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MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | May 23 '09 (7:10p)
Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
-105 at bodog
4* Major MLB Interleague GOTW on Reds -105
The Reds took Game 1 3-1 to improve to 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Indians and 7-1 in their last 8 games against Cleveland overall. The Indians are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games, 3-13 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series, 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road favorite, and 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series and 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. Cincy is 17-4 against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 since 1997. I'll back the Reds in this slugfest.
NBA Basketball Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =-
NBA | May 23 '09 (8:30p)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers
+4-115 at bodog
5* 2009 NBA Playoffs Game of the Year (ABC) on Lakers +4
First off, the Lakers are one of the finest road teams in the NBA at 31-15 this season. Secondly, each time LA has lost in these playoffs, it has responded with a convincing double digit win. In fact, the Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Thirdly, anytime you can get LA catching points, it is worth strong consideration, especially in a bounce back spot. The Lakers are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points. Plus, LA is 17-6 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. There's no question the books have overvalued the Nuggets here as the public is jumping on their bandwagon. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. The Lakers are 41-14 SU against Denver since 1996 and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Pound LA tonight as they win this one outright!
Fight at Stephen Nover May 23 2009 10:00PM
PICK: Stephen Nover
EXPERT: Stephen Nover
REASON FOR PICK: Rashad Evans continues to get better and better with each fight. He has a top man in his corner, Greg Jackson. He can devise a plan that will create problems for Lyoto Machida.
Evans is the superior athlete. He's also in tip-top shape, which could make a difference in this five-round main event. Evans has shown he has knock-out power, an excellent chin and is extremely light on his feet. He has the necessary speed and agility, which is a must when fighting someone who gives you the kind of angles Machida does.
Look for Evans to get the better of Machida whenever they fall into clinches.
Another factor to consider is the UFC would love a fight between Evans and Rampage Jackson. That could happen if Evans wins this fight.
The UFC definitely doesn't want to have both Anderson Silva and Machida as their main title holders because they aren't crowd pleasers.
The bottom line, though, is this is great value to get an undefeated champion in Evans, who has never lost as an underdog.
10˜ ST. LOUIS -160 ov Kansas City (1:10pm EST)
10˜ Texas -120 ov HOUSTON (4:10pm EST)
10˜ CINCINNATI -110 ov Cleveland (7:10pm EST)
10˜ Arizona -150 ov OAKLAND (9:05pm EST)
10˜ LAD -120 ov LAA (10:10pm EST)
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