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Re: 7-4-09
THE PREZ - 5* BRAVES
THE PREZ - 5* BRAVES
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Re: 7-4-09
Chris James Sports
4* Game of the Week Cubs/Brewers Under 9
2* Atlanta Braves -114
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Selection: 4* Game of the Week Brewers/Cubs Under 9
I can't deny the numbers here. I couldn't feel more confident that we are on the right side of this today. The Brewers/Cubs square off in Game 3 of a 4 game set. The pitching matchup today features the Brewers Braden Looper who is 6-4 with a 4.90 ERA vs the Cubs Rich Harden who is 5-4 with a 4.57 ERA. Those numbers aren't great, but their numbers against each team are pretty overwhelming.
Braden Looper has faced the Cubs 9 times in his career with a 2.37 ERA. In 8 of 9 starts, Looper has give up 2 Earned Runs or less, with the other start allowing 4 Earned Runs. In his most recent start against the Cubs on 4/10 he went 5 innings allowing 5 hits and 1 ER. As far as Milwaukee's bullpen goes, they have some quality relief pitchers. Trevor Hoffman has had a sensational year posting a 1.93 ERA. Mark DiFelice is right behind him with a 1.97 ERA followed by Mitch Stetter with a 2.28 and Todd Coffey at 2.77.
Rich Harden has faced the Brewers only 3 times in his career but they have all been quality starts. Harden boasts a 1.50 ERA in those 3 starts. Harden opposed Looper in that start on 4/10 and he went 6 innings allowing only 3 hits and 1 Earned Run. In fact, in all starts against the Brewers Harden has only allowed a single earned run per game. The Cubs bullpen doesn't have the shutdown pitchers like Hoffman and DiFelice but as a whole they aren't far behind the Brewers.
The numbers at the plate really support this play. The Cubs are ranked 27th in the league for both Total Batting Average and Total Runs Scored. The Cubs are also ranked 27th in the league against Right-Handed Pitchers hitting only .246. The most shocking number of all is that the Cubs are only hitting .216, which is worst in the league, with runners in scoring position. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 24th in the league in Total Batting Average at .253. The Brewers are also hitting .253 on the year against Right Handers which is ranked 23rd in the league. The Brewers own the league's worst batting average during Day games this year at a pathetic .208. And while the Brewers aren't as bad as the Cubs with runners in scoring position, they aren't much better, ranked 24th in the league hitting .245.
I can't help but notice that both of these teams haven't had a day off in what seems like forever. The Brewers last day off was June 22nd and the Cubs was a week earlier on June 15th. In the midst of this long run for the Cubs they had a 10 game road trip travelling between 4 different cities before this current home stand with the Brewers.
Combining all of the information that I have present, I can't believe that this game goes over the posted total! Play the Under for our 4* MLB Game of the Week!Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Rocketman Sports
Top 6 Drivers to Win Daytona Saturday night!
The Sprint Cup boys move to Daytona this Saturday night for the 18th race of the season. Daytona International Speedway is a 2.5 mile Tri-Oval Restrictor Plate Track located in Daytona Beach, Florida. Here are my Top 6 drivers to win in Daytona this weekend. We still have to wait for Qualifying and Happy Hour before finalizing our Head to Head matchups. Daytona is normally a very good money track for us!! We are now 67% this year with our Head to Head Nascar matchups. For starters, I think Jeff Gordon has the best shot of winning this race. Gordon has 6 wins, 11 Top 5 finishes and 17 Top 10 finishes in his 33 starts here in Daytona. Gordon has an average finish of 15.1 here in Daytona. Jeff Gordon's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.3. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes, which is best among all drivers. Next in line I would go with Dale Earnhardt Jr. Earnhardt has two wins, 6 Top 5 finishes and 11 Top 10 finishes in 19 starts here in Daytona. Earnhardt has an average finish of 14.3 here in Daytona, which is 3rd best among all active drivers. Past 2 years, Dale Earnhardt Jr.'s average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 14.0. In 6 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes. Then, back in my 3rd spot, I have to go with a sleeper in AJ Allmendinger. Allmendinger has no wins, 1 Top 5 finishes and 1 Top 10 finishes in his 2 starts in Dayton. Allmendinger has an average finish of 22.5 here in Daytona. Allmendinger finished 3rd back in the Daytona 500, which was the first race of the season. Looking at my pick for the 4th spot we turn to Kurt Busch. Busch has no wins, 8 Top 5 finishes and 9 Top 10 finishes in his 17 starts in Daytona. Busch has an average finish of 17.9 in Daytona. Past 2 years, Kurt Busch's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 13.7. In 6 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes. Kurt Busch's average finish over the past 3 races is 8.7. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes. Rounding out my Top 5 and sitting tied in the 5th position is David Ragan. Ragan has no wins, two Top 5 finishes and three Top 10 finishes in his 5 starts in Daytona. Ragan has an average finish of 14.0 in Daytona, which is 3rd best among all active drivers. Past 2 years, David Ragan's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.0. In 6 races, he has 0 wins and 4 top 10 finishes, which is the best among all drivers. My final driver, which tied for 5th place in my ratings, is Kyle Busch. Busch has 1 win, 4 Top 5 finishes and 4 Top 10 finishes in his 9 races in Daytona. Kyle Busch knows only one way to do it and that is mash it to the floor. Kyle Busch has an average finish of 18.4 here in Daytona. Kyle Busch's average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 14.5. In 6 races, he has 2 wins and 3 top 10 finishes. The odds for these drivers to win in Daytona currently at Bodog are:
#24 Jeff Gordon 7 to 1
#88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 8 to 1
#44 AJ Allmendinger 100 to 1
#2 Kurt Busch 12 to 1
#6 David Ragan 30 to 1
#18 Kyle Busch 6 to 1Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
Betting as a Business
Washington +105 / Atlanta 1.5 Units
Like we told you last Sunday when we were on Boston over the Braves and Tommy Hanson, it's just a matter of time before Hanson's W/L record catches up to his overall numbers. The Braves are a perfect 5-0 in Hanson's starts this season but take a look at the numbers: He has a WHIP of 1.41 and ar ERA of 2.48... that's near impossible to do! That means he allows 12.69 base runners (via walk or hit) per 9 innings yet only allows 2.48 runs per 9 innings. And if you take his first start out of the equation (an 8-7 Atlanta win with Hanson giving up 6 hits and 6 ER's), in his 4 latest starts Hanson has pitched 23 innings giving up 18 hits and 16 walks but has only allowed a total of 2 runs!! So THAT"S a WHIP of 1.48 and an ERA of 1.28.... get the picture? Hanson's allowed an average of about 1 and a half base runners per inning over his last 4 starts (34 base runners... 23 innings) and has allowed just 2 to cross the plate... When the bottom falls out it's going to be ugly!
Of course we have to be concerned because today the Braves are playing the team with the worst record in baseball, but John Lannan as pitched well (5-5, 1.35 WHIP & 3.45 ERA) and as we've said before, even bad teams in MLB win 50 games in a season. &n! bsp;
Over 7 Runs (-120) Houston / San Francisco 1 Unit
Under 9 Runs (Even) Toronto / NY Yankees 1 Unit
Over 8.5 Runs (Even) Chicago WS / Kansas City 1 UnitComment
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Re: 7-4-09
JACK JONES
15* White Sox/Royals UNDER 8.5
I like the under in the Royals vs the White Sox this afternoon. White Sox starter, Gavin Floyd has been on a tear, earning a 0.87 ERA in his last 3 starts, never giving up more than 1 earned run in any of those appearances. Meanwhile, KC starter, Luke Hochevar has pitched well at home this season, posting a 3.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 4 starts at Kauffman. Expect a scrapy game with only a few runs.Comment
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Re: 7-4-09
INDIANCOWBOY
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 the Pittsburgh Pirates @ Florida Marlins
Let's take the Under in Florida today as the Pirates come into town. Zach Duke, the Clifton, Texas native rolls for the Bucks today as he comes off a 1-3 loss to the Cubs at home where he pitched very well but still fell short in 7 innings giving up 3 runs. Duke, who although is 8-6, has a 3.13 era and has been stellar with his control throughout the season. He has put together 4 straight and 7 of 8 quality starts and I expect him to have another strong outing today as he comes off a loss. Andrew Miller, another lefty and Florida native at that, has been a solid bounce-back pitcher after a non-quality start. He gave up 5 runs in 6 innings at Tampa Bay in his last go around and lost 2-5 on the highway - which is similar to an outing that he had in Boston only to come back in his next game at Baltimore and give up 1 earned run in 7 innings. I look for both Miller and Duke to have a strong effort today as the Under is 8-1 for the Pirates as an Underdog and 6-0 for the Marlins following a loss - who are in the heat of a division race currently.Comment
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