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#720 - NBA - 3 units on Houston +1
Basketball
#720 - NBA - 3 units on Houston +1
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Re: 5-8-09
GAMEHUNTER
2009 Record: 114-93, +51.4845 Presleys
Thursday: 6-2, +8.600 units
Actually proud of the way I got off the canvas on Tuesday night after losing -11.230 units and the past two nights have won +14.4425 units. Hopefully I can rekindle some of that Friday Night magic from the past two seasons. Thanks for the kind words. Big card!
SAN DIEGO +150 (1.75 UNITS) - Houston is a bad baseball team and despite SD's difficulties against lefties, the price is ridiculous and Gaudin is more than capable. The Pods have had success in limited appearances against Wandy and the Astros are 5-10 at home. Cecil Copper's days may be numbered.
SAN FRANCISCO +188 (1.5 UNITS) - The price is ridiculous. Zito has been solid of late. Without Manny, Dodger hitters are just 56 for 245 (.229) against Zito with just 2 HR's and 15 RBI's. The Dodgers have distractions and their bullpen imploded last night. Yes, Billingsley has been tough against the Giants in two starts this season, but I'd have to think they can figure out a way to get some runs in their 3rd time facing him in a month.
FLORIDA +109 (1.75 UNITS) - Hammel isn't an overpowering strikeout pitcher and isn't a crafty veteran...two things the Fish struggle with. He's allowing 1.72 runners per inning. This park was made for the Fish.
WASHINGTON 1ST 5 INNINGS +119 (1.5 UNITS) - The Nats are hitting the crap out of the ball. Zimmerman and Guzman are hot. Dunn, Dukes, Johnson, Willingham and Kearns are more than capable. Martis has looked outstanding of late. Melvin was fired last night as the Dback skipper and the team is in a bit of disarray. Only concern is energy the Nats expended in confidence building explosion late last night. I will avoid the Nats' pen and stick with the F5.
BOSTON EVEN (2.25 UNITS) - Shields implodes at Fenway. In 4 career starts, he has lasted just 15 2/3 innings and allowed 27 hits and 17 earned runs. Penney's fast ball was popping last out at the Trop. Sox should get healthier tonight and I expect to see some returning to the lineup.
BALTIMORE +148 (1.5 UNITS) - Mariano Rivera probably isn't available. CC has thrown 21 1/3 innings his L3 and allowed 20 hits and 16 runs. Guthrie has thrown 19 hit innings his L3 and allowed 20 hits and 12 runs. The Yanks have lost 5 straight and is 7-8 on the road. The O's have won 3 of 4 and is 9-8 at home. Molina will probably miss for the Yanks leaving them with a 3rd string weak hitting catcher from Triple A. ARod is expected back so PT Barnum should make an appearance and put a tent on this circus which will be magnified by Manny being Manny. Huge distractions for the Yanks. How are the Yanks laying this type of number right now the way they are playing?
UNDER DET/CLEVE 1ST 5 INNINGS 4.5 RUNS (+105) (1 UNIT)
UNDER DET/CLEVE 9 RUNS (-115) (1 UNIT) - Was close to playing the Tribe here but will stick with the under. Cliff Lee has been outstanding his L4 tossing 29 innings and allowing 33 hits, 6 earned runs and an 18:5 K:BB ratio. Rematch of game over the weekend. Verlander is inconsistent but when on he is dominant. In his last two, he has thrown 14 innings and allowed just 9 hits and 1 earned run with a 20:3 K:BB ratio.
OVER TEX/WHITE SOX 10.5 (-115) (1.75 UNITS) - Contreras was brought back way too quickly. In 26 innings, he has allowed 34 hits, 25 runs and has a 14:14 K:BB ratio. Texas torched him for 7 runs and 7 hits in 3 1/3 innings last week. No way Harrison stymies the Pale Hose a 2nd time in a row. In 26 2/3 innings this season, he has allowed 51 base runners and has just a 12:12 K:BB ratio.
KANSAS CITY -109 (1.5 UNITS)
TORONTO -104 (1.5 UNITS)
WHITE SOX -109 (1.5 UNITS)Comment
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Re: 5-8-09
John Ryan
Boston Bruins vs. Carolina Hurricanes (NHL) - 7:35 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 107 Carolina Hurricanes Play Title: Carolina
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Carolina as the host Boston in the NHL playoffs. AiS shows a 92% probability that Carolina will score 2 or fewer goals. Note that they are 17-1 making 17.4 units this season, 43-7 making 37.4 units over the past 3 seasons, 128-58 making 81.2 units since 1996 when they allow 2 or fewer goals. Carolina is also 17-9 against the money line (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. Take Carolina.Comment
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Re: 5-8-09
Jeff Bonds | MLB Money Line Fri, 05/08/09 - 7:05 PM ?N
double-dime bet ml922 CLE (-130) Bookmaker.com vs 921 DET
Analysis:
Detroit (Verlander) v. Cleveland (Lee)
Play -130 (1 Unit) and R/L +165 (1 UNIT)
Jeff Bonds | MLB Total Fri, 05/08/09 - 8:05 PM ?N
triple-dime bet 909 SDP / 910 HOU Over 8.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: San Di?ego (Gaudin) v. Houston (Rodriguez)
Jeff Bonds | MLB Money Line Fri, 05/08/09 - 10:10 PM ?N
dime bet ml915 SFG (+180) Bookmaker.com vs 916 LOS
Analysis: San Francisco (Zito) v. Los Angeles (Billingsley)Comment
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Re: 5-8-09
Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd
NBA Basketball Premium Picks
NBA | May 08 '09 (7:05p)
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic Orlando Magic
-4-105 at spbook
3* ESPN Prime Time SMASH on Magic -4
No Rafer Alston for the Magic tonight, but I expect them to get the job done anyway. They were able to win in Philly without Dwight Howard, who is a much bigger piece of the puzzle, in their first round series so they shouldn't have a problem at home without Alston. After getting worked in Game 2, you can expect Orlando to play with a much bigger sense of urgency tonight. Orlando has won 20 of its last 26 at home against Boston and 5 of its last 6 at home against Boston the last 3 seasons. It's important to note that the Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 14-3 ATS revenging a loss where its opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Boston defense has not been nearly as good in these playoffs without Garnett, especially on the road. Lay the points.
-= TOP PLAY =-
NBA | May 08 '09 (9:35p)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers
-115 at bookm
5* NBA Western Conference Playoffs GOTY on Lakers pk
I don't see the Lakers trailing in this series again. Game 1 was a wake up call and LA showed in Game 2 that it would not be out-muscled by the Rockets with its physical play. The Lakers won both meetings at Houston during the regular season, and I expect them to take care of business tonight. The Lakers will be without Fisher, but that gives the Rockets no real advantage as Jordan Farmar is very capable of stepping in. The LA Lakers are 8-0 ATS in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with LA winning these game by an average score of 111.9 to 96.4. It's hard to get quality shots without good ball movement stemming from penetration, and the Rockets don't get good penetration nearly enough. Houston is only 2-13 ATS revenging a loss where its opponent scored 100 or more points this season. Lastly, plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more, are 32-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. This super system makes my last point. The Lakers just have too much fire power to contend with. Take LA!
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MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | May 08 '09 (8:10p)
Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
-115 at bodog
4* Major A.L. SMASH of the Week on White Sox -115
The White Sox broke their 4-game skid with a 6-0 win over Detroit last night and I like the Sox to rattle off another one at home here. While Texas has been swinging mighty bats in the early going, they haven't been hitting nearly as well on the road, scoring 1.1 runs per game less than their overall season average. Contreras has not been good for the Sox in the early going, but let's face it, he's due. Plus no real edge goes to the Rangers here because Harrison has struggled so badly in the early going for them. The White Sox are 24-7 against the money line in home games after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons and 27-10 against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. But here's the clincher: plays on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games, are 36-10 since 1997. Bet the Sox.Comment
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Re: 5-8-09
Robert FerrRingo
1-Unit Play. Take Milwaukee (-125) over Chicago Cubs
1.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-110) over Oakland
Runline System Plays
1-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-175) over Atlanta
1-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-1.5, +115) over Atlanta
1-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-175) over Seattle
1-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-1.5, +120) over Seattle
Underdog System Plays
1-Unit Play. Take Washington (+120) over Arizona
1-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (+180) over L.A. Dodgers
2-Unit Play. Take Boston (+100) over Tampa Bay
Today's Total
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Tampa Bay at BostonComment
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Re: 5-8-09
Marc Lawrence
100% Perfect NBA Fan Appreciation Play!
Play On: Orlando Magic -4.5
When the Magic hosts the Celtics in Game Three of this 2nd round series matchup in Orlando tonight they will do so knowing they are 4-0 SU and ATS in games off a loss of 18 or more points this season. We also note from our powerful database a winning angle that tells us to: Play On any Game Three home favorite of 3 or more points off one loss exact if they are of a loss of 18 or more points and a spread loss of 3 or more points. That's because teams in this role are 12-0 SU and ATS in the playoffs since 1991. With Boston 0-4 SU and ATS on the playoff road against .600 or greater opponents that are off a SU and ATS loss, we'll stay at home with the Magic here tonight.Comment
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