6-27-09

**Mr. IWS** · 06-27-2009, 10:55 AM

Re: 6-27-09

Wayne Root

Chairman Minnesota
Millionaire Chi Cubs
No Limit Arizona

**Mr. IWS** · 06-27-2009, 01:34 PM

Re: 6-27-09

Burns

Play Title **PERFECT RUN ROLLS ON** PERSONAL FAVORITE *6-0 L6
Play Selected Money Line: -124
I'm playing on SEATTLE. Many may be surprised to see the Mariners favored over the Dodgers, particularly for a game being played at LA, where the Dodgers have admittedly been very tough. After all, the Dodgers have the best home record in the National League and they pounded the Mariners here last night. However, this is an entirely different pitching matchup, one that significantly favors the visitors. Felix Hernandez gets the start for the Mariners and he's allowed a mere five earned runs in his last six starts, a span of 45 innings. In that stretch, Hernandez has struck out 42 while allowing just 34 hits. He's got a 1.16 ERA and 0.986 WHIP his last three starts. For the season, Hernandez is 4-1 on the road with a 1.98 ERA and a .210 BAA. In his last road start, Hernandez tossed a complete game 2-hit shutout. Note that June has historically been the best month for Hernandez. He's 10-2 in the month of June in his career with a 2.72 ERA. Eric Milton is back from the disabled list and he has a very solid 2.89 ERA this season. However, that low ERA doesn't have much "substance" to it, as he's only made four starts. A closer look shows that, after being tough to hit in his first start, Milton has allowed 21 hits in his next 14 2/3 innings. He's only made one home start and he allowed more than two baserunners (2.079 WHIP) per inning. Righties have hit Milton, who hasn't started more than six games in a season since 2006, hard in recent seasons, including .333 this year. That's worth noting as the Mariners will have a lineup loaded with right-handed batters. Note that Milton is 1-5 with an awful 9.41 ERA (1.886 WHIP) in his career against the Mariners. Yesterday's result notwithstanding, the Mariners have been better than the Dodgers in Interleague play in recent seasons and they've hit better against southpaws than against right-handers. The Mariners have also been tough as small road favorites this season. With their ace in top current form, I expect the M's to bounce back and even up the series. *Personal Favorite

6-27-09

6-27-09

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