5-21-09

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 10:50 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Tony Weston

25 dime Denver

10 dime under

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 10:50 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Craig Davis

Thursday's Lineup

30 Dime ---- RANGERS (With Millwood and Jackson as listed pitchers)

10 Dime ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum as listed pitcher)

5 Dime ---- ROYALS -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Greinke as listed pitcher)

I will be back by Noon with my analysis.

Matt Rivers

100,000* ABSOLUTE NO-BRAINER Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:

1. 100,000? Nuggets

2. 50,000? Phillies

1. Denver clearly was the better team in game one and will once again be the better team today after getting nipped at the wire thanks to a great finishing performance from Kobe Bryant. The Nuggets are the better overall team, I don't care if they are not the top seed like LA or if they are the underdog in the series. George Karl's squad is too talented and too deep with Carmelo, Billups, Nene, Smith, Martin and others.

Sure Kobe is a superstar and can single-handedly win a game as we just saw but I am not at all impressed with the rest of Phil Jackson's squad, I'm just not. Who knows if Lamar Odom or Derek Fisher will show up? Pau Gasol is very good but I do not fully trust him either. Let's not forget how this is basically the same team that crapped in their pants last year in the Finals against the grinding and defensive minded Celtics as LA was overall somewhat mentally weak against Boston. I'm not sure a lot has changed since then and these Nuggets are no-joke.

Denver is going to come out with a vengeance in this game two. They know they should be the team with the 1-0 series lead and are not going to get swept in Staples in these first two games. The Nuggets are going to come out and dominate as they have done for the past few months. The Lakers are too wishy washy right now and really do not have that feeling where they will step on the neck of an opponent.

If the Lakers win this game, which I guess with Kobe and being at home they could, it will not be going away and therefore the handful of points will be enough as the Nuggs continue their unreal run against that number. But to be honest with you I rerally do see Denver walking off the court in a quality outright!

2. I cannot say that I fully trust Joe Blanton at all but Micah Owings is on the exact same level as Blanton and to get the much much much better offense of the Phillies at this cheap price against the decent but far from good Reds makes me all about the visitors.

Throw out the starters as both Owings and Blanton could be alright or could get blasted so that is a wash. But the defending World Champs boast too much pop with Rollins, Utley, Ibanez and Howard to not expect them to get to Owings and take care of business today.

Sure the Reds have been fairly successful thus far in the early going, relatively speaking, but they are by far inferior today in pretty much every category and with the exception of Jay Bruce and Brandon Phillips really do not have any pop at all.

The Great American Ballpark is a total hitters' park and to be able to back the hard hitting Fightin' Phils at this price today is a steal that cannot be passed up, period!

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 10:51 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Bob Valentino

Thursday's 25 Dime NBA Playoffs winner

25 DIME -- L.A. LAKERS (minus the points vs. Denver Nuggets)

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:02 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Craig Trapp

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees -1½-140

Rough week for the Free Plays in MLB for Craig. But the good news is the 5 star Plays have been on fire going 9-2 in his MLB top play of each day!! Today Craig has 2 stong plays and to break the losing streak he is going to give one of his top plays as free play. Lets look at the records, trends, and Breakdown.

Records

Baltimore Orioles 16-24, 5-13 away (Eaton 2-4, 7.93 ERA)

New York Yankees 23-17, 12-7 home (Chamberlain 2-1, 3.76
ERA)

Betting Trends

-Orioles are 7-20 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

-Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

-Yankees are 5-1 in Chamberlains last 6 home starts.

-Yankees are 43-18 in their last 61 during game 3 of a series.

The New York Yankees have been on fire winning 9 in a row and since AROD came back they have outscored opponents 52-25. The new Yankee stadium plays well for NY as they lead the majors in homers and every player can hit it out at any time. After struggling early in the season the starting pitchers in the last 9 wins have been great with a sub 3.00 ERA. Chamberlin will have extra motivation on the mound today as HUFF mocked his fist pump after hitting HR in Baltimore a few weeks ago. Chamberlin will be lights out tonight and shut down BALT who has been struggling to score. NY is 5-3 this year verse BALT and in each of the wins the won by 2 or more runs so don't fear giving up the run and half. EASY WINNER!! SCORE NYY 7 - BALT 3

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:03 AM

Re: 5-21-09

John Ryan

MLB | May 21
Oakland Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays -200

Ryan is grinding out profits in ALL SPORTS and nailed his 5* Parlay w/Orlando + OVER and he told you to do it w/ the MONEY LINE that paid off $940 for $100 wager. He has a 7* SIDE and TOTAL for you tonight - Another Optional PARLAY

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Tampa Bay as the host Oakland slated to start at 4:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 58-5 mark for 92% winners since 2003. Play against all dogs with a money line of +175 to +250 and is a cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. Impressive to say the least, but still just a system that REINFORCES the grading from the AiS on TB. Oakland is just 3-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons; 7-24 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. TB Manager knows how to get his team ready to defeat weaker opponents. Note that he is 52-9 (+35.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in all games he has coached at TB. Oakland starter Bradon is still having trouble applying pressure to the ball with his middle finger. The inability of have different amounts of pressure on a ball causes the ball to have far less movement on it. Less movement means balls hit more often and a lot harder. Take TB.

MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles +260

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Baltimore as they face the NYY slated to start at - Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 80-62 mark making 42.6 units since 2003. Play against all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season and with poor defensive catchers allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. Yanks, more times than not, take for granted a win against an inferior opponent before the game even starts. Note that they are 11-17 (-19.4 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons. They are also 22-30 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take Baltimore.

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:03 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Tom Freese

MLB | May 21
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants -140

San Francisco is 9-3 their last 12 games as favorites and they are 4-1 their last 5 games as road favorites. The Giants are 7-1 with Tim Lincecum in Game 3 of a series and they are 6-1 with Lincecum in his last 7 starts vs. the Padres. San Diego is 4-10 their last 14 games vs. NL West foes and they are 4-12 their last 16 games as underdogs. The Padres are 4-9 their last 13 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO - (Lincecum vs. Correia)

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:03 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Matt FARGO
MLB | May 21
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays +155

I will take another shot with the Blue Jays who have dropped the first two games of this series against Boston. The offense has carried Toronto all season long but it is the pitching that has been dominant of late as the ERA is a blistering 2.43 over its last 10 games and it has allowed 3.0 rpg over this span. The Red Sox have been almost unbeatable at home recently, winning 14 of their last 16 games and this line reflects that as opposed to the short line last night. I always say that big lines are meant for either teams that are dominant over the other or starting pitchers that are dominant also and neither is the case here. Toronto is still in first place in the American League East by a half-game and it is above .500 on the road still so winning away from home is no issue. The Blue Jays send Robert Ray to the hill and he is coming off his best performance of his young career as he held the White Sox to just three hits and one unearned run over eight innings. In his opener, he was a third of an inning short of a quality start so two of his three outings have been solid with the one game against the Angels being his only bad performance. This is his first start against the Red Sox whose offense has been anything but potent as they had scored four runs or fewer in seven of their previous eight games prior to last night. Boston counters with Jon Lester who is having a tough season. He has a 6.51 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his first eight starts including a 6.04 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in four home outings. He has allowed five runs or more in five of his eight starts including the last two and he now faces a lineup that is hitting lefties at a .306 clip, third best in the Majors. The Blue Jays are 39-12 in their last 51 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game so this is a great spot for the recently excellent pitching to bounce back and help salvage one game from this series before Interleague play gets underway over the holiday weekend. 3* Toronto Blue Jays

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:03 AM

Re: 5-21-09

KBHoops

5* Cincinnati +101 **POD**
5* 2 teamer Kansas City/Yankees +105
5* Whitesoxs -114
4* Detroit -129

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:03 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Kiki Sports

2* Phillies/Reds Over

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:04 AM

Re: 5-21-09

Karl Garrett

Arizona -125 at FLORIDA

Tonight on the diamond, going to lay a little road wood with Max Scherzer and his Diamonback-mates.

Scherzer finally notched his first big league win, and I have a feeling this kid is about to take off now that the pressure of getting that win is a thing of the past.

Scherzer is fresh off 6 scoreless innings in Atlanta, and over 4 road starts this season, he has kept his ERA a slender 1.17.

His counterpart Andrew Miller is also coming into tonight's start off a win, but his ERA for the year is still over 6. I expect Arizona to get something cooking off of Miller before too long.

Arizona has actually won 3 of their last 4 games, while Florida is just 8-22 since their 11-0 start to the season, losing 8 of their last 10 games.

G-Man going with the snakes.

2? ARIZONA

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 11:33 AM

Re: 5-21-09

ATS Lock Club
3 Lakers

ATS Financial
3 Over Lakers/Nuggets

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 01:07 PM

Re: 5-21-09

Anthony Redd

Thursday's Card
15 Dime Lakers (1st Half)

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 01:08 PM

Re: 5-21-09

M@LINSKY

4- Pittsburgh
4- Atlanta
4- Minny/Wsox Over
4- NYY RL -1.5

4- Lakers -5.5

**Mr. IWS** · 05-21-2009, 01:09 PM

Re: 5-21-09

Rocketman

3* LA Angels

5-21-09

5-21-09

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