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Re: 7-4-09
Tony Weston SATURDAY'S PLAYS 35 Dime White Sox
White Sox at Royals
WHITE SOX - Earlier this season the Chicago White Sox couldn’t buy a win against the Kansas City Royals. But after a two-game set in early May, where the Royals picked up the sweep, the White Sox have owned Kansas City.
Since then, Chicago has gone 5-0 against the Royals and will add another to the win column today.
Consider that the Sox haven’t just been hot against Kansas City, they’ve just been hot overall. Over their last 18 games the the White Sox are 14-4. In that stretch, and going a little further, Chicago has been impressive on the road, going 15-4 its last 19 away from the Windy City.
On the other side, the Royals have been their typical selves. They’ve lost 4 straight and are just 4-12 their last 16 games.
Also keep in mind that on the mound Chicago will turn to Gavin Floyd, who has become one of their most reliable pitchers over the last month. Coming into today the White Sox have won 5 of his last 6 starts. In that 6-game stretch Floyd has allowed only 6 earned runs in 42 1/3 innings of work.
Floyd will continue his brilliance and the White Sox will continue their domination of the Royals. Take Chicago on the road in this one. -
Re: 7-4-09
Craig Davis
Saturday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- BLUE JAYS (With Halladay and Wang as listed pitchers)
10 Dime ---- BRAVES (With Hanson as listed pitcher)
TORONTO BLUE JAYS (with Halladay and Wang) --- This one comes down to one simple thing... starting pitching, and I'm telling you right now that Roy Halladay will go at least seven innings and the Blue Jays will win this game by at least two runs.
Halladay is having another solid season, winning 10 games while losing just two with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Halladay has struck out 95 hitters thus far, walking just 14, and even despite coming back from the 15-day DL, Halladay pitched six solid innings in his last outing vs. Tampa Bay. Though he didn't get the win, Halladay still only allowed two earned runs in those six innings but didn't get any run support. Halladay's career numbers against New York look like this: 16-5, a 2.79 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and an opponents' batting average again of just .236. 5 times in his career he's gone the complete 9 innings out of 31 starts and there's a good chance he could do that again this afternoon. The Blue Jays are also 21-7 in Halladay's last 28 starts vs. the Yankees. Numbers don't lie.
The Yankees counter with Chien-Ming Wang, and it goes without saying, he hasn't been good this year. Though he was decent in his very last outing (2 ERs in 5.1 innings pitched), his overall ERA (10.19) should tell you the story of how poorly Wang has pitched this year since coming off last year's devastating injury. The Yankees are still trying to find that 5th starter in the rotation, and so far the job belongs to Wang. The Yankees won game one of this series, 4-2, yesterday, which gives the Jays all the more reason to come out fighting today. Top play of the day on the Blue Jays over the Yankees.
ATLANTA BRAVES (with Hanson) --- Much like the Blue Jays, this play comes down to my man-crush on Tommy Hanson. Hanson has been absolutely untouchable in his last three starts and there's no reason for me to think the Nationals have enough firepower to counter that today.
17.1 innings pitched, no earned runs, and a total of nine hits in those three games. That's pretty masterful even for the most experienced pitcher. We're dealing with a rookie, and I believe that plays right into our hands today. The Nats have not seen Hanson yet this year, so the advantage (at least for this time around) has to fall in the hands of the Braves this afternoon. Atlanta won the first game of this series last night, 9-8, and have won their last four games (after dropping four straight).
John Lannan counters for the Nationals, and although he's been better lately, I'm not sold on the fact he can get the job done at home today. Lannan has faced the Braves twice already this season, dropping both games... one in Washington and one in Atlanta. Though his ERA is solid againt Atlanta, you can't ignore the fact he just can't figure out how to beat the Braves. My money is on the Braves this afternoon as your top bonus play of the day.Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #1
BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES 1:05 ET
HALLADAY HAS BEEN UNHITTABLE 10-2 ON THE YEAR, 1-0 ALREADY AGAINST THE YANKEES THIS YEAR AND 16-5 LIFETIME. HE IS 4-0 ON THE ROAD AND HIS LAST 18 INNINGS HIS ERA IS 1.50. WANG 1-6 ON THE YEAR, 0-2 AT HOME AND HIS LAST 15 INNINGS HIS ERA 4.80 WILL NOT GET IT DONE HERE.
BLUE JAYS - 135 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION
Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #2
BRAVES @ NATIONALS 1:05 ET
DON'T LOOK NOW BUT THE BRAVES HAVE THE BEST STARTING PITCHING IN THE NL EAST. HANSON IS ONE OF THE REASONS. HE IS 4-0 WITH A 2.48 ERA ON THE YEAR, HE IS 2-0 ON THE ROAD AND HIS LAST 17 INNINGS HE IS 3-0 WITH AN ERA OF 0.00. LANNAN HAS ONLY WON 6 OF HIS 16 STARTS AND HAS LOST TO THE BRAVES ALREADY THIS YEAR. HE WILL GET BEAT IN THIS SPOT.
BRAVES -135 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION
Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #3
CARDS @ REDS 1:10 ET
FIRST PLACE CARDS WILL GET THIS ROAD "W" IN CINCY TODAY. THOMPSON OWNS THE REDS, 3-0 LIFETIME AND HE IS 2-1 ON THE ROAD THIS YEAR. OWINGS HAS ONLY WON 6 OF HIS 14 STARTS AND WILL NOT GET THE JOB DONE AGAINST ST LOUIS.
CARDS -110 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTIONComment
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Re: 7-4-09
Jake Timlin
Saturday's Action
400? Colorado Rockies -1 ½ Runs
Fireworks at Coors field, I look for the Rockies to make easy work of Arizona tonight.
With last night’s series opening 5-0 win the Rockies continue to be the hottest team in the league having won 22 of their last 27 games. Well thanks to pitching of Cook tonight I look for the Rockies to continue to dominate.
Aaron Cook hotter than hot is 5-0 with an ERA of 1.75 in his last five starts as the righty has only allowed 1 earned run in 4 of his last 5 starts.
For Arizona, they counter having lost 12 of their last 14 games and throwing Yusmeiro Petit who is 0-3 with an ERA of 8.03 in five starts on the season.
Flat out, no way do I see tonight’s game being close as Colorado’s pitching and offense is too good for Arizona to match.
In a blowout, go with the Rockies tonight at home.Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Al DeMarco
Saturday's Play 5 Dime - COLORADO ROCKIES (Cook) - 1 1/2 Runs over Arizona (Petit)
A lack of better choices has left Arizona in the position of starting Yusmeiro Petit tonight at Colorado. The righthander has been out since May 9 because of an inflamed shoulder and was less than sparkling in his rehab assignment, compiling a 6.89 ERA in five outings, allowing four homers in 15.2 innings. In fact, he was pulled from his most recent start on Tuesday in preparation for his return to the majors after allowing five hits and three runs -- two of which were earned -- in three innings of work.
Prior to landing on the disabled list, Petit had made five starts this season and the Diamondbacks had lost each outing as he allowed 37 baserunners in 22.2 innings with an ERA of 7.55. On of those starts was against the Rockies at home on April 21, a game in which he allowed eight hits and three runs in five innings of work. But the Colorado team Petit faced that day bears little resemblance to the one playing at Coors Field today.
Friday's 5-0 victory in the series opener raised Colorado's record to 22-5 in its last 27 games. Along the way, the Rockies have won six straight and 11 of 13 at home.
Colorado's Aaron Cook has won each of his last five starts, allowing just 31 hits and seven runs over 36 innings for an earned run average of 1.75. He'll be facing an Arizona club that's lost 11 of its last 13, including three in a row, a stretch in which the Diamondbacks have scored a total of two runs, getting shutout twice, lowering their major league-worst batting average to .242.
On the moneyline, Colorado is an overwhelming favorite. But on the Run Line, this game is priced at a virtual pick'em, making the Rockies an attractive wagering opportunity considering their recent run of success, Arizona's losing ways and inability to score, and the choice of starting pitchers by the Diamondbacks.Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Trace Adams 1000* - St. Louis w/Thompson over Owings (1:10 pm), 500* - Pittsburgh w/Duke over Miller The Cardinals cooled down the Reds a little with the win last night, and I like them to do it once more this afternoon at Great American Ball Park with Brad Thompson on the hill.
Thompson sports 2 wins this year, and both of those wins have come away from home. Sure, he is not the "ace" of the St. Louis staff, but then again can you trust Micah Owings who seems to pitch well every other start?
Ownings is coming off a 6 inning, 1 run win at Cleveland, but the start before was shellacked for 6 runs in 6 innings in a loss at Toronto.
For the season Owings is 5-7 with a 4.85 ERA.
I will take my chances with Thompson getting some run support, and the Cards getting the "W".
1000? - St. Louis w/Thompson over Owings
??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??
The Marlins are right in the thick of it in the NL East, but the same can be said for the Pirates being right in the thick of it in the NL Central, and Pittsburgh did open the holiday weekend with the 7-4 win last night.
I will give the Bucs the play tonight in the underdog role, as Florida starter Andrew Miller still hasn't figured it out yet, and Pittsburgh did hang a loss on him back on April 20th, as the southpaw allowed 4 runs over his 5 innings of work that night.
Zach Duke has made 3 straight quality starts for Pittsburgh, and the fact is, the Pirates are now 4-0 in this year's season series against the Marlins.
Nice value with the Pirates this afternoon in South Florida.
500? - Pittsburgh w/Duke over Miller
??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!?Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Tom Stryker's 4th of July MLB Blowout - 12-2 Run!
Tom has quietly cashed 12 of his last 14 MLB selections and he's stepping out on Saturday with only one MLB best bet. Stryker has zeroed in on a high-octane offense prepared to explode and this solid best bet comes with the support of two incredible money-making team trends. Grab Tom's 4th of July MLB Blowout for $20.
TAMPABAY RAYSComment
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Re: 7-4-09
WUNDERDOG TOTAL
Game: Houston at San Francisco (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 +100
Tim Lincecum is rapidly positioning himself as one of the top starters in baseball. He is off an impressive 18-4 season and enters this one at 8-2. When you consider the fact that he has allowed just nine earned runs in his last eight starts, it becomes clear he has some extra special stuff. He has also allowed Houston just six total runs in his last four starts against them. Russ Ortiz has been no slouch either as he has allowed just 19 earned runs in his eight starts on the season and in no game has he allowed more than three. Houston has now played to a 17-5 mark to the under in their last 22 games posted as a dog. The Giants have under madness as well as they are now 25-11-3 to the under vs teams with a losing record. Runs certainly look to be hard to come by here and I'll back the UNDER in this one.Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Tony Bruno Wins
Brewers +150
Cubs
Event Date: 07/04/2009
Event Time: 1 PM est
Play: Brewers +150 (looper & harden)
Score:
Comments: Saturday.....Baseball.....wager 100 Dimes to win 150 Dimes.....after winning 6 weeks in a row, last week we had a rare losing week & lost -225.5 dimes, we are up +146.5 dimes, if we win today we will be at +296.5 dimes for this week, we will have gotten it all back & them some, this is why you need to stay with your money management & never be fearful of betting after a losing week like last week, we just let your bookie borrow that money for a week, now its time for him to pay us some interest on that loan, & today is interest day!Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
R. Ferringo 7-4-09
2-Unit Play. Take #962 Florida (-140) over Pittsburgh (6 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
2-Unit Play. Take #968 Boston (-1.5, -110) over Seattle (1 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #977 Tampa Bay (-135) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
1-Unit Play. Take #953 Milwaukee (+150) over Chicago Cubs (1 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
1-Unit Play. Take #951 Atlanta (-130) over Washington (1 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
1-Unit Play. Take #963 L.A. Dodgers (-140) over San Diego (4 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
Today's Totals
2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Detroit at Minnesota (8 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at Washington (1 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Oakland at Cleveland (7 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 L.A. Dodgers at San Diego (4 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Houston at San Francisco (4 p.m., Saturday, July 4)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Seattle at Boston (1 p.m., Saturday, July 4)Comment
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