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BURNS MLB
Baseball (MLB)
UNDER seattle/la angels
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Game Time: 5/21/2009 10:10:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Angels and Mariners to finish UNDER the total. After yesterday's 1-0 final score, the Angels have now seen the UNDER go 9-4 their last 13 games and a profitable 49-25-1 in the month of May the past few seasons. During that same stretch, they've also seen the UNDER go 60-37-4 against southpaw starters. Tonight's game will feature a pair of top tier left-handers. Saunders got roughed up at Texas last time out. However, that was the exception, not the norm. In his previous start, he pitched a complete game shutout. He's still got a solid 3.59 ERA and 1.177 WHIP on the season and he's still allowed two earned runs or less in three or his last four starts. Saunders last started against Seattle on 4/16. In that game, he allowed one run in seven innings. The final score was 5-1. In his previous start here at Safeco, he also allowed one run in seven innings. Note that he's gone a minimum of seven complete innings in four straight starts against Seattle. Bedard goes for the Mariners and he brings some extremely impressive numbers to the table. He's got a stellar 2.53 ERA on the season, including an outstanding 1.38 ERA at home. In his last home start, he limited Texas to one run through seven innings. Bedard was sharp in his lone start against the Angels this season, allowing three runs (two earned) and just five hits (6K's, 0 walks) in 6 2/3 innings. I expect another well-pitched affair with the final combined score staying below the number. *annihilator
HOUSTON
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Game Time: 5/21/2009 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Houston Astros Reason: I'm laying the price with HOUSTON. The Astros got a big win in yesterday's game, evening up the series and snapping the Brewers' winning streak. I expect them to follow it up by closing out the series with a victory. Oswalt goes for the Astros and he's better than his stats indicate. You may recall that he started poorly last season but then caught fire. He's been pitching better than his w/l record indicates and says he feels "...really well." Oswalt should be fired up for a big performance after watching Wandy Rodriguez win again yesterday. Oswalt should also be happy to see the Brewers. Oswalt last faced Milwaukee last June. In that game, he limited the Brewers to five hits and one run through seven complete innings, recording 10K's (and 0 walks) along the way. The Astros won by a score of 6-1. Including that result, the Astros are 3-0 the last three times that Oswalt started against the Brewers and 14-5 his last 19 starts against them. Oswalt allowed four earned runs or less in 17 of those 19 starts. Oswalt has been particularly dominant against the Brewers here at Houston. The Astros are 8-1 his last nine home starts against the Brewers and 10-2 his last 12 against them here. He went a minimum of six complete innings in ALL 12 of those games and he allowed three earned runs or less in 11 of them, allowing four in the other. Suppan is coming off a great game. However, he hasn't had nearly the type of success against Houston as Oswalt has had against Milwaukee and I don't believe that he's as good a pitcher. Note that he's still got a 4.63 ERA and also that he had a 4.96 ERA last season, going 10-10. Additionally, while the Brewers haven't seen Oswalt since last season, the Astros just had a look at Suppan a few weeks ago. Suppan was "ok" in that outing as he allowed four runs through six innings but only three of them were earned. However, he didn't get a decision and it's worth noting that he gave up four walks and two home runs, so things could have been worse. Also, note that in his previous start vs. the Astros that he gave up a whopping eight runs, suffering an 11-6 loss last July. Overall, he's 0-4 with an ugly 6.08 ERA in his last eight starts vs. Houston. I expect Oswalt to get the better of Suppan this evening and I look for the Astros to improve to 25-15 the last 40 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range. *Personal Favorite
Baseball (MLB)
UNDER seattle/la angels
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Game Time: 5/21/2009 10:10:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Angels and Mariners to finish UNDER the total. After yesterday's 1-0 final score, the Angels have now seen the UNDER go 9-4 their last 13 games and a profitable 49-25-1 in the month of May the past few seasons. During that same stretch, they've also seen the UNDER go 60-37-4 against southpaw starters. Tonight's game will feature a pair of top tier left-handers. Saunders got roughed up at Texas last time out. However, that was the exception, not the norm. In his previous start, he pitched a complete game shutout. He's still got a solid 3.59 ERA and 1.177 WHIP on the season and he's still allowed two earned runs or less in three or his last four starts. Saunders last started against Seattle on 4/16. In that game, he allowed one run in seven innings. The final score was 5-1. In his previous start here at Safeco, he also allowed one run in seven innings. Note that he's gone a minimum of seven complete innings in four straight starts against Seattle. Bedard goes for the Mariners and he brings some extremely impressive numbers to the table. He's got a stellar 2.53 ERA on the season, including an outstanding 1.38 ERA at home. In his last home start, he limited Texas to one run through seven innings. Bedard was sharp in his lone start against the Angels this season, allowing three runs (two earned) and just five hits (6K's, 0 walks) in 6 2/3 innings. I expect another well-pitched affair with the final combined score staying below the number. *annihilator
HOUSTON
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Game Time: 5/21/2009 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Houston Astros Reason: I'm laying the price with HOUSTON. The Astros got a big win in yesterday's game, evening up the series and snapping the Brewers' winning streak. I expect them to follow it up by closing out the series with a victory. Oswalt goes for the Astros and he's better than his stats indicate. You may recall that he started poorly last season but then caught fire. He's been pitching better than his w/l record indicates and says he feels "...really well." Oswalt should be fired up for a big performance after watching Wandy Rodriguez win again yesterday. Oswalt should also be happy to see the Brewers. Oswalt last faced Milwaukee last June. In that game, he limited the Brewers to five hits and one run through seven complete innings, recording 10K's (and 0 walks) along the way. The Astros won by a score of 6-1. Including that result, the Astros are 3-0 the last three times that Oswalt started against the Brewers and 14-5 his last 19 starts against them. Oswalt allowed four earned runs or less in 17 of those 19 starts. Oswalt has been particularly dominant against the Brewers here at Houston. The Astros are 8-1 his last nine home starts against the Brewers and 10-2 his last 12 against them here. He went a minimum of six complete innings in ALL 12 of those games and he allowed three earned runs or less in 11 of them, allowing four in the other. Suppan is coming off a great game. However, he hasn't had nearly the type of success against Houston as Oswalt has had against Milwaukee and I don't believe that he's as good a pitcher. Note that he's still got a 4.63 ERA and also that he had a 4.96 ERA last season, going 10-10. Additionally, while the Brewers haven't seen Oswalt since last season, the Astros just had a look at Suppan a few weeks ago. Suppan was "ok" in that outing as he allowed four runs through six innings but only three of them were earned. However, he didn't get a decision and it's worth noting that he gave up four walks and two home runs, so things could have been worse. Also, note that in his previous start vs. the Astros that he gave up a whopping eight runs, suffering an 11-6 loss last July. Overall, he's 0-4 with an ugly 6.08 ERA in his last eight starts vs. Houston. I expect Oswalt to get the better of Suppan this evening and I look for the Astros to improve to 25-15 the last 40 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range. *Personal Favorite
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