6-14-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Robert Ferrrringo

Take #960 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -125) over Washington (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 14)


Take #978 San Francisco (-140) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, June 14)


Today's Totals
(from 2.5 to .5 units)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 N.Y. Mets at N.Y. Yankees (1 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Boston at Philadelphia (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Oakland at San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Seattle at Colorado (3 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Minnesota at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Washington at Tampa Bay (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Florida at Toronto (1 p.m., Sunday, June 14)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

charlie
nba. lakers @ orlando under 199 (500*).
nba. orlando-3 (30*)
mlb. st. louis-110 (20*)
mlb. boston-135 (20*)
mlb. mets+110 (10*)
mlb. toronto-120 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Oakland Athletics @ San Francisco Giants - Sunday June 14, 2009 4:05 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 7.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)



4 Unit Play. Take Under 7.5 between the Oakland A's @ San Francisco Giants (Sunday @ 4pm est). Maybe we can keep the perfection in June rolling into today as well as we look for a Golden week in baseball. Anderson if you remember in his last start gave up 5 runs in a little over 5 innings. The A's went on to lose that game 5-10 at home and Anderson looks to bounce-back today on the road against the Giants. Bear in mind that Anderson has had the propensity for some quality road starts as this is the young man that shutout the Whitesox and gave up 0 runs in 7 innings. That performance was stellar as to hold the Chisox to 0 runs in their place - in particular in a season where they have been able to hit many pitchers truly says a lot. And ofcourse, the young kid has a let down in the next game and gets hammered. But, I look for the Midland, Texas native to do well today and have a strong performance as he has yet to have back to back non-quality starts this year. And, you know that is something that I look for very closely - the propensity of a pitcher to avoid back to back non-quality starts. As per Cain, although the Giants won 9-4 in Arizona in his last start, Cain's era took a hike as it is now 2.55. The Alabama native is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts and has put together 5 of 6 quality starts before his last non-quality start (despite picking up the W). I look for both pitchers to have decent outings today as this game likely dips Under. The Under is 7-0-1 when the A's are Underdogs, the Under is 7-1-1 when the Giants are favored and the Under is 4-0 when Reyburns is behind the plate.

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Maddux confirmed MLB and NBA picks

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#710 - NBA - 3 units on Orlando -3.5

#951 - MLB - 3 units on Houston +128
#956 - MLB - 3 units on Toronto -117
#964 - MLB - 3 units on Philadelphia +113
#978 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco -137
#979 - MLB - 3 units on NY Mets +110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

rocketman

4* nym

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Indian Cowboy

Take Over 143.5 between the Seattle Storm @ Chicago Sky

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

The King Maker | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/14/09 - 2:05 PM ';

double-dime bet ml966 MIL (-130) BetUS vs 965 CWS
Analysis: The Brewers -130 at BetUS
2-Units

Added Prop:
The Brewers Team OVER 4 Runs


I firmly believe that Milwaukee will bear down on Buehrle. We should have a favorable batting order on the lefty, since Milly is predominantly right handed.

And we also have Angel Hernandez calling the game, and I'll continually remind you that this is the asshole that allowed Cleveland to score 9 runs in the 8th and 9th inning of a 10-11 win over Tampa. After that debacle, Colorado managed to score 7 runs and the Angels crossed the plate 8 times.

Buehrle is NOT cycling along very well, and this road start, against a hungry Brewer team, is not set up for him. He's looking at Right Handers, and he's looking at an Ump that wont give him the edges.

I spent a lot of time looking into the OVER in this game and simply had to back off, because Chicago's batting order, without the DH, is pitiful. I think they shot their wad yesterday, so I expect a lazy performance out of them in this contest.

I also wonder if Chicago, with all it's young bats, and the unfamiliarity of playing a 1 PM game in that stadium, will be quick to swing?

The reason why I wonder is an old Umpire Overlap trend that I use. If a heavy UNDER UMP preceeds a HEAVY OVER UMP, then the batters tend to be more aggressive in the early innings. The Sox bats are already pitiful at times, but with the early shadows and the memory of Andy Fletcher's big zone, there might be a few batters falling behind Looper.

Looper seems to throw much better at Home, so I think we can take that short handed Sox batting order and apply Loop's home tendencies to it.

Maybe we see a spotty performance out of Looper, but I believe the Sox order has too many holes in it. I don't see them sustaining any rallys today.

Looper has gone 13 innings over the last 2 home starts and shows an 11/2 K/BB rate with only 4 total runs. His batting average on opponents drops form almost .300 on the road to close to .250 at home.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

kbhoops

5* Philly +114 **POD**
5* Detroit +119
5* Washington +230
5* San Diego +177
5* Sunday Night Baseball - Cleveland -103

NBA
3* Lakers +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

VegasRunner 5* MLB GOY

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NYY (-115) Bodog vs 979 NYM


***** MLB INTER-LEAGUE 5* GAME of the YEAR *****



BURNETT over SANTANA (Time Change to 1pm est)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Rocketman Sports

Houston Astros vs. Arizona D-Backs (MLB) - Jun 14, 2009 4:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -133 Arizona D-Backs

Houston @ Arizona 4:10 PM EST Play On: Arizona (Moehler/Buckner) Listed Houston is scoring only 4 runs per game overall, 4 runs per game on the road and 3.9 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Houston bullpen has a 5.40 ERA on the road this year. Brian Moehler is 2-4 with a 6.95 ERA overall this year and has a 5.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Arizona is 7-1 at home vs Houston the past 3 years. Moehler has a 5.66 ERA overall vs Arizona since 1997. Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 1-6 in Moehlers last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Astros are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings. Astros are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Arizona. We'll recommend a small play on Arizona today!


3Daily Winners

Oakland Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB) - Jun 14, 2009 4:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -137 San Francisco Giants

PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175, who are below average AL batting average of .265 or less, against a solid NL starting pitcher (ERA of 3.70 or less), who hitting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. This system rocks at 37-6, 86 percent and yields two offerings, play against Texas and Oakland today.


Lekota Sports

Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles (MLB) - Jun 14, 2009 1:35 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -116 Atlanta Braves

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Street Rosenthal

*200 New York Yankees -118

*200 Milwaukee Brewers -132

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

WUNDERDOG PLAYS

Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angels Angels -1.5 runs +110 (runline)

Jared Weaver should keep the Padres in check today. They can't score (4.0 runs per game) and he has allowed just seven runs in 45 innings pitched at home. Weaver is also 4-0, lasting 7.4 innings per start and putting up a 1.21 ERA. Over the past two seasons, the Padres are just 5-15 to the run line in interleague play. When facing winning teams on the road over the past two seasons, San Diego is just 19-26 vs. the run line. Also, the Padres are just 9-22 on the road this year where they are allowing opposing teams to rack up 5.9 runs per game. With Weaver on the mound and given San Diego's road woes, I like the Angels to get another big win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

VR's card:


2 Sea/Col O10
2 KC +115
3 LAL/Orl O198

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Wunderdog

Game: Seattle at Colorado (3:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Colorado -130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.1)

The Colorado Rockies go for win number 11 in a row and I think they get it. How does a team that sits at 20-32 reel off ten straight? Is it Jim Tracy (12-4 since replacing Clint Hurdle)? Is it the team gelling? Is it luck? Probably a little bit of everything - but whatever it is, it's working. They have outscored opponents 66-27 during the run, batting .288 and pitching to a combined 2.70 ERA. Seattle is a losing road team that has struggled to produce runs all season long. They average just 3.8 per game, 3.4 over their last seven games and 3.3 all season long in day-games. With Colorado putting up 5.8 per game at home, the Mariners are going to struggle to keep up. Yes, Jason Vargas has been very good this season but right now the Rockies are hitting everything. Seattle is just 40-73 since last season on the road. I like Colorado to get win number 11 here.
Game: Seattle at Colorado (3:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +150 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3)

With Colorado averaging their past ten wins by 3.9 runs per game, there's no reason to not back them here on the runline at +150 odds. Dating back to last season, Seattle is just 18-28 to the run line on the road after 2+ straight losses. Colorado is 28-14 to the run line in interleague play over the past three seasons. Colorado is killing all comers and against a bad road team, this is a great opportunity to get them at + odds and we'll take it.
Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angels Angels -190 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.6)

The Angels cruised to a 9-1 win yesterday and I like them to do it again today. The Padres are just 9-22 on the road this year where they are allowing opposing teams to rack up 5.9 runs per game. Today they must face Jared Weaver who has been spectacular in eight starts, posting a 2.31 ERA. At home he's been unconcious going 4-0, lasting 7.4 innings per start and putting up a 1.21 ERA. Where is San Diego going to find offense today? How bad are the Padres on the road? Since last season they are 27-65 as a road dog! When facing a good defensive fielding team (those that average under 0.7 errors per game) on the road this season, San Diego is just 4-17! Chris Young is just 9-18 vs. winning teams the past two seasons. The Angels get it done here.
Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Los Angels Angels -1.5 runs +115 (runline) (risk 2 to win 2.3)

Jared Weaver should keep the Padres in check today. They can't score (4.0 runs per game) and he has allowed just seven runs in 45 innings pitched at home. Over the past two seasons, the Padres are just 5-15 to the run line in interleague play. When facing winning teams on the road over the past two seasons, San Diego is just 19-26 vs. the run line. With Weaver on the mound and given San Diego's road woes, I like the Angels to get another big win.

12-0 last 3 days +34.2 units. Now 144-132 on season +3.6 units.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 6-14-09

Wunderdog

Game: Seattle at Colorado (3:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Colorado -130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.1)

The Colorado Rockies go for win number 11 in a row and I think they get it. How does a team that sits at 20-32 reel off ten straight? Is it Jim Tracy (12-4 since replacing Clint Hurdle)? Is it the team gelling? Is it luck? Probably a little bit of everything - but whatever it is, it's working. They have outscored opponents 66-27 during the run, batting .288 and pitching to a combined 2.70 ERA. Seattle is a losing road team that has struggled to produce runs all season long. They average just 3.8 per game, 3.4 over their last seven games and 3.3 all season long in day-games. With Colorado putting up 5.8 per game at home, the Mariners are going to struggle to keep up. Yes, Jason Vargas has been very good this season but right now the Rockies are hitting everything. Seattle is just 40-73 since last season on the road. I like Colorado to get win number 11 here.
Game: Seattle at Colorado (3:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +150 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3)

With Colorado averaging their past ten wins by 3.9 runs per game, there's no reason to not back them here on the runline at +150 odds. Dating back to last season, Seattle is just 18-28 to the run line on the road after 2+ straight losses. Colorado is 28-14 to the run line in interleague play over the past three seasons. Colorado is killing all comers and against a bad road team, this is a great opportunity to get them at + odds and we'll take it.
Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angels Angels -190 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.6)

The Angels cruised to a 9-1 win yesterday and I like them to do it again today. The Padres are just 9-22 on the road this year where they are allowing opposing teams to rack up 5.9 runs per game. Today they must face Jared Weaver who has been spectacular in eight starts, posting a 2.31 ERA. At home he's been unconcious going 4-0, lasting 7.4 innings per start and putting up a 1.21 ERA. Where is San Diego going to find offense today? How bad are the Padres on the road? Since last season they are 27-65 as a road dog! When facing a good defensive fielding team (those that average under 0.7 errors per game) on the road this season, San Diego is just 4-17! Chris Young is just 9-18 vs. winning teams the past two seasons. The Angels get it done here.
Game: San Diego at Los Angels Angels (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Los Angels Angels -1.5 runs +115 (runline) (risk 2 to win 2.3)

Jared Weaver should keep the Padres in check today. They can't score (4.0 runs per game) and he has allowed just seven runs in 45 innings pitched at home. Over the past two seasons, the Padres are just 5-15 to the run line in interleague play. When facing winning teams on the road over the past two seasons, San Diego is just 19-26 vs. the run line. With Weaver on the mound and given San Diego's road woes, I like the Angels to get another big win.

12-0 last 3 days +34.2 units. Now 144-132 on season +3.6 units.