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Re: 7-2-09
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(ST.LOUIS CARDINALS)Comment
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Re: 7-2-09
Matt Rivers
75,000* GAME OF THE DAY Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:
1. 75,000? Phillies
2. 50,000? Astros
1. Javier Vazquez has been flat out awesome of late and he is better than JA Happ but I will still take my chances and some money back here with the Fightin' Phils.
It seems like Bobby Cox' team just does not hit the ball for their righthander. To be honest Chipper and the fellas haven't really been doing much damager offensively for anyone. Today they are up against a quality Southpaw in Happ that can easily have his way once again. Happ is coming off of that complete game shutout in Toronto against a very good Blue Jays offense and should be just fine here.
The Phillies are not playing good ball there is no denying that but to get their upside with superstas in Howard and Utley along with Wesrth, Victorino and the overdue Jimmy Rollins gives the clear cut nod offensively to the visitors.
I can't say that I love what Lidge and Madson have become lately at all leading to the inferior bullpen in this matchup but like I said on Tuesday, I just cannot pass up the defending World Champions plus some money here at a ballpark that they have owned for years.
Philadelphia is still the definite better team when compared to Atlanta and in the stadium that is the second highest elevation behind Coors Field, I am all about Charlie Manual's offense today.
I'm sure Vazquez will once again be very good and get his share of strikeouts but in the end the value and right side is on the Phillies.
2. Kevin Correia has been really good of late but let's be honest here, he is still "Kevin Correia". I don't care how on the righty is he is what he is and at some point will gravitate back to that mediocre at the very best hurler. When you factor that in with the horrificness of the San Diego offense I can't help but make a small play on the Astros.
Besides Adrian Gonzalez and maybe Scott Hairston and David Eckstein the Padres really do not have anything at all offensively and once again we will see just that.
Sure Houston is not a very good club, I fully admit that. Their sum seems to never equal their parts as guys like Lee, Berkman, Tejada, Pence and a few others are quality ballplayers but it doesn't seem to matter as the team overall is not very good. But with that said Wandy Rodriguez is a talented lefty and should be fine here at the pitchers' paradise known as PETCO Park. I 100% understand how the lefty is usually much better at home than on the road but all in all he is still better than Correia, no matter how much hotter the Sand Diego starter is.
The bottom line in this thing is that the Astros win this game a decent amount more than they lose this game constituting a value.Comment
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Re: 7-2-09
Trace Adams
Trace Adams
PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - NY Mets w/Redding over Maholm
The Mets have had a huge chip on their shoulder since getting swept earlier this season at PNC Park, and their 1-5 mark their last 6 certainly doesn't indicate an automatic "buy sign" today, but I like this price.
New York knows how to hit Paul Maholm, as they roughed him up for 7 runs in just 5 innings back in May at Citi Field.
Tim Redding's numbers sure don't look too good, but I have seen him work a few times now this season, and the guy is capable of keeping the Mets in the game.
New York got off the 5-game schneid with the 1-0 win last night, I like them to take this make-up game, and return us some cabbage on the take-back.
PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN
500? - NY Mets w/Redding over Maholm
???NOTE: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!???Comment
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Re: 7-2-09
Indian Cowboy
4 Unit Play.* Take the Under 9*Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs (Thursday @ 8:05pm est). The Brewers are 42-36 on the year and they have been playing decent ball this year. Seth McClung has stepped in when asked of him and has done a decent job this year as he is 3-1 with a 3.55era.* What I like about McClung here is that the Cubs really have not gotten a look at him and it will take them at least one go around in the lineup to see his stuff again.* Consequently, I expect him to do well and he is likely to only pitched 5 to 6 innings at the most today which plays well to the under. The Cubs roll with Dempster who comes off a non-quality start givingup 5 runs in in 5 innings of work against the Whitesox.* Ryan had 5 straight quality starts prior to this non-quality start and I expect him to pitch well coming off that rough outing to their in-state rivals. A trend that I liked that went along with the play is that McClung is 9-1-1 over his last 11 games to the Under when the total is set at this mark and the Under is 5-1 to the Under when Dempster faces a team with a winning record - as he shows up against the better teams in the league.
4 Unit Play.* Take Over 160 between the Sacramento Monarchs @ Minnesota Lynx (Thursday @ 8pm est). Let's build off yesterday.* Simply because we do not have a play on one game does not mean we do not pay attention to what goes in the league.* There are teams that are similar to each other and gauging one set of performances, leads to opportunities for us to hit the value of lines for another set of performances.* Such is the case as the Monarchs roll into Minnesota.* Remember, when Sacramento faced Phoenix earlier this season and their style of play - they not only beat Phoenix at home by a score of 90-71 (161), but scored 194 points in regulation against the Mercury on the road. Considering that Minnesota and Phoenix are similar types of teams with a run and gun offense (Minnesota averages 85.3 ppg and gives up 82.2ppg), I like the over here as if the games in Phoenix can go over, the line here certainly has some value given that the Lynx put up just as many points. Heck, the Lynx put up 109 points at home against Phoenix.* Also keep in mind that the Monarchs have gone over in their last 2 games on the road and given that the line is just -5.5 for the Lynx at home, it indicates to me that the Monarchs are likely to be an active dog today and the public might take a bath backing the Lynx ATS here. The Over is 7-0 for the Lynx following a straight up win and the Over is 8-2 for the Monarchs in their last 10 games.Comment
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Re: 7-2-09
Tony Salinas Baseball
Thursday, July 02, 2009
26*
Chicago Cubs {R.Dempster} (-150) over Brewers {S.McClung}
8:05 PM -- Wrigley Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 75.
25*
Phillies {J.Happ}/Braves {J.Vazquez} UNDER 8 Runs
7:10 PM -- Turner Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 85.Comment
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Re: 7-2-09
JACK JONES
15* Orioles/Angels OVER 9.5
This game could get messy with a couple of good offensive units, volatile starting pitchers, and struggling bullpens. Jeremy Guthrie has thrown well over his last three starts, but on the road this season he is just 2-3 with a 6.96 ERA. Angels starter, John Lackey, has suffered from a similar fate, earning a 2.86 ERA in his last 3 starts, but posting a 5.28 ERA in his two starts at home this season. Moving to the bullpen we see a Baltimore squad that has a 5.28 ERA on the road this season, and an Angels relief staff that has a 5.21 ERA at home. Offensively, the Angels are averaging just over 5 runs per game, including averaging an incredible 7.7 runs per game over their last 7 games. Baltimore hasn't had quite as much success, averaging 4.7 runs per game this season and 5.6 runs per game in their last 7, but it's clear that they are also a team that is producing runs at a high rate right now.
Jump on this Over.Comment
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Re: 7-2-09
Street Rosenthal
*200 +1.5 -150 Baltimore Orioles Run Line
The Orioles bats have been hot lately and I think it will continue tonight. I have several trends that says the Orioles will keep the game close or straight up win. The Orioles are 13-4 SU since 2008 season after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits and its is the first game of a series. Also, we have the Angels as 6-12 SU and 4-14 RL since 2008 season as +140 home favorites and its is the first game of a series. Take the Orioles on the Run line for a win tonight.
*200 -145 Chicago Cubs
The Cubs look for another win tonight and I have the trends that says they will. First we have the Brewers are 4-22 SU since the 2004 season after a loss in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits. Also, the Brewers are 6-20 SU since 2004 as a road dog after a loss in which they were shut out in the first 6 innings. And finally we have this trend in favor of a Cubs win. The Cubs are 22-9 SU since 2004 season after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks and it is the first game of a series. Take the Home team for the win.Comment
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