 6 of his last 7 home starts with teh total of 11 or higher have gone under the total. Dallas Braden has been pitching well this year as he owns a 2.52 ERA overall, including a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. His starts have averaged just 5.3 rpg overall and a mere 2 rpg in his 2 road starts. No more than 9 in this one.
1000 Units Top Play Boston/Chicago UNDER the total
1000 Units Top Play Portland/Houston UNDER the total
1000 Units Top Play Dodgers over Padres
50 Units NY Yankees over Angels
50 Units St. Louis/Washington UNDER the total
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