7-7-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #1

    7-7-09

    Lou Panelli

    20* MLB Detroit over 8.5(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
    10* MLB Yankees over 9
    10* MLB Toronto over 9
    10* MLB Colorado -150
    10* MLB Phillies -145
    10* MLB Seattle -145
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #2
    Re: 7-7-09

    igz1 sports

    Tuesday Card
    Monday Recap: 2-0 MLB

    MLB
    3* Under 9 (-110) San Diego (Correia) vs Arizona (Davis)
    3* Under 8.5 (-110) Los Angeles Dodgers (Kershaw) vs NY Mets (Pelfrey)
    3* Under 8 (-110) Atlanta (Vazquez) vs Chicago Cubs (Dempster)
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99936

      #3
      Re: 7-7-09

      Handicapper: IndianCowboy
      Sport: MLB Baseball
      Game: Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox - Tuesday July 7, 2009 8:10 pm
      Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 9 (+100)

      4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the Cleveland Indians @ Chicago Whitesox (Tuesday @ 8:10pm est). These two teams and pitchers have already hooked up this year. Sowers just faced the Whitesox at home on July 1st and lost 2-6 and much like the revenge game we took for Washburn yesterday against the Orioles, it is in that same grain we take Sowers who has revenge against this team who he faced less than a week ago. Sowers gave up 11 hits in 6 innings and lost 2-6. I do not see him being hit that much today as he likely goes 5 to 6 strong innings and gives up 3 runs or so as he looks to keep pace with Mark Buehrle who is typically dynamite at home. Buehrle is 8-2 on the year with a 3.09 era and he faced Cleveland earlier this year as well and lost 0-4 on the road. He gave up 4 runs in 7 innings in that contest and I look to him to get his share of revenge here as well. Hence, I believe this game likely dips under the posted total as the Under is 4-1 in Sower's last 5 road starts and the Under is 9-1 when Buehrle faces a team in the AL Central.
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99936

        #4
        Re: 7-7-09

        Triple crown
        3*...pit/houston../moehler....over 9
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99936

          #5
          Re: 7-7-09

          Dr Big Daddy (free return from yesterdays loss on Colorado RL)

          10* Detroit Tigers RL (-1.5)
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 99936

            #6
            Re: 7-7-09

            HoopsEdge

            RAS

            Connecticut -1.5 for 1 UNIT
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 99936

              #7
              Re: 7-7-09

              Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
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              LA Angels w/Lackey -167 10:05 EST
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99936

                #8
                Re: 7-7-09

                Jack Jones


                20* No Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -155

                The White Sox should be one of the easiest winners of the week against the Cleveland Indians Tuesday night. We'll start with Jeremy Sowers, Cleveland's starter for the night. Sowers is 2-6 this season with a 5.68 ERA and has been simply awful on the road, going 0-3 with an 8.81 ERA. Meanwhile, Mark Buehrle has be sensational for the White Sox this season, notching an 8-2 record with a 3.09 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, including going 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. Cleveland also owns one of the worst bullpens in the majors, particularly on the road, where they have a 5.59 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season, as well as a 4-11 record and just a 44% save conversion rate, blowing 10 saves in 18 attempts as the visitor this year. The White Sox dropped two games in a row to the Royals, but they are still one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning 7 of their last 9. As long as Buehrle puts together an effort close to what he has all season, Chicago comes away with a win at home tonight.


                15* on Indians/White Sox OVER 9 (-120)

                I'm on the Over in the Indians at the White Sox tonight. The first reason for this is Cleveland starter, Jeremy Sowers. Sowers is 0-3 on the road this season with a 8.81 ERA and 1.83 WHIP, not to mention a 6.75 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP over his last 3 starts. What's truly concerning here, however, is the Indians' bullpen. Sowers only averages a little over 5 innings per game, and once he hands the ball over to the pen, things could get ugly. The Cleveland bullpen currently has a 5.59 ERA on the road and a 4-11 record, both near the worst marks in the American League. The White Sox are hitting extremely well lately, averaging .311 as a team and scoring 5.6 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Indians are hitting .267 and scoring 5.7 runs per game against left-handed starters, and while Mark Buerhle has certainly been hot, the Tribe should still tag him for a handful of runs.


                15* on Washington Nationals +135

                It's pretty rare that we'll take the Nationals this season, but when we do there is a good chance that Jordan Zimmerman is on the mound. Zimmerman doesn't have great numbers for the season at 3-3 with a 4.52 ERA, but he has pitched very well lately, going 1-0 (Nats are 2-1) over his last three starts with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.125 WHIP. Zimmerman is countered by Jason Hammel for the Rockies tonight, and though his numbers overall look better than Zimmerman's, he is also 1-2 this season with a 7.16 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 6 home starts. I think the Nationals win the starting pitching battle to start things off. On the offensive side of things, the Rockies have been awful lately, hitting just .188 as a team and scoring only 3 runs per game over the past week. Washington is only hitting .251 and scoring 4 runs per game over the last week, but it looks like they are catching the Rockies at that right time in this one. The biggest concern here is probably the Nationals bullpen, which has been the worst in baseball this season, however, looking that the Colorado relief staff, you'll see their numbers aren't all that much better than the Nats'. Zimmerman picks up the win for us and for the Nationals tonight in Colorado.
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99936

                  #9
                  Re: 7-7-09

                  erin rynning

                  under twins /playmaker
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 99936

                    #10
                    Re: 7-7-09

                    Tony Salinas Baseball
                    Tuesday, July 07, 2009
                    25*
                    Chicago Cubs {R.Dempster} (-105) over Braves {J.Vazquez}
                    8:05 PM -- Wrigley Field
                    Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 70.
                    26*
                    Astros {B.Moehler} (-120) over Pirates {P.Maholm}
                    8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park
                    Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 90.
                    24*
                    Mariners {E.Bedard} (-140) over Orioles {J.Guthrie}
                    10:10 PM -- SAFECO Field
                    Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 65.
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 99936

                      #11
                      Re: 7-7-09

                      Tony Salinas Baseball

                      Tuesday, July 07, 2009

                      25*
                      Chicago Cubs {R.Dempster} (-105) over Braves {J.Vazquez}
                      8:05 PM -- Wrigley Field
                      Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 70.

                      26*
                      Astros {B.Moehler} (-120) over Pirates {P.Maholm}
                      8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park
                      Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 90.

                      24*
                      Mariners {E.Bedard} (-140) over Orioles {J.Guthrie}
                      10:10 PM -- SAFECO Field
                      Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 65.
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 99936

                        #12
                        Re: 7-7-09

                        Craig Davis

                        Tuesday's Lineup


                        [100 Dime ---- TIGERS (With Verlander) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over ]ROYALS (with Chen)



                        DETROIT TIGERS (with Verlander) -1 1/2 runs over KANSAS CITY (with Chen) --- Well here it is... I've been talking about it for at least a week and I can't tell you how excited about my biggest baseball play of the entire season. The Detroit Tigers, behind Justin Verlander, will absolutely blast Bruce Chen and the Kansas City Royals and this game won't even be close. I'm honestly not sure I will see another play this season I like as well as I like this one tonight.



                        The Detroit Tigers blew a 2-1 lead last night and a fantastic outing from Armando Gallaraga, dropping a 4-3 decision to this same Kansas City team. So, you can bet the Tigers are out for blood tonight, and they're going to get it against Bruce Chen... a lefty who didn't throw a single pitch in 2008 and has only started two games thus far in 2009. Not only do the Tigers hit lefties well, they'll absolutely blister Chen's 89 mph fastball. Yeah, I said 89 miles per hour.



                        Since having reconstructive elbow surgery last season, Chen's fastball has lost some velocity and now has to rely on his off-speed stuff, including a breaking ball that he hasn't quite mastered. In his only other road start this year, Chen allowed 7 hits and 4 ERs in 6 1/3 innings, dropping a 6-2 decision at Pittsburgh. His other start, a July 2nd home start vs. Chicago, Chen was better (2 ER in 6 innings), but still managed to lose another game, 4-1, to the White Sox. If you're doing the math at home, the Royals have given him exactly three runs of run support in two games against Mark Beuhrle and Paul Maholm. So you tell me... how are the Royals going to provide him any more than a couple of runs tonight against a flame-throwing right-hander who has owned the Royals in his career??



                        The answer is simple... they're not. Kansas City has averaged just 3.2 runs per game in 7 meetings with the Tigers so far this season and they have yet to face the likes of Justin Verlander... the ace of the staff. Verlander only faced the Royals twice last season (both times on the road) and has yet to see them this year in seven meetings, but that doesn't take away the fact that he has absolutely owned this team in his career. Check out these numbers... 12 career starts, 8 wins and one loss, 2.21 ERA in 77.1 innings pitched, a WHIP barely above 1.00, and an opponents' batting average against of just .218. His last outing vs. Kansas City, last year in Missouri, was another gem... lasting 7 innings, shutting out the Royals and allowing just five hits in an eventual 4-3 win.



                        Let's take it a step further... Justin Verlander is as good as any pitcher in Major League Baseball when pitching at home. When you think of Verlander, you probably think about what he's done in three of his last four starts (4 ERs in Oakland, 3 ERs in Houston, and 5 ERs in St. Louis)... but you fail to realize that those three games were on the road, and mixed in was a very solid home outing vs. Milwaukee... a 3-2 win over Yovani Gallardo and the Brewers. Let's just take a quick peek at what he's been able to accomplish when pitching at Comerica:



                        6 starts, 4 wins, no losses, 40.1 innings pitched, 23 hits, 16 walks (0.96 WHIP), 5 ERs (1.11 ERA) and 51 strikeouts (more than one per inning). Folks, those numbers don't happen all that often and when you see a situation present itself like this one tonight, you have to jump all over it. Detroit has won eight of their last nine at home, are 9-3 in Verlander's last 12 starts vs. Kansas City, 18-3 in Verlander's last 21 home starts vs. a team with a losing record, and are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals, meanwhile, are 1-6 in their last seven in Game 2 of a series, 6-17 in their last 23 road games, and 4-12 in their last 16 as a road dog.



                        Vegas isn't stupid... that's why they have Detroit at -230 at the time of this writing. That number is a bit hefty for me to lay, so that's why I'm pounding the run line tonight... because I'm not worried about Detroit winning this game by one, two or even three runs. I'm calling at least a four-run Tigers victory tonight --- as they combine the masterful pitching of Verlander with the "we're overdue" offense the Tigers are going to put on display at home. I'm calling for at least a 6-2 win for the boys from Motown, because you know the Tigers dreadful bullpen is due to allow a few runs (as they always seem to do). Top play of the day and of the season (so far) on the Detroit Tigers, on the run line, over Kansas City.
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 99936

                          #13
                          Re: 7-7-09

                          Karl Garrett

                          30 DIMER - CUBS (Dempster over Vazquez)
                          30 DIMER - CHICAGO CUBS (Dempster over Vazquez)



                          It sure looked like the Braves had something going on after sweeping the Phillies at Turner Field just before the 4th of July, but losing their last pair in Washington, and opening last night with an anemic 4-2 loss tells me that this Atlanta team just isn't that good.



                          The Cubs are starting to look like the team that was predicted to be the tops in the NL Central, as they have now won 5 of their last 6, and they have thoroughly dominated the Braves of late, winning 8 of the last 10 showdowns.



                          Chicago is on an 8-1 run at home, and starter Ryan Dempster is a nice 4-1 in his home starts this season to boot.



                          Atlanta is just 2-6 in Javier Vazquez' last 8 starts, and while the rigthy continues to whiff batters, his teammates continue to come up bust at the plate when he takes the mound.



                          The Cubs are going places, the Braves are not!



                          Take Chicago as my 30 Dime Raise the Bar NL Game of the Year # 2 in a Row
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 99936

                            #14
                            Re: 7-7-09

                            Fargo’s **7** WNBA NON-CONFERENCE GOW *82% ANGLE*

                            Sacramento
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 99936

                              #15
                              Re: 7-7-09

                              C-Stars Sports

                              1000 Units Top Play Toronto +180
                              1000 Units Top Play San Francisco over Florida
                              1000 Units Top Play SD/ARZ UNDER the total
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