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Re: 7-11-09
The Fight Forecasters
UFC 100 Picks
Upset Special of the Month
Michael Bisping +185
Hendo should win this fight by taking Bisping down and holding him there for 15 minutes. However, I believe that age has caught up to Dan. Couple that with having to cut to 185 for this fight and the fact that Bisping has shown a solid counter-punching gameplan in the past, I think that Bisping will outlast Dan for the decision. Hendo may be able to get a takedown, but he will pay for it coming in and I think Bisping will be too much to hold down. Not even Rashaad Evens had success at holding Bisping down for more than a few seconds.
5 Unit Play
Brock Lesner -230
Brock lost the first fight because he was still to raw. He is the most gifted athlete in the UFC, and the experience he has gained in the last year and a half since the first fight will earn him the victory. Brock will be too quick and toopowerful for Mir, and I think that Brock will even finish this fight early with some devastating ground and pound. Mir looked good against Big Nog, but that had more to do with Nog having Staph then Mir's striking game.
5 Unit Play
Yoshihiro Akiyama -290
Akiyama is making his debut with the UFC but he is too experienced to suffer from the Octagon jitters. Akiyama will look to take this fight to the ground, and should be successful getting it there. Once there, the fight will be in his world and it will only be a matter of time before he gets a submission. Belcher does have a punchers chance, but he hasn't really shown the power in his strikes to convince me that he could possibly end this by KO.
3 Unit Play
Stephan Bonnar -350
As long as Bonnar can withstand the initial burst that Coleman will show in the first few minutes of this fight, he should be able to secure himself a KO by the middle of the second round. Coleman's game is to get the fight to the ground and ground and pound, but his gas tank is always running on E, and he will not be able to hold Bonnar on the ground for long. Bonnar is by no means a world beater, but Coleman's best days are long behind him and he just won't be able to change his game enough to compete with someone even on Bonnar's level.
3 Unit Play
Jon Jones -425
Jones has had a ton of media hype over the last few months, and with good reason. He should be able to make short work of O'Brien, much like Cain Valasquez did. O'brien's only game is to take-down and hug, Jones has good enough wrestling skills to nullify Jake's take-downs, and he should be able to finish him off on his feet once Jake realizes he can't get the fight on the ground.
3 Unit Play
Thiago Alves +260
For the price, this is a great bet for Alves. He has shown outstanding take-down defense against Hughes and Koscheck and he has one of, if not the best, Muay Thai games in the UFC. If he is able to stop GSP from taking him to the ground, he will be able to dominate the stand up game. Since the Serra fight, GSP has relied on a steady gameplan of take-downs and ground and pound out of fear of being knocked out again. He will stick to that plan for this fight, but GSP has never fought someone as big andpowerful as Alves. This fight should be closer to a pick'em so there is outstanding value with Alves.
1 Unit Play
Jim Miller -185
This is actually a fairly even fight. Both are strongest on the ground but they can also hold their own if the fight stays standing. Because of their similar skill set, you look at the strength of opponents that each has faced. Danzig is coming off losses to Clay Guida and Josh Neer. Ignoring the Guida hugfest, Neer showed us that Danzig will fold when under too much pressure. Miller is coming off a loss to Gray Maynard, where he was put in danger far more often Danzig and he would not fold. He took a beating but never once gave up in the fight. Miller's heart and will wins him this fight. -
Re: 7-11-09
Chris Jordan
Saturday's winner ...
800? DETROIT TIGERS (LIST Galarraga and Pavano) - This is a great spot for Armando Galarraga, who looks as if he has regained the form that was mowing down hitters in April with precision pitches and confidence on the hill. He comes in off an impressive showing against Kansas City last Monday, when he limited the Royals to one earned run on five hits after seven innings. Quite honestly, I thought it was the best stuff he's had in a long time; unfortunately, the Tigers’ bullpen gave up the lead twice and he ended up with the no-decision.
The most important thing to note from that game was how effective he was, scattering those five hits while striking out seven. He mixed in pitches well, and used a slider that was vividly better than the one he used in many of his other appearances this season. He was confident with his command, pounding the strike zone at free will. Tonight against Cleveland, he’ll have that same attitude with a revenge on the brain, not to mention confidence since it’s a club he beat three times last season.
Carl Pavano, meanwhile, comes in after just one inning of work against Oakland, which went into Cleveland and pounded the right-hander for eight hits in 6-2/3 innings. Yes, he only gave up two earned runs, but the fact is he’s been getting shelled by opponents since mid-May. Over his last five starts, Pavano has been pelted for 44 hits and 22 earned runs over 27 innings of work.
Again, this is a revenge game from May 1, when the Indians and Pavano beat Galarraga and the Tigers at Comerica Park. Prior to that Galarraga was 2-0 in his four previous starts against the Tribe, as three of them were quality starts.
Detroit extended its AL Central-lead to 3-1/2 games over the White Sox, who lost in Minnesota last night, and the one thing Jim Leyland stresses as a manager at this time, is not to look ahead to the break, to ride the first half out completely. A win over Cliff Lee was impressive last night, and with six straight over the Indians now on the tote board, I love the home team here and will be sure to list both pitchers for the win.
* PAID AND CONFIRMEDComment
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Re: 7-11-09
Kevin Francis Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, July 11, 2009
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Chicago Cubs w/Lilly -170 4:10 ESTComment
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Re: 7-11-09
Craig's 5 star MLB TOP WEEKEND PLAY
Posted By: Craig Trapp
Game Date / Time: July 11th, 2009 - 7:10 PM
This is a Guaranteed Pick on the Money Line for the Full Game.
Craig's top 5 star play lost yesterday making him 5-3 in his top plays of day. Today Craig's top play of weekend will win by at least 3 runs. Craig's top plays of weekend are 4-1 since start of JUNE!! Get in now GUARANTEED WINNER!!
The Bottom Line
DET -140: This one will not be close as CLE is just realing and can't get out of there own way in last 10 games. CLE is 4-6 in last 10 games and has lost 3 of last 4 games. The big problem lately is consistent run support and really average pitching. There pitching staff has given up at least 5 runs in all of last 10 games with the worst ERA in last 10 games of any pitching staff. Pavano has been up and down all year but the last 5 he is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA. On the other side Gallaraga has been great winning last two games going 14 innings only giving up 2 runs. DET has beenComment
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Re: 7-11-09
Ferringo
2.5-Unit Play. Take #923 Toronto (-115) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #928 Boston (-170) over Kansas City (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #928 Boston (-1.5, +110) over Kansas City (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #910 N.Y. Mets (-135) over Cincinnati (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #917 N.Y. Yankees (+100) over L.A. Angels (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #922 Detroit (-125) over Cleveland (7 p.m.)
Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.5 Florida at Arizona (8 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Cincinnati at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Washington at Houston (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7 p.m.)Comment
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