5-11-09

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Trapp

-=TOP PLAY=- NBA | May 11
Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks Total 210½ un-115
Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.


Under is 7-2 in DEN last 9 road games.


Great Trends back up the capping on this play. Denver does not score near as well on road and also Dallas will be balls to the wall on defense to try and fight off elimination. The only worry here would be OT but no way these two get over 210. Denver might even be a lock down defense tonight as they would love a rest before facing LAL!! SCORE DEN 99 - DAL 96

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Craig Trapp

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 11
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants -138
Was not going to release a free play winner but figured what the hell lets give out a premium play on Monday. Very light day in sports but Craig has very easy winner. Take a look at the records, trends, and winning breakdown here.


Records


Washington Nationals 10-19, 5-12 away (Cabrera 0-3, 4.85 ERA)


San Francisco 16-14, 10-4 home (Johnson 2-3, 5.68 ERA)



Betting Trends


Nationals are 0-6 in Cabreras last 6 starts.


Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.


Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.


Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.



Not sure how the lowly Nationals are not an even larger M/L underdog but we will take it and love every bit of it as SF wins easily. Also love that Washington is having to travel after losing in ARIZONA on Sunday. Washington is pitiful on the road with only 5 wins. The Giants go for their 14th win in 20 games and their eighth straight against the Nationals. The Giants hand the ball to Randy Johnson, who's three wins shy of 300, he is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA in his first three home starts for the Giants. Lucky for the Giants hitters they get to face Cabrera today who can't get a win (0-6). Not even close today SF WINS EASY. SF 7 - WASH 3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#953 - MLB - 3 units on Cincinnati +112
#956 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco -139
#957 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox +120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#732 - NBA - 3 units on Dallas -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Steve Merrill

5* San Fran Giants action

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Dr. Canada

Pens over 5.5
Canucks over 5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

kbhoops

MLB
5* Cincinnati +115 **POD**
3* San Fran -140

NBA
5* Denver +1.5
3* Atl Hawks +10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Teddy Covers

Nuggets

Indians

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

GAMEHUNTER

2009 Record: 127-107, +49.6899 Easlers
Sunday: 5-2, +4.2504 units


What a card......about as exciting as watching paint dry!


SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 RUNS (+144) (1 UNIT)

UNDER CINCY/ARIZ 9.5 RUNS (-105) (1 UNIT)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

fairway jay: atlanta hawks

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

teddy covers: denver nuggets

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

ATS Lock CLub
3 Mavs

Financial
3 Cavs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

John Ryan

NBA | May 11
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks+11-110

Ryan nailed his 15* Round 2 Game of the Year w/ Den in Game 3 + now his extensive research has identified a 15* Total Play on DAL/DEN Game 4 matchup. This play is further reinforced by game dependent angles w/ 162 total wins to their credit + a 90% probability of winning for you.

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Atlanta Hawks as they face Cleveland in the elimination game 4. 15 of 18 teams have completed the sweep when up 3-0 in a series and those same teams have been a solid 12-5-1 ATS. Yet, trends many times reverse themselves and this is going to be one of those games demonstrating that fact. Cleveland has shot very well, but they will be a more normal shooting NBA team tonight based on the AiS projections. AiS shows a 71% probability that Atlanta will lose this game by 8 or fewer points. Also, that CLV will shoot between 43 and 47%. Note that Atlanta is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. Take the Hawks to at least be competitive tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

NSA......NBA Denver @ Dallas 9:35 PM EST 20* Denver +2
MLB White Sox @ Cleveland 7:05 PM EST 20* OVER 9.5
NBA Cleveland @ Atlanta 7:05 PM EST 10* Cleveland -10
MLB Washington @ San Francisco 10:15 PM EST 10* Washington +145
MLB Cincinnati @ Arizona 9:40 PM EST 10* Cincinnati +120
MLB Atlanta @ NY Mets 7:10 PM EST 10* UNDER 7
NHL Washington @ Pittsburgh 7:05 PM EST 10* Pittsburgh -150

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-11-09

Trace Adams

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - Cleveland Cavaliers
OK, I give up!

On Saturday I gave out a 500? Pay-After play on the Hawks in Game 3, and we all know how that turned out. I honestly thought Atlanta would at least keep it close on their home floor.

The Hawks did keep it close for a while, then Cleveland's superiority took over, and the Cavs won it by 15, making that 7 straight playoff wins, 7 straight playoff covers, 7 straight double-digit wins!

Hard to argue with those kinds of numbers, and while the spread on this one has gone up a basket, I expect the Cavaliers to handle the number once again, as I have a feeling the Hawks are now demoralized, and will cash it in early tonight.

Cleveland knows the Boston-Orlando series is now tied at 2, so they can get some nice rest once again if they put the Hawks away tonight.

With a chance to make history looming for the Cavs, expect Cleveland to make it their mission to crush the Hawks tonight.

Lay it!


PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN

500? - Cleveland Cavaliers