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Baseball
#901 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis -130
#912 - MLB - 3 units on Milwaukee +107
#915 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego +149
#920 - MLB - 3 units on Toronto -125
The Over is 6-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, while the Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The last 7 games played in NY have averaged 13.1 rpg, with 6 of the 7 going over the total. CC Sabathia has struggled in his first year with the Yanks thus far with a 4.73 ERA and his games have averaged 11.2 rpg. CC also has 2 home starts, with a 5.11 ERA and those 2 starts have averaged 14 rpg, plus he owns a 7.02 ERA in 3 day starts, with those games averaging 14.33. Matt Palmer has just 1 start on the year with a 6.00 ERA and that start put up 15 total runs. Overall Matt has just 4 career starts, with a 7.71 ERA in those starts. The Angels have averaged 6.9 rpg in their last 9 games, while the Yanks have averaged 9 rpg in their last 4 games and they have averaged 6 rpg at home. Yankee home games are the highest scoring in the league at 13.8 rpg, while their days games have averaged 13.8 rpg. Here we have some hot hitting, some struggling pitching & two of the worst pens in the league in the top scoring park in baseball. No brainer here. Easy Over.
Baltimore/ Toronto over 10.5
The Over is 22-8-3 in Orioles last 33 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, while the Over is 25-11 in Blue Jays last 36 during game 2 of a series. 10 of the last 12 played in toronto between these two have gone over the total, with an average of 10.9 rpg being scored in the last 10. Bradley Bergesen has just 2 starts on the year and has a 5.59 ERA in those starts and an average of 13 rpg being scored. Toropnto has averaged 6.1 rpg vs righty starters, while the O's have averaged 5.5 rpg vs righty starters. Toronto's last 9 games overall have averaged 11.4 rpg, while Oriole road games have avergaed 14 rpg. Neither pitcher has faced the opponent and that gives them the edge, but I still feel that both offenses will have a good afternoon and pu no less than 13 runs on the board in this one.
2 UNIT PLAY
St louis -124 over WASHINGTON
The Cardinals are 12-1 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, while the Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series and 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Joel Piniero has been solid out the gate, with a 4-0 record and a 3.76 ERA. Shairon Martis does have a 2-0 record overall, but with a high 6.21 ERA. The Nats are just 2-2 in his starts. The Cards havce one of the top offenses in the NL, they have their top pitcher on the mlound and are playing the worst team in the league. Easy call here.
It seems like there is something wrong with Oliver Perez who has given up 20 runs in 19.3 innings this year, mainly because he's issued 15 free passes. Jamie Moyer hasn't been great, but is coming off a six innings, one run performance in Florida. the Phillies have torn apart left-handed pitching this year, hitting .317 and scoring 8 runs in the five games. The Mets are struggling and with Perez on the mound this is a good spot to take the defending champs at a cheap price.
DERBY DAY!!!!!!!!!!! I like Desert Party (19) and will sprinkle in Freisan Fire (6) with General Quarters (12) and Pioneer of the Nile (16)
My infatuation with the Nationals continues. Angel Hernandez is behind the plate today and last year he was 25-9 for the homers. Martis pitches well at home and I still am not fond of Pineiro. Feel free to ignore the play as they have cost me about 13 units this season. Have a good Saturday. Family time!
5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 N.Y. Mets
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Florida
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 L.A. Angels
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Cleveland
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 11.0 Chicago White Sox
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 St. Louis
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 Baltimore
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