9-13-08

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98644

    9-13-08

    Alex Smart
    FREE PICK: Maryland +15

    The Maryland Terrapins enter into this home game as two touch down underdogs to the California Bears. The game has steamed up from an opening line of -11.5, thanks to over whelming amount of public money and a few whales rolling in on the side the the away team.

    The Bears thanks to back to back wins, against Washington State and Michigan State, behind an offense that scored a combined 102 points, look like an obvious square choice to cruise to another one sided victory, against a Maryland program that has has come out of the gate slowly.

    The Terrapins used very little effort, doing just enough to get a 14-7 win against Delaware in their opening contest, before putting forward a unmotivated performance against Sun Belt opponent Middle Tennessee State last week, suffering a 21-14 road set back.

    I know the Terps looked bad last week, but Im betting they were looking ahead to this game and probably over looking and under estimating their opposition.

    With that said, it must be noted that Maryland is a much stronger team than many may think, as they have 9 returning starters back on offense, and also have a viable rushing attack behind the legs of DaRel Scott(320 Yds), who currently ranks 4th in the nation.

    With that said, I expect the Terps will use their ground attack a lot today, in an attempt to slow this game down. On the defensive side of the ball, the Terps are a formidable foe, and were ranked 24th in points allowed last season. Maryland showed how staunch they can be, when they held their first opponent Delaware scoreless for 55 minutes, before falling asleep at the wheel last week. I expect they will be wide awake this time around and provide California's explosive offense with a very stiff test.

    Final notes & Key Trends: California is just 10-22 ATS L/32 games as road favorites.

    Projected Score: California 24 Maryland 21
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98644

    #2
    Re: 9-13-08

    *** EZWINNERS NCAA FOOTBALL ***

    5 STAR: (107) RICE (+8) over Vanderbilt
    (Risking $550 to win $500)
    6PM Central Time

    3 STAR: (135) PENN STATE (-27.5) over Syracuse
    (Risking $330 to win $300)
    2:30PM Central Time

    3 STAR: (134) FRESNO STATE (+2) over Wisconsin
    (Risking $330 to win $300)
    9:30PM Central Time

    2 STAR: (167) OHIO STATE (+11.5) over Usc
    (Risking $220 to win $200)
    7PM Central Time
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    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98644

      #3
      Re: 9-13-08

      Greg Shaker

      Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks
      Play: South Carolina +7 -110 2 Units


      The Georgia Bulldogs may or may not have the best team in the country but laying points in the contest, or any contest on the Road in the SEC, can be poison. This is argueably the biggest game for the Gamecocks every year and this one is bigger than ever, with Spurrier on the Hot Seat, and not being able to afford another conference setback. In fact, this game might be the Largest for Steve ever at this school. He does have his best team ever on both sides of the ball. You can best believe that he will have some tricks up his sleeve for the visiting Dogs. By far, this is is the toughest ticket in the country Saturday, and yes I do know that Ohio State plays at USC. The South Carolina Hopeful will be out in full force and if you asked the Georgia Brass about this one, they would tell you that winning here is always a chore, even when the Cocks have had mediocre squads. There will be many that will point to the fact that the Bulldogs will have Extreme Revenge on their minds, losing at home to South Carolina last year. The Revenge Factor is wildly overstated though, when you must travel to the other team's venue. The Bulldogs play this year at Athens has been pretty good and that, couple with the SC Loss at Vandy has given us a better than expected number. The nation?s preseason Number 1 team has won two games by a total of 63 points but they have been over what can only be described as marginal competition. The Gamecocks are not in that category at all. There are no measureable injury problems for either team except for Gamecock wideout Kenny McKinley, who is doubtful for this clash. The Bullies may or may not come away from here with a win. They will know that they played a game, and if they do chalk up their 3rd win of the year, it will not be by very much. That means that the +7 spot looks large indeed to me.
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      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98644

        #4
        Re: 9-13-08

        Bettorsworld

        3* South Carolina +7 over Georgia

        We should have sent this game out when the numbers came out on Sunday Night when there were still +8's on the board. Bookmaker.com, the first to post the lines each week, opened up at 8. Every point helps and it's essential to get the best number on any play you make. But still plenty of value left getting a touchdown in this match up. This play is pretty much an automatic. The SEC is still one of the strongest, if not the strongest conference in College Football. All one needs to do is glance at any SEC teams schedule from a year ago, or any year for that matter, and you'll learn to expect the unexpected. It's perhaps the most exciting conference with some of the best games year in and year out.

        When you look at any game, you first have to throw the pointspread out the window. You're first question should always be, can the team I'm looking to back, win this game? Particularly in the case of an underdog. You should never look at a dog, and play the game because you think a team can hang within a number. That's a losing approach. Heck, if you can predict that a team is going to lose but by less than 7, well, you deserve an award. The ideal betting situation is to back a dog that can win straight up, making the points a bonus. So, can South Carolina beat Georgia?

        To answer that, let's take a look back to last year. Early season handicapping is much different than mid to late season handicapping where you can use a statistical approach, common opponents and such. Two games into a season, you need to make assumptions based on the first two games, often against weak opponents however in some instances you can take a look at the prior year.

        We first need to recognize that these teams are largely intact from a year ago. Georgia returns 8 on offense and 9 on defense while South Carolina returns 7 on offense and 10 on defense. In looking back to last year, you can perhaps understand why SC is a 7 point home dog this week as we have two teams that have gone in different directions since midway last year. Georgia won 7 straight and is 2-0 already this year while SC is 1-6 going back to last year and their collapse down the stretch and are coming off a loss at Vandy where they didn't look good at all. But it's not as if they weren't competitive. There's a two point loss to Clemson and an overtime loss to the Vols thrown in there. But the pressure is on Spurrier for sure. There are high expectations for this years team.. The talent is there. Any shortcomings will fall squarely on the shoulders of the Ol Ball Coach. (By the way the Vandy loss shouldn't surprise anyone. We've pointed out numerous times already this year that Vandy beats good teams EVERY year. Last year Georgia only squeaked by Vandy by a field goal)

        Much has been made about Spurrier and his struggling offense. But these very same things have been said since he's been at SC. His teams have started slow offensively. This offense will get going. There's a lot to be said about starting the season against weak opposition the way Georgia and many other teams do. There's no preseason in College ball. It takes a few games to get the kinks out. Look for the SC offense to get better each week. Since we're backing SC this week, now would be a good time for improvement.

        Prior to each season we do an evaluation of all the teams in each conference. Heading into this year, we had South Carolina pegged as a "good" SEC team. What does "good" mean? It means a record of anywhere from 6 wins on up to 9 or so, with the ability to beat any other SEC team on any given day. We had Georgia pegged as "very good". Very good translates into a 9 or 10 win season and with a few bounces, who knows. But it won't be easy. It never is in the SEC. We're not going to back off our opinion that you'll be hearing plenty more from South Carolina this year. There's just no reason to expect otherwise. They figure to continue to get better on both sides of the ball each week. Their key starters have played together as a team for some time now and will continue to grow as a team. The same can be said for Georgia. We expect a tough, smash mouth SEC game here with the outcome in doubt after 3 quarters. There's simply too much on the line here for both teams to expect anything else. We'll gladly take +7 here and look forward to seeing a much better SC team than we have seen thus far. Gamecocks star receiver Kenny McKinley is listed as doubtful for this game due to a hamstring injury which of course is huge, but we're still going to take our chances here in a game that has all the makings of a last second field goal to win it. 3* South Carolina +7


        2* Georgia Tech +7 over Virginia Tech

        It should come as no surprise to see us keying in on the same teams several times throughout the year. Every year we're presented with opportunities where perhaps teams just aren't getting the respect in the line that they deserve while others, are getting respect based on reputation and past history rather than what they have done this year. In this instance, we have a little of both. Virginia Tech is a very good program. They win 10 or 11 games every year and recruit well. They also field one of the best defensive units in the country year after year.

        Virginia Tech suffered some major losses in offensive personnel this year. Key targets are gone. There's uncertainty at QB and it's showed through two games. They lost their opener to East Carolina and struggled last week against Furman managing just a field goal in the first half and only 68 yards through the air the entire game. Now that's cause for concern considering we are talking about Furman, who last year gave up 54 points to Citadel and 49 to Elon.

        Virginia Tech was outgained by East Carolina 211-139 thru the air and 158-104 on the ground. Last week against Furman they gave up 213 passing yards while getting most of their yardage on the ground in a game which saw the first down edge go to Tech by just one, 14-13. These aren't Virginia Tech like numbers two games into the season. Now they'll have to deal with Paul Johnsons triple option in their very first conference game of the year. To be fair Virginia Tech started slow last year as well, getting blown out by LSU 48-7 but ended up winning 11 games and the ACC championship.

        But there appears to be an opening here for Georgia Tech to take a shot. This offense figures to give teams fits all year, especially early in the year and especially a defense with lots of new faces. With both of these squads doing most of their damage on the ground, we have another situation where the game figures to be shortened with the outcome in doubt heading into the 4th quarter. Sound familiar? We used that approach last week with the BC game. As a bettor, if you can put yourself in a position to win a game, straight up, heading into the 4th quarter, while taking +7 with a dog, you'll find yourself winning more games than you lose. The trick is finding the games that figure to be close.

        Concerns? Yes. Our biggest concern is Georgia Tech's turnovers. They turned the ball over like crazy in their spring game and in scrimmages and resumed the turnover plague last week against BC. Virginia Tech has made a living off of turnovers for many years. Georgia Tech needs to do a much better job of holding on to the ball. If they blow this one, you can be sure it will as a result of key turnovers.

        Also note Paul Johnsons pointspread success on the road while at Navy. He was 18-8 against the number as a road dog the past 8 years there and the option attack played a big role in that success. Georgia Tech + 7


        1* Fresno pk -110 over Wisconsin 1st quarter

        1* Fresno pk -105 over Wisconsin 1st half

        In perhaps the 2nd best game of the week, Wisconsin travels west to take on Fresno State in a non conference affair. Several things point to this as a potential upset game, although with Wisconsin only favored by a deuce I guess it wouldn't be much of an upset. Fresno State and coach Pat Hill have been known for 12 years as willing to take on anyone, anywhere. Thru the years, they have done just that and have pulled off some great upsets along the way. Pat Hill is a master motivator in getting his kids to buy into the us against them mentality. The "we get no respect" approach if you will and long before this season started billed this game as the biggest game in the history of the program. Think Fresno and it's fans will be pumped?

        Of course anytime a team like Fresno gets to host a BCS school like Wisconsin, it's huge. It truly is a chance for Fresno to insert itself into the national picture and earn some respect, which makes Pat Hill's motivational job kind of easy actually. Over the years Fresno has knocked off some Giants. The highest ranked team ever to come into Fresno to play a game was Oregon State back in 2001. They were ranked #10, just like Wisky is now, and left with their tail between their legs after losing to Fresno 44-24. Also in 2001, they traveled to Wisconsin and knocked off the Badgers 32-20 and then returned the following year and lost a 2 point decision. Since then they have knocked of Kansas State, lost a close shootout to USC and almost beat them while USC was ranked #1, almost beat Oregon twice and had a few 9+ win seasons.

        But a closer look also shows us that Fresno hasn't always been competitive against big time programs. During this time there have also been some lopsided losses. Tennessee, Oklahoma, Boise, Hawaii, LSU and Oregon all beat Fresno comfortably. In fact they have lost more games to big time programs than they have one, so perhaps the wins get magnified and the losses kind of get swept under the rug. While they are a dangerous team, it's not as if they have a spotless record of upsetting big schools, or for that matter even playing them close.

        Certainly when looking at their schedule a year ago, there's nothing to suggest that they are a force to be reckoned with judging from having been in shootouts with teams like Nevada, Idaho and Utah State. Of course the schedule is always the knock on teams like Fresno and always will be, magnifying the importance of these opportunities.

        Wisconsin not exactly dominant a year ago either. A good year, but not great. They had their share of shootouts as well, with the likes of Mich State and Illinois and didn't put away teams they should have. Since both return a large number of starters, judging from last year, the door would seem to be open for Fresno here. Can't tell much from either teams performances so far this year as Wisky beat two cupcakes and we really don't know who good, or bad, Rutgers is yet.

        We've already mentioned the emotional angle here. Motivational edges in college ball are huge. But there can also be a downside at times. There are times when the motivation isn't enough to last 60 minutes and talent takes over. We've all heard of the story about the 90 lb woman who was able to lift a car off the ground to save her child. That same woman could never repeat that feat under normal circumstances. Well, we're going to use that approach here. We simply aren't certain about the Fresno talent level. It's possible that once the adrenalin wears off and the talent on the field takes over, Fresno may have a tough time dealing with Wisconsin's size. Getting pounded by 300 pounders all day long can have that kind of affect.

        But there's no doubt that Fresno will be sky high to start the game under that state, could probably play with anyone in the country for 15 or 30 minutes. So we're going to make two small 1* plays here on the 1st quarter and the 1st half.1* Fresno pk -110 over Wisconsin 1st quarter & 1* Fresno pk -105 over Wisconsin 1st half
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98644

          #5
          Re: 9-13-08

          Right Angle Sports

          Middle Tenn St at Kentucky -16.5

          Football is back at Kentucky. The Wildcats have won bowls in each of the past two seasons and 69,000+ showed up for last week's home opener vs Norfolk State. While the offense figures to take a step back this year, Kentucky's defense is being called their best in at least 15 years. The unit has not given up a touchdown through two games and has looked great. Touted true freshman QB Randall Cobb came off the bench to ignite the offense last week and is expected to continue to get playing time. Kentucky's is focused on improving offensive production this week and the two quarterback situation bodes well for continued scoring even if they get a comfortable lead. MTSU is coming off what is being called their biggest win ever in school history. Fans stormed the field and the celebration was intense. The problem is that the Maryland team they beat has looked awful this year. The Blue Raiders started the season 10 scholarships short due to past poor academic performance, have had extensive injury issues, and the team is one of the youngest in the nation with 65% of players being underclassmen. To say that they are ripe for a letdown in this spot is an understatement. MTSU ranks 109th in the nation in yards per play entering this game. Before beating Maryland, MTSU was dominated by Troy in week one, and this will be the team's first road trip of the season. They will pick up a nice paycheck here but not much else. Expect the Wildcats to roll. Give the points.

          Play: Kentucky -16.5 for 1 UNIT
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          Comment

          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98644

            #6
            Re: 9-13-08

            SPYLOCK
            Ohio U .....5 unit
            S. Miss.......3 unit

            last week 3-0 college
            1-0 pro
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            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98644

              #7
              Re: 9-13-08

              Ethan Law

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              2% Virginia +11
              2% Terps of Maryland +15.5
              2% Washington +21
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              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98644

                #8
                Re: 9-13-08

                M@linsky 6* top of the ticket for Sat.

                Michigan
                paid and confirmed

                Personally, I dont like this play. He released Michigan the last 2 years in this game as a 6*. Michigan is a big play on team for him over the years and is listed in his bio as a favorite team to wager on. I think he is going to the well too many times. I went to Notre Dame's opener last week and yes it was ugly. I attribute that to the late start to the season and a major flat-look a head performance. Notre Dame was blasted the last 2 years by Michigan and they are dedicating a statue for Holtz and the 88 natinal championship season at the game. An aquaintance of mine was an all american on that team. Holtz will also be addressing the team before the game. As quirky as he is on espn, his words carry a ton of weight in that lockeroom. Both teams are young but Mich is learning new system and going on the road toad for the first time. Clausen was horrible last year but was coming off surgery to his elbow and was thrown to the wolves. Weis is awful but this game could be close to weis first year when they upset Mich in a close one. Sports Insights listing 80%-20% play on Michigan and the line went from 2.5 to 2. Don't mean to give personal opinions and there is much more to breaking down this game.
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98644

                  #9
                  Re: 9-13-08

                  Brian Gabrielle

                  Title: 2008 College Football Non-Conference Game of the Year
                  Reason:
                  **** Big Game Alert: *****
                  Grab this number now while it is low at -7.5. I expect it will rise dramatically and USC could go off as a double digit favorite if you leave it too late. Where possible, buy the half point down to -7 is prudent, but -7.5 is still a gift, as the Trojans will walk away with a big double digit home win here.

                  Brian Gabrielle says, lay the points with Southern California over Ohio State as my 2008 College Football Non-Conference Game of the Year!


                  Southern Cal 38, Ohio State 17
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                  Comment

                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98644

                    #10
                    Re: 9-13-08

                    ASA's College Football Picks
                    9/13/2008

                    11:00:00 AM BUFFALO BULLS (-6.5)
                    over Temple Owls
                    ASA's 5-Star Top Game Selection - What a great spot to side with Buffalo. First of all, Temple is in a horrible spot here. The Owls are off their biggest home game this year as they faced off with UConn from the Big East. Temple led for much of the game, even though they really didn’t deserve to, but lost 12-9 in overtime. The hooters were dominated on the ground as UConn rolled over them for 293 yards rushing (Temple was held to 128). It was a gut wrenching loss for an Owl team looking to improve in 2008. It will be really tough for them to turn around and go on the road and play well.

                    Not only do they go on the road, they face a vastly improved and very solid Buffalo team. The Bulls are now 1-1 after crushing UTEP at home 42-17 out gaining the Miners by 218 total yards. Last week Buffalo went to an angry Pitt team that was off an embarrassing home loss. The Bulls played very well and lost by 11. The score should have been much closer as Buffalo held even in first downs (22 to 22), had a time of possession edge and were only out gained by 4 yards in the game. The Bulls were only one score away from tying the game (down 24-26) with under four minutes remaining in the game. This is a solid team that absolutely dominated Temple on the road last year by a score of 42-7. Buffalo rolled to 414 yards in that game while holding Temple to 140. While Temple has improved some, our opinion is Buffalo has improved even more and this year they face the Owls at home.

                    Temple is also 1-1 but they have not been impressive. In week one they beat a very poor Army team 35-7. Looks like the Owls dominated right? Wrong! They were out gained in that game by 35 yards and only had 250 yards of total offense. They allowed the Cadets to roll them for 211 yards. That means in two games this team has given up 504 yards on the ground. Army turned around last week at lost at home to New Hampshire 28-10, so the deceiving win by Temple over the Cadets was truly nothing special.

                    Expect the Bulls to be angry after their loss and take it out on Temple by absolutely dominating the ground game. This one will get UGLY. BUFFALO by 20.


                    9/13/2008
                    2:00:00 PM TULANE GREEN WAVE (+13)
                    over East Carolina Pirates
                    ASA's 4-Star Selection - ECU has been the toast of the College Football world after the first two weeks of the season. In the opener they ousted a vastly overrated Virginia Tech team 27-22 on a neutral site in Charlotte. They picked up that win by blocking a punt and returning it 27-yards for a TD with under two minutes remaining in the game. In week two the Pirates played host to another overvalued team, the West Virginia Mountaineers. ECU dominated in their biggest home win in years and got the win 24-3. A very impressive start for a solid East Carolina team.

                    However, no matter how good a team is, they ALWAYS have games where they don’t play well do to a loss of emotion and focus. This is one of those games for the Pirates. There is no possible way this team can play at their peak level again this week. Not only are they coming off two humungous wins, they face off against another big time rival next week @ NC State. To expect the players on this ECU team to be fully focused all week on preparing for Tulane is not realistic.

                    That’s a dangerous mindset heading down to New Orleans this Saturday. The Green Wave more than held their own on the road last weekend against a very good Alabama team. Tulane lost the game 20-6, however that was not the entire story. The Wave actually dominated the mighty Crimson Tide racking up 146 more total yards. Tulane’s defense was outstanding holding Bama to just 73 yards passing and 99 yards rushing. They also held the home team to only 11 first downs. So how did they give up 20 points you ask? The Tide scored two TD’s on special teams with a blocked punt returned for a TD and an 87-yard punt return.

                    Now Tulane gets to play their first home game of the season vs. a team that is bound to be flighty when it comes to focus. The host has won 8 of the last 9 in this series and Tulane will have a great shot at a win here. The smart money has been on the Green Wave here as the line has dropped almost a full point despite the fact that nearly three-quarters of the bettors have sided with East Carolina. We agree with the smart money here and we’ll grab almost two full TD’s in this one.
                    9/13/2008
                    7:00:00 PM OVER 44.5,SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TROJANS
                    -vs-Ohio State Buckeyes
                    ASA 3-Star- Ohio State @ USC – OVER 44 Saturday, September 13 – 700 PM

                    Two weeks ago when USC kicked their season off in Virginia, they had absolutely no problems marching down the field and scoring, and they did so on their first 5 drives and jumped out to a 27-0 lead early in the 2nd quarter. I guess there isn’t much of a problem doing that when anyone on that team can go the distance whenever they touch the ball. Ohio State is no slouch either; they return 10 starters on an offense that averaged 31.4 points per game! They also added #1 recruit QB Terrelle Pryor who most experts say is a clone to Vince Young. Do you remember Vince Young’s last game as a Longhorn? A 41-38 classic against USC. RB Beanie Wells is questionable for this game, but we feel that with or without him, this game is destined to be a high-scoring affair. In the past three seasons, USC has faced 16 ranked opponents, in those 16 match-ups, USC has averaged 38.5 points per game. Also, in those 16 games, USC has given up an average of 22 points per game, do the math and that is a total of 60.5 points! USC is 11-4 Over in their last 15 non-conference games. In Ohio St. last two big non-conference match-ups, they faced Florida and LSU in the National Championships in back-to-back seasons, they lost to Florida 14-41, and they lost to LSU 24-38. On the other side, for USC, their last big out of conference game was in the Rose Bowl vs. Illinois, USC scored early and often and won that game 49-17. Don’t let Ohio States last game vs. Ohio fool you about their offense, at times they can be conservative, but they won’t be able to play conservative in this game because of the Trojan’s high powered offense, and that could lead to mistakes and more points for USC. With All-Americans on both offenses, we expect a shoot-out from the start and for the total to easily exceed 44 points.


                    9/13/2008
                    9:30:00 PM FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS (+2)
                    over Wisconsin Badgers
                    ASA - Few, if any programs, have had more success against BCS schools than Fresno State. The Bulldogs are the ultimate BCS busters, winning 13 games over BCS schools over the last decade. That includes an impressive win to open the season @ Rutgers 24-7 as a 5-point dog. That 13 win total is more than any other non-BCS program in the country.

                    Hawaii and Boise State dominated the WAC headlines last year but Fresno State quietly put together a solid season. The Bulldogs went 9-4 last year and won their final three games, including a 40-28 win over Georgia Tech in the Humanitarian Bowl. Fresno State will have plenty of time to prepare for this game coming off a bye week. This team has great balance on offense with veteran QB Tom Brandstater calling the signals and Ryan Mathews toting the rock. In their cross-country win @ Rutgers, Brandstater threw for 216 yards and Mathews ran for 163. The Dogs are tough to stop on offense.

                    The Badgers are among the Big Ten’s elite but they have some questions on defense. Their defensive backfield is young and that showed last week against Marshall. The Herd have a freshman QB named Mark Cann and he shredded the Wisky secondary early on Saturday and ended the day with 211 yards passing but three key interceptions. Marshall actually led 14-0 before the Badgers got their bearing at home and pulled away. It will be a whole different scenario on the road against a very good team.

                    We’re getting nice value here after Wisconsin throttled two inferior opponents at home to start the season. Now they travel across the country against a very good team that has had two weeks to prepare. Oh, did we mention this is the biggest game in YEARS for Fresno. They are hosting a top program and this is the game they’ve been pointing to all off-season. Fresno wins and covers at home.
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                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98644

                      #11
                      Re: 9-13-08

                      Jeff Bonds | CFB Side
                      triple-dime bet150 Maryland 14.5 (-110) Bodog vs 149 California
                      Analysis:
                      The Cal Bears are now ranked for the first time in 2008, after impressive wins against Michigan State and a terrible Washington State team. Last week creates at least five points of value to this line, as the Bears blew out the Cougars and Maryland lost on the road to Middle Tennessee State.



                      The Bears haven't traveled to the East Coast since 2001 and head coach Jeff Tedford has never faced an ACC opponent. Why are they here? I think that's exactly what the players will think - after they get over the jet lag of flying across the country on Friday and play at Noon EST (9:00 AM PST - easily their earliest start time in years)



                      Maryland is a solid 34-11 at Chevy Chase Bank Field and was an impressive 2-1 against ranked foes last year - winning two of those straight up.



                      Cal hasn't covered their longest traveling road game the past four years - failing to cover by more than 11 points. Tremendous home dog value - when their opponent is just 8-9 in their last 17 road games
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                      Comment

                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98644

                        #12
                        Re: 9-13-08

                        Tommy Rider | CFB Side
                        double-dime bet127 Georgia -7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 128 South Carolina
                        Analysis: Last season the Gamecocks upset Georgia 19-14 in a game that ultimately kept the Bulldogs from playing for the National Title. You think the Dawgs remember that? What a great spot for Georgia. They were able to sleepwalk through their first two games, keeping their players fresh for this matchup. The Bulldogs offense can score on any team and as SC showed against Vandy, their defense isn't all it was cracked up to be. In reality, NC State is just hideous and they made the Gamecocks defense look better than it is. Steve Spurrier has no idea who his quarterback will be but it doesn't really matter does it? Both guys stink and the Dawgs defense will eat them alive. To make matters worse, the Cocks are without their one offensive playmaker for this game, WR Kenny McKinley. People can use all the trends and numbers they want to tell you this series is usually close. I handicap teams now, not 10 years ago. Right now, the Dawgs are the far superior team and they are going to open up a can on SC in this game. **2 UNIT PLAY**



                        Sat, 09/13/08 - 2:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
                        double-dime bet147 Cent. Michigan -3.0 (-115) SportBet vs 148 Ohio
                        Analysis: This is a great spot for the Chips. They get blasted by the big boys but own the MAC. In the last two years, Central Michigan has been drilled by Purdue, Clemson and Georgia, only to come back and dominate the MAC Conference. We are getting great line value here because Ohio played Wyoming tough and led Ohio State in the fourth quarter. But let's take a closer look at those games. We now know that Wyoming stinks, while Jim Tressel admitted his team was looking past the Bobcats. Plus, I think Ohio is mentally drained after traveling to Wyoming and being in a hard-fought battle with the Buckeyes. Because Ohio looked good and Central Michigan got hammered last week, we are in position to jump all over a soft line. I think Dan LeFevour and the Chips offense is too much for Ohio to handle and Central Michigan takes this one by double-digits. Also, I bought the half point down to -3 just to be safe. **2 UNIT PLAY**


                        Sat, 09/13/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
                        double-dime bet167 Ohio St. 12.0 (-115) Bodog vs 168 Southern Cal
                        Analysis:
                        NOTE: I JUST WENT TO BET THIS GAME AT BODOG AND IT'S AT -11.5. GO AS SOON AS POSSIBLE AND BUY UP TO 12 POINTS. This is just too many points for me to pass up fellas. I was leaning toward the Buckeyes in the first place but I've been talking to some people here in Vegas and there is going to be a lot of late money put on the Bucks. Why? Because as I said, we are being forced to take Ohio State with the line value here. I've been told by a good friend of mine close to the OSU program that the Buckeyes have a lot in store for USC. They have been game-planning for this game all summer long, which almost came back to haunt them last week because they weren't prepared to play Ohio. And yes, Terrelle Pryor is going to be a big part of the gameplan. I keep hearing about Pete Carroll. Let's say he's the best coach in CFB. Who is second? Probably Jim Tressel. My point being, Carroll doesn't have a huge coaching advantage here. I have the coaching even, defenses even, special teams to OSU and offense to USC. I'm sorry but that doesn't sound like a blowout to me. I expect the Buckeyes to come out strong and for their defense to make life miserable for Mark Sanchez. And I've seen tape on a lot of players in high school and the only guy in Pryor's league was Mike Vick, who remains the best high school player I've ever seen. If you think Pryor can't be a factor as a freshman, think again. This guy is the real deal and Saturday will be his coming out party. Like I said, I was thinking about OSU and once I heard the sharps are also going to pound it late Saturday, taking 12 points with the Buckeyes is a no-brainer. **2 UNIT PLAY**

                        I will also be playing *1 UNIT* on the OSU ML to win +340


                        Sat, 09/13/08 - 7:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Total
                        double-dime bet120 Nebraska / 119 New Mexico St. Over 58.0 BetUS
                        Analysis: This is going to be an offensive showcase. Nebraska's offense has played well in two games this year and they should pile up points on an undermanned Aggies defense. While this is New Mexico State's first game of the season, they return a ton of firepower in Hal Mumme's high-flying offense, including QB Chase Holbrook. The Huskers pass defense hasn't been good against two lightweights, allowing 342 yards through the air to Western Michigan and 242 to a San Jose State team that has no offense whatsoever. Holbrook will exploit the Huskers secondary all day long, as I expect him to eclipse 400 yards passing. Meanwhile, Nebraska should top 50 points all by themselves in this game. I see us cashing an easy over here. It could be in the bag before the fourth quarter even gets underway. **2 UNIT PLAY**
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98644

                          #13
                          Re: 9-13-08

                          RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFB GAME OF THE MONTH!
                          Pick # 1 San Jose State (-6.0)
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98644

                            #14
                            Re: 9-13-08

                            *** EZWINNERS NCAA FOOTBALL ***

                            3 STAR: OVER 68 Smu @ Texas Tech
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98644

                              #15
                              Re: 9-13-08

                              Red Zone Sports


                              BYU -8
                              Blowout Game of the month 3:30

                              We're fading the UCLA Bruins here as they will get pounded Saturday. Byu QB Max Hall has made his way onto the national scene. Hall, who was named the Mountain West Conference Offensive Player of the Week, connected on 30-of-41 passes for 338 yards and three touchdowns.
                              We feel UCLA will drop back to reality. This team isn't very good and now has to go on the road and match one of the best offense's. Ucla has a good run Defense but that won't matter here.
                              BYU BY DBL DIGITS

                              Rice +9
                              Underdog Game of the month game at 7pm

                              We're on the Rice gunslinger Quarterback Chase Clement who continues to shine, as he overcame a pair of interceptions by throwing for 318 yards and a touchdown.

                              Clement passed for 258 yards and six scores in an opening win over SMU. Thje Rice Owls are 13-4 ATS last 3 years after playing a conference game & 8-2 ATS last 3 years after a win against a conference rival.
                              Looking at Vanderbilt they are 1-5 ATS since 1992 as a home favorite of 7 1/2 to 10 points. & Vandy Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
                              Looking at Vanderbilt they are 0-10 ATS as non conference home favorites 17 or less points.
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