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100* Play Houston (-160) over Pittsburgh (TOP MLB PLAY)
Pittsburgh has lost 10 of the last 13 road games as an underdog of +150 to +175
and they have also lost 12 of the last 17 road games when the total posted is
between 8 and 8.5 runs. Pittsburgh has lost 24 of the last 35 games vs.
division opponents and they have also lost 5 consecutive games when their on
base percentage is .300 or worse over the last 5 games. Wandy Rodriguez has won
5 of the last 6 games when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest and he is also 2-0
over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.70.
100* Play Colorado (-165) over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)
Washington has lost 21 of the last 25 road games as an underdog of +150 or
higher and they have also lost 16 of the last 22 games vs. left-handed starting
pitchers. Washington has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a
Wednesday and Ross Detwiler is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of
8.40. Colorado has won 7 of the last 8 home games as a favorite of -150 to -200
and Jorge De La Rosa is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.75.
50* Play Kansas City (-130) over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Detroit has lost 7 of the last 11 games and they have also lost 18 of the last
27 games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Zack Greinke has won 18 of the last
24 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he is also 10-4 in
all starts this season with an ERA of 2.00.
50* Play Philadelphia (-150) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Philadelphia has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 33 of the last
44 home games as a favorite of -150 to -175. Rodrigo Lopez has won 8 of the
last 9 home games over the last 3 seasons and he is also 1-0 this season with an
ERA of 2.84. Homer Bailey has lost 10 of the last 11 games and he is also 0-2
vs. Philadelphia over his career with an ERA of 9.00.
WNBA Hoops
100* Play Phoenix (-10) over Chicago (WNBA TOP PLAY)
Chicago has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have also
lost 6 consecutive games against the spread vs. Phoenix. Meanwhile, Phoenix has
won 10 consecutive games as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and they are
averaging over 95 points a game at home this season.
The Giants have surprised a lot of folks this season, and their pitching has been outstanding. Their pitching will keep them in the race all season, especially if Ryan Sadowski maintains being a viable option in the rotation, where he has left no arguments otherwise in his first two starts. Sadowski has made two starts and has yet to allow a run, covering 13 innings, and will face a Marlina? lineup that scores -0.7 runs a game less against righthand pitching than they do against southpaws. Chris Volstad has had a miserable year pitching to an ERA of nearly five. He got off to a roaring start, but his last nine outings have produced a 6.27 ERA.
I look for the Giants to tee off on him in this one, and will play them on the runline.
4* Major MLB Afternoon Delight of the Week on Giants -116
The Giants have handled the fish back-to-back nights and I like them to pull off the series sweep this afternoon. The Giants have taken 13 of the last 19 meetings overall and the Marlins are just 10-26 in the last 36 meetings in San Francisco. The G-Men have the edge again today against Volstad, whose ERA is up to 5.40 over his last 3 starts. In fact, the Marlins are 1-6 in Volstads last 7 starts. Sadowski has been brilliant for the Giants and the Fish don't stand a chance having never seen this kid. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00. Sadowski gave up four hits over six innings in his debut June 28 at Milwaukee in a 7-0 win, then limited Houston to three hits over seven innings in a 13-0 victory Friday. The Marlins have lost 5 straight on the road while the Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Bet the G-Men.
-= TOP PLAY =-
MLB | Jul 08 '09 (10:05p)
Texas Rangers vs LAA Angels LAA Angels -130
4* Major MLB Bailout of the Week on Angels -130
Santana has struggled this season due to injuries, but he's 100% now and I love him at home tonight to put the Angels in 1st place. The Angels are 4-1 in Santana's last 5 home starts vs. the Rangers. The Angels are 38-14 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series, 10-4 in their last 14 overall, and 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Halos are 17-4 against the money line in home games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2. Bet the Halos in this bounce back spot tonight.
Game: Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox - Wednesday July 8, 2009 7:10 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) RUNLINE:Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+110)
4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Redsox -1.5 (+110) over the Oakland A's (Wednesday @ 7:10pm est). I'm not a big run-line player and never have been, but this game does call for it for a couple of reasons. For starters, Boston is in a very tight race for the division with the Yankees and they continue to one-up each other with wins. Boston is 50-33 while the Yankees are 49-34 as the Redsox cling to their short edge as they head into the All-Star Break. This is also the rubber game of this series as they have split the series thus far with Oakland 1-1. Tack that on with the fact that Wakefield comes off a shaky start where he gave up 5 runs to Seattle in 8 innings for a rare loss, he is on the bounce-back today which is usually when we ride the Melbourne, Florida native. We have ridden Wake plenty of times both on the Under as well as on the Side when he is on a bounce-back as he is 10-3 for a reason and rarely has back to back non-quality starts. The A's are 0-4 when Cahill starts with a total set at this mark. Cahill has struggled considerably of late and I just don't think he will all of a sudden have a huge change in effort in Fenway. Boston is highly talented and even the best performance of Cahill could still yield to a Redsox -1.5 win as Wake is on the bounce-back and the Redsox offense is stout. Cahill has given up 12 runs in 5 innings of late and he is on a bounce-back of sorts, but I simply think it might be asking him too much to have a bounce-back in Fenway. I do think he bounces back at home when he returns to Oakland as we will likely take him for the side then. Let's roll with the RSox as Wakefield is on the bounce-back, the Redsox look to keep their lead in the division and they look to win this se
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