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1000 Units Top Play Arizona/Florida UNDER the total
1000 Units Top Play Toronto/Boston UNDER the total
1000 Units Top Play Baltimore/Yankees UNDER the total
Red Dog Sports won their free play yesterday on Toronto on Victoria Day and like the Blue Jays as road underdogs at Boston. Tim Wakefield has an ERA of 8.04 in his last 3 while Tallet's ERA over that span is 2.70. Toronto is 6-2 in their last 8 overall and 11-4 in their last 15 on Tuesday. Look for Toronto to win at Boston on Tuesday night!
The Lakers are coming off a tough seven-game series win over the Rockets but I believe that made them better for this opening game of the Western Conference Finals. Los Angeles will be out to make a statement and not get into a similar situation of playing a series that puts it in a position like it was in against the Rockets. There is always the argument of rest versus rust and this is where Denver falls. Rest this time of season is very important but having six days off could be a detriment here. The main reason is that the Nuggets are on the road. We saw Cleveland in the Eastern Conference Semifinals have no problem with nine days off against Atlanta but that game was at home and that home floor edge can often make up for any issues of rusty shooting of a falloff of continuity. On top of that, the Lakers have some incredible line value. The four home games against the Rockets saw the line go up each game from -8.5 to -10 to -12 to -13. Add to that, they were favored by -8.5 points in each of the two regular season games against Denver. As for the Nuggets, they have covered 10 straight games and that is probably the main reason the majority of the public is lining up behind them here. It is hard to come up with a number in this situation that will attract equal action on both sides and surprisingly, the majority of square action has come in on Denver. Going 10-0 ATS is certainly impressive but it means little now, especially with a big layoff the Nuggets have had. The key player is someone you would not expect as the Lakers are a different team depending which Andrew Bynum shows up. The Lakers margin of victory during the regular season was 1.8 ppg more with Bynum in the line-up. While that figure doesn’t sound like much, it’s a 26.4 percent difference. An easier to comprehend method is to look at Bynum’s play in the last four games against Houston. In the wins (both at Staples Center), he had 28 points, 14 rebounds and just four total fouls. In the losses, he had no points, nine rebounds and six early fouls that ended up in serious bench time. I definitely think this number is light and the Lakers fall into a great situation based on their recent low scoring games. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by six or more ppg, after a combined score of 175 points or less two straight games. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being +10.3 ppg. This situation has won 11 of the last 13 instances over the past three seasons. 7* Los Angeles Lakers
This is a value play as I look for Patrick Kane and the Blackhawks to do what they've done already during the first two rounds of the playoffs; come back strong and play with a concerted effort after a loss! It's interesting to note that Chicago is in fact a fantastic 2-0 (+2.4 units) when trailing in a playoff series and I look for this strong trend to continue this evening;
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